Fifth Harmony was in San Francisco headlining a sold-out concert last week. Kelly released an album this week and is predicted to have the top debut of the week…is it enough to top the chart?
Fifth Harmony, Jasmine V, Mahogany Lox, Jacob Whitesides
Feb. 27, 2015: San Francisco, Calif.: Regency Center Grand Ballroom: 1,424 of 1,424 (SOLD-OUT) : $46,280
HDD’s one day estimates for debuting albums:
Kelly Clarkson (RCA) 75-80k sales, 85-90k SPS
Brandi Carlile (ATO) 35-40k sales, 40-45k SPS
Third Day (Essential) 25-28k sales, 27-30k SPS
Rixton (Schoolboy/Giant Little Man/Mad Love/Interscope) 12-14k sales, 14-16k SPS
Can she get number one? Big Sean and Kid Rock are number 1/2 this week and there is no reason that they shouldn’t have the usual 70-80% drop in their first weeks, so they shouldn’t be a factor. The threat will be from Fifty Shades of Grey which did a combined 107K and Drake with about the same amount. Both are still relatively new, but will they drop enough to fall between the relatively low 90K mark? On a good week, even Taylor may threaten. We’ll have to wait to see how the week spoils out.
Kelly’s numbers are consistent with her recent releases (compiled list from I’m a Shooter at Pulse):
Thankful debuted at #1 with 297k (2.7m to date)
Breakaway debuted at #3 with 250k (6.3m to date)
My December debuted at #2 with 291k (848k to date)
All I Ever Wanted debuted at #1 with 255k (980k to date)
Stronger debuted at #2 with 163k (1.1m to date)
Greatest Hits – Chapter One debuted at #11 with 75k (550k to date)
Wrapped in Red debuted at #3 with 70k (850k to date)
Granted her last two releases were a Greatest Hits album and a Christmas album.
Billboard reports that losing X-Factor US and lower profits from Idol lowered overall revenue:
2014: $125 million (€113 million)
2013: €136 million in 2013