American Idol 9 Top 9 Redux – Who Is Going Home?

Remember,   because the judges used their one-time save last week to keep Michael Lynche in the competition, TWO contestants must go home this week.

Barring another surprise like last week’s unexpected boot of Big Mike, I think it’s safe to predict at least one of tonight’s bootees.

TV Exclusive: Rachel York & Lac...
TV Exclusive: Rachel York & Lacretta Nicole Wind Down The Road to DISASTER!

I feel pretty confident that Andrew Garcia is finally going to be leaving American Idol tonight. To go out at 7 or 8 would be a really good placement for him, considering how he’s underwhelmed week after week on the big Idol stage. Sure, Andrew has a fanbase that’s kept him in it, but I don’t think he’s winning any new fans week to week.

The second pick is a little trickier. I participate in the La Times Buzzmeter, and had to get my picks out by 1:30 am last night. I chose Andrew and Aaron Kelly. But then, after sleeping on it, I told MTV news this morning that although it would be close, Katie Stevens would be heading home.

I’m still waffling! Neither has a really deep fanbase at this point, but while Katie was good last night, she wasn’t as good as the week before. Plus, Simon didn’t like it. So she may have lost the casual vote. Aaron, on the other hand, got slammed by Simon and performed early in the line up. But his fans may go into overdrive voting for him, while Katie’s fans kick back this week…

Aargh. I may split my votes in the pool. I can’t decide! What do you guys think? (eta: I just checked…I can put all my points on one contestant, I may just throw all my points to Andrew)

  • Read my re-cap of last night’s show for AOL Television HERE.
About mj santilli 33692 Articles
Founder and editor of mjsbigblog.com, home of the awesomest fan community on the net. I love cheesy singing shows of all kinds, whether reality or scripted. I adore American Idol, but also love The Voice, Glee, X Factor and more!

104 Comments

  1. It SHOULD be Andrew and Aaron … but does this show EVER go the way it should? Imagine a finals show, with Tim Urban winning the crown. It could happen!

  2. Aargh. I may split my votes in the pool. I can’t decide! What do you guys think?

    Can’t you just put all 20 points on the one you are sure is going home? There doesn’t seem to be reason to figure out who the second bootee is going to be (except to guess the mix for the bonus point).

    BTW. Last person safe. Does that mean the last person who doesn’t get sent to the seal or the last person standing when the other person is eliminated?

  3. BTW I think Katie could be in trouble for dissing the judges. The voters never like that. She openly said that her entire performance was a big “Figure out what you want your clueless nitwits” letter to the judges and then she interupted Simon to drive home her point.

    Add in that she was safe last week and got relatively good comments from the judges and her fans might have relaxed the panic voting.

  4. The show I thought was bad because they rushed the end so much, and with Ryan’s antics was just not a good night. I wished I would have watched “Lost” instead.

  5. If Andrew doesn’t go home, I’ll be very very confused.

    Aaron or Katie would be my other picks.

    Tim is my long-time pick for the one who’d “better leave right now,” but I think he’s managed to set the bar of expectations for himself at “Tim” and in recent weeks has managed to perform very well within his extremely limited limits. So, Tim’s staying, I think.

  6. Should go home: Andrew and Aaron.

    Might go home: Mike — if there was not a big boost in voter turnout for him over last week.

    Wouldn’t mind if went home: Casey, Crystal, Katie, Lee, Siobhan, Tim (alpha order), and Ellen, Kara, Ryan, Simon.

  7. I think it should be Andrew and Aaron, but wouldn’t be surprised at all if Katie ends up leaving instead.

  8. Tim definitely raised the bar for himself and a few of the others last night. He picked a great Elvis song, arranged it perfectly, created a great singing dynamic with the guitar, and then sang it perfectly. This may have been his “Imagine” or “Falling Softly”.

    ETA: Ryan definitely owes him an apology…big time.

  9. On performance alone the order for leaving are:

    1. Andrew

    2. Tim

    3. Timmy

    4. Turbin

    5. Aaron

  10. Idolnewby, maybe you better listen to Tim with your eyes closed and then listen to Archie sing “Imagine”. I bet you change your opinion.

