My Top 7 recap is up. Thanks for posting all your re-caps in the thread. I love reading them!

Due to last week’s shocking, SHOCKING boot of Michael Johns *sob*, there aren’t many winners in Top 8 pool.

Here are the Top 3 for this week:

1 monina79
2 Shabbychic
3 bugsy

And the Top 3 overall:

1 bugsy
2 maracaibo
2 WSULeifJ

Congrats and good luck tonight! Remember, first prize is an iTunes gift card!

Don’t forget, Elliott Yamin will be performing on tonight’s results show. Mariah Carey will also be on hand to serenade her “lambs” with her new single “Touch My Body”.

The question for this week is, which girl will be eliminated tonight? Kristy Lee Cook, once again exceeded expectations with her performance of “Forever”. She’s got the country vote, and that vote is mighty. Syesha Mercado also had a pretty good performance and her own voting block. I think she’s safe for this week.

Elimination is between Brooke White and Carly Smithson. Both had lackluster performances. Brooke may have earned a little sympathy with her story about missing her sister’s wedding. I also think her apparent vulnerability may have garnered her some   sympathy votes as well.

Carly, on the other hand, was #2 in the performance order–the death spot–and followed the favored David Archuleta. Simon is still panning her, and unfortunately, she is still not connecting with the audience.

If I were covering all my bases, I’d split my votes between Carly and Brooke. But since that’s not how I’ve been rolling lately, all my votes are going to Carly Smithson for elimination tonight.

 
  • jersey

    Thanks, MJ. As always, I’ve changed my points about 5 times today and might do it again! Currently, I think I have 15 on Carly and 5 on Brooke.

  • primeminister

    AI’s main page says Mariah sings “Bye Bye” tonight.

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    I suck at this, honestly. I won’t even try anymore. LOL.

    I do agree that Carly and Brooke are in the most trouble. I actually thought Carly fared okay, but even if she didn’t get the death slot, she went right after Little D whose chances of falling prey to the death slot are almost as tiny as KLC’s chances of coming out one week with absolutely nothing sparkly or glittery (is that even a word?) on her. She may have picked up a few of MJ’s voters from her stool time, but I doubt it was enough to save her.

    Brooke’s fanbase should have power-voted, on the other hand, from her near breakdown and visible shakeness. SHe probably got some pity votes, too.

    Well, since it looks like it’s going to be Brooke and Carly in the bottom 2, they should have the paramedics ready to go. A truckload of tissues during the after party wouldn’t hurt, as well.

  • dante

    I just hope this isn’t another shocking boot night. Hope it is Syesha, but fear it will be Brooke. Wish it would be KLC but that just isn’t gonna happen tonight.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    I’m putting most of my votes on Brooke (15). She was my favorite girl. She’s lost her confidence and has had several bad performances in a row. “Saving” her seems futile at this point. I’ll probably buy her album, but watching her on my teevee is becoming uncomfortable. I hope we can put her out of her misery tonight.

    My other 5 points will go to Carly. I think she did better than Simon thought, and her fans (hopefully) will power vote. Plus, I have her to win it all, which won’t happen, but she definitely had a better vocal than Brooke.

    ETA: Plus, Brooke would be better at the WHC dinner than Carly. She can tell GB “It’s okay!”

  • abbysee

    Should I even try. Last week was a total bust, and I actually think tonight will be as well. I was thinking 10 each for Syesha and Carly. Brooke was worst by a mile, but she is just so darn sympathetic I just don’t want to anticipate the puddle of goo she will desolve into when she is booted. I just don’t know but since my ranking is like 456 it really doesn’t matter, eh?

  • http://stores.ebay.com/BookWomanBlues-Book-Nook Bobbi

    I too suck at this. But I also decided to put everything on Carly. I’m so far down on the totem pole it won’t make any difference to anyone else so I’m just doing it for my own amusement. ;)

  • primeminister

    I was thinking of doing that 15-5 split too, pj….but I may just end up putting it all on Brooke. I don’t think putting her in the bottom 3 this week and then allowing her to survive another week will help her find the confidence she’s lost over the weeks. Plus Hero will be a nice boot song.

