Idol Superstitions – AKA Who is Going to Win Season 14

Forget Bing! Forget the bookmakers! Forget your common sense! Straight from the Grassy Knoll, we have your Idol Winner!!!! (what the heck, two more)!!

Culled from the combined knowledge of the under-belly of Idol fandom. Based on fourteen years of statistics. Gathered by those who take the time to see the pattern. Collated by those who host our collected knowledge. More predictable than lottery numbers and the gender of babies, but less predictable than death and taxes. We will examine the idol signposts and predictors.

Now, I will admit that the nefarious producers of Idol have thrown us a curve ball this year. Normally, by this point, we have a clearly defined top two. But this year, the two finalists won’t even be announced until the night. A more suspicious person might say they did this to prevent the spoiling of the winner by these very predictions, but we’re not quite that crazy yet. We shall just sift harder on those stats and see what turns up.

We will not be deterred! Not by stupid lighting chairs. Not by sagging ratings. Not by Scott’s ugly facial hair! We will soldier on. And, without further adieu, let us start our journey of discovery.

I) When a Man Loves a Woman (or When a Voter Loves a Gender)

We can argue for hours (and we have) about what happens to votes when contestants get the boot. Do the fans of one Idol drift to another or do the voters simply stop voting? Are the differences in behaviour between the ardent fans who are disgusted and demoralized after their favourite is unfairly eliminated and the more casual fans who just shrug their shoulders and want to be entertained? The truth of this debate becomes more critical as the number of contestants wanes. Will the people who voted for the third place finisher shift their votes to another contestant? Will they pick the contestant who is besties with or most like their recently departed favourite? One of those ways to be most like is to share a gender and our first Idol prediction notices that whatever majority gender there is in the top three, that is the gender of the winner.

1. Kelly/Justin/Nikki – two females, one male = female winner – Check!
2. Ruben/Clay/Kim – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
3. Fantasia/Diana/Jasmine – three females = female winner – Check!
4. Carrie/Bo/Vonzell – two females, one male = female winner – Check!
5. Taylor/Katharine/Elliot – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
6. Jordin/Blake/Melinda – two females, one male = female winner – Check!
7. Cookie/Archie/Syesha – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
8. Kris/Adam/Gokey – three males = male winner – Check!
9. Lee/Crystal/Casey – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
10. Scotty/Lauren/Haley – two females, one male = male winner – Oops!
11. Phil/Jessica/Josh – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
12. Candice/Kree/Angie – three females – female winner – Check!
13. Caleb/Jena/Alex – two males, one female = male winner – Check!
14. Clark/Jax/Nick – two males, one female -> male winner

Accuracy: 92% (12 of 13)
Advantage: Clark/Jax=Clark, Jax/Nick=Nick, Clark/Nick=neither

When a fan loves an Idol, Can’t keep his mind on nothing else. He’ll trade the world, For the good thing he’s found. If she’s bad he can’t see it, She can do no wrong, Turn his rage on a poster, If he put her down

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II) Against All Odds (Double Letters Mean Something)

There is no logical reason for this. The odds should be against it. But for some reason, Idol fans like contestants with double letters in their names. The more the merrier. Future contestants who lack those requisite repeats should consider adopting double-letter nicknames. Something that really rolls of the tongue. And never, never diss the Idol gods by dropping a double letter name.

