HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Sep 30-06

With 46.22% of reports in, Justin Timberlake is aiming to have his second number one album of the year. “20/20 Experience” was released on March 15th with 968K in sales during its first week. “20/20 Experience #2” is expected to do about 350-370K in sales which is a significant drop, but still extremely impressive. I guess you get those disparities when you build anticipation by not releasing an album for years compared to just waiting a few months. In any event, Justin is set to shatter the record for the shortest time between new #1 albums and the shortest time between #1 albums released the same year. The previous holder of that latter record was One Direction. Justin’s “20/20 Experience”also surges and is now in the top 6 (predicted to sell 18-21K).

Lorde, with her new chart-topping hit, debuted her album just in time last week. Because Justin decided to release his album on Monday instead of Tuesday, everybody else decided to follow suit. That was the last day of Grammy eligibility so Lorde can be considered for Best New Artist and a host of other awards.

Haim, an Indie Pop Band, debuts in 4th, Tyler Farr (I’m going to skip wiki and guess from the title of his album that he is a Country artist) debuts in 9th and Nelly debuts in 10th.

Last week’s numbe 1, Drake slips down a not to 2nd. Kings of Leon or 5th, Cher is 7th and Luke Bryan (who also had two number one albums this year – though one was a compilation) is 8th.

No singing show competitors in the top 50 (Cassadee is releasing an album this week and iTunes tried to release one for Candice), but Avicii’s album at 13th futures a track written by X-Factor US’s Josh Krajcik and a vocal by Idol’s Adam Lambert. Idols’ Jordin Spark also as a writing credit on Ariana Grande’s album at 17th. As usual, the Voice is represented by a judge (Blake Shelton also had two number one albums in a year).

CHART DATE: 10/07/2013
LAST UPDATE: 10/07/2013 15:19:14
NOW IN: 46.22%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE #2 269,497
1 2 DRAKE NOTHING WAS THE SAME 105,791
— 3 LORDE PURE HEROINE 86,152
— 4 HAIM DAYS ARE GONE 20,475
2 5 KINGS OF LEON MECHANICAL BULL 15,342
35 6 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE 14,808
3 7 CHER CLOSER TO THE TRUTH 13,151
5 8 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY 13,135
— 9 TYLER FARR REDNECK CRAZY 12,173
— 10 NELLY M.O. 10,941

13 13 AVICII TRUE 8,191

30 17 ARIANA GRANDE YOURS TRULY 6,725

42 50 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 1,628

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.