    BUT, she has fans. And she’s likable. And she had a better spot than Carly. And she took some risks with her performance.

    Ah…another tough week.

  • Caffiend

    I’m betting it all on Brooke because that’s who I WANT to leave.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    Well, at 13, I kinda think I should hedge a little. I have no chance of winning with my overall Carly pick unless I start going for broke. Ah, decisions.

  • J.S.G.

    Well, we know it is Carly, Syesha and Brooke in the bottom three and it is going to take about 50 minutes of filler(okay, maybe a decent roup song, l’m looking forward to Elliot, and Mariah’s ‘Bye,Bye’ was pretty good on Oprah) just to get to the bottom three.

    Given Syesha’s utter lack of a fanbase, I wouldn’t be surprised if she got the boot, but what a note to go out on.
    And Brooke’s steady descent since “Let It Be’ is painful to watch, and I don’t think she’ll ever adapt to this stage but she does have a real following.

    Which brings us to Carly and that phony Mariah it is nice to meet you greeting, when she is clearly on the record as having met Mariah before.
    I thought Carly, DavidC and Michael J would have been a dream top three.
    But a continued lack of sincerity off-stage usually translates to a lack of sincinerity on stage and it shows in Carly’s vocal.
    It is time for Carly to go home to Road Map Face and wonder why she settled for so little, whin if she truly had believed in herself she could have had so much more.

  • jersey

    Yeah, Abbysee, I’m tied with a zillion others for like 72 or something like that, so I’m not sure why I get so worked up over my picks, lol.

  • Giggy

    I pulled this off of idolforums. It’s Aunt Edna’s prediction covered over in hints. If you can figure it out, you are smarter than I am:

    Here is this weeks clues:

    The chosen one is safe.

    The one who’s not of the U.S. is safe.

    One of Elton and Sarah’s kids songs almost spells out the name of someone who is in big big trouble.

    The third one who’s usually the fourth one is safe (oink oink).

    The one on the ads is in trouble . The one who kicked off the Filipina lady’s favorite is in trouble .

  • Giggy

    For the first time this season I am nervousing because I’m afraid Brooke is leaving. She’s my fav but, realistically, her performance was very poor and she deserves to go.

    If Kristy ends up going, I will be surprised because she has really raised her game the last two performances. I would like her to stay at least another week because now I’m curious about what she will sing and how well she will perform.

    Unless Randy’s favorite doesn’t mean anything, Carly could go….but that’s highly doubtful. At least at THIS point.

  • Caffiend

    I called Carly’s number a lot last night and had a really hard time getting through.

  • jersey

    Okay, who is Aunt Edna and why do I care what she thinks?

  • beesims

    I am hedging my bets between Carly, Syesha and Brooke. My brain is telling me that it is Carly but my gut tells me that Syesha’s time has come. I put the least amount of my points on Brooke just because I think she may have garnered pity votes and she is perceived as the “likeable” of the three. Wouldn’t it be a hoot if Kristy finally got the boot. I am rooting for Carly to stay in because she just fascinates me and makes for good TeeVee.

  • Giggy

    “Okay, who is Aunt Edna and why do I care what she thinks?”

    A, I don’t know who she is

    B. This was posted on idolforums and I thought folks could have fun with it here.

    C. It’s cool, you don’t have to care.

  • jersey

    Giggy, I wasn’t trying to be rude with my question – and if it appeared that way I’m sorry.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    I wen’t over there and Joe’s Place says these are not Aunt Edna clues, for what that’s worth. :laugh_tb:

  • HollandX

    edit: nevermind. my bad.

  • Giggy

    “Giggy, I wasnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t trying to be rude with my question – and if it appeared that way Ià ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢m sorry.”

    Gotta love cyber interpretation. I’m sorry, too. Didn’t mean to assume the worst.

    Honestly, I don’t keep up with any other ‘Idol’ forum except this one and idolforums and I don’t even post there anymore so I haven’t ventured to find out who Aunt Edna is and what it is she does but maybe it’s a good time to find out. After all, if I’m gonna post stuff from her, I may as well find out what she is about and if she is somewhat authentic.