  11. Should go home Andrew and Aaron. Will go home Andrew and Aaron or Katie or Siobhan.

  12. Im going with Andrew and Aaron. Andrew for sure but the other one is up in the air. I was also hoping mike got the boot(again) lol

    Those were my bottom 3 picks last night and im sticking with it. =P

  13. I don’t think Andrew has had a great night in the competition yet and seems to be regressing. Last night was really bad. Beyond that….I have no clue.

  14. lol MrRJ.

    I’m going with Andrew (I think that one is a safe bet too mj) and Aaron as well based on last night’s performances. If this year’s pattern follows last year’s week after the save, Mike could get by at least one more week and that could open the door for Katie being a possibility tonight.

    mj-Nice post recap. :)

  15. Can’t you just put all 20 points on the one you are sure is going home? There doesn’t seem to be reason to figure out who the second bootee is going to be (except to guess the mix for the bonus point).

    BTW. Last person safe. Does that mean the last person who doesn’t get sent to the seal or the last person standing when the other person is eliminated?

    I posted the first question in another thread since this one hadn’t been set up, and didn’t get an answer. I did put all of my points on one person, and didn’t get an error message, so I hope that’s OK>

    I assumed the last person safe meant the person in the B3 who didn’t go home, but I’m not sure.

    MJ – can you please clarify the answers to these two questions?

  16. I’m putting my points on Andrew, like everyone else (looking at the prediction stats). I can’t imagine he wouldn’t be one of the two lowest vote-getters. While I am currently ranked 285 and would love to put them on someone else (Katie), this isn’t a week to make up ground because there’s a double elimination.

    Not that I have a chance to make up ground anyway. ;-)

    ETA: I assumed last person safe was the last person not sent to the seal. Clarification would be nice.

  17. MrRJ:
    04/14/2010 at 2:06 pm
    On performance alone the order for leaving are:

    1. Andrew

    2. Tim

    3. Timmy

    4. Turbin

    5. Aaron

    LOL. I think you forgot Timmeh. :-)

  18. Idolnewby, maybe you better listen to Tim with your eyes closed and then listen to Archie sing “Imagine”. I bet you change your opinion.

    I’m not comparing the two. I know Archie was much better. But…in “this” season it was “Tim’s Imagine”. Also, some of us are attracted to songs because of their “imperfections”.

    ETA….songs and singers!

  19. Tim has officially stolen the singer-who-improves-weekly-and-finds-himself story arc out from under Lee’s nose. Dude’s safe.

    Aaron’s going home. Is there even one performance of his that wasn’t mediocre/forgettable? With every other contestant, I can remember at least 1 song they sang, either for being their 1 standout, or for being so LOL or bad. With Aaron, I can’t remember anything…

    Surprise boot could be Mike. The Idolverse doesn’t appreciate his singing chops (he vocally dances circles around everyone else here, even Glambert gave him a standing-O), but he’s not picking up votes for it. The Ghetto song & performance were great but subtle, alas he needed something more emotionally obvious like “Woman’s Work” to win over this crowd.

    Andrew… I dunno… A favorite whipping boy of this blog & its commenters… It’s definitely been his turn to go for a while. Like Mike, his performances (in this case, his lazy-stupid performance skills) are overshadowing some awesome Maroon-5-like vocals. I agree with Ellen that Andrew had great vocals on his Elvis song, but no one noticed because he just underperforms on stage.

  20. I assumed that last person safe was the one standing at the end with the last one to go home. Not that it really matters since it’s a guess anyway, LOL.

    I put all my points on Andrew. I think it’s ok since the pool seemed to allow me to enter it that way.

  21. I am guessing it will be Andrew and Aaron but Katie is a possible option too. Or it could be Andrew and a surprise exit.

    I feel more confident predicting Andrew than who the second person will be. The only ones I feel confident are staying are: Crystal, Casey, Lee and Tim as I think they have the fanbases that will vote repeatedly for them and larger fanbases. And since Tim appears to be improving according to the judges, he may be gaining more fans and votes.

    But almost anyone else could go and I would not be shocked..although I think Mike redeemed himself last night and he was doing fine with voters until last week. ( as I kept remembering the week where Adam was in the bottom 2 and the week where Matt was saved and Matt did not go home for another 2 weeks and Adam stayed till the end). I think Mike fans may have kicked up the voting last night to be sure he is not in the bottom 2.

