American Idol 9 Top 16 – Who is Going Home? Plus, My AOL Televsion Recap

UPDATE: Ryan Seacrest just tweeted: “At idol set now, contestants doing some michael buble at the top tonight!” Ryan also tweeted that the song is “Haven’t Met U Yet”

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I had a much easier time picking the girls than the guys this week. I’ll still probably be WRONG, but what the hay.

  • Read my AOL Television recap of last night’s show HERE.

I think Paige Miles is totally toast. She’s been on the cusp every week, and she really really really needed to bring it this week to get folks to pick up that phone to vote. Since she did the absolute opposite of that, she’s out of here. I also think the producers’ heavy pimping of the two male African American contestants last night was in part because of Paige’s elimination.

Can’t y’all imagine Elton John’s head exploding into a million little chunks if the Top 12 featured no African Americans? That would not be good. Big Mike Lynche has more than earned his spot in the 12, so no worries. Todrick Hall? Maybe not so much.

Lacey Brown will be the other girl eliminated. While she totally brought it this week, I think it was too little too late. Katelyn Epperly and Katie Stevens are in danger this week, but I think they’ve developed fan bases that will see them through their rough performances.

The guys game has completely changed after last night’s show, so I feel like I’m flying blind in my picks a little this week.

I think I’m gonna go with Aaron Kelly and Lee Dewyze. Aaron didn’t connect with the Lonestar song, despite what Simon said last night. And I think he’s splitting the tweeny votes with Alex and Tim. The judges have been pimping Lee, but I don’t think America is impressed with his pitchy tentative performances. He went first unfortunately which works against him as well. Did you guys see Lee’s sad little face when Ryan called out his numbers? Dude knows he’s in trouble. I’m hoping he survives, because I like his voice.

Having made my picks, I would not rule out an OMG shocking boot, that would find former frontrunner, Andrew Garcia without a spot in the 12. He has, unfortunately, turned out to be something of a one-trick pony, and with the judges hammering on him to live up to past glories (Oh, if only Andrew could be graded on a curve like Tim Urban, who will get through tonight, probably, despite 3 medicore performances) viewers could be turning away in serious numbers.

Alex Lambert got the sh*tty clip edit at the end of the show, and the death spot in the performance order, so I would not be entirely surprised if he went home tonight.

Who do you think will go home tonight?

About mj santilli 33688 Articles
Founder and editor of mjsbigblog.com, home of the awesomest fan community on the net. I love cheesy singing shows of all kinds, whether reality or scripted. I adore American Idol, but also love The Voice, Glee, X Factor and more!

133 Comments

  1. I was checking out some tweets from last year’s contestants. Matt is very impressed with both Michael and Todrick. A few weeks ago, Adam tweeted that Todrick has mad talent and he is also impressed with Casey and Andrew.

  2. I think Todrick and Aaron will be going home, but who knows; Idol is always unpredictable.

  3. I think it may be: Paige and Lacey going home but I would rather it be Paige and Katie. But I think Katie may be getting a lot of votes from her school and her region: Ie her whole school district could be voting for her for hours.

    Guys: I am really not sure. It could be any of the following: Andrew, Lee, Todrick,Alex , or Aaron. ( you have a good point that the tween vote seems to be split between Alex, Aaron, and Tim).
    I am reading where the young girls like Tim and Alex for the cute factor.

    But I would be shocked if Paige does not get cut as that one seems obvious. But for the guys, not sure at all. They could be the surprise factor.

  4. Matt even tweeted he cannot wait to meet Todrick and admires his vocal skills. So I am guessing that means Matt is performing tonight on Idol results?

  5. I think two of my faves are in trouble tonight. Lee was good, not great and sang first, so he can be in trouble. Andrew was also just alright and in the middle of some alright performances, so he could be forgotten as well.

    The teeny boppers might not of voted as diligently for Aaron and Tim because they got some compliments this week, so I’m hoping one of them will go home.

  6. Does Andrew has a big fanbase this early on? As the judges have not been pleased with any of his performances since Hollywood? I guess it depends in some of of Andrew’s votes are split with another contestant as to whether he is Ok for not?

    Our local Fox affiliate is telling us to vote for Aaron because he is the local boy. I think Aaron needs more experience and he should have waited to audiition for another year or two.

  7. I have my points on Katie, Paige, Alex (sob!) and Aaron.

    I think that Lacey and Todrick are the only other contestants even remotely in danger and would be really surprised if anyone outside of these six went home. (especially Lee – I don’t think people forgot he was last week’s “the one to beat” that quickly)

  8. One of the boys with an ‘A’ name needs to go because I can’t keep track of Andew, Aaron and Alex. Despite them all being different, I always have to think about who is who by name..

  9. My predictions for who’s going home –

    Girls: Paige and Katie (alternate – Lacey)
    Boys: Aaron and Todrick (unfortunately) (alternate – Andrew)

  10. I think the obvious choices are Paige and Aaron. The top of the indangered males would be Andrew, Toddrick, and Lee…Andrew has been the most arrogant with shamelessly calling out to his fans and begging for votes, so my points are on him.

    The girls might loose Katie, Lacey, Lilly, Katelyn and it is hard to pick which of those might be going. If I go back to the arrogance factor, then Katie and Katelyn are in trouble. I am guessing it will be Katie by a coin flip

  11. I really have no idea what is going to go down with the boys. I want to say Aaron and Todrick, but I don’t know and I fear for little Alex. He did well enough last night, but with the fact that Tim is being rewarded for not sucking and the fact he was given the death spot, I’m not sure. I’d feel better about his chances if he had gone later in the evening. But I agree Lee and Andrew might be vulnerable too.

    My biggest issue with picking is I’m not still not sure what kind of support people like Katie and Andrew are carrying over from Hollywood week.

  12. at this point I think anyone could be going home. (Except Crystal AND I really hope Siobhan stays!)

    Boys- Aaron, Todrick, Andrew, or Tim.
    Girls- Lacey, Paige, Katelyn, or Katie
    What’s sad is I can’t really remember what these people performed! :\

  13. Adam tweeted that Todrick has mad talent and he is also impressed with Casey and Andrew.

    Wooo Hooo!! If Adam likes Andrew and Casey, that must mean something. Still rooting for these 2 to stay!!! I know alot of fans who voted thousands for them!!

  14. 1. I don’t think Elton John’s head would explode; also, I don’t think of any good reason for you to bring in his name.
    3.There are african americans on the program every year. Two won the title. Reuban won the 2nd year and Fantasia won a couple years later.
    The last spot is not necessarily the ‘pimp’ spot. Last season Adam Lambert performed at 9:55 while fans of others were dialing and voting and Adam’s fans were busy watching. Yes, the phones were ‘working’ at 9:55pm and on one show that ran over, Adam was not even seen by those who recorded the program. By the way, Simon said in an early show, he’d hate to be the one to follow a performance by Adam, it would be to their disadvantage. So all the b.s. that he was pimped was pettiness.
    People vote for who they like and remember liking or not liking their performance when they are dialing.
    It’s all opinion anyway, I hate the vocal tone of Alex Lambert and Todrick Hall is awful. First,middle,last-dosen’t matter.
    But we are all individuals, so we naturally have our own opinions.
    There is one female and one male I look forward to seeing every week. The rest-all of them-are bores. I hear better singers at the food court at the local mall.

  15. I wonder who the John Park fans will vote for this week? I really don’t know the answer to that question, but Big Mike gave a great ballad performance, so possibly him.

    I’m less concerned about Jermaine’s fans, because I don’t think he had that many, although if I were them I might vote for Big Mike this week because he had the big voice and sang about something beautiful (and performed very well).

    I think the only guy who has truly earned his spot in the Top 12 based on cumulative performances is Big Mike. Casey is eye candy for the older ladies and does have a good voice, and I suppose that Tim is eye candy for the younger ladies (but doesn’t have a good voice). Other than that, it’s a crap shoot about who goes home. I do think it could be “shock boot” night for the boys.

