Phillip Phillips Set For Another Big Week on Billboard 200 (Numbers Thread)

Billboard is predicting another big week for Phillip Phillips‘ album The World From the Side of the Moon due to a $6.99 iTunes discount.

According to predictions, Phillip’s debut could climb from #11 to #3 on the Billboard 200 and sell between 55,000 to 75,000 copies.

Few albums make their  debut during the January doldrums, which accounts for nice chart surge Phillip is likely to enjoy on the BB 200 next week.

This past week, The World From The Side of The Moon, sold 58K copies  for a total of 533k.

Click to Download The World from the Side of the Moon from iTunes

ETA: These numbers are based on 4 days of sales-from Sunday to Thursday from  iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers (about 85% of the merchants). Nielsen Soundscan’s week ends on Sunday and releases sales numbers for the previous week on Wednesday. Billboard releases their chart numbers on Thursday.

Rank LW
BB 200 Artist Title
1 8 Mumford & Sons “Babel”
2 2 Soundtrack “Les Miserables: Highlights”
3 11 Phillip Phillips “The World From the Side of the Moon”
4 3 One Direction “Take Me Home”
5 1 Taylor Swift “Red”
6 18 Alicia Keys “Girl On Fire”
7 4 Bruno Mars “Unorthodox Jukebox”
8 10 Soundtrack “Pitch Perfect”
9 12 Justin Bieber “Believe”
10 9 The Lumineers “The Lumineers”

This is your Daily Numbers Thread for the weekend! Post numbers as you find them.

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  • TheOther

    I will defer to the critics (including MJ) who reviewed TWFTSOTM and said that Phillip should have a very successful era with the CD.  As non fans have indicated, he has gotten really good promotion and label support. 

    Idol will be back in a few weeks.  And they have been very generous with their promos of the Season11 winner.  With some tweeking, Gone, Gone, Gone could be the new boot song.

  • LongKissGoodnight

    Few corrections.
    What you have posted is not a prediction, it is Billboard’s Building Chart, and it reflects the first four days (Monday
    through Thursday) of SoundScan’s tracking week (which ends Sunday) as
    reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best
    Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates
    that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.

    In other words, the fact that Phillip was third after 4 day’s of sales does not mean that he will end up third when the rest of the week is counted in.

    Similarly M&S album is number 1 on the Building chart, but BB is actually predicting that “On next week’s chart, “Babel” may have to settle for a big jump to the No. 2 slot. (It was No. 8 on the Billboard 200 this past week.) Standing in “Babel’s” way (possibly) is the “Les Miserables” soundtrack. As we reported on Jan. 3, it may sell more than 100,000 this week and jump into the penthouse.”

    Of course I would like nothing more than to see Phillip getting a new peak on BB 200, month and a half after his debut… Just want to save folks the disappointment from confusing Building Chart with predictions if/when it does not happen.
    HITS is the service that makes the most accurate predictions, and they have Phillip in 5th place.

    Les Miserables (Republic) 120-130k
    One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 95-105k
    Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 85-95k
    Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 85-95k
    Phillip Phillips (19/Interscope) 60-70k
    Pitch Perfect (UMe) 55-60k
    Lumineers (Dualtone) 50-55k
    Bruno Mars (Atlantic) 50-55k
    P!nk (RCA) 50-55k
    Alicia Keys (RCA) 45-50k
    Now 44 (Capitol) 35-40k
    Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 35-40k
    Justin Bieber (Island/Def Jam) 35-40k
    Imagine Dragons (Interscope) 35-40k
    Kendrick Lamar (Aftermath/Interscope) 30-35k
    T.I. (Grand Hustle/Atlantic) 30-35k

    Although i guess HITS’ calculations were based around the assumption that the discount for Phillip’s album will be available only until January the 3d, but i-tunes has opted to keep the good thing going by only increasing the prise slightly, from 6.99 to 7.99
    So in the end he might in fact end up with higher sales, lol.

  • Anny_nanny

    I’ll wait until the prediction will be the result, I’m not hurry.

  • Loretta

    I truly do not remember any song from any idol, any season being used
    so often for TV shows, commericals etc.  Phil2 has really struck gold with Home and TWFTSOTM is a solid cd. 

    It is my belief that it will continue to sell well and that it contains 2-3 additional top 20 even maybe top 10 hits.

    So happy for Philip.

  • Lori

    Thanks for all the good information. I had seen the #5 prediction, the #3 prediction, 55K in sales, 60-70K in sales, so it’s nice to know why there is a variation in all the speculation (outside of the fact that it IS all speculation LOL). In any event, it looks like P2 will have himself another great week.

    I like the album and love Home. P2 is not my favorite idol ever but I’m so happy to see his success because I’ve always been of the belief that any successful Idol sheds a good light on Idol in general and therfore, my personal favorite Idols.

  • jpfan2

      Big sales and a Billboard cover article are making for a very good week for P2.

  • mjsbigblog

    It is a prediction of sorts. Hits makes “predictions” based on one day of sales and then adjusts as they have more information.

    I’ll add that the prediction is based on 4 days worth of sales information.

  • LongKissGoodnight

    Let me put this another way: BB wrote “industry sources” are predicting that Phillip will sell 55,000 to 75,000 during this week. THAT is an educated guess.

    But the relative position of Building chart is not.
    It has already happened.
    For the 4 day period and among the merchants who have reported to soundscan Phillip have sold enough for the third position.
    No guessing, fact.

    BB have made no predictions as to where Phillip will end up when the rest of the week and other merchants are factored in, except that he will “gallop up the Billboard 200”.
    But they did say that that M&S Babel is likely to end up second for the week, despite being #1 after 4 days of sales, which is a good example of why this 4 days data can be as misleading when mistaken for final prediction as HITS 55% report.

  • usedtobelucy

    Congrats to PhilPhil. Very happy to see them actually trying to make a suitable — and real, not reality-show-contestant-makeshift-tainted — album for him and that it’s paying off with good sales. hope this the beginning for him in developing a solid career for himself. 

  • getaway1

    This is a good CD.  People generally aren’t going to spend money because