  22. i’m not sure how it works this week regarding the pool.
    Let’s say Andrew and Aaron are going home tonight..

    What gives me the more points?

    1) putting all the 20 on Andrew (or Aaron)
    or
    2) putting 10 points on Andrew and 10 on Aaron

  23. I kept thinking of Season 3 where Jennifer and Fantasia were in the bottom 2 and Jennifer went home and now that was a shocker as Latoya, Fantasia and Jennifer were the bottom 3 and the mediocre were the top 4. And Fantasia voters, after that, kicked in the voting and she got a lot of Hudson votes too.

  24. All my points are on Andrew. I am unsure if Aaron, Katie or Mike will be the second one out. Wouldn’t mind if it was Tim cause this obvious second tier of judging, the Ryan dancing & Turbin comment make the situation not fun any more. I remember when Sanjaya got to a point when the cruelty seemed too much and I wanted him voted off before it got out of hand. I’d like Tim off before the disrespect goes any further.

  25. Okay, Andrew is a given for B3 and leaving, and thank goodness. In terms of who else is in the bottom, I think it is going to be Aaron, and either, Katie or possibly even Siobhan or Mike joing them. Going home with Andrew? Hmmmm. I’m going to say Aaron.

  26. I’m not comparing the two. I know Archie was much better. But…in “this” season it was “Tim’s Imagine”. Also, some of us are attracted to songs because of their “imperfections”.

    Yeah it doesnt always have to be a perfect vocal. Last night my favs(all jokes aside) were Tim and Katie. I think they did really well and you know they dont have the best most perfect voices out there.

  27. Okay, Andrew is a given for B3 and leaving, and thank goodness. In terms of who else is in the bottom, I think it is going to be Aaron, and either, Katie or possibly even Siobhan or Mike joing them. Going home with Andrew? Hmmmm. I’m going to say Aaron.

    I would not be shocked to see siobhan in the bottom 3, but I dont think it will happen(maybe if they dont specifically say bottom 3 vote getters and wanna put her there for shock value). I think there is a far greater chance Mike will be a repeat bottom 3.

  28. Mtlfan:
    04/14/2010 at 2:52 pm
    i’m not sure how it works this week regarding the pool.
    Let’s say Andrew and Aaron are going home tonight..

    What gives me the more points?

    1) putting all the 20 on Andrew (or Aaron)
    or
    2) putting 10 points on Andrew and 10 on Aaron

    any answer anyone? …well maybe my question sounds stupid because i missed something obvious :)

    I just hope the show won’t open with the words ‘shocking results’

  29. I don’t get into the pool, but if I had organized a pool, there would have been 20 points last week for getting MIKE correct and ignore the judges save. This week I would have had 20 points but you have to pick the TOP 8 bootee. Either that or I would accept the save and not award any points for last week and have 40 points this week split 20-20 for each bootee.

    I also think some posters are not remembering how it goes tonight. If like previous times, RYAN will immediately announce the bootee for TOP 9 (to replace MIKE who should have gone last week).

    Then he will build the B3 for this week and it is from that you would guess your last standing or whatever it is (like I said, I don’t do pools).

  30. This has been a season of surprises, not unlike Season 3 when the 3 best divas — Fantasia, Latoya and Jennifer were in the Bottom 3.

    It won’t be Mike because his fans are going to do their darndest to make sure he stays because of what happened last week.

    I’ll go out on a limb and say that it will be Andrew, Aaron and Casey in the bottom 3.

  31. I think it’s too hard to call for tonight. I just hope Tim is safe!!! (Yes, I am voting for Tim.) Here’s what he had to say about Ryan last night. Maybe the judges decided to quit throwing the bus at him and just let Ryan do it.

  32. I’m gonna guess that Andrew is safe. And going home are two of the following Siobhan/Tim/Aaron.

  33. I’ll go out on a limb and say that it will be Andrew, Aaron and Casey in the bottom 3.

    I’d actually pondered whether Casey may be in the bottom 3 or not. His performance was kinda meh, but he did go last, I wasnt sure whether that was enough to over come the mehness of it or not. He’s another one I wouldnt be surpised to see in the bottom 3.

