HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Oct 14-20

With 46.22% of reports in, Seattle grunge band, Pearl Jam is still going strong. They will debut with the number one album and are predicted to sell 170-180K range. This is their 10th studio album. Their last album was released in 2009 and debuted at number 1. Interestingly, it sold 189K that first week so Pearl Jam’s fans are remaining amazingly consistent to the band (or they replace new ones at the rate they lose old ones).

Miley Cyrus, last week’s number 1, moves back a spot to number 2 this week. The 75-80K in predicted sales single about a 70% drop from 270K and that is the norm these days. The Avett Brothers sound like a band from the 50s, but they are a folk rock band that formed in the 00’s (and only two of them are actually brothers! Scandal! Of course, Mumford and Sons have been getting away with pulling the wool (or flannel) over people’s eyes for years because none of Mumford’s sons are in the band. I don’t even think he has a son!!!!). Paul McCartney has a bunch of actual kids, but he’s going solo. His new album is called “NEW” and it is new this week at number 4 (expected to rise to 3 with 70-75K in sales). Drake (actually his middle name) is rapping in 5th, Lorde (stage name) is being wonderfully AAA in 6th, Head and Heart (also folk-rock and also from Seattle. As far as I know, they all have a head and a heart, so truth in advertising) is 7th. Justin Timberlake is 8th and Gavin Degraw debuts in 10th (and both use their original names).

Hiding in there is American Idol winner (S10), Scotty McCreery. He is releasing is third studio album (second was a Christmas album) and seems destined to top the Country chart this week. He’s been predicted to sell between 40-50K from various sources, so it is a step down from his 197K of his first album, but it is a solid base. He needs airplay to continue to sell well. His Christmas album opened about the same time last year and sold 40K so, that at least is holding steady. He’s currently at 9th and predicted to move up a few slots by the final report.

Glee’s the Quarterback had a solid second week with 9,130K. The sales of covers featured on shows tends to fall off quite rapidly, so that is pretty solid.

Voice winner from Season 3 (and topper of the Country chart last week) Cassadee Pope is at 19th. She’s predicted to sell 16-18K from 45K HDD had her at last week (that’s only a 60-64% drop which is pretty darn good in this market).

Idol Adam Lambert sings and XFactorer Josh Krajcik writes on Avicci’s album at 28th. Meanwhile, Ariana Grande’s album at 33 features a single that was co-written by Idol Jordin Sparks.

CHART DATE: 10/21/2013
LAST UPDATE: 10/21/2013 14:36:25
NOW IN: 46.22%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 PEARL JAM LIGHTNING BOLT 106,550
1 2 MILEY CYRUS BANGERZ 45,766
— 3 AVETT BROTHERS MAGPIE & THE DANDELION 41,293
— 4 PAUL MCCARTNEY NEW 38,261
3 5 DRAKE NOTHING WAS THE SAME 38,054
6 6 LORDE PURE HEROINE 36,655
— 7 HEAD AND THE HEART LET’S BE STILL 26,539
5 8 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE 2 OF 2 23,336
— 9 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC SEE YOU TONIGHT22,098
— 10 GAVIN DEGRAW MAKE A MOVE 20,355

7 18 GLEE CAST THE QUARTERBACK EP 9,130

9 19 CASSADEE POPE FRAME BY FRAME 8,958


42 28 AVICII TRUE 5,543

38 33 ARIANA GRANDE YOURS TRULY 4,524

— 44 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 3,063

— 50 YOUNG DRO HIGH TIMES 2,576

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About Kirsten 2853 Articles
Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.