  16. Ideally, we’d lose Paige, Aaron, Katie, and Tim. But alas, that won’t happen. Realistically, I’m hoping for Paige/Lacey, cuz I think Katelyn has more potential than Lacey, and Aaron and… hmm. Andrew? I agree that Lee and Alex may be in danger, but I like them both more than Andrew or Tim. I dunno…

    martha:
    03/11/2010 at 1:30 pm
    1. I don’t think Elton John’s head would explode; also, I don’t think of any good reason for you to bring in his name.

    I got the EJ reference and chuckled a little. It’s clearly a joke because I don’t think anyone thinks his head would literally explode. But yeah, my chuckle–that’s one reason? Anyway, what’s with all the bold?

  17. Does anyone know what does DialIdol have on their scores? Since it seems to be so unpredictable….maybe Dialidol has a clue. But i don’t trust it much though…

  18. Lee? I agree with all your other predictions MJ but Lee is, in my opinion, definitely a front runner now.

  19. Does anyone know what does DialIdol have on their scores? Since it seems to be so unpredictable….maybe Dialidol has a clue. But i don’t trust it much though…

    The DI score has Paige, Katie, Todrick and Lee going home. When looking at raw numbers, the lowest scores are Lacey, Paige, Andrew and Todrick.

    I’m not sure how reliable this site is, though, at this point in the competition.

    Edit – actually, the results indicate that anyone could go home because no one is “green”, but those are the contestants at the very bottom.

  20. There have been way more mediocre to poor performances than good ones, so its a wide open pool for picking those to be homeward bound. I’m going with:

    girls: Paige (for sure), and either Katie, Katelyn or Lacey
    boys: Aaron (for sure), and either Todrick, Andrew or Lee

  21. Seems many people have written Tim off and haven’t listened to him. He has quite a pleasant voice, and yes limited range, but he has chosen wisely the last two weeks. If he can continue to pick wisely he might surprize a lot of people. I guess it is still a wide open field since no one really has been stepping up, except maybe Big Mike. The girls just confuse me. I like Siobhan and Crystal, but I am not sure they can last to the end without becoming annoying. I won’t be surprized with anyone who gets voted out tonight

  22. I wonder who the John Park fans will vote for this week? I really don’t know the answer to that question, but Big Mike gave a great ballad performance, so possibly him.

    Seems quite possible to me that people who voted for one contestant, now departed, will just stop voting, at least for a while.

    I don’t see this group inspiring a lot of the “I must vote vote vote” at all costs — Oh, gosh, I have to protect so and so — etc. that I think tends to inspire a lot of the voting. Except for their home communities and peer groups, of course.

  23. Thanks J9BT!! Hmmmm never knew what the difference was between those DI scores and raw numbers, could never really understand that damn thing. LOL.

    I think the girls are pretty much a given…the boys…sigh.

  24. “” MayMirabella:
    03/11/2010 at 12:58 pm
    I was checking out some tweets from last year’s contestants. Matt is very impressed with both Michael and Todrick. A few weeks ago, Adam tweeted that Todrick has mad talent and he is also impressed with Casey and Andrew.”””

    Adam wasnt impressed with Todrick, BEFORE he performed a few weeks ago he said a friend told him he was good, since then he hasnt said anything good about him, thank goodness because Todrick is just awful!

  25. 1. I don’t think Elton John’s head would explode; also, I don’t think of any good reason for you to bring in his name

    Elton John called American Idol racist in Season 3 after three African American singers landed in the bottom 3. Yes, it was a joke.

  26. The DI score has Paige, Katie, Todrick and Lee going home. When looking at raw numbers, the lowest scores are Lacey, Paige, Andrew and Todrick.

    DI is pretty reliable, sometimes. DI is not capable of keeping tally on text votes or cellphone votes only on landline votes. Last week, DI was correct on their predictions on 3 out of 4 contestants, they had John, Jermaine, and Michelle within the bottom.

    My pick is Paige, Katie, Todrick, and Aaron. I like Aaron though.

  27. martha:
    03/11/2010 at 1:30 pm
    1. I don’t think Elton John’s head would explode; also, I don’t think of any good reason for you to bring in his name.
    3.There are african americans on the program every year. Two won the title. Reuban won the 2nd year and Fantasia won a couple years later.

    (edited to add, I see MJ just added a comment about it being Season 3, and 3 African American women being bottom 3 causing the racist comments from EJ – THAT’S it!!!!)

    Reuben won Season 2, Fantasia won Season 3.

    My hope for tonight is that Aaron, Todrick, Tim, Katie, and Paige all go home. (yea I realize they’re only booting 4, but a girl can dream)

    My fear for tonight is that none of the above are going home.

  28. I’ve decided to go with Lee as well, though it was a very difficult decision. I’m basing it mainly on the fact that he was given no screentime before the semifinals, so I think the audience has bonded with him the least among the guys that are left. But he’s actually my fave among the WGWG’s.

    I’ve changed my picks about ten times today already though. Stop me before I change them again! They’re the same as MJ’s now, Paige, Lacey, Lee, and Aaron.

  29. Elton John threw a tantrum over African Americans being voted off Idol. Season 3, after LaToya and Jennifer left I think?

    Giggle….wonder if Mr Elton John had anything to say then about last week’s elimination? 3 African-americans and 1 Asian. Wouldn’t that be ethnic cleansing to him?

  30. I picked Aaron and Andrew and Paige and Katelyn to leave. I think the only guys that are guarranted safe are Mike, Casey and Tim. If Tim can stay after a terrible performance like Apologize than he can survive anything. I am afraid especially for Alex since he is splitting votes with Aaron. I am sure the girls I like most will make top 12 so no worries there.

  31. I think Paige, Lacey, Aaron and Todrick will be the ones to leave tonight. I am hoping Alex’s very solid performance of Trouble can overcome being put in the #2 spot. Love this kid.

  32. This is made more difficult for me by not watching, but I’m going with Paige, Lacey, Aaron and Todrick.

    Last week I only got half right, we’ll see how I do this week.

  33. My two word response to those worried about Alex Lambert singing in the “death spot” that is second: Kris Allen. He was put second a ridiculous number of times last year to the point where TWOP considered naming his thread 1-866-IDOLS-02. True talent will win out in the end regardless of where in the order someone is.

    My picks to go: Paige and Lacey, with Katie and/or Katelyn on the bubble. Todrick and shock-boot Andrew, with Alex and/or Aaron ont he bubble.

  34. I love Todrick. But sadly i think its the end for him:-( I think his vocals are just awesome. Sure he’s pitchy everyone oonce in a while, but the dudes got SERIOUS chops and his ceiling is higher than all of the other guys if you ask my opinion. Plus, there hasnt been oone male performance that has been pitch perfect so we cant play that game anymore [see adam lambert].

    Paige is the only shoe-in for going home. And Big Mike and Crystal are the only shoe-ins for making the top 12. I wouldnt be surprised if the other 13 contestants went thru or went home. Its anyones guess.

    I find it pathetic how since Andrew started so strong and has made little to no improvement, the judges look at him as lees of an asset than time, since tim started absolutely HORENDOUS and finished totally mediocre last night.

    I want lacy gone because she doesnt deserve to be here anymore if you ask me. Same with Tim.

    In a perfect Idol-World: Paige, Lacy, Tim, and Aaron would go home (Aaron being flexible tho cuz i do like him)………But i picked Todrick (sad face), Aaron, Paige, and i still cant decide between Katie, Katelyn and Lacey. I REALLY REALLY WANT KATELYN to stay!!!!!! i loved her first two performances. her coldplay was in my top 3 performances of the semis. luvvvved it!

    overall this season is turning into season 6 for me. im really lacking interest in it. i was enthralled with seasons 7 and 8 because DA and Adam had me completely excited to see them perform each week and always delieved.

    If Big Mike is the so-called “front-Runner” of american idol, then AI has turned into a sad, sad, boring show……

  35. I realize nobody is safe on DI, nor is it reliable, but what does it mean (supposedly) when somebody has a high rate of busy signals. For instance, Alex’s busy percentages are way higher than anyone else’s yet he is near the bottom in Raw Votes. Though I’m not sure I’m buying their Raw Votes thing since it has Big Mike fairly low down the list as well.

  36. Ruben won Season 2, Fantasia won Season 3.

    But they are often thrown under the bus as supposedly being two of the least successful winners. I can’t ever figure out how much race plays into Idol.