    Pretty sure aaron and andrew(bye bye bye) will be, 3rd slot is such a toss up really.

  34. Going home …. Andrew and Aaron

    I don’t understand how Andrew has gotten this far.

    Casey didn’t impress me at all. I would put him in the bottom 3.

  35. i’m not sure how it works this week regarding the pool.
    Let’s say Andrew and Aaron are going home tonight..

    What gives me the more points?

    1) putting all the 20 on Andrew (or Aaron)
    or
    2) putting 10 points on Andrew and 10 on Aaron

    There’s no difference, you get 20 points either way. It’s just a matter of whether you feel safer splitting points or putting them all in one basket.

    Now as for the “last person safe” bonus question, I read that to mean the last person who Ryan says “you’re safe” to in the bleachers, but I could be wrong.

  36. Interesting that Mike is showing at the very top of Dialidol, above Crystal. Katie is showing at the bottom. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her go, MJ has right idea, Aaron fans know he is in trouble, and he has got a fanbase, and Katie was good enough not to be slayed by the judges so fans don’t feel they need to save her? I hope it isn’t Tim, words I thought would never come out of my mouth this season, but I really liked his performances the past two weeks. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a surprise in the bottom three like Siobhan or Lee.

    I know it isn’t always very accurate but Aaron is showing ahead of Tim, Siobhan, Andrew and Katie! He seems like a nice kid with a pleasant voice but he hasn’t had any performances I can even remember. Time to go. And thanks MJ, DOH! I am pretty sure it will be Andrew too, thanks for reminding me I could put all points on him! lol, I was waffling how to split them. However I am sooo low in the pools this year it doesn’t matter. Damn you Andrew!

  37. So I am actually thinkng that Big Mike was not the bottom vote getter last week. I think they pulled a group bottom 3. No one told him he was the bottom, Ryan just told him he was going to have to sing. The whole judges thing was scripted as well. Simon never told Mike he was saved. He only told him he will be back next week. If you go back and listen, you will see that they all picked their words carefully. I am guessing it was for publicity vs DWTS publicity blitz going on. I am thinking one of the girls (Katie probably) is in much trouble this week…..removing tinfoil hat

  38. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a surprise in the bottom three like Siobhan or Lee.

    Lee was in the death spot #4…isn’t that the spot that is booted out the most? I’m worried for him and the judges have used their save.

  39. Sunny D that was a very original and entertaining conspiracy theory, congrats!

  40. This is truly the oddest AI year yet! I am going to go back and play Ryan’s comments backwards…..wait…that must be it.

  41. Yesterday i voted for everyone but Casey an crystal

    I hope Aaron doesn’t leave

    I still LOVE Andrew and even liked his performance last night but he’s leaving

    I’m putting all my points on him

    but I think Aaron and Andrew are leaving ):

  42. I listented to Tim with my eyes closed and I have to say he wasn’t as good as everybody is saying…but then again I don’t have a producer/music ear that is that tight.

    I thought Siobhan sounded better then the judges gave her credit for, as well as Andrew.

    I noticed that if you listen to the tone of Andrew and Tim’s voices you can hear the same tone when Alex Lambert sings, so it makes me wonder whey the judges didn’t want Alex on the show. He sings better then both of these fellows because he has a very nice tone, and it only takes one of him to make he both of them look good. (Did this make any sense – LOL!!!)

    For me, last night the best vocal was Lee.

  43. I admire Tim’s fortitude, but I thought his voice faded out a couple of times during his song. I really thought introducing him as “Turban” . . . sucked. He deserves at least the respect of a normal intro, IMO. I also thought it was rude for Ryan to take the attention away from Tim performing by dancing in the aisle.

    So, I think Andrew and Ryan should be eliminated.

  44. When they showed all the contestants talking about each other last week, Lee and Andrew made me think of Bert and Ernie. I agree with MJ, that Bert’s finally going to get his own room.

    I think Aaron is the other one to go home tonight, but I’ve been putting all my pool points on him for weeks and wrong every time. Katie would be my guess to round out the bottom three.

