HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Apr 14-20

With 57% of reports in, Frozen is tops again. Not even close. It already has a 100K lead on number 2. It is estimated that it will finish in the 200K+ range fueled by Easter sales. With over 2.1M in sales, it continues to be the best-selling album of 2014. It was released in November of 2013 and sold 1.74M so far this year (beating Beyonce in second by 1.1M). The album really shows no sign of stopping and will tie Taylor Swift’s “Fearless” for the 8th most number of weeks on top of the album chart in the SoundScan Era. Even it’s Karaoke album is doing well debuting at 13th with 12K in sales already (BB predicted around 10K and said even that was rare for a Karaoke album to achieve).

Far, far back is a debuting Hip-Hop album from August Alsina. He can take comfort in beating last week’s number 2 already by almost a factor of 2. He should finish in the 66K range. American Idol Season 6 winner Jordin Spark’s boyfriend, Jason Derulo should come in 3. He’s had a lot of success on the singles front, but never been a huge album seller. His career suffered a set back a few years ago when he broke one of his vertebrae rehearsing some risky dance moves.

Luke Bryan, one of the guys Dexter likes to cover, is in 4th. NeedToBreathe (Alt Rock) is debuting in 5th and Lorde moves up to 6th. 5 Seconds to Summer (not Mars) is 7th (they opened for 1D on their big tour). Ingrid Michaelson (Indie Pop) opens at 8th, Katy Perry (one time Idol judge) is 9th and Eric Church (Country) is 10th).

The only album from a reality singing competition contestant is One Direction’s “Midnight Memories” which has moved up to 37th. Now 49 at 12th also features a couple of X-Factorers. There are some Voice judges in the mix at 24th and 36th.

CHART DATE: 04/21/2014
LAST UPDATE: 04/21/2014 15:07:02
NOW IN: 57.00%

LW TW artist / album label sales index
1 1 FROZEN SOUNDTRACK 146,136
— 2 AUGUST ALSINA TESTIMONY 39,224
— 3 JASON DERULO TALK DIRTY 31,628
8 4 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY 21,300
— 5 NEEDTOBREATHE RIVERS IN THE WASTELAND 19,722
13 6 LORDE PURE HEROINE 17,509
4 7 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER SHE LOOKS SO PERFECT – EP 14,939
— 8 INGRID MICHAELSON CLIGHTS OUT 13,690
23 9 KATY PERRY PRISM 13,517
14 10 ERIC CHURCH THE OUTSIDERS 13,025

9 12 NOW 49 VARIOUS ARTISTS 11,906
— 13 FROZEN DISNEY KARAOKE SERIES 11,435

11 24 SHAKIRA SHAKIRA.5,359

33 36 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 2,880
50 37 ONE DIRECTION MIDNIGHT MEMORIES 2,848

34 50 KACEY MUSGRAVES SAME TRAILER DIFFERENT PARK 1,606

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.