1: Kelly Brianne Clarkson (2) vs Justin Eldrin Guarani (0) – Check!
2: Christopher Theodore Ruben Studdard (1) vs Clayton Holmes Aiken (0) – Check!
3: Fantasia Monique Barrino (1) vs Diane Nicole Degarmo (0) – Check!
4: Carrie Marie Underwood (2) vs Harold Edwin “Bo” Bice (should have gone with Harry for a nickname) – Check!
5: Taylor Ruben Hicks (0) vs Katharine Hope McPhee (1) – Oops!
6: Jordin Brianna Sparks (1) vs Blake Colin Lewis (0) – Check!
7: David Roland Cook (1) vs David James Archuleta (0) – Check!
8: Kristopher Neil Allen (1) vs Adam Mitchel Lambert (0) – Check!
9: Leon (Lee) James Dewyze (1 – Nice save with the nickname) vs Crystal Lynn Bowersox (1 – in the unheard middle
name – completely swamped by the chosen nickname) – Check!
10: Scotty Cooke McCreery (4) vs Lauren Alaina [Suddeth] (shouldn’t have dropped that last name) – Check!
11: Phillip Phillips (2 – plus the repeat names!!!) vs Jessica Sanchez (1 – no competition) – Check!
12: Candace Rickelle Glover (1) vs Kree Annette Harrison (4 – nice try) – Oops!
13: Caleb Perry Johnson (1) vs JENA [Irene [Ascuitto]] (again with dropping the helpful last name) – Check!

14: Clark Beckham (0) vs Jackie [Jax] Cole Miskanic (0) vs Nick Fradiani (0)….well, that’s a first…we’ve never had no double letters. I’ve come up goose eggs on finding middle names for Clark and Nick (when Idol was popular, I could have easily gotten information about their birth weight and where they had their first kiss).

UPDATE: Nick’s middle name may be James…that helps him not at all.
UPDATE: Clark’s middle name is proven to be Paul…this is just a double letter free crowd. Affixes tin foil hat…did the producers do that on purpose to foil this rule????!?!?!?!?!

Accuracy: 85% (11 of 13)
Advantage: Nobody
If I stretch it…Clark is from Tennessee (2) while Nick is from Connecticut (1)…advantage Clark->Nick->Jax???

Cuz their middle names revealed is against all odds and that’s what I’ve got to face

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III) Come Together (and Vote Together)

Birds of a feather flock together and that is the basis of this theory. People are homers and like to come together and vote for the local contestant. Legend has it that contestants from the South have a greater chance of winning Idol. Presumably, southerners are bigger homers than their aloof northern neighbours (less pleasant versions of this theory accuse southerners of having nothing to do with their evenings while northerners are busy having lives. And believe me, the theories get even less pleasant than that). There were also theories that AT&T has a bigger presence in the south than in the north, but that went out the door last year when AT&T stopped being a sponsor, texting was limited and everybody gets free texting as part of their data plan (or they probably don’t know how to text anyway).

I hate this category. I’ve yet to satisfy everybody. I’ll classify Oklahoma as a Southern state (Mississippi almost parallels it!) and get icily informed that Oklahoma is a Mid-West State. The next year, I fix it to call it a Mid-West and my parents get accused of being siblings because Oklahoma is clearly a Southern State. There is no rhyme or reason to this Southern classification thing and lots of disagreements (especially in the Idol world where Arizona gets sometimes classified as Southern and even I know that is not historically true). You guys have too many states anyway. How about a nice number like 10? I like 10. Trust me, it makes geography exams ten times easier even if you have to remember if the capital is St. John’s or St. John and how to spell Saskatchewan.

Okay, let’s try this again:

1. Kelly (Texas-S)/Justin (Pennsylvania-N) – South won – Check!
2. Ruben (Alabama-S)/Clay (North Carolina-S) – Both from the South – Check!
3. Fantasia (North Carolina-S)/Diana (Georgia-S) – Both from the South – Check!
4. Carrie (Oklahoma-S/MW/NNW/SoC/NoM)/Bo (Alabama-S) – Both from South – Check!
5. Taylor (Alabama-S)/Katharine (California-S) – South won – Check!
6. Jordin (Arizona-Not Called Southern)/Blake (Washington-PNW) – Neither from the South – Check! (can’t lose)
7. Cook (Missouri-MW)/Archie (Utah-??[NMW?]) – Neither from the South – Check!
8. Kris (Arkansas-S)/Adam (California-Not Called Southern even though San Diego is South of the entire State of Arkansas) – South Won – Check!
9. Lee (Illinois-N)/Crystal (Ohio-N) – Neither from the South – Check!
10. Scotty (North Carolina-S)/Lauren (Georgia-S) – Both from the South – Check!
11. Phil (Georgia-S)/Jessica (California-Not Called South) – South Won – Check!
12. Kree (Texas-S)/Candice(South Carolina-S) – Both from the South – Check!
13. Caleb (North Carolina)/Jena (Michigan) – South Won – Check!