  45. MJ~
    Interesting that you didn’t have Siobhan in the mix. I’m a bit concerned about her after last night’s performance and the judges’ comments. I totally agree about Andrew. His time has come. I’m like you and indecisive about the second contestant. Katie does seem to fall in the bottom, whereas Siobhan seems to have escaped that plight. You are most likely correct in that Katie just doesn’t have that fan base out there voting for her. The teens seem to be voting for Tim. I’m wondering if they are splitting votes between him and Aaron……

  46. Mtlfan:
    04/14/2010 at 2:52 pm
    i’m not sure how it works this week regarding the pool.
    Let’s say Andrew and Aaron are going home tonight..

    What gives me the more points?

    1) putting all the 20 on Andrew (or Aaron)
    or
    2) putting 10 points on Andrew and 10 on Aaron

    I think both options would give you the exact same amount of points.. Not positive, but that definitely seems right.

  47. awww i don’t want Aaron to leave he’s such a sweetheart. :) I kinda like his performance last night.
    Now I really hope Andrew goes home tonight I am sick of his wierd performances. I’d love to see Katie go but she probably won’t. :( I’d HATE to see Siobhan go I actually liked her performance last night. ok there’s my opinion.

  48. If by chance BOTH Tim and Katie are gone tonight, it would be interesting to see what happens with Aaron. He’s got the country fans vote and he wouldn’t be splitting tween votes with anyone else.

  49. DarkGlamour17: awww i don’t want Aaron to leave he’s such a sweetheart.

    Yeah, Aaron seems like a very nice young man. But, unfortunately, for him, AI is not a sweetheart competition. At least not yet. :)

    ETA: Or maybe it is. I just don’t know anymore. Confused. :(

  50. Does anyone know if both weeks scores will come into factor for tonights boots? Seems like that would be the fair and logical thing to do…

  51. I’ll personally be disappointed if Aaron goes home tonight. Of everyone in the group, he was perhaps the only singer to embrace the “Elvis” persona. Sure, he wasn’t one-hundred pitch perfect (the vocal was mediocre at best and some the the shimmying was more hilarious than cute), but comparatively speaking, he tried and somewhat succeeded in the area that Adam Lambert was there to glorify: PERFORMANCE.

  52. The thing about Ryan dancing during Tim’s performance — it wasn’t just disrespectful. It could have totally thrown Tim off his game. Good that he held it together and didn’t start laughing.

  53. Although some are not the best singers in the group, they’re nice, or have nice back stories, and it’s sad to see them go. But it is what it is, and two must go. I would pick from the contestants with the smallest chance of winning or being in the finals. That would probably mean Andrew, Aaron and ??? Siobhan could go either way. Some see her as having a great voice, or the potential for a greatness based on earlier performances, and some, think she’s OTT, and even if they liked her early on, see her faltering. Mike, gets more praise by the judges than sometimes I think he deserves but was good last night and as MJ said, will get the save-Mike votes from his fans. Katie is improving and can sing, and then there’s the tween girl vote. Some talk about not liking her, not special, etc. but who knows? Perceived improvement on AI usually bodes well for contestants. Tim, same boat as Katie in a lot of respects. People see him as likeable, a tween draw and he’s improving. I been reading and hearing mixed things on Crystal of all contestants. Most think she’s the best, most consistent singer, but may be doing the same thing each week. Again not improving, could be a shocker down the road for her, and her style isn’t mainstream. Also voters may think she’s safe and not vote. Casey should be fine. He wasn’t as good as last week, but I think he has his fan base strong. He’s a little country-ish, bluesy rockish, and he’s eye candy. Lee, keeps improving and has a really good recording voice. If he doesn’t get too much pimping, he could win IMHO. So, looks like Aaron and Andrew going home with possibly Katie or Siobhan in the bottom 3.

  54. I thought Aaron’s peformance was good in the fact that he did show us a different side uptempo and moving around more. He really has tried to take the judges and mentors advice and does seem willing to take risks by singing some big songs.

  55. Andrew (for sure) and Aaron……or Big Mike :) Which would please me so.

  56. I’ll personally be disappointed if Aaron goes home tonight. Of everyone in the group, he was perhaps the only singer to embrace the “Elvis” persona.

    There is a big difference between doing an Elvis song your own way and trying to do Elvis doing one of his songs. The former is the goal and what Crystal, Casey, Lee and Mike achieved. Bon-Bon and Andrew did this too, slthough I question how succesfully. The latter is mediocre or bad karaoke and what is what we got rom Aaron, Katie and Tim. All my opinion, of course.