    Mike and Crystal are the only two that have been consistently good, so they should rest easy. Everyone else has a chance of being booted.

  37. I am at a complete loss here. For the guys, the only people I saw buzzed about on Twitter last night were Mike and Tim, so I think those 2 are pretty safe. After that, I would think Casey is probably alright (not fantastic, but it is hard to imagine him coming in one of the last 2 slots). After that, I have no whatsoever clue.

    I’m thinking maybe Lee has more of a fanbase that we think since they stuck him first and they seem to like him. So maybe he’s okay? No clue. I think Aaron is pretty vulnerable, but Alex is too for that matter, and so is Andrew. Not a good night for the As I think. Todrick would have to stink pretty bad to blow that next to last slot, and I don’t think he was bad enough. I think I will spread my points among the As and see what happens.

    The girls… ugh. Crystal, Lily and Sibbohan are safe. I think Didi puled it out. Any of the rest could go, IMO. Paige is almost certainly toastito. Out of the rest… I HOPE it is Lacey.. she was good but I think that’s the best we’ll ever get from her, and she too similar in voice to some of the others. I want Kaetlyn to stay because she’s versatile and has potential, but she could easily go too. Katie is pagenty but she’s better than Lacey. I don’t know who to put points on. My head says Paige and Kaetlyn but my heart wants Katie and Lacey.

  38. I am really iffy about where to put my points this week. I am confident about Paige going home, and that’s about it. I can easily see Lacey, Katie, or Katelyn being the second one to leave. I’m hoping it’s Katie, but my guess right now is Lacey. I don’t think she’s going to manage to squeak by a third time, and the vote splitting is probably hurting her the most right now.

    For the guys, I could honestly see anyone but Mike going home. I think Casey James is probably safe too, but I wouldn’t be that shocked if he did leave. My guesses at the moment are Todrick and Aaron, but I’m really unsure about them. I’m just hoping that Alex squeaks by, since he’s easily my favorite of the guys. He’s wound up on my iPod 2 weeks in a row now, and I definitely want to hear him on a studio recording. I’m hoping he’ll get a makeover too. I bet votes are close for the men this week.

    If I could send any guys home it’d be Aaron and Tim, but Tim will probably scrape buy at least another week.

  39. I actually think there’s merit in Sir Elton John’s comments. I definitely notice a racial bias on the boards and the voting results, much of which is probably due to white folks dominating both. The fact that the Idol band tends more toward mainstream pop flavor and doesn’t seem able of capturing a true R&B or hiphop sound exasperates the demographic phenomenon. It seems to me that people of color, especially African-Americans are judged on a different scale by voters (not the judges). Just like the glass ceiling for women in the workplace, they have to do much better than their peers. A Tim Urban and an Alex Lambert are oohed and awed over on their cute factor and potential, glossing over their complete lack of stage presence or control of wonky notes, while a Michael Lynche or a Todrick Hall are raked over the coals if their performance isn’t pitch perfect, ignoring their controlled stage presence and confidence in their material. There is definitely a different standard being used. The voting curve that MJ mentioned, I believe, has a racial bias, even if its just based on who one finds attractive. Maybe its alot that, since I often see more comments about appearance than vocal abilities.

  40. Assuming Paige, Todrick, Andrew going home tonight, it makes it 3 out 4 are minorities. Or 7 of 8 in the last 2 weeks, 9 of 12 total!!! Unbelievable. Think about it: only 1 of 10 minorities makes the top 12, but 11 of 14 whites make it.

  41. I am hoping that people felt scared enough to vote for Alex, because I like his tone and agree w/ MJ that he would sound incredible on the Idol studio mp3s.

    But with the #2 slot and the really inane judging last night, I feel like he’s going to get robbed. So it’ll probably be him and, I guess, Aaron/Todrick. Wish it could be Andrew though–dude has nothing left to offer.

    As for the girls, I’m uneasy about Lilly, but hope the pimp spot will do its magic. Katelyn’s in more trouble. She might get robbed, too, with Katie unjustly surviving. Paige may make it, too, and Lacey could be out.

    I don’t even know how to logically predict tonight.

  42. Paige, Katie, Todrick and Aaron

    Paige, Lacey, Lee and Andrew

    Which to choose…which to choose?

  43. I’m going to spread my points over three girls and three guys this week, hedge my bets. Paige, Lacey, Katie and Andrew, Todrick and Aaron.

  44. Just did a little research on the highest ranking for an African-American guy since Season 2 when Ruben Studdard won.

    Highest Ranking for African American Male on American Idol:
    Season 8: Ju’Not Joyner – Semifinals
    Season 7: Chikezie #10
    Season 6: Brandon Rogers #12
    Season 5: Gedeon McKinney #13-16
    Season 4: Anwar Robinson #7
    Season 3: George Huff #5

  45. I hope going home for the guys is Todrick Hall or Aaron Kelly and Tim Urban.

    I don’t know why so many people didn’t like Andrew Garcia this week he did good better other guys. Him and Lee are may 2 favorit. I want their cds now!!!

    Im not a big fan of Big Mike, yeah his a ok singer but idk about the real world i don’t see him doing very well.

  46. No way Lee is going home. He’s got the ‘base on AI boards it would appear. And of course, I don’t want him to go….more importantly!

  47. I would love it to be Paige, Katie, Todrick, and Aaron. They were the worst this week so bye-bye. But I can’t seem to help myself in giving Andrew second (and third, and fourths) chances.

  48. Giggle….wonder if Mr Elton John had anything to say then about last week’s elimination? 3 African-americans and 1 Asian. Wouldn’t that be ethnic cleansing to him?

    Well, he was talking about seeing three African-Americans who happen to be Fantasia, Latoya London, and Jennifer Hudson in the bottom three, not Haeley Vaughan and John Park. I think he would have a different view of that, since they didn’t give bang-on performances with majorly great voices every week.

    He wasn’t the only person who was shocked by seeing those three great voices (and we see the success both Fantasia and Jennifer had, and in some ways Latoya has an even *better* voice than those two do) together at the bottom. Many many people believed that they landed there because they split the “diva vote.” Sir E was just the only high-profile person to put it the way he did — i.e., that racism could perhaps be at the root of having the black diva vote be too small to throw enough votes to all three of those extremely talented singers and performers. Most of the time all three of them could mop the floor with everybody else in the competition, many of us — not just EJ — thought (well, except for my dear George Huff, lol!). And Jennifer had done a great job of one of his songs from Lion King — can’t remember whether it was Can You Feel the Love or Circle of Life or what…. Anyway, it *was* surprising to see those three at the bottom and to lose one early, to lots of people, not just to him, and he reacted. And I do think that they *did* split the diva vote — To what extent liking white people better because you’re one of them unconsciously plays into the small size of the diva vote, I don’t know. But I’m quite sure that most of us *do* often unconsciously favor people who are just like us over those who aren’t.

    As for this week — Well, I fear that Katie will stay, even though I think her staying means we’re going to have to watch a slow-motion trainwreck for a while, as she becomes more and more confused about what they want and sings like a Miss America girl every week. I fear Aaron will stay, too, although I’m happier with him staying than Katie — I think he gets it but is just a little young and insecure yet. And I fear Todrick will go, even though I’d like to have him stay and see if he can relax into this and do better; to me, he seems to be getting a clue as he listens to the judge’s comments and I think he did a lot better last night and is on the way up. Of the girls, I figure two of Paige, Lacey, and Katelyn will go. I could actually be happy with seeing any of them either go or stay, since I do think they all have potential, but I haven’t seen enough of it yet to be crazy about any of them. My personal feeling about the guys is that so few people may actually be voting that the boot-ees could be almost literally anyone.

  49. 1. I don’t think Elton John’s head would explode; also, I don’t think of any good reason for you to bring in his name

    Elton John called American Idol racist in Season 3 after three African American singers landed in the bottom 3. Yes, it was a joke.

    And, in fact, he reiterated his feelings again today on The View. He didn’t comment on this year though which is what they were discussing.

  50. I agree with MJ’s comment that since the elimination of Paige is almost a certainty, the producers want to make Todrick &/or Big Mike stay in the show, just to make sure there isn’t the appearance of racial bias.

