HDD – Album Sales Prediction – Aug 9-15

Carrie and Glee see to keep rolling on and there is no stopping Eminem (who seems to be set to clearly beat the kids from Camp Rock this week)

The Hits Daily Double Building chart and daily numbers thread. Have at it!

1 1 EMINEM 82, 296 RECOVERY
— 2 CAMP ROCK 2: THE FINAL JAM 34, 141 SOUNDTRACK
— 3 BLAKE SHELTON 27, 314 ALL ABOUT TONIGHT
2 4 ARCADE FIRE 26, 285 SUBURBS
7 5 JUSTIN BIEBER 25, 461 MY WORLD 2.0

34 34 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 5, 676 PLAY ON

50 39 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 33 4, 911 VARIOUS ARTISTS

— 43 GLEE CAST 4, 148 JOURNEY TO REGIONALS

42 48 GLEE CAST 3, 09

Hits Daily Double

About Kirsten 3046 Articles
Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.

28 Comments

  1. POP
    27 23 ADAM LAMBERT If I Had You 3046 2634 412 16.334
    +44 Spins
    -20 Bullet
    +0.008 AI

    #24 iTunes

    HAC
    34 30 ADAM LAMBERT If I Had You 567 411 156 3.20
    +18 Spins
    -18 Bullet
    +0.048 AI

  2. Here’s Danny’s daily update from mediabase:

    37 37 DANNY GOKEY I Will Not Say Goodbye 644 639 5 2.972

  3. Can someone please explain what the bullet means. How can someone have positive Spins and AI but a negative Bullet. Thanks-Love the education you get here on MJs. I really appreciate it. :-)

  4. 27 23 ADAM LAMBERT If I Had You 3046 2634 412 16.334

    Dhunken- today the bullet was 412 ( how many spins the song went up in a one week period (last Tuesday through today). Yesterdays bullet was 432. So the -20 is just the bullet difference from the day before.

    Personally, i don’t bother too much with the bullet difference. i care more about positive spin updates and larger bullets. It can fluctuate so much with the bullet difference, unless of course it is consistant.

  5. Studio57 Thanks for explaining it to me….Ok that makes sense and It doesn’t seem to be something I really should be so concerned with either. :mrgreen:

  6. Kris’s single seems to have re-gained a little bit of momentum on Hot AC, although it’s still likely to be passed by the Lady A single (probably today)

    19 18 KRIS ALLEN The Truth f/Pat Mona… 1482 1370 112 3.84
    +21 spins
    +15 bullet
    +0.51 AI

  7. Thanks from me also, Studio57. I had been misunderstanding exactly what the bullet difference meant. :)

  8. POP – 50-200
    61 55 DAUGHTRY September 338 264 74 1.123
    66 59 DAVID ARCHULETA Something ‘Bout Love 273 193 80 0.848
    58 60 KRIS ALLEN The Truth f/Pat Monahan 267 287 -20 0.918
    83 87 ALLISON IRAHETA Don’t Waste The Pretty 69 92 -23 0.127
    95 98 KRIS ALLEN Heartless 55 60 -5 0.508
    138 118 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Undo It 34 26 8 0.207

  9. I have a recurrent question.

    Songs go recurrent if they were highly ranked and then their rankings go down, correct?

    But there’s no recurrent if the songs were never highly ranked? “Heartless” has been on the charts it feels like forever, without its ever being particularly highly ranked. But other songs, like LLWD could be getting more plays but aren’t listed because they’ve gone recurrent.

    Is there some success/failure borderline that allows a song to stay on the charts simply because it was never a hit?

  10. Singles 08/17/2010
    #26 ADAM LAMBERT If I Had You
    #55 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Undo It
    #113 DAUGHTRY September
    #117 ADAM LAMBERT Whataya Want from Me
    #294 DAUGHTRY Life After You
    #300 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Cowboy Casanova
    #334 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Before He Cheats
    #385 KRIS ALLEN Live Like We’re Dying
    #394 KELLY CLARKSON Already Gone
    #403 KELLIE PICKLER Makin’ Me Fall In Love Again
    #405 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Temporary Home
    #520 KRIS ALLEN The Truth
    #525 CARRIE UNDERWOOD All-American Girl
    #544 DAVID ARCHULETA Something ‘Bout Love
    #589 FANTASIA Bittersweet
    #727 DAUGHTRY No Surprise
    #753 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Jesus, Take the Wheel
    #851 KELLIE PICKLER Best Days of Your Life
    #954 LEE DEWYZE Hallelujah (American Idol Studio Version)
    #972 KELLY CLARKSON Breakaway
    #980 KELLY CLARKSON My Life Would Suck Without You
    #993 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Last Name
    #1007 DAUGHTRY Home

    Albums 08/17/2010
    #115 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Play On
    #235 DAUGHTRY Leave This Town (Bonus Track Version)
    #340 ADAM LAMBERT For Your Entertainment
    #370 ADAM LAMBERT For Your Entertainment (Deluxe Version)
    #463 DAUGHTRY Leave This Town
    #657 DAUGHTRY Daughtry
    #713 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Some Hearts
    #803 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Carnival Ride
    #907 DAUGHTRY Leave This Town: The B-Sides
    #942 KRIS ALLEN Kris Allen

  11. iTunes

    #26 – IIHY
    #55 – Undo It
    #113 – September
    #117 – WWFM
    #385 – LLWD
    #403 – MMFILA
    #520 – TT
    #544 – SBL
    #589 – Bittersweet
    #977 – Hallelujah

    albums

    #114 – Play On
    #238/#467 – Leave This Town
    #343/#359 – FYE
    #914 – Leave This Town: The B Sides
    #950 – Kris Allen

  12. Jesus am i slow, lol!

    mickeyborden- I believe recurrents are only for top 40 on mediabase charts- they are still being spun, but not recorded on mediabase in order to make room for other songs.

