HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Oct 28-Nov 3

With 51.61% of reports in, Canadian Indie Rockers, Arcade Fire are set to have their second number one album. Their previous album opened with 156K and went on to win the Album of the Year Grammy. This album is predicted to open with about 135K.

Katy Perry in her second week is expected to be second. Prism is predicted to sell around 90-95K which would be a drop in the 66-68% range which is slightly better than expected. Currently in third (and expected to be in 4th) is the novelty album for fans of the Duck Dynasty show (for those who are not in the know, it’s a Follow-A-Family Reality show about people who own a business that makes duck calls. It’s a ratings winner for A&E and their fourth season opened with 11.8M viewers. Didn’t A&E used to be more about the Arts? I guess now its more about the entertainment. Still, they are supposed to be an interesting family – from the preview I saw on youtube, they are NOT good singers. IDK, if I wanted a souvenir of the show, I’d probably buy a duck call instead. Maybe next they’ll come out with their own line of products at Sephora).

Country artist Thomas Rett is in fourth with his first full length studio album. He’s been involved in writing with Jason Aldean for a while and dropped an EP last year. Kiwi phenom Lorde is currently in 5th, rockers Linkin Park are debuting in 6th, Canadian rapper Drake is 7th, American (and former Disney-star) Miley is 8th and Country artist Luke Bryan is 9th (and American).

Representing singing show contestants is American Idol’s original winner Kelly Clarkson. Her Christmas album is currently 10th, but expected to finish the week in 3rd. If she loses to the duck guys, that’s just sad. So, sad, I might glare at a duck today.

Scotty McCreery (winner of the 10th season of AI) is currently in 21st in his third week while Cassadee Pope (winner of the 3rd season of TV) is not far behind in 24th. Susan Boyle who once ruled these charts is debuting way back in 36th. Time to go on Oprah again (if Oprah still had her highly-rated show instead of her lowly-rated channel). Susan is from Britain’s Got Talent. Avicci’s album (at 3nd) contains efforts by Idol’s Adam Lambert and X-Factor’s Josh Krajcik. Ariana Grande’s album (50th) features a single co-written by Idol’s Jordin Sparks.

CHART DATE: 11/04/2013
LAST UPDATE: 11/04/2013 16:03:13
NOW IN: 51.61%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 ARCADE FIRE REFLEKTOR 88,666
1 2 KATY PERY PRISM 53,270
— 3 THE ROBERTSONS DUCK THE HALLS: ROBERTSON FAMILY 35,794
— 4 THOMAS RHETT THOMAS RHETT 27,641
5 5 LORDE PURE HEROINE 24,589
— 6 LINKIN PARK RECHARGED 22,351
3 7 DRAKE NOTHING WAS THE SAME 21,707
2 8 MILEY CYRUS BANGERZ 18,274
9 9 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY 16,204
— 10 KELLY CLARKSON WRAPPED IN RED 15,593

14 21 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC SEE YOU TONIGHT 5,735

24 24 CASSADEE POPE FRAME BY FRAME 5,095

36 26 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 4,936

— 32 AVICII TRUE 3,986

— 36 SUSAN BOYLE HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 3,690

50 50 ARIANA GRANDE YOURS TRULY 2,614

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.