14. Clark (Tennessee-S) vs Jax (New Jersey-N) vs Nick (Connecticut-N)

Advantage: Clark in Clark vs Jax and Clark vs Nick. Neither in Jax vs Nick.
Accuracy: 100% (5 out of 5 times a Southerner faced somebody from the non-South, 11 out of 11 times a Southerner was in the final they won), 85% (11 out of 13 winners from the South).

Here come the Yankee, he come singing up lovely, he got lots of talent, he one magic singer, Cha-ris-ma up to his eyes, Got to be the loser, he just not from the south. Come Together, right now, Let us vote.

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IV) And I’m Telling You I’m not Going (and I’ll Keep Coming Back)

This predictive tool is still undergoing refinement and we are actually going to flip it from last year. It has been noticed that Idol winners are first time auditioners. That persistence does not pay off. The reason that you keep having the door slammed in your face is because you suck. But what if that’s not true? What if stick-withedness is actually an advantage? If you do have the It Factor to make the finale, is there something about your past experience that gives you a leg up? Have you become a student of the process? Are you like those teams who have been in the Stanley Cup final before and it allows you to handle the pressure better? So, this year, we are calling it for the contestant with the most experience.

1. Kelly vs Justin – obviously, both first time auditioners
2. Ruben vs Clay – apparently, both first time auditioners
3. Fantasia vs Diana – first timers, though Diana had done the pageant circuit
4. Carrie vs Bo – first time for each
5. Taylor vs Kat – two first timers
6. Jordin vs Blake – first timers – but Jordin did audition in two cities (cut in the arena the first time) and was on the kids version of AI
7. David vs David – also first timers (Archuleta had been on Star Search)
8. Kris vs Adam – first time auditioners
9. Lee vs Crystal – first time auditioners
10. Scotty vs Lauren – first time auditioners
11. Phillip vs Jessica – both auditioned for AGT
12. Candice (auditioned Seasons 9, 10 and 11) vs Kree (first timer)
13. Jena (X-Factor) vs Caleb (auditioned Seasons 10 and 11)

14. Clark and Jax are first timers, Nick has been on AGT

If we throw out all the years where there are only first timers and Season 11 where the two finalists had auditioned for the same show, we are left with Seasons 6, 7, 12 and 13. Jordin, Candice and Caleb had the most relevant experience and they won. Archuletta is the only one that lost.

Advantage: Nick in Clark vs Nick and Jax vs Nick, Neither in Clark vs Jax.
Accuracy: 75%
Confidence: Low (still in formation and we have few data points)

I’m stayin’, I’m stayin’, And you, and you, you’re gonna love me. Ooh, you’re gonna love me.

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V) For Once in My Life (They Reverse the Alphabet)

Alphabetical order is fair, right? It’s completely random and each time, a new person gets to go first. Except, people don’t change their names all that often. Aaron Aaborg always gets called first while Zoe Zuckerman always gets her diploma last. It can even help one to get elected. Statistics show, the earlier you appear on the ballot (which always seem to be in alphabetical order), the more likely you are to be elected (especially when you have to pick five people to be on your city council). But Idol voters are a somewhat democratic group and, for once in their lives, it helps contestants to appear later in the alphabet.

For 11 years, Idol prefered the contestant with the name that started with a letter that appeared later in the alphabet. Two years ago, it changed (take note!). Suddenly, the earlier letter worked…is this a permanent change or have we had two years of statistical anomalies?