    SO….with this in mind…I’ll be back with a better answer in a bit!

    :)

  • Lisa

    Here is this weeks clues:

    The chosen one is safe.
    One of the Davids.

    The one whoà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s not of the U.S. is safe.
    Carly

    One of Elton and Sarahà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s kids songs almost spells out the name of someone who is in big big trouble.
    Still trying to figure this one out.

    The third one whoà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s usually the fourth one is safe (oink oink).
    KLC, maybe a reference to her being country

    The one on the ads is in trouble . The one who kicked off the Filipina ladyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s favorite is in trouble .
    Who kicked off Rami’s Danny? Who joined him in the bottom 2?

    Edited: I used to enjoy Aunt Edna’s guessing games. Yes I see it is not really hers, but had fun guessing anyways, lol. Aunt Edna worked for the phone company.

  • tinawina

    I’m going with the 10/10 split between Syesha and Brooke. The week after a shocking boot is the week america tries to “get it right”, and I think Brooke gave the worst performance while Syesha has the weakest fanbase. I don’t feel like it’s Carly this time.

    But, I SUCK at this too, so what do I know? LOL

  • Giggy

    I found the answer here at mj’s blog:

    à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã…“Aunt Ednaà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬  is an anonymous person who claims to work for AT&T. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã…“Herà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬  accuracy is about on par with Dialidol, I believe. Unlike DialIdol, she does not explain her methodology, she just produces a bunch of statistics each week. She posts her stuff in a closed MSN group that doesnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t take many new members. Anybody who is interested in her voting predictions should check out the AI7 spoiler forum at IdolForums.com. Somebody usually posts her predictions in a thread there.

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    One of Elton and Sarahà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s kids songs almost spells out the name of someone who is in big big trouble.

    Possibly Brooke? I don’t know what the reference to the “kid’s song” is or anything, but the almost spelling out part could refer to a song called “Brook” or something. Besides, Brooke is in trouble anyway.

    The one on the ads is in trouble.

    I think this one is Syesha — she’s had the off-AI Ford commercials and everything.

    Whoever this Aunt Edna is, she’s missing one person. She gave 6 clues for seven contestants. That said, her TCO clue probably means both Davids, then.

  • http://stores.ebay.com/BookWomanBlues-Book-Nook Bobbi

    Wasn’t it Danny and Chikezie? I seem to remember he was kept in favor of both Danny and David H.

    The one on the ads = Brooke? Everyone seems to remember her from the preseason promos.

  • Giggy

    One of Elton and Sarah’s kids songs almost spells out the name of someone who is in big big trouble. I typed it in goggle and i got elton and sarah pointer parents of the pointer sisters…
    That’s Syesha (He’s So Shy)

    Which throws me off because isn’t Syesha the one in the ads, too? I’m confuzzled. I hate waiting when I think one of my favs is on their way out. I want to take the blow in small doses.

    What it boils down to is Kristy, Syesha and Brooke are probably in the bottom 3 (no surprise there). Sadly, I think Brooke will go. :(

  • Lisa

    Ok trying again, lol.

    One of Elton and Sarahà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s kids songs almost spells out the name of someone who is in big big trouble.
    Brooke.

    The one on the ads is in trouble. (Syesha did ads prior to AI)
    Syesha.

    The one who kicked off the Filipina ladyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s favorite is in trouble .
    Jason???

  • Lisa

    Giggy I agree with part of yours. What the riddle looks like *to me* is the bottom 3 are:

    Brooke, Syesha & Jason with Brooke leaving tonight.

  • cheese

    Does anyone think that they might NOT do the Top 3-Bottom 3 shenanigans tonight with the top 3 being so obvious? I guess Nigel enjoys it too much to let it go, probably.

    I put 10 on Brooke and 10 on Syesha but after getting 2 points last week when I picked DC to leave (oops! paranoia is a terrible thing) I wouldn’t be surprised if it ends up being Carly.

    Does anyone know what Elliott is singing tonight?

