HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Nov 12-18

With 60.75% of reports in, One Direction is set to sell Gold in their debut week for their second album “Take Me Home”. I don’t think we’ve seen a reality star open this big since Clay Aiken back in 2003 (613K). Even the mighty SuBo “only” opened with 411K back in 2009. That this is their second album in 2012 to sell Gold shows that Simon knows how to sell boy bands. Many try, few succeed. That’s not to take anything away from the lads who have done their part selling their roles while being affable. And still selling well is their first album, “Up All Night”, which is currently at 28th. It’s all very impressive and it will be interesting to see how this big album sells through the 2012 Christmas season. A perfect stocking suffer for many a female tween, no?

In a VERY distant second is Taylor Swift who has been leading the chart for the last 2 weeks. She’s on her way to an easy 2M, so no tears need to be shed (but she might write a song about this tragedy). The ever popular Now series charts three albums this week. At number three is Now 44 featuring American Idol Kelly Clarkson, Canadian Idol Carly Rae Jepsen, Voice Judge Adam Levine and new American Idol judge Nicki Minaj. Hanging on the bottom of the chart at 50 is NOW 43 featuring Canadian Idol Carly Rae Jepsen, UK X-Factorer One Direction, UK X-Factorer Cher Lloyd, XF US judge Demi Lovato and Voice judge Adam Levine. Two rungs ahead at 48 is Now Disney featuring Voice judge Christina.

Fourth is Rod Stewart with what looks like the Christmas album of the season. The last Twilight movie premiered this weekend and that pushed the Soundtrack to debut at 5th. Jason Aldean is a selling machine and “Night Train” is 6th. Rockers Green Day and Soundgarden are 7th and 8th respectively.

Susan Boyle continues to remain relevant with her fourth album in as many years. She may not be selling as well as she did when she was fresh off of Britain’s Got Talent, but she’s doing well enough to premiere in the top 10. Voice contestants wish they could do so well with their first album.

Speaking of the Voice, here come the judges. Besides being all over the previously mentioned NOW albums, Voice judge Christina is currently debuting in 10th with “Lotus”. Not far behind is co-judge Blake Shelton with “Cheers, It’s Christmas” at 13th. Coming in third is his bro-judge Adam Levine’s band, Maroon 5, at 27th with “Overexposed”. Way to go Voice on giving a chance for musicians to reach a larger audience. Idol is going to have to pick up their socks because former judge Steven Tyler’s Aerosmith’s latest album is trailing at 29th.

Meanwhile, we’ll have to settle for contestants from the show making their mark. Idol Scotty McCreery’s “Christmas with Scotty” is at 31 and Carrie Underwood’s “Blown Away” is at 34th. Pentatonix from NBC’s other (now cancelled) singing show is currently at 32 with their second album “PTXMS”. Look at that. Getting a second album and debuting it in the top 50. Not all shows can brag of introducing acts that can do that. And to do that with a niche theme of featuring a cappella groups? Well, done “Sing Off”!

Because this is Black Friday week, albums were released on Monday. So, we should see one day estimates for this week’s releases including Idol’s Phil Phillip and Kelly Clarkson (Nicki Minaj is also doing a re-release).

CHART DATE: 11/19/2012
LAST UPDATE: 11/19/2012 16:19:50
NOW IN: 60.75%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 ONE DIRECTION TAKE ME HOME 438,089
1 2 TAYLOR SWIFT RED 91,657
2 3 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 44 VARIOUS ARTISTS 45,278
3 4 ROD STEWART MERRY CHRISTMAS BABY 38,443
— 5 TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN 2 SOUNDTRACK 33,336
6 6 JASON ALDEAN NIGHT TRAIN 24,487
— 7 GREEN DAY DOS 23,428
— 8 SOUNDGARDEN KING ANIMAL 23,083
— 9 SUSAN BOYLE STANDING OVATION: THE GREATEST 22,480
— 10 CHRISTINA AGUILERA LOTUS 21,659

12 13 BLAKE SHELTON CHEERS, IT’S CHRISTMAS 19,752

19 27 MAROON 5 OVEREXPOSED 8,427
24 28 ONE DIRECTION UP ALL NIGHT 8,003
5 29 AEROSMITH MUSIC FROM ANOTHER DIMENSION 7,889

16 31 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC CHRISTMAS WITH SCOTTY 5,651
— 32 PENTATONIX PTXMAS 5,410

26 34 CARRIE UNDERWOOD BLOWN AWAY 4,915

32 48 NOW DISNEY VARIOUS ARTISTS 2,699

39 50 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 43 VARIOUS ARTISTS 2,506

Hits Daily Double

About Kirsten 3051 Articles
Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.