    I didn’t think Todrick or Big Mike were as good as made out to be.
    But then again, I’m always more interested in the contestants who can show growth in their singing and performance skills. Reason why I’d rather vote (if I could) for contestants like Alex, Aaron and Lee.

  51. Elton John was on The View today and discussed AI after they showed some clips. They were talking about Michael and Aaron and EJ talked about the talent that Michael had–said he had the “voice of an angel”.

    I’ve watched AI long enough to know that these celeb comments are not entirely spontaneous.

    He also brought up the year Fanny won and talked about J Hud not making it far as well as another black female contestant and reiterated that it (America’s voting) was racist.

    Michael for the top 12, easy.

  52. I agree with MJ’s comment that since the elimination of Paige is almost a certainty, the producers want to make Todrick &/or Big Mike stay in the show, just to make sure there isn’t the appearance of racial bias.

    wow… one racial minority out of 12. Maybe next week is when Lily should have sang a change is gonna come…. lol

  53. Lee can’t go. He is the only guy this season worth watching! It has to be Aaron and either Andrew or Todrick! Right? I can’t imagine it will be Lee!

  54. Many many people believed that they landed there because they split the “diva vote.”

    I wonder if we are headed for that kind of thing again this year with so many of the best people being “coffee house” types? Can’t you see a week where 3 of the following 4 – Crystal, Lilly, Didi or Sibbohan – all land in the bottom? That would lead to people freaking the f out alright.

    This is so shaping up to be a season 3 or 6. Few frontrunners mostly clustered around the same type, surrounded by a whole lot of meh.

  55. wow… one racial minority out of 12. Maybe next week is when Lily should have sang a change is gonna come…. lol

    I’ll second your lol! Also the idea that Mike or Todrick were only being praised and therefore would only advance on this show due to some racial quota being met versus based on merit, well, that is just a repugnant contention. How about the flip premise – that Aaron, Tim or Alex are only advancing because of their color?

  56. I definitely agree that there were some years when african americans got sent packing too early. This year though? Really? Does anyone truly believe that Haeley, Paige or Jermaine still deserve to be there? Are there others who could have gone home before Jermaine? Maybe, – not in my book. Mediocre performances and a bad attitude = sent home.

    Mike Lynche is for sure safe for a long time. Todrick has been very uneven and he could be in trouble. You either love him or hate him. Does Tim deserve to go home first – absolutely. He will definitely buy some weeks because of the teen girl voting block. Neither Tim nor Todrick, is going to get anywhere near the finals, though, and tour spots don’t come into play until top 10 so until then, the order they are sent home in is of little consequence.

    All that said, I have changed my pool points 4 times today! GRRRRR! I think I have 2 or 3 points on lots of people because I can’t choose just 2 of each, LOL!

  57. I wonder if we are headed for that kind of thing again this year with so many of the best people being “coffee house” types? Can’t you see a week where 3 of the following 4 – Crystal, Lilly, Didi or Sibbohan – all land in the bottom? That would lead to people freaking the f out alright.

    Yep, I can easily see that happening. That’s one of the first scenarios that came to my mind when it struck me that some of the somewhat different-genre people like John Park and Michelle Delamor were exiting early and we were ending up with such a similar-genre group this year. I can’t think of a year when there has been such genre similarity *since* Sir EJ’s infamous Season Three, actually. Has there been one?

  58. I’ll second your lol! Also the idea that Mike or Todrick were only being praised and therefore would only advance on this show due to some racial quota being met versus based on merit, well, that is just a repugnant contention. How about the flip premise – that Aaron, Tim or Alex are only advancing because of their color?

    Good grief! I wasn’t saying that at all. I didn’t say they should not have been praised or were not good performers, they both are very seasoned. I was saying that the praise given was plenty – and that for me, they were not as good as they were being made out to be. Particularly in the case of Todrick.

  59. I’ll second your lol! Also the idea that Mike or Todrick were only being praised and therefore would only advance on this show due to some racial quota being met versus based on merit, well, that is just a repugnant contention. How about the flip premise – that Aaron, Tim or Alex are only advancing because of their color?

    sad. They are sending the most interesting guy (todrick) and the guy with the best recording voice and sounds most current (Andrew) home, and keep bunch of boring ones.

  60. I still don’t believe Andrew is going anywhere, I’m not sure if he’s gonna make it to the tour if he doesn’t raise his performance level, but I do believe his early buzz will manage to get him into the Top 12. And to be honest, he deserves to be there, he hasn’t been as bad as the judges say.

    My safest bet for leaving would be Aaron and Paige, they are the least interesting contestants left.

  61. Just popping in, i cant keep peoples names straight this season, but i do think paige will get the boot. The rest who knows.

  62. “Most Interesting” isn’t always a good thing. It’s also subjective. I think Andrew is more interesting than Todrick. Although they both rely on gimmicks to some degree, IMO.

  63. I get the cries of racism to an extent when going back to the Fantasia, JHud and Latoya scenario. Those are three extraordinary talents right there, though IMO part of the problem was more that they were likely splitting a certain vote.

    But this season? Big Mike is assured to make Top 10, let alone Top 12. Likely he will be standing near the end. Todrick is hit or miss, though I do think he has talent. But Jermaine? Haeley? These folks deserve to be gone. Paige shot herself in the foot with her horrid song choice and performance on Tuesday night.

    The only person I think who has really outstayed his welcome so far this season is Tim, nice as he may be. It bugs that he seems to be graded on a curve, but that’s about it. Otherwise I haven’t had too much issue with the eliminations so far.

  64. I still don’t believe Andrew is going anywhere, I’m not sure if he’s gonna make it to the tour if he doesn’t raise his performance level, but I do believe his early buzz will manage to get him into the Top 12.

    I don’t know. I, for one, am finding myself — irrationally, but definitely! — actually *more* annoyed with Andrew because of his early excellence than I am with some of the others. I feel let down by him, where with some of the others I’m just more curious about what they might be able to do. …

    I wouldn’t be surprised to see *any* guy go, tonight. Well, not Casey or Michael, I guess. But I have a hard time seeing that any of the other six could be safe.

  65. The only person who has left before his time this season is Joe. Not necessarily because he was a minority but because he got no screen time. I don’t think this is the season to draw conclusions about bias. The goal this year is to get a guitar girl. The boys and the big singers, regardless of race, are fodder along the way.

  66. Let’s face it…..nothing will compare to Season 8. We were spoiled with some outstanding vocals early on and they got better each week. Even though I think Kris is adorable, he didn’t then and still doesn’t have the power to carry a performance without back up. They need to be looking at the new group in the same way. When that person wins….what can they do to be unique and stand out in the crowd. There are a lot of singers out there today that if you took the electronics and synth away, would sound like they are singing in the shower. Adam Lambert is the only one that I know of that can pick up the mic and start singing with perfect pitch at a moments notice with no back up instruments. Other than Crystal, no one blows me away. Good Luck Season 9! LOL

  67. I’m glad to see some posters ratings the contestants based on all their performances. Anyone can have a bad one.

  68. I can’t think of a year when there has been such genre similarity *since* Sir EJ’s infamous Season Three, actually. Has there been one?

    Hmmm… I don’t think so. Season 3 they were still using the sudden death semis format like last year, so it wasn’t really an issue until they got to top 12 and they had a whole lot of big soul voices – and the 3 standouts were all black women. But overall, they mostly had contestants with vocal styles that fell somewhere in the gospel-r&b-soul big voices tradition (George Huff, Diana Degarmo, Camille Velasco, Matt Rogers in addition to the divas) so everybody seemed kinda the same to me. Season 6 is the only other one that comes close, I guess… they had the top 24 format too, and a big chunk of the girls were again controversially labeled “R&B divas”, but there was a lot of variety on the boys side, even if there weren’t a lot of good boys. LOL.

    Let’s face it…..nothing will compare to Season 8. We were spoiled with some outstanding vocals early on and they got better each week.

    Am I the only one not that crazy about season 8? LOL. I loved Kradsion but there was a whole lot of meh last year for me too. Season 5 will always be the pinnacle of good overall singing/entertainment value to me, with Season 7 coming in number 2 for variety and overall competence.