  57. That reminds me, I need to tweet @ryanseacrest and tell him how douchey I found his behavior last night.

  58. Sure, Aaron is learning through the experience of being on Idol, as are all the contestants. But even though he seems like a nice enough guy, he’s more at the caliber of a high school singing competition than he is ready to be a big star/recording artist/performer. There are great singers in some of those shows, but they’re still not ready for primetime. Neither is Aaron. That fact does not take anything away from either his character or his singing ability. He just does not have ‘it’ right now. Last night as I was trying to watch his performance, I got strong cruise ship vibes. Real world experience with various performing gigs for a couple of years could do wonders for his performance skills. Age and experience really do matter. It’s why I wish Idol raised the age limit instead of decreased it. Wrong direction IMHO.

  59. Maybe the judges decided to quit throwing the bus at him and just let Ryan do it.

    One thing you could count on with Ryan (and Kat on SYTYCD) was that they were always on the contestant’s side. Ryan has become unpredictable–sometimes he shows up, sometimes he doesn’t. There have been many nights this season that he made much more uncomfortable, something this group just doesn’t need . I have always really liked him but wonder if he has been doing this too long.

  60. I still love Seacrest, even if he was a little weird last night.

    My guess for who’s hitting the seal: Andrew, NOTArchie and Katie. With Andrew and Katie going home. But, I’ve split my points – 10 on Andrew and 10 on NOTArchie. Because I’m deep in the 800’s in the pool, so there’s no point in me actually trying to move up. Therefore, I have decided that I will put at least 10 points on NOTArchie every week until he goes home. I need that kid off my TV.

  61. I sense the curse of the front-runner is going to start kicking in. The problem with ,say, Crystal is that she started out at ‘5’. So when she maintains a healthy ‘5’ week after week, it starts to get predictible and boring. Now, someone like Tim Urban started at ‘0’ and is now at about a ‘3’. It’s fun to watch him grow and develop each week. Everyone loves a Cinderella story.

    While I think Andrew, who’s gone from hero to zero, is a given for the boot, I’d worry that someone like Casey or Sioban might fall through the cracks as well.

  62. Since they combine scores for the two weeks it’s really hard to tell who is going home. Even so, I think Andrew is a goner.

  63. bridget:
    04/14/2010 at 4:46 pm
    I admire Tim’s fortitude, but I thought his voice faded out a couple of times during his song. I really thought introducing him as “Turban” . . . sucked. He deserves at least the respect of a normal intro, IMO. I also thought it was rude for Ryan to take the attention away from Tim performing by dancing in the aisle.

    So, I think Andrew and Ryan should be eliminated.

    I so totally agree!! I hope Ryan got some feedback on his unpleasantness

  64. X-traspecial:
    04/14/2010 at 6:34 pm
    Since they combine scores for the two weeks it’s really hard to tell who is going home. Even so, I think Andrew is a goner.

    They combine scores on the save? doesn’t that automatically put the saved person back at the bottom of the pile?

  65. They don’t combine scores. I never heard of that. They didn’t mention that last season either when they saved Matt. They don’t combine scores. Those votes from last week don’t count. Sad but true.

  66. They don’t combine scores. I never heard of that. They didn’t mention that last season either when they saved Matt. They don’t combine scores. Those votes from last week don’t count. Sad but true.

    they did it in season 6….after idol gives back, they decided NOT to eliminate anyone BUT they did combine the results for that week with those from the following week.

  67. Since they combine scores for the two weeks it’s really hard to tell who is going home. Even so, I think Andrew is a goner.

    They did for the first IGB (season 6?) but not for any of the “saves”. They just throw out last week’s and start again.

  68. When they had IGB before, didn’t they have a free pass that week and no one went home so the following week 2 people went home and they combined votes from both weeks? Maybe I’m thinking of something else.

  69. I am not going out completely on the limb here, but the scores are not combined after a save.

    The one time I remember them combining scores I think was back when the first IGB show ran and they did not boot anyone. I think they did not actually announce the loser and so on and simply said the votes would carry forward to the next week. I could be wrong on this one.