  • tinawina

    The Pointer sisters have no songs with Brooke or White in the title. That’s Syesha.

    Brooke also appeared in ads.

    Filipina lady’s favortie – wasn’t Ramielle close to that blonde chick who did impressions too? Who was with her the night she got kicked off. Kristy?

  • jersey

    I’m counting on the top three bottom three tonight so I can get more points in the pool! LOL. I currently have 5 on Carly, 5 on Syesha and 10 on Brooke. I’m sure that’s not my final!

  • Lisa

    Cheese, I think they will make either David Cook or Jason pick (if Jason is safe that is). David A I don’t think could handle having to pick. For some reason I am leaning towards David Cook having to pick cause I think Nigel likes DA better. Just MHO tho, lol.

  • tinawina

    She said big big trouble next to Syesha’s clue, and just big trouble to the others. So it may be Syesha who goes.

  • Lisa

    That works for me Tinawina, am past ready for Syesha to go.

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    Filipina ladyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s favortie – wasnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t Ramielle close to that blonde chick who did impressions too? Who was with her the night she got kicked off. Kristy?

    Alaina was in the Bottom 2 with Kady that week. Kady got kicked off the next week, though. This one’s probably Jason, purely because he doesn’t even remotely fit any of the other clues.

    ETA: I hope so, tina. I really can’t take her anymore.

  • tinawina

    Alaina was in the Bottom 2 with Kady that week. Kady got kicked off the next week, though. This oneà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s probably Jason, purely because he doesnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t even remotely fit any of the other clues.

    Aw, well that blows my theory out of the water. Jason it is. BOOO!

  • Giggy

    For the record, I don’t believe these so called hints but it’s fun to try and figure it out.

    Honestly, I could’ve pulled the bottom three out of my azz for tonight and come up with my own clues. It’s pretty obvious and if the REAL final 3 aren’t Brooke, Syesha and Kristy then my mouth will drop to the floor.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    Joe’s Place who had the pre-season spoilers says she’s on Aunt Edna’s site and these are false. Don’t worry. :-)

    Plus, I never believed AE.

    It is fun, though.

  • jersey

    I went to idolforums; someone said the oink oink clue is Jason because of Randy’s luaou (sp?) comment last night.

  • Giggy

    pj…thanks for the heads-up! I agree, it’s fun. It passes time.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    Giggy, sure does! Thanks for bringing them over!

  • Lisa

    Ok another thought. Remember what Randy said about the Luau? Oink Oink could refer to that which would mean Jason is safe.

    edited: well shoot maybe I should have gone to IDF my guess was late, lol. I know these are not real, but they are fun.

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    It is fun, though.

    I don’t believe them either (I really doubt Carly is safe), but it’s fun to figure out the more difficult ones, hah.

    I went to idolforums; someone said the oink oink clue is Jason because of Randyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s luaou (sp?) comment last night.

    Which clue is Kristy, then? If that one is Jason, I can’t figure out which is Kristy.

  • http://www.myspace.com/gundomom CarieB

    WTH? Elliott is performing tonight? What rock )ok, airplane seat) have I been under. I’m looking forward to it.

    I put all 20 points on Carly. Eep. After what happened with Michael last week, I’m going to go with my gut/brain combo.

    MJ, thanks as always for your awesome recap. You just rule. That is all.

  • Kirsten

    Does anyone think that they might NOT do the Top 3-Bottom 3 shenanigans tonight with the top 3 being so obvious? I guess Nigel enjoys it too much to let it go, probably.

    Nigel loves that gimmick. I think it’s here to stay. That said, they might not want to be too mean after the criticism they received last week. On the other hand, they might want to be even meaner because of all the press they got last week.

    If I’m Nigel and ratings are all I care about, here is what I do tonight:

    1. Pull David C up and have him stand on one side of the stage. Then, pull David A up and have him stand on the other side of the stage. Have Ryan say “America, what have you done?” and go to commercial.

    Result: Everybody is glued to their TV sets for the rest of the night because which TCO is getting the boot? BWAHAHA!