  69. We got a hint from twitter: Paige, Katie, todrick and Andrew going home tonight. Base on the order these tweets came in.

  70. Just for the record, my comments were in response to the volume of posts I’ve seen who give Aaron, Tim and Alex passes on their performances even as they struggle to find their notes and stage presence while at the same time saying they’d rather not see any more of Mike and Todrick. The animosity expressed towards both these guys, especially towards Mike, just really stands out to me. I understand that Todrick’s past colors many folks perspectives, but big Mike? Is it his bigness? The fact that he’s a new father? I don’t think so. I think there’s a racial underpinning to those perspectives, even if its subconscious. How prevalent that perspective is will be seen as we go further in the competition.

    ETA: weese, Did you have to go and mention Joe Munoz? Loved that guy and wanted to hear more from him. Yes he left way before his time. He is way more talented than alot of these guys we’re stuck with listening to. I did my part in voting to try and make up for the initial lack of camera time. Sigh.

  71. I’m with you tinawina. Season 5 still had the most, and best diversified talent. Season 7 comes next with season 8 in third place for me. Much as I adore Kris and Adam, and to a lesser extent, Alison, the rest of last season was meh to me.

    ETA: and to bring it back to this season, I really only like Crystal this year, and even her I don’t love. This is, so far, my least favorite season of the ones that I have watched from the beginning.

  72. Lee has a soporific effect on me. Having a growly tone in your voice =/= singing. Guy cannot sing in tune. Also, he has terrible taste in music. Hinder, Owl City? Really?

    Aaron was terrible. They need to stop putting infants through. Sure, that might have prevented Archuleta and Sparks from singing in seasons 7 and 6, respectively. But they would have been even better two years later. I think contestants should be a minimum of 18 or 19. Out of freakin’ high school, at the very least.

    Big Mike’s wife had a baby. Did you know?

  73. Even though I think Kris is adorable, he didn’t then and still doesn’t have the power to carry a performance without back up.

    So you didn’t like that performance of Heartless he did?? No backup. Did pretty good.

    But Jermaine? Haeley? These folks deserve to be gone. Paige shot herself in the foot with her horrid song choice and performance on Tuesday night.

    It’s too bad that people are calling racist because I agree that the people in the bottom (other than Joe cuz that sucked) have given the weakest performances. The show, the media, whoever, can blame exactly four people for the combo that will make the top 12–the stupid judges who put thru Jermaine and Haeley and didn’t put thru Jermaine Purfoy (sp?) and Andrea Martin. Those two were much stronger singers. And really–Haeley? Is there no depths to which they won’t go to try to get a contestant who can be sold directly to Disney? I’m sure her singing sucked in Hollywood just like it did during the semifinals.

  74. Nothing against Elton John, the guy has crafted many great songs, but sometimes the stuff he says is way out there. Recently he went on the record with his theory that Jesus was a gay man, not that there’s anything wrong with that.

  75. I’m going to apply reverse discrimination and not vote for anyone on this seasons show. Although I like Siobhan, and Alex, I don’t feel that they need my vote. I don’t like Michael nor Todrick so I wouldn’t vote for them anyways…

    Elton was right about season 3 – it wasn’t the producers that were prejudice it was the voting audience, they would rather keep a bunch of mediocre singers on than to have 3 Black women that were vocally superior stick around. As a sidenote – “I personally” don’t know of any Black people that still watch AI other than myself…

  76. Just for the record, my comments were in response to the volume of posts I’ve seen who give Aaron, Tim and Alex passes on their performances even as they struggle to find their notes and stage presence while at the same time saying they’d rather not see any more of Mike and Todrick.

    I don’t give those 3 a pass. I think they suck. Mike has been consistently good. Todrick has talent. I just don’t think he knows how to control it so well yet. Andrew is far more talented than Aaron, Tim & Alex.

    Tim has had several very crappy performances. And Aaron looks like the kid who should be singing at the 4H farm animals show. Alex is okay I guess (supposing you can get past the mullet), but he sure hits a lot of wonky notes. And, his stage presense is laughable.

  77. I actually liked Andrew’s performance last night, for the first time. I like his voice now. Before, it was just okay. I hope he stays. Aaron and Tim were both awful, in spite of what the judges said about Tim.

  78. Sigh, for some reason who goes home depends on the voting public, and who picks up the phone or text to send their votes in. Who is that group of people that do that? I dont think it has anything to do with race, more so who is gonna sit on the phone for 2 hours and vote. The kids voting are gonna vote for the cute guys, sorry they dont know much about singing. The women voting are gonna vote for the better voices, but how many will vote for 2 hours, till they get wrapped up in someone, ie, Cook, Archie, Kris, Adam, and somewhat Gokey. Who are any guys, if they vote, going to vote for, they may throw 1 or 2 votes in and be done.
    I know I’m not ready to dial the phone and vote, dont care much about anyone yet.

  79. Elton was right about season 3 – it wasn’t the producers that were prejudice it was the voting audience, they would rather keep a bunch of mediocre singers on than to have 3 Black women that were vocally superior stick around.

    As a member of that viewing audience, I’ll respectfully disagree. My favorites that season were Fantasia and Huff, and I made the critical mistake of splitting my vote. I knew Latoya was extremely talented, but to me, she was also extremely boring. Honestly, Jennifer Hudson never appealed to me until Dream Girls. Her music still doesn’t.

    I just don’t think it was a race thing for most people. As a white woman, I adored Fanty beyond all reason and irrationally despised Diana for reasons I do not even remember LOL.

    And gosh darnit, I just realized that Scotty Mac the note-killing, egomaniac is planning to assault my ears tonight. (And defile the work of the true piano man). I guess I’ll start late so I can FF through that.

    ETA: Tony – pick now! Each week you wait you lose points on the overall pick.

  80. I think Elton needs to settle down. Someone once said that the only voting that’s accurate is the kind you do with your wallet, and that vote is most decidedly not racist in America. I think Big Mike deserves to be in the Top 10, definitely. None of the other semifinalists-of-color did, and none of them deserved to be there more than Angela.

    On a different note…I don’t watch auditions or Hollywood rounds, so I haven’t seen everyone’s early stuff–just what I seek out on the internets. Yesterday, I saw Alex’s uke-powered “I’m Yours” and I gotta ask: WHERE IS THAT GUY???? He’s bopping, he’s good, and he’s having a blast. I want him back!

    He’s my favorite of the guys simply by virtue of his unique sound (I’m trying to see the “cute” thing but the hair is really in my way….at least it doesn’t hide that million-watt smile) but he makes spotlighted deer look like Joe Cool. Could someone slip him a beer or something? Take him out for yoga?

  81. I think some people were probably annoyed at all the attention Mike got in Hollywood about his wife giving birth and probably felt that it is pimping. I think unfortunately for Todrick the article about parents not getting their $50 back from the theatre company he worked for is hurting his chances. Todrick isn’t arrogant at all about his singing actually downplaying it and saying he is a dancer more than a singer. I think based on talent both Todrick and Alex deserve to make top 12 but probably one won’t or maybe even both.Mike has earned his spot in the top 12 for sure with his consistency and good performances and stage presence. I agree younger people are more likely to power text for their favorites, than older and that helps the cuter contestants get through. I think they need to change the voting rules, but know they won’t.

  82. I’ll second your lol! Also the idea that Mike or Todrick were
    only being praised and therefore would only advance on this show due to some racial quota being met versus based on merit, well, that is just a repugnant contention.

    Did I say that? No I did not.

    But I will stand by my contention that the judges are not taking their chances on this one. Both Todrick and Mike were given every single possible advantage this week to make sure they advanced.

    Big Mike didn’t really need the help. Todrick is another story. Not only has his performances been subpar through the semi’s but his personality has left something to be desired. And unfortunately, on Idol, likability is as important as talent.

  83. Tinawina: Am I the only one not that crazy about season 8?

    Not at all. I lost interest and didn’t even watch last year. This year I’m trying again. But Idol just can’t seem to get the balance between competence and variety of styles that Season7 had from the beginning, and the Coffeehouse Cast that they decided to choose this year is getting old fast.