1. Kelly/Justin – Check!
2. Ruben/Clay – Check!
3. Fantasia/Diana – Check!
4. Carrie/Bo – Check! (I repeat, Bo should have gone with Harry – it’s more descriptive too!)
5. Taylor/Katharine – Check!
6. Jordin/Blake – Check!
7. David C/David A – Check! (came down to the last name)
8. Kris/Adam – Check! (Adam did not stand a chance)
9. Lee/Crystal – Check!
10. Scotty/Lauren – Check!
11. Phil/Jessica – Check!
12. Kree/Candice – Oops!
13. Jena/Caleb Oops!

Advantage: Nick in Clark vs Nick and Jax vs Nick, Jax in Clark vs Jax.
Accuracy: 85%

For once in their lives, Z’s get the ad-vant-age. Ad-vant-age needed so long

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VI) I Don’t Want to Miss a Thing (So They Keep the Best for Last)

Let’s face it. Idol isn’t about the search for the next big super-star, it is about selling us cars, movies and washing powder. Idol lives and dies by its rating (and lately, it is dying). At one time, the show commanded the highest ad rate in the industry for non-sports television. Those days are gone. They are probably still making decent money because they have so many ads, but amounts are no longer completely insane. They still care about ratings.

One way to keep the viewers tuned in is to save the best for last. To end each episode with a bang! Another way is to keep the compelling artists around, even if they aren’t generating a lot of votes. Sanjaya might never be the next big superstar, but people tuned in to see his latest hair escapades and to hear Simon exasperated critics. Putting compelling vote strugglers near the end of the line-up helps to keep them fresh in people’s mind and carry them get enough votes to stick around another week. So, the debate rages. Are contestants singing last to pimp them or to make sure they don’t go home? Presumably, if the singer goes last to boost ratings, they will win the show. If they go last to shore up lagging support, they will lose. This statistic is a work in progress.

This year is a mess because the eliminations were held to the end. Singing for your life is not good for the old heart or the voter confidence. So, we are only going to count the non-sing for your life portion of the line-up. For weeks with multiple performances, only the last set is counted.

Stats (first, first third, last third, last) – Risked (first third), Pimped (last third)
1. Kelly (1,1,5,3) vs Justin (0,1,4,2) – Kelly got pimped more

2. Ruben (1,3,7,4) vs Clay (2,6,4,4) – Clay put at risk more.

3. Fantasia (2,3,5,3) vs Diana (4,4,6,4) – Diana put at risk more, put also pimped more – I’m call this one indeterminate

4. Carrie (2,7,5,2) vs Bo (1,5,5,2) – Carrie put at risk more

5. Taylor (3,3,7,3) vs Kat (2,2,6,3) – Taylor put at risk more

6. Jordin (2,4,5,3) vs Blake (2,3,4,1) – Jordin put at risk more, but also pimped more – I’m calling this indeterminate

7. Cook (1,4,6,3) vs Archie (1,3,6,3) – most even year, but Cook at more risk

8. Kris (1,5,2,1) vs Adam (0,0,8,5) – most unbalanced year – Kris put at more risk

9. Lee (4,5,6,4) vs Crystal (2,3,6,2) – Lee more at risk

10. Scotty (3,3,3,0) vs Lauren (1,4,4,1) – Scotty more at risk

11. Phillip (2,4,5,2) vs Jessica (0,1,6,1) – Phillip more at risk

12. Candice (2,2,3,2) vs Kree (3,3,4,2) – Kree more at Risk

13. Caleb (3,4,5,3) vs Jena (3,4,6,3) – pretty even, but Jena pimped a little more.

14. Clark (2,2,5,1) vs Jax (1,2,5,3) vs Nick (2,3,4,2)

Seasons Where Risk/Pimp Indeterminate: Season 3 and 6
Seasons Where The Runner Up Was More at Risk: Season 1,2, 12
Seasons where the Winner Was More at Risk: Season 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 13

Accuracy: Winners Get Pimped: 27%% (3/11)
Winners Get Put at Risk: 73% (8/11)

Let’s call the theory for Winners Getting Put at Risk:
Advantage: Clark in Clark vs Jax, Nick in Clark vs Nick and Jax vs Nick

I could stay awake just to hear you singing, Watch you smile while you’re emoting, While you are on TV and winning. I could spend the night voting for your number. And at the end, you’re covered in confetti.