  13. Haha – LLWD got an AC add yesterday from a station in Denver. That really is the little song that wouldn’ die

    Adam has 2 adds today for IIHY – from a rhythmic station in Poughkeepsie and from Top 40 station in Phoenix

    Archie has one Top 40 add for SBL today – a station in Daytona Beach

  14. IIHY – 6 top 40, 2 rhythmic
    * WEZB-FM Pub 12 Top 40 New Orleans 19/RMG Entercom 52 8/17/2010 3:03:00 PM
    * WLDI-FM Pub 10 Top 40 West Palm 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 47 8/17/2010 3:03:00 PM
    * WQEN-FM Pub 22 Top 40 Birmingham 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 57 8/17/2010 3:03:00 PM
    WCGQ-FM Act 9 Top 40 Columbus, GA 19/RMG PMB Broadcasting 188 8/17/2010 2:26:00 PM
    KZZP-FM Pub 8 Top 40 Phoenix 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 15 8/17/2010 12:47:00 PM
    WPKF-FM Act 0 Rhythmic Poughkeepsie 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 165 8/17/2010 8:48:00 AM
    WXXL-FM Pub 4 Top 40 Orlando 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 34 8/16/2010 12:03:00 PM
    KTBT-FM Pub 4 Rhythmic Tulsa 19/RMG Clear Channel Communications 65 8/16/2010 11:29:00 AM

  15. Final Total Adds this Week for IIHY- 16

    HAC – 7
    RHY – 2 (1 unmonitored)
    Top40 – 7 (1 Canadian)(1 unmonitored)

    Another darn good week!

  16. Thanks for the IIHY adds info, HotHotHot and Studio57. Did the Cumulus stations ever add IIHY? I remember they took forever to add WWFM, and I don’t recall seeing any cheers here that the Cumulus group had added IIHY.

  17. No,cwm- still didn’t add. They added Bruno Mars and some also added Sara Bareilles. their HAC stations reported no adds for the week.

  18. cwm:
    08/17/2010 at 6:39 pm
    Thanks for the IIHY adds info, HotHotHot and Studio57. Did the Cumulus stations ever add IIHY? I remember they took forever to add WWFM, and I don’t recall seeing any cheers here that the Cumulus group had added IIHY.

    I bet they won’t add until he hits top 20 and they have to! *jerks*

  19. I saw posted on twitter that David Archuleta’s “Something About Love” got 6 Top 40 adds. 2 were automatic adds from WHTS & WJIM (from spins) & the other 4 new adds were from CKEY, WKZL, WSPK & WVYB.

  20. Monitored radio adds this week for Idol Alumni:

    14 – Adam Lambert – If I Had You – 177
    11 – Daughtry – September – 124
    6 – David Archuleta – Something ‘Bout Love – 20
    4 – Chris Sligh – Only You Can Save – 13
    4 – Josh Gracin – Cover Girl – 20
    2 – Danny Gokey – I Will Not Say Goodbye – 72
    1 – Adam Lambert – Whataya Want from Me – 360
    1 – Carrie Underwood – Mama’s Song – 2
    1 – Carrie Underwood – Undo It – 161
    1 – Daughtry – Life After You – 320
    1 – Kellie Pickler – Makin’ Me Fall in Love Again – 107
    1 – Kris Allen – Live Like We’re Dying – 350
    1 – Kris Allen – The Truth – 100

  21. I bet they won’t add until he hits top 20 and they have to! *jerks*

    I didn’t realize this. Not that they are jerks of which I completely agree! But the fact that they have to add IIHY when it hits top 20!

  22. I didn’t realize this. Not that they are jerks of which I completely agree! But the fact that they have to add IIHY when it hits top 20!

    Actually, they never have to add, but if the song gets to #20 and everyone else is playing it, they sorta have to to keep up with the other stations (if it’s real popular). Doesn’t mean they have to play it much. I don’t think they added WWFM until it hit #20 (or around there).

  23. Another great adds week for Adam and Chris and David. Maybe this is stupid, but what is that number at the end of the adds, for example, Adam has a 177?

  24. aa618892:
    08/17/2010 at 8:06 pm
    Another great adds week for Adam and Chris and David. Maybe this is stupid, but what is that number at the end of the adds, for example, Adam has a 177?

    The 177 is the total number of adds for this song. WWFM has 360 adds.

  25. Actually, they never have to add, but if the song gets to #20 and everyone else is playing it, they sorta have to to keep up with the other stations (if it’s real popular). Doesn’t mean they have to play it much. I don’t think they added WWFM until it hit #20 (or around there).

    Ah, thank you. It made me crazy waiting for them to add WWFM. Keeping my fingers crossed for next week. :)

  26. in addition to the adds that others have mentioned above for IIHY, it was also added this week by WKTU, a big NYC station that will add a lot to the audience impression numbers (ktu is kinda weird, its not a top 40 station and doesn’t add on mediabase, but counts for billboard rankings etc…..it is very popular in NYC). And per the RCAPromo tweets, the San Francisco, Charlotte and Long Island top 40 stations will begin (indeed have already begun) spinning this week and will autoadd next week. All in all, a really good week for IIHY.

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