  84. None of the other semifinalists-of-color did, and none of them deserved to be there more than Angela.

    Amen to that. I cannot imagine what made them put Hailey, Katie, Lacey, etc. through and send Angela packing. That still kind of breaks my heart.

  85. Let’s face it…..nothing will compare to Season 8. We were spoiled with some outstanding vocals early on and they got better each week.

    Am I the only one not that crazy about season 8? LOL. I loved Kradsion but there was a whole lot of meh last year for me too. Season 5 will always be the pinnacle of good overall singing/entertainment value to me, with Season 7 coming in number 2 for variety and overall competence.

    These are my preferences, too. There have been people I’ve loved in every season. But Season Five had the most consistently excellent singers, performers, and performances, for me, with the fewest meh moments and people.

  86. Just for the record, my comments were in response to the volume of posts I’ve seen who give Aaron, Tim and Alex passes on their performances even as they struggle to find their notes and stage presence while at the same time saying they’d rather not see any more of Mike and Todrick. The animosity expressed towards both these guys, especially towards Mike, just really stands out to me. I understand that Todrick’s past colors many folks perspectives, but big Mike? Is it his bigness? The fact that he’s a new father? I don’t think so. I think there’s a racial underpinning to those perspectives, even if its subconscious. How prevalent that perspective is will be seen as we go further in the competition.

    Yep, this is my basis for raising the question also. … And some similar things on the girl’s side, with Michelle, for example. (not Haeley — poor kid; she truly doesn’t have the chops yet.)…. Joe Munoz is a bit of another example, to me. I truly wonder whether, if he had been an obviously upper-middle=class, very white, private-school cutie-boy, his flaws might have been overlooked a bit more — I thought he was quite good and very interesting, actually.

    I hasten to say that if such biases and judgments are made, I am quite sure that 99.999999 percnet of them are utterly unconscious and don’t betoken any conscious racism on anyone’s part …. Having examined a lot of my own decisions and reactions, however, I *know* that I have these responses with racial and ethnic undertones myself, so I would be very surprised if nobody else did.

  87. If there’s any justice, Paige, Katie, Todrick and Andrew will go home tonight. Top 12 and Top 11 weeks can take care of some of the remaining dead wood. AI doesn’t really get interesting before Top 10 anyway since they are the ones who will be going on the tour. I’m curious to know who will sing in what order this summer. ;)

  88. I’m going to apply reverse discrimination and not vote for anyone on this seasons show. Although I like Siobhan, and Alex, I don’t feel that they need my vote.

    I’m not sure I’d be so confident about Alex, if you want him to stay!

    Honestly, I would be willing to bet that so few people are actually voting on guys’ night and the votes are being split so many ways that almost anyone could go home at any time — with the likely exception of Casey and the possible exception of Michael. … And I think the threat will get even worse when we have a top 12 and beyond. …. There are so many quirky, low-key, guitar-playing singers in this group that it will be very hard to tell how many are splitting one pool of votes, I expect.

  89. Paige, Katie, Aaron and TIM!!!!

    All four look and sound like kids singing at a high school assembly.
    (Aside to Tim–Don’t EVER go changing Leonard Cohen’s words again.)

  90. I’ll second your lol! Also the idea that Mike or Todrick were
    only being praised and therefore would only advance on this show due to some racial quota being met versus based on merit, well, that is just a repugnant contention.
    —————————————————–
    Did I say that? No I did not.

    MJ, I think this was in reference to a my comment agreeing with what you had written. HOWEVER, I also did not say this!

  91. MrRJ, Tim should never have been on this show to start with. But once he did get on, his cuteness factor, especially with the younger generation who churn out the votes, is keeping him on regardless of how he sings or what words he changes. I blame the Idol producers. Heck, if the coalition of VFTW and the young girls with nimble fingers have their way, the poor guy could go all the way. Horrible thought, I know. Its whats gotten me to vote so early in the process, to at least give the more talented singers (most of them) some kind of chance to stay in. So I don’t expect Tim to be leaving anytime soon, but I would absolutely love to be surprised.

  92. @SpenserJ
    As a member of that viewing audience, I’ll respectfully disagree. My favorites that season were Fantasia and Huff, and I made the critical mistake of splitting my vote. I knew Latoya was extremely talented, but to me, she was also extremely boring. Honestly, Jennifer Hudson never appealed to me until Dream Girls. Her music still doesn’t.

    I just don’t think it was a race thing for most people. As a white woman, I adored Fanty beyond all reason and irrationally despised Diana for reasons I do not even remember LOL.

    And gosh darnit, I just realized that Scotty Mac the note-killing, egomaniac is planning to assault my ears tonight. (And defile the work of the true piano man). I guess I’ll start late so I can FF through that.

    ETA: Tony – pick now! Each week you wait you lose points on the overall pick
    ________________________
    When You (“I”) start speaking of discrimination and/or racism it becomes a sweeping generalization. Not all of America is prejudice/racist, but when it comes to something as simple as voting for an AI contestant, it sure does bring out the “ugly” in everyone.

    I didn’t like Jennifer that much because she screamed as did Fantasia on occasion, and LaToya was just too plain, she didn’t want to switch up to much. My favorite contestant of color in all AI seasons is Jordin Sparks, followed closely by Melinda Doolittle who didn’t know how to “grow” her stage personality…

    As I stated before, I think there is a disconnect between the songwriters that the contestants can choose from. There are very few Black songwriters ever used for this show (until the Motown theme week, and to be quite frank, while I am very familiar with Motown, I can do without a Motown week) I think having an R&B week, would be much better than having a Motown week, and believe me when I say there is plenty of R&B out there, but most white people don’t know about it because like me, they only listen to the music they prefer which is pop/country/rock/metal/alternative…

    Thank God for Adam Lambert – he broke that racial divide for me when it comes to music (well since the 70s, when they finally started having stations that were geared toward R&B, and I know longer only got to listen to pop music or the top 40 which was 87% pop)…

    Anyway, good luck to those that are left. I will continue to participate in MJs pool, but I won’t be voting for any contestants (perhaps in the final 4 I might) because there are only 2-3 that I really find appealing. Siobhan, Alex, and Lacey. Crystal is cool, but she has enough people pulling for her

  93. Having examined a lot of my own decisions and reactions, however, I *know* that I have these responses with racial and ethnic undertones myself, so I would be very surprised if nobody else did.

    That’s true, but there’s also the reverse effect of voting for somebody because of reasons other than clearly demonstrated talent. In my mind, one is as bad as the other because nobody can be favored without hurting somebody else. Always vote for the best and you’ll never need to second guess your intentions.

  94. Always vote for the best and you’ll never need to second guess your intentions.

    Truer words were never spoken.

  95. Thank God for Adam Lambert – he broke that racial divide for me when it comes to music

    Que? LOL. Are you a person of color?

    Heck, if the coalition of VFTW and the young girls with nimble fingers have their way, the poor guy could go all the way.

    Tim is not going to win. VFTW doesn’t have that kind of pull.. though it would be more fun if they did. Heh.

  96. Paige, Katie, Aaron and TIM!!!!
    All four look and sound like kids singing at a high school assembly.
    (Aside to Tim–Don’t EVER go changing Leonard Cohen’s words again.)
    </blockquote

    I would add Alex to this and take out Paige. I think these contestants are too young and inexperienced. It shows with their performances and I'm missing seeing the personality of the contestants with this lot. They seem too shell-shocked and it takes away from the show. Maybe they should up the minimum age of the contestant or make sure they have some performance experience under their belt first.

  97. I think having an R&B week, would be much better than having a Motown week, and believe me when I say there is plenty of R&B out there, but most white people don’t know about it because like me, they only listen to the music they prefer which is pop/country/rock/metal/alternative…

    Oh yeah, I’d love an R&B week. I’d like someone to sing some old school R. Kelly :) (Sorry, we weren’t talking about my own personal wish fulfillment were we? LOL).

    I’m with those of you who still hold Season 5 as your favorite. Those contestants made for a very entertaining season (from the perspective of my couch).

    Always vote for the best and you’ll never need to second guess your intentions.

    Truer words were never spoken.