    But when they saved MATT, I am sure the votes did not carry forward – makes no sense or you would carry votes forward from ALL weeks and contestants would go home based on lowest CUMULATIVE votes.

  70. LOL – scores of us are all typing in the same thing at once – LOL

  71. How I think the voting went:

    1. Crystal
    2. Mike
    3. Casey
    4. Lee
    5. Tim
    6. Siobhan
    7. Aaron
    8. Katie
    9. Andrew

    Katie & Andrew at the bottom.

    Hopefully I’ll be right for a 5th straight week :)

  72. I agree that Tim has improved. By the scale used for everyone else, he’s gone from 0 to charitably 1.5. He’s still nowhere near ready to record a great album or headline a tour, unless its for screaming teen girls who wouldn’t be able to hear him through their screams anyways. I think Slezak hit it right on the head when he equated Tim’s success last night to nailing a couple of single axels in figure skating (versus quads which are truly impressive). Or watching your kid manage to not fall apart in the local talent show. That shouldn’t be the bar we’re setting for American Idol. This whole notion of a separate bar for Tim is all kinds of wrong. He should have the same bar as everyone else, in which case he’d be gone by now. I think what keeps him in this competition is a combination of his exaggerated belief in himself coupled with his dazzling toothpaste-advertising smile and teenybop-worthy hair. That, and he’s great comic relief. The problem is, he’s been on the stage so long that people are taking that comedy seriously. It’s like if Norman Gentle had made the Top 12 and if he started to believe his alter ego was real.

  73. The one time I remember them combining scores I think was back when the first IGB show ran and they did not boot anyone. I think they did not actually announce the loser and so on and simply said the votes would carry forward to the next week. I could be wrong on this one.

    You are right about them not announcing the loser during IGB S6, but there is one other time they combined the vote totals for two weeks. Way back in S2, Corey got disqualified before the performance show. Because they still wanted to have a results show, they revealed who the bottom 2 were and then said they wouldn’t eliminate anybody, but would roll over the vote totals to the next week. The fans of the two in the bottom voted like fiends and poor Charles went out the next week as a result even though he wasn’t the worst of the pack either week.

  74. Hopefully I’ll be right for a 5th straight week

    I hope you are right, too. Honestly, as long as it’s NOT Teflon Tim, I don’t care who goes.

  75. You are right about them not announcing the loser during IGB S6, but there is one other time they combined the vote totals for two weeks.

    LOL – always nice to be corrected by a long-time fan. I did not start watching AI until the last three weeks of S2. I thought Clay had it in the bag with BOTW and Rueben was a one-trick pony. So then Rueben won anyway, but Clay blew him away in terms of success in the recording industry.

    I should have stopped watching then I suppose. Ha Ha.

    I am kidding because they unearthed some great talent in past seasons, but lately it is downhill IMO.

  76. Aaron shouldn’t leave…

    Hopefully I’ll be right for a 5th straight week

    Wow-that’s impressive,Im failing in the pool,Im like ranked 400-something…

  77. Season 9 is being graded on a curve

    And Crystal is like the smart Asian kid that kills the curve for all the other slackers (no disrespect meant, obviously)

  78. luvadamlambert:
    04/14/2010 at 7:15 pm
    Season 9 is being graded on a curve

    FTW!!! Good one.

  79. Katie & Andrew at the bottom.

    Hopefully I’ll be right for a 5th straight week

    Just the person’s picks I was waiting to see. Thanks Tony. :)

  80. I’m putting it on Katie and Andrew.

    I’d be delighted for both to leave as well.

    We’re not going to get any 30 minute results shows this season are we? I sure miss those.

  81. ok this is from Cory the warm up comic

    Opening Comedian for AI RT corylive: @adamlambert will b doing one song but it’s like an entire concert

    Sounds AWESOME

  82. This is Cory’s full tweet (@corylive):

    @adamlambert will b doing one song but it’s like an entire concert in one!! INSANE!! 9 minutes ago via Tweetie

    You know, I’ve been thinking all week that Adam might do a medley or really switch things up somehow mid-song. After this tweet from Cory, I’m goin’ with that theory. :-)

    Re: eliminations– I put most of my money on Andrew, followed by Aaron, Katie, and Tim. I’m smack dab in the middle of the pool, ranked in the mid 600s. Woot!

