HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Apr 29-May 5

With 69.42% of reports in, Lee DeWyze is about to loose one of his records – one he probably doesn’t mind losing. For the last 3 years, he has held the record for the lowest album debut week sales of any American Idol finalist – 39K units moved. Jessica Sanchez has him easily beat with her 15-17K in sales. Needless to say, she is also snatching Diana Degarmo’s crown of lowest selling runner-up whose “Blue Skies” sold 47K way back in Season 3.

I don’t really blame Jess. This album release has been rather low-key. One appearance on Idol, a single not going for adds until a week after album debut, very little promo – one might almost say that Interscope is keeping her their little secret – and an album out almost a year after her season…one has to wonder what Jimmie was thinking and what the future for whoever wins this season will be. Jimmie hasn’t had an incredible track record of breaking female singers on this show. He does do well with the WGWG, though.

A guy who knows how to break female Idols? I hate to say this, but the crypt-keeper himself, Clive Davis. And, look, there is Fantasia in her second week in the number 4 position. Not shabby at all. In fact, very good. Of course, I could point to a lot of his flops (Kat McPhee, anybody?) and Fantasia has worked hard for her continued success (and Clive is long out of the picture).

Okay, onto the rundown. Kenny Chesney is set to have his 7th number one album this week. The dude is a machine. He releases an album every year – 9 albums since 2004. Michael Buble who was number one last week, will be number two this week. Justin Timberlake is the new Adele as he refuses to give up his slot in the top 3. Fantasia, as previously mentioned, is 4th. Voice Judge Blake Shelton is 5th, Randy Rogers Band is 6th, Macklemore and Lewis are 7th, FOB 8th, P!nk (getting covered three times in two weeks on Idol) is 9th and Florida Georgia Line makes it 4 Country acts in the top 10.

Jessica is currently debuting way down in 18th with a predicted 15-17K in sales (about double what the best-selling winner of the Voice sold and in line with what the best-selling winner of US XF sold – BTW Tate is off the chart in his third week). Carrie is 42nd, Phil is 44th and Kelly Clarkson clings to the bottom of the chart at 50th (Idols better release some new albums or I’m going to run out of things to report). Now 45 features 1D, Kelly and Phil and is currently at 36th.

This week is Mother’s Day so expect a surge in sales for albums that might appeal to Mom.

LAST UPDATE: 05/06/2013 16:48:41
NOW IN: 69.42%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 KENNY CHESNEY LIFE ON A ROCK 112,753
1 2 MICHAEL BUBLE TO BE LOVED 52,088
3 3 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE 50,392
2 4 FANTASIA SIDE EFFECTS OF YOU 23,258
6 5 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 22,036
— 6 RANDY ROGERS BAND TROUBLE 19,144
11 7 MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS HEIST 18,441
5 8 FALL OUT BOY SAVE ROCK AND ROLL 17,586
8 9 P!NK TRUTH ABOUT LOVE 17,282
16 11 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE HERE’S TO THE GOOD TIMES 14,794

— 18 JESSICA SANCHEZ ME YOU & THE MUSIC 9,524

36 36 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 45 VARIOUS ARTISTS 5,914

46 42 CARRIE UNDERWOOD BLOWN AWAY 5,704

43 44 PHILLIP PHILLIPS WORLD FROM THE SIDE OF THE MOON 5,266

44 50 KELLY CLARKSON GREATEST HITS – CHAPTER 1 4,013

Hits Daily Double

About Kirsten 3037 Articles
Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.