    Honestly, for me, it’s just a TV talent show. It’s not important enough for me to care how or why people vote for a particular contestant. I won’t even get mad at those who vote for Mullet, just because they think he’s cute. (Although, I may still be holding some residual anger toward the Scotty Mac voters of last season :)).

  98. The girl picks look good to me.

    It wouldn’t shock me if Toddrick got the boot tonight. Andrew getting the boot would shock me even less tbh. He really showed a lot of promise in his audition and the Hollywood rounds but it does seem like he’s sort of a one trick pony.

  99. Randy is pretty consistent, but the judges are all over the map. I don’t know how an aspiring performer can possibly be helped by their comments as they tend to be contradictory and sometimes just plain ludicrous. Simon, for Pete’s sake, thinks he is a fashion critic and likes to pick apart their wardrobe choices. This is the guy whose wardrobe mostly consists of stretched out cheap tee shirts which show off his man boobs. I am still watching the show but I’m so over the judges and their antics. I find Ellen annoying and Simon disgusting and teary-eyed, Simon-pawing Kara baffling! Isn’t she a little young for menopause?

  100. The only two Idol contestants whom I really liked in all the years and became a fan of and wanted to see in concert were: Jennifer Hudson and Adam Lmabert. They were the only two contestants I was really invested in and still am. I remember how Jennifer was bashed so much during Season 3 but that was not all racist because many preferred Fantasia or Huff or Latoya. Sure there were some who felt that way as there are and sadly always will be loser racist types around. But with Idol considering 3 winners in Eight Seasons were African American, I am not I can agree totally with Sir Elton in this case. Although he might have had a point in Season 3 to a certain degree but for sure, Fantasia and Huff and Latoya for sure…had fans of many different racial backgrounds..and so did Jennifer. The tween vote for that John was part of the problem in Jennifer going early.

  101. Top 16: unless your name is Crystal Bowersox or Mike Lynche,you should be very nervous tonight. Outside of those two, I don’t think anyone else is a sure fire lock for Top 12.

  102. Top 16: unless your name is Crystal Bowersox or Mike Lynche,you should be very nervous tonight. Outside of those two, I don’t think anyone else is a sure fire lock for Top 12.

    So much word there Shell. If I wasn’t either one of the two I would be “very” afraid.

  103. Top 16: unless your name is Crystal Bowersox or Mike Lynche,you should be very nervous tonight. Outside of those two, I don’t think anyone else is a sure fire lock for Top 12.

    Although MamaSox is my ultime favorite this year (Lee & Drew second and third faves) but don’t count Siobhan out. She received high praises for her version of ‘HOTRS’.

  104. Who is watching the show? People tend to vote for people they relate to. I am white but I voted for Fantasia because I related to her being an underdog in society. I don’t relate to Big Mike at all and hope he goes home. He is arrogant and I didn’t like it when he picked people up even after they told him not to. He’s too old for that kind of horseplay and too strong. I look normal but I was injured in an accident and if the big lug picked me up I’d be a goner.

    So okay, these are probably stupid reasons to vote or not vote for anyone, but look at the clowns we have sent to Washington and tell me the American public uses logic to vote even for serious issues let alone an aspiring singer!

  105. Hi SpenserJ (wasltp)! The “mullet” sings through his nose like he was wearing a clothespin.

  106. Oh yeah, I’d love an R&B week. I’d like someone to sing some old school R. Kelly (Sorry, we weren’t talking about my own personal wish fulfillment were we? LOL).

    I’m with those of you who still hold Season 5 as your favorite. Those contestants made for a very entertaining season (from the perspective of my couch).

    ________________________

    R. Kelly and Chris Brown are Napalm for AI – they have tarnished images (although I could definitely hear some R. Kelly from his TP2.com CD)I am still a R. Kelly fan, but I was never much of a Chris Brown fan, his vocals are sorta weak to me.

    How About some Joe, Anthony Hamilton, Jaheim, Gerald Levert, Musiq Soulchild, just to name a few…

  107. Thanks MJ for your recap. I agree with you, 100%. Although my choices of who maybe in the bottom are Paige, Katie, Todrick, and Aaron.

  108. I also think the producers’ heavy pimping of the two male African American contestants last night was in part because of Paige’s elimination.

    meh. i’d chalk it up to them being, far and away, the best of the night, but i gotta admit im a bit naive when it comes to these things.

  109. I agree wit jtoms. To me Michael and Todrick were the best last night. I am not really liking many of the guys this year and only a few of the girls.

  110. Thank God for Adam Lambert – he broke that racial divide for me when it comes to music (well since the 70s, when they finally started having stations that were geared toward R&B, and I know longer only got to listen to pop music or the top 40 which was 87% pop)

    Maybe I don’t understand this quote. Half the top artists on Top 40 are R&B/ hip hop and are either black or multiracial team ups. Timbaland, Akon, Iyaz, Rihanna, Jay Sean, Ludacris, Young Money, Jason DeRulo, Beyonce, Trey Songz, this week, but for any time in the last decade, the same is true.

    And the Urban and Rhythmic formats, which are all R&B and hiphop, are not charting WWFM.

    But circling back to Season 9, that reality is among the many reasons why it’s problematic that the Show is doing so poorly at selecting young black contestants who are hip and sexy and stylish (which Paige and Michael definitely are not).

    The nation’s full of hot young black artists, it’s just weird that they’d end up with coloring-book girl and her Kelly Clarkson covers and this big teddy bear dad. Todrick is stylish, meanwhile, but not sure why on earth hasn’t *he* picked a a current R&B song in the three open weeks? There’s a big disconnect between the black artists on Idol who get to the Top 10 and the current charts, with the exception of Jordin.

  111. Top 16: unless your name is Crystal Bowersox or Mike Lynche,you should be very nervous tonight. Outside of those two, I don’t think anyone else is a sure fire lock for Top 12.

    Totally agree with you.

    I don’t relate to Big Mike at all and hope he goes home. He is arrogant and I didn’t like it when he picked people up even after they told him not to. He’s too old for that kind of horseplay and too strong. I look normal but I was injured in an accident and if the big lug picked me up I’d be a goner.

    LOL! (Not that you were injured…) I get what you’re saying. Early in the competition I felt uncomfortable watching Big Mike because I felt like he was going to reach through the TV and grab me! He is soooo big it’s just awkward. BUT – he’s starting to grow on me and I thought his performance last night was amazing. I think he’ll make it through based on that performance, but no one else really stood out to me for the guys.

  112. I can’t see a bottom 4 of Todrick, Paige and Andrew happening. I think Todrick might stay. I’m going to go against the tide and say Lee, Tim, Lacey and Katelyn will leave us tonight.

  113. I can’t see a bottom 3 of Todrick, Paige and Andrew happening. I think Todrick might stay. I’m going to go against the tide and say Lee, Tim, Lacey and Katelyn will leave us tonight.

  114. meh. i’d chalk it up them being, far and away, the best of the night, but i gotta admit im a bit naive when it comes to these thing.

    Eh, hard call in that sense. Mike? Sure; I’d say you could get a decent consensus on that. Todrick? Well, from what I’ve seen the general response to the night has been across the freakin’ board, with him being one of the most contested. Thing that catches my eye is that when Simon Cowell tends to compare something to a musical, the immediate thought thereafter isn’t “oh, but it was good”.

    Now, on that panel… lord knows what the motivation was. I wouldn’t be surprised if it was the opposite; Simon trying not to draw a reaction to Todrick? Again, it’s a hard call.

    As to race on Idol… does it play a factor? Sure. I’m not sure it’s as obvious as we’re giving it credit for; I’d argue its most pervasive influence isn’t a simple detraction for contestants of color, but in the way the show tends to typecast. There’s been a lot of discussion of that, and I don’t intend to repeat it here. But if typecasting is going to hurt anyone tonight, it’s going to be one of the singer-songwriter types. Now, in this case, it has an easy target in Lacey (despite having had her best performance, I somehow doubt she will make it through the night).

    Where it gets to be tricky is on the men’s side. But whom? Seriously, I’m baffled. The only person I would put in the truly safe column is Big Mike. I think Lee might be underestimated (but not misunderestimated); he seems to have some momentum on his side that a good deal of his competition does not. Casey and Alex do too. Andrew had momentum; the question is one of whether he still does.