  83. This also from Cory:

    # Watchin my boy @adamlambert rehearse for tonight’s show. One word…SICK!!!! 37 minutes ago via Tweetie

    Can’t wait!

  84. cwm did you see I posted the spork last night?? i think it got lost in the shuffle hahaha

  85. I agree that Andrew will probably leave. I’m probably the most disappointed by him because I liked him so much early on. My hope is that Tim will be the “shock” boot. He reminds me of Haley in season 6 who wore shorts to show off her great legs and stayed beyond her talent. With Tim it’s his smile or whatever. I guess I’m immune, lol. My guess is that Aaron or Katie will also go.

  86. Another tweet from Cory

    So here’s the deal @adamlambert – not a medley but trust, a new version of…..and visually INCREDIBLE!!!

  87. Ok, sounds like I’m wrong on the medley, but I’m still believing that Adam is going to totally switch things up. Because that’s what he does. So well.

    And yes, smeggs, I did see your spork yesterday — at the very top of the thread! I really appreciated that. Beautiful homage to Adam’s appearance on Elvis week. :-)

  88. cwm
    I am having visions of a acoustic WLL version of WWFM…..I can dream can’t I :)

  89. Wow-that’s impressive,Im failing in the pool,Im like ranked 400-something…

    I would have risen to #1 overall in the pool but I went against my gut instinct and selected Tim to go last week (even though I posted that Michael would be leaving).

    But I got all the bonus points and rose to #21. Never again will I second guess myself! :) If I’m going to be wrong, I want it to be because I was clueless, not because I had a change of heart. lol

  90. smeggs… Not out of the realm of possibility! :-) He did it for Mad World at River Rock. I was also thinking that he might start out WWFM quiet and acoustic and then switch to plugged in and intense.

  91. I’ve got all 20 pts on Andrew so I’d like to apologize to all of you in advance. I’ve been utter poison this year with the pool and me picking Andrew will inevitably mean Crystal and Lee will be leaving us tonight. Seriously, I SUCK this year. I can’t even bear to look at the standings.

  92. Wow Tony– #21?? I am not worthy! (Says she in the mid 600’s) That’s amazing. I can’t imagine how those of you in the top tier can be so clairvoyant.

  93. I’m going with Andrew and Aaron. I can’t see another girl going just yet. Top7 with 2 girls left? wait, who was the last girl to go before allison last year? Lil at Top 7? hmm.. I don’t know!

  94. movin2thabeet:
    04/14/2010 at 6:57 pm
    I agree that Tim has improved. By the scale used for everyone else, he’s gone from 0 to charitably 1.5. He’s still nowhere near ready to record a great album or headline a tour, unless its for screaming teen girls who wouldn’t be able to hear him through their screams anyways. I think Slezak hit it right on the head when he equated Tim’s success last night to nailing a couple of single axels in figure skating (versus quads which are truly impressive). Or watching your kid manage to not fall apart in the local talent show. That shouldn’t be the bar we’re setting for American Idol. This whole notion of a separate bar for Tim is all kinds of wrong. He should have the same bar as everyone else, in which case he’d be gone by now. I think what keeps him in this competition is a combination of his exaggerated belief in himself coupled with his dazzling toothpaste-advertising smile and teenybop-worthy hair. That, and he’s great comic relief. The problem is, he’s been on the stage so long that people are taking that comedy seriously. It’s like if Norman Gentle had made the Top 12 and if he started to believe his alter ego was real.

    This is the best comment I have read yet! Thank you for saying so much of what I wanted to say! I will only say that I don’t want to celebrate mediocrity! All of the contestants should be measured by the same criteria. Listening to Kara and Simon rake Siobhan over the coals last night, it felt as though they were holding her to some impossibly high standard, one that doesn’t even exist.

    My sincere thanks for telling it like it is and keeping it real. As far as who goes home tonight, I think Andrew is a sure bet. As for the second one, that gets a little trickier. For Aaron’s sake, I am almost hoping that he goes, because I don’t think he can handle much more of this. But it certainly could be Katie. She did great last week and gave a good performance last night, but I just don’t know if she is really connecting with enough people. I am going to assume that Tim will continue to benefit from extremely low expectations and survive for another week.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.