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VII) (Your Hair is) Always on My Mind

Hairography was an idea that was introduced to us in the first season of Glee before it went deeply off the rails. A show choir comes to the school and wows the audience by flipping their hair everywhere. Mr. Schue thinks that they need to add that kind of action to their performance, but Rachel disagrees. She thinks that hair is just used to distract the audience from bad singing and to have more faith in the audience. They will consider it a manipulative tool and think less of the performer. Does the performer become more about the style and undercut their own substance? Or do Idol audiences just prefer those who are low maintenance?

Let’s examine the hairography of the show:

1. Kelly (unremarkable hair that did it’s job) vs Justin (Side Show Bob) – Justin’s hair would have been in internet meme in the twitter era – Check!

2. Ruben (bald) vs Clay (major make-over resulting in Ryan-style flat-iron-palooza) – Clay’s hair became a talking point – Check!

3. Fantasia (no-nonsense pixie cut) vs Diana (pageant hair) – Fantasia was all about the music, Diana was called a pageant-bot – Check!

4. Carrie (long hair) vs Bo (longer hair, plus a beard!) – Carrie was the kind of Idol Contestant Viewers were used to…Bo’s styling was not. His hair and beard got the attention – Check!

5. Taylor (grey hair, $8 hair cut) vs Katharine (hair extensions) – Taylor’s intro package was all about his hair and it certainly was much commented on, but his low maintenance approach to it may have been more appealing to voters than Katherine with her styling and hair extensions (which Idol re-possessed and used in later years…) – Check!

6. Jordin (typical Idol Hair) vs Blake (radical changes in style and colour) – Blake’s hair became spoiler fodder… – check!

7. Cook (people commented more on his forehead than his hair) vs Archie (lucious locks) – Cook started out with high maintenance hair, but transitioned to low maintenance. It was Archie’s hair that got the positive attention – Check!

8. Kris (just hair) vs Adam (like Blake, Adam’s hair became the stuff of speculation) – Adam brought in his own hair stylist – the fact that is even known tells you everything about that season – Check!

9. Lee (boring hair, bizarre facial hair that caused people to look away) vs Crystal (much commented-upon Dreadlocks) – Crystal’s hair was perceived as an affectation while Lee’s facial hair was just a tragedy – Check!

10. Scotty (started out looking like an escapee from a POW camp, but transitioned into normal, unremarkable hair) vs Lauren (fancy die job and styling) – Scotty’s trended to remove focus from his hair while Lauren increased the focus on hers.

11. Phil (Stubbornly refused to brush his hair or change his shirt) vs Jessica (let the stylists do their job) – nobody could be lower maintenance than Phillip – Check!

12. Kree (same simple style every week) vs Candice (more adventurish) – Candice had more style than Kree – Oops!

13. Caleb (never looked cut, styled or even washed) vs Jena (even JLo admired her new styles each week) – Jena’s hair requires more maintenance – Check!

