HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Nov 25-Dec 1

With 50.65% of reports in, One Direction is out to an almost 250K lead. One Direction may have come in third on their season of X-Factor, but they didn’t let that stop them. They’ve slowly built up their fan base around the world and are sure to top charts in many countries this week. In the States, they released their first album in early 2012 and it debuted at number 1. By November, they released another and it too topped the charts selling 540K. This album, a year later is predicted to sell in the same range. Not many acts can brag of 3 chart topping albums in less than 2 years.

Eminem who topped the chart last week (and three weeks ago) has to settle for 2nd this week, Garth Brooks is third and those ridiculous Ducks are fourth (when will this joke end?). Katy Perry is currently in 5th, but she is predicted to move up to the top 3. Lady Gaga in her third week is 6th and is expected to sell 100K+ (Black Friday is softening the tumble she took in her second week). Miley Cyrus smokes her way to 7th, Justin Timerblake is 8th and the ever-present Luke Bryan is 9th.

Kelly Clarkson is currently in 10th, but predicted to be in the top 6 with 90-100K in sales. That’s an indication of how good this chart will be (top 6 may all make 100K in sales). It also means that half the top 6 come from reality shows (1D, Ducks and Kelly).

Danielle Bradbery is currently 17th in her debut week and Daughtry is way back in 21st in their second. Scotty McCreery is having a good week at 24th. Susan Boyle is currently 33rd but predicted to be in the top 15 when the dust clears. Kelly and 1D are featured on the “Songs for the Philippines” charity album at 22nd while Fantasia and Jordin are featured on the “Best Man Holiday” soundtrack at 28th.

Black Friday is traditionally the third best week of the year for album sales. Then we get a little bit of a slump until the last two weeks before Christmas when sales really take off (CDs make excellent stocking stuffers). Starting Christmas day, singles will start flying off the iTunes shelves producing staggering numbers.

CHART DATE: 12/02/2013
LAST UPDATE: 12/02/2013 14:44:17
NOW IN: 50.65%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 ONE DIRECTION MIDNIGHT MEMORIES 327,768
1 2 EMINEM MARSHALL MATHERS LP 2 89,166
— 3 GARTH BROOKS BLAME IT ALL ON MY ROOTS 87,201
4 4 THE ROBERTSONS DUCK THE HALLS: ROBERTSON FAMILY 72,015
11 5 KATY PERRY PRISM 62,607
7 6 LADY GAGA ARTPOP 48,182
16 7 MILEY CYRUS BANGERZ 46,863
21 8 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE 2 OF 2 35,972
15 9 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY 33,314
9 10 KELLY CLARKSON WRAPPED IN RED 31,007

32 13 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 29,790

— 17 DANIELLE BRADBERY BIDANIELLE BRADBERY 20,087

5 21 DAUGHTRY BAPTIZED 17,764
— 22 SONGS FOR THE PHILIPPINES VARIOUS ARTISTS 17,590

— 24 SCOTTY MCCREERY SEE YOU TONIGHT 12,879

22 28 BEST MAN HOLIDAY SOUNDTRACK 11,338

20 33 SUSAN BOYLE HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 8,819

34 38 BLAKE SHELTON CHEERS, IT’S CHRISTMAS 5,513

38 50 JOHN LEGEND LOVE IN THE FUTURE 3,039

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.