    Tim has subversive momentum, and for some reason I see those people who voted him through two rounds going BSC over that performance, even if I personally found it hardly worth talking about. Todrick has three things on his side; he doesn’t mesh at all musically with his competitors, he had a performance that fashioned him as a more traditional Idol candidate (smart move at this point), and a polarized voter response is better at this stage than a blase voter response. He and Tim, however, have the weakest overall catalogs on Idol at this point. No one seems to be an obvious boot, but two people have to go.

  115. I’m too cowardly to stick my neck out an place my bet on a loser – or four.

    Honestly the only guy who is clearly safe is Mike. The only safe girls that are Crystal, Siobhan and Lilly. All the others could go tonight and some would be more justified than others.

    Of the other men, Casey had two good and one so-so performance, he’s good looking and he appeals to the country demo so he’s probably safe evn though he also got the embarassing Kara-cougar treatment and damned with faint praise by the judges this week after the second best performance of the night.

    Lee got a lot of love from Simon and slightly more muted love from the other judges in the semi’s and that should help him. I was really surprised to see him sing first and get sort of muted praise from the judges last night. He could be forgotten by the voters.

    Andrew has been depimped the whole time he’s been in the semis. Last night’s critiques were blistering. But, sometimes that incentivizes fans to vote all the harder.

    Todrick did well enough last night and has at least been interesting if not always good. Standing out is better than being forgettable. But he sort of comes across as too full of himself.

    Of the boys… Tim = Cutest boy in the competition. Singing is mediocre and by the numbers, but my daugther and her friends will keep him around probably well past his sell-by date.

    Alex The second cutest boy in the competition mullet notwithstanding, and the boy with the cool voice and potential. I’m not sure if “America” or the slice of it watching Idol is familiar with the kinds of artists the Alex sounds like and necessarily gets why the judges see so much potential. Last night was not bad but not great and could be forgettable.

    Aaron Only the third cutest boy in the competition and the one who is most unripe and unformed as an artist (duh, he’s 16). I think he’s most vulnerable, but the judges have been pretty kind to him. He has the potential to tweak grandmotherly heart strings and stick around.

    Of the other women, Didi, Lacey, Paige and Katelyn have been hit-or-miss and I think it really comes down to what impression them made last night. Didi and Lacey stepped it up, Katelyn was so-so, and Paige was a trainwreck.

    Katie has not done well and the fact that she’s the sole teenage girl left really makes her stand out like a sore thumb. However, she like Aaron may tweak grandmotherly heart strings and survive over one of the othe women.

    My prediction: Paige, Katelyn, Aaron and Andrew go home. However, I wouldn’t be shocked if any of the other guys went home instead (except Mike). I wouldn’t be surprised if Katie, Didi or Lacey went home either.

  116. Mj

    Congratulations on your AOL gig. I enjoyed it.

    I loved Mike’s performance last night, but my question to someone who watched Reuben’s season and is familiar with him: What does Mike have that is unique for the music business over someone like Reuben that will make him more successful than Reuben has been? Just curious what people think.

  117. Buble? blech. So not a fan.

    Oh and I’m tired of the show saying that songs like Feeling Good are Buble. They existed and were classic long before Buble, will be after Buble. And it’s not even the idea that the person is going to do their version based on that person’s arrangement, because that’s still a stupid way to reference a song. One doesn’t say Muse’s Feeling Good, even if they do an arrangement like their’s, because it’s not a Muse song. Okay, slightly off-topic pet peeve over.

  118. I don’t think Tim is going home at all, VFTW had his back last night. Plus he actually sounded decent so I think some other people voted for him too. But than again Paige is also their pick and I think she is gone tonight. I don’t know who is going home, But I feel like some kind of shocker though, I mean, I think Lee or Andrew will be one of the guys going home. I can’t decide on the 2nd guy.

  119. According to Ryan, this is the group song for tonight:

    Sure is. Love that songRT @kenzie266: @RyanSeacrest is it Havent Met U Yet
    23 minutes ago via UberTwitter

  120. I could definitely see Andrew going home and at this point, he would deserve it.

    So yeah, I could see Andrew and Aaron going home, and hopefully Paige and Lacey.

  121. I wonder what Buble song they’ll be butchering singing…not that I’m a Buble fan per se, but I’ve recently started hearing a Buble song on the radio that seems to get stuck in my head all the dang time. It’s not bad, but I’m not going to run out and by his cds in the near future.

    I’ve kinda lingered on my picks for a bit… for the girls I put my points on Paige Miles and Lacey Brown. It just seemed like a given for Paige, regardless if there hasn’t ever been a season without an African American female in the top 12. With Lacey I just figure a little too late for her. Besides, with three very quirky voices, one just has to go.

    For the boys I had more difficulty. I can see any number(except pretty much Casey and Mike going). I’ve changed my picks numerous times.

    I think Aaron, Alex and Tim might be splitting some of the teen vote, so I kinda went for the one that I think might be in danger, which to me was Alex.

    I’ve gone between Todrick and Lee a few times now and finally settled on Lee. I just think he picked a suck song and had a suck position therefore resulting in an elimination.

    I may be wrong but like someone stated above, I think the only SURE bets are Michael and Crystal…anything can happen.

  122. I wonder what Buble song they’ll be butchering singing

    “Havent Met U Yet” according to Ryan.

  123. I think it’s ridiculous to presume why people vote the way they do. Am I supposed to feel guilty for voting for supposedly one of the cute white guys? Heck no. I fully admit to voting for Alex last night. Not because I find him cute or because I give him a pass, but because of the eight remaining male voices, he has the voice that most appeals to me. A voice that I would like to hear record some studio versions because I want to buy them. He has work to do for sure, but so do all of the guys. IMO none of the guys are a complete package right now. Besides also IMO he has had two decent performances and one bad one, which puts him ahead of some of the other male competition.

    Aaron and Tim I don’t care about at all. They can both go tonight for all I care, though I know Tim won’t.

  124. RyanSeacrest: Suit on about 20 mins to air live. Results are in. I will announce the top 12!
    half a minute ago via UberTwitter

  125. And gosh darnit, I just realized that Scotty Mac the note-killing, egomaniac is planning to assault my ears tonight.

    Oh come on Spense. I know you missed you some Scotty Hardcore. Hooo rah. ;) Plus, this is supposed to be the most spectacular piano duet in the history of pianos or duets. Or maybe even musical notes in general.

    So much word to the people who are having Season 3 deja vu with all the samey sameness genre overload. I’m totally vibing a three anti-diva indie chick storyline with Crystal, Lily, and DiDi if all three manage to make top 12. Maybe Katelyn. Thought Siobhan fit that mold but now she’s way more big voice belty than those three, so she can fill the Diana role. The boys were cast unusually weak. Big Mike in the likable Huff role, maybe? And Tim, Alex or Aaron can vie to be cute, somewhat talented but very inconsistent tween magnet boy who is doomed to be bussed hard and accused of overstaying their welcome. Ahhh, what a knollish nightmare! Make it stop. I never did buy Sir Elton’s claim of racism, though. It was a combination of vote splitting with the diva preferring fans plus everyone else getting burned out with the diva overload and gravitating to something different for the sake of being different. Same thing would have happened if, say, Cook, Daughtry, and Bo were all cast in the same season and were referred to as the 3 rockers over and over. It would have been difficult for all three to make top 3 even though they’re all talented in their own right.

  126. I am going with Lacey, Didi, Todrick and Andrew to leave tonight. I only got to see the first 3 singers last night before our station blacked out due to lightning. Glad I could watch videos here. I probably won’t get any pool points but….that is who I think should go home.

  127. And I want to add that I think this season’s talent totally SUCKS!!!

  128. Any reason why you are playing the race card, MJ? Its completely unnecessary. COMPLETELY. I doubt they care what the heck Elton thinks

  129. Am I the only one not that crazy about season 8? LOL. I loved Kradsion but there was a whole lot of meh last year for me too.

    Nope, you’re not the only one. I never really “got” Adam or Gokey, so I was sort of WTF on the massive weekly pimping of those two. I really enjoyed Allison a lot though. But yeah, S8 was full of meh to me.

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