    2. 10 minutes later, I pull up Brooke and stick her with David C. BWAHAHA! Now David C is grouped with the worst of the night. What does that mean? Then, I stick Jason with David A. LaLaLaLa! Jason and David C share fans. Which group will the fans hope is the bottom 3?

    3. 10 minutes later. Parcel out two of the remaining 3 girls. Ryan “You all know what happens after the break”.

    4. After much stalling, Ryan: “Every year, during top 7, we have somebody pick which is the safe group. We aren’t going to do that to you this year. So-and-so, I’m sorry, but you are going home”. Group hugs.

    The internet explodes. Every water cooler discussion is about which group was the bottom group while others keep shouting “Ryan never said there was a safe group”. Plus, they can talk about the “new twist” and whether it was meaner to do that than make them pick a group.

    Nigel smokes a cigarette.

  • weelassie

    Dial idol has Brooke, syesha, and carly in the bottom three. Not that that means anything.

  • tinawina

    Man Kirsten, you are so right. Maybe you ARE Nigel. lol.

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    @Kirsten: LOL! And now if only that would happen…*sigh* It’d be interesting to see that happen, though. Melinda has inevitably started the “Sit in the middle of the stage and refuse to pick a group!” trend, so whomever is picked to choose tonight will probably do the same (providing they watched Melinda do so last season). And whomever is picked next. And next. Booo-ring.

  • Giggy

    Kirsten, that’s a freaking great idea. :::big applause:::

  • KrazeeK120

    Kirsten, I like your idea too!!!

    OK so I can’t see the bottom 3 being any other than Syesha, Carly, and Brooke. Out of those 3, I have no clue who’s going home.

    They won’t make Kristy pick the safe group because she’s too boring, or David A. because he’s, well, David A. I don’t think they’ll do that to David C. after the obviously emotional time he had last night. Which leaves Jason. He’ll probably just stand there and look confused. (Don’t hate, Jason is my favorite.)

  • AZIdolFan

    I <3 Kirsten!!!

    that was perfection.

  • s0x_prisoner

    Yay Elliott! Any word on what song he’s performing?

  • judy

    I am so bad at this Idol pool. Everytime I pick someone who I am sure is going to go, they are safe and the one I didn’t put ANY points on goes. So now I’m using reverse psychology or whatever to get rid of Carly. I DIDN’T put any points on her and put all my points on someone else. So, if things go as they have, CARLY WILL GO. I won’t get any points, but my mission will have been accomplished!!

  • http://www.myspace.com/gundomom CarieB

    Hope you’re right Judy. I have all my points on “the Irish Girl”. I sucked last week (as did a bunch of peeps). and have done poorly several times to the point that I thought about “trying” to come in dead last just for fun.

  • jersey

    Okay, I made my last change to my pool points. LOL. I put 10 on Carly and 5 on both Syesha and Brooke. At least I should get some points.

  • St.Lucia

    I’m so bad at this!!!!

    LAST week I totally forgot to put my votes in! I’m so programmed and I usually make my picks at around 8….

    Well, last THURSDAY the show was on at 8 and I completely spaced it and just thought it was going to be on at 9.

    So yeah, no points for me!

    This week I’ve split between Carly and Brooke. While I think Syesha didn’t put out a good performance, I do think she’s got enough support behind her to keep her safe another week. I think she’s alright.

    I’m putting slightly more on Carly than Brooke however.

    YAY for Elliott, however! :)

  • sumidol

    I think Brooke will be the one to leave.

    David A has the teeny bopper vote cornered
    David C has the rocker dude vote cornered
    Carly has the rocker chick vote cornered
    Kristy has the country vote and the votes from votefortheworst.com
    Jason has the Hawaiian, unique, different vote cornered
    Syesha has the Black vote cornered

    So Brooke, I pick you, you are sweet and have a special voice but baby you need to go home and get some rest before you have a nervous breakdown

  • Giggy

    Geeez Kirsten….did you FAX over your idea? Looks like it’s playing out the way you said to a degree.

  • s0x_prisoner

    YAY ELLIOTT!