14. Nick (short hair with no styling needs) < Clark (probably conditions - Archuleta-like locks) < Jax (gives the stylists something to do). Advantage: Clark in Clark vs Jax, Nick in Jax vs Nick and Nick (by a nose) in Clark vs Nick Accuracy: 92% Confidence: Low, but getting higher Your hair is always on my mind, Your hair is always on my mind ********** VIII) A Change is [Not] Going to Come (if you bottom two, you can't win) This one is almost useless this year. Rayvon owned a spot in the bottom two and sent his opponent home each time before going home himself last week. So, we have very little to go on. Thanks Twitter-ites for your Rayvon obsession. The idea is that the contestant with enough popularity to never (or rarely) hits the bottom 2 is more likely to win. They have lots of ardent fans who vote through the good and bad weeks keeping their favourite off the dreaded seal of doom (or this year, the dreaded red chair of doom). We are only going to consider times that Ryan said the contestant was actually bottom 2/3 because if Ryan doesn't say it, it often means that they are not. 1. Kelly (0) vs Justin (1 (B2 top 7)): Advantage Kelly - Check! 2 Ruben (1 (B2 top 5)) vs Clay (WC): Advantage Clay (only top two advanced out of the semis, and his intervention was early) - Oops! 3. Fantasia (2 (B2 top 7 & 4) vs Diana (3 (B3-11,9 and 8)) - Advantage Diana because her bottom visits were earlier in the season so she must have gained fains - Oops! 4. Carrie (0) vs Bo (1 (B2Top 8)): Advantage Carrie - Check! 5. Taylor (0) vs Kat (2 (B2 Top 10 & 4)) : Advantage Taylor - Check! 6. Jordin (0) vs Blake (1 (B3 Top 7)): Advantage Jordin - Check! 7. David (0) vs David (0): Advantage none - Indeterminate 8. Kris (1 (B3 Top 5)) vs Adam (1 (B 2Top 5)): Advantage Kris (B3 is better than B2) - Check! 9. Lee (0) vs Crystal (0): Indeterminate 10. Scotty (0) vs Lauren (1 (B2 Top 5): Advantage Scotty - Check! 11. Phillip (0) vs Jessica (1 (Eliminated and Saved – Top 7): Advantage Phil - Check! 12. Candice (1 (B2 - Top 4A) vs Kree (Bottom 2 – Top 5): Advantage Kree - Oops! 13. Caleb (0) vs Jena (2 (WC, B3 Top 12): Advantage: Caleb - Check! 14. Clark (0) vs Jax (1 (B2 Top 4)) vs Nick (0) Advantage: Clark in Clark vs Jax, Nick in Jax vs Nick, Indeterminate Clark vs Nick Accuracy: 77% I was sent to the bottom by a little man, Oh and just like the bootee, I've lacked voters ev'r since. ************* IX) All By Myself (Singing at the End, Reminding You to Vote for Me) In former seasons, contestants wanted to sing last. As previously mentioned, it helps you to leave the lasting memory while obliterating your opponent's momment. The press knows this, the contestants know this and even the producers admit it. In a rare, rare, rare instance of leaving things to fate and letting contestants choose, starting in season 1, the producers have flipped a coin and let the winner of the coin toss select who sings last. Ryan tosses a large coin with pictures of the two finalists taped to it (in Season 4, it fell down a grate which had to be pried open). Whoever win, usually elects to sing last. Blake was the first not to do so. He and Scotty gave the choice to their female opponent for chivalrous reasons - Jordin and Lauren choose to sing first. Kree and Jena remain the only two contestants to win the coin toss and actually choose to sing first. This season, singing last meant that you were at risk to being eliminated, so it may have tainted viewers' and contestants' views on the matter. That said, the pimp spot does not guarantee the win: 1. Kelly/Justin: Kelly won the coin toss, sang last - Check! Ruben/Clay: Clay won the coin toss, sang last - Oops! Fantasia/Diana: Fantasia won the coin toss, sang last - Check! Carrie/Bo: Carrie won the coin toss, sang last - Check! Taylor/Kat: Taylor won the coin toss, sang last - Check! Jordin/Blake: Blake won the coin toss, gave the choice to Jordin who sang last - Check! Cook/Archie: Archie won the coin toss, sang last - Oops! Kris/Adam: Kris won the coin toss, sang last - Check! Lee/Crystal: Crystal won the coin toss, sang last - Oops! Scotty/Lauren: Scotty won the coin toss, gave the choice to Lauren who sang last - Oops! Phil/Jessica: Phil won the coin toss, sang last and won - Check! Candice/Kree: Kree won the coin toss, chose to sing first (?!?!?) and Candice who sang last - Check! Caleb/Jena: Jena won the coin toss, but chose to sing first because she, as she later claimed, did not understand the question - Check! We still don't know what they are doing this year about coin tosses and who is singing last. Accuracy: 69% (9 of 13) All by myself, I wanna be, All by myself, Singing Last ************* X) Superstition We now reach our spookiest, scariest and funnest predictive tool in the Idol Loonie arsenal...the Curse of Kristy Lee Cook. You may recall Kristy Lee Cook from Season 7 of American Idol where she finished 7th (she has since gone on to have a hunting show on one of the many cable channels that infest your dial). During her stay, she trotted out some patriotic songs ("God Bless the USA") and murdered the Beatles ("Eight Days a Week"), but she would likely have been long forgotten if it weren't for the fact that she shared the same last name as the dude who happened to win that season. Coincicence? And the the very next year, Kris won...Kris Cook. Weird. Then Lee...Kris Lee Cook. Freaky. And then Scott clarified that his name was "Scot-ty"...Kristy Lee Cook (and we found out his middle name was Cooke!!!!). Would it ever end? Phillip Phillips had none of her name in his, but he did go to Lee County High School in Leesburg, Lee County.....But, there it ended. Kree could be seen as a portmanteau of Kristy Lee, but she lost. Caleb and Jena were seemed urelated. Can we declare this curse dead? Is it too irrelevant....maybe not...bare with me... Season 11 may have caused a disturbance in the force. Did Phillip Phillips double name break the curse? Did the supreme manipulation to avoid a WGWG winner in season 12 break its back? Is it some weird 7-11 mojo? But...I could not help but notice a certain pattern.... Season 12: Candace RicKELLe Glover Season 13: Caleb Perry JohnSON Season 14: CLARK Beckham KELL...SON...CLARK...the Curse of Kristy Lee Cook has been replaced by the Blessing of Kelly Clarkson. It's no mistake that Advantage: Clark Accuracy: 100% Very superstitious, curses on the show. Very superstitious, Idols bout' to win. Fourteen years of Idol, broke our sanity. Predictions of the win, good sense is in our past ****************** History of the Superstitions (Advantages): Season 10: Scotty (4), Lauren (2), Neither (1) - Scotty won Season 11: Phil (7), Jessica (0), Neither (0) - Phillip won Season 12: Kree (4), Candice (1), Neither (3) - Candice won (although, Neither has made a strong case for being the real winner) Season 13: Caleb (6), Jena (3), Neither (1) - Caleb won So, who is going to win. It may depend who is in the finale: Clark vs Jax: Clark (6) Jax (1) Neither (1) Unknown (2) Clark vs Nick: Clark (2) Nick (4) Neither (2) Unknown (2) Jax vs Nick: Jax () Nick (6) Neither (1) Unknown (2) Clearly, Jax cannot win this thing. Nick or Clark have it in the bag if they go up against her. But if Nick or Clark go up against each other, I'm not sure we can predict a winner. Although Nick has twice as many points as Clark, there are two unknowns. Who sings last? What are their middle names? We could have our first dead heat at 4 vs 4. Plus, two of the categories I have Nick at an advantage (hairography and who is pimped more) are some of our least confident predictors and are quite subjective. And he's also winning in the alphabet order, but that one has been dead wrong since Season 12. And does his being in AGT help or hurt? We still don't know. I'm actually inclined to call it for Clark because he's from the South and he it fits my new Blessing of Kelly Clarkson idea. It can't be a coincidence that she was on this season? Sources: Many of these theories are exracted from a variety of Idol related sites, all claiming to originate them. I salute the clever people who developed them whoever they are. This season's superstitions have been brought to you by songs sung at least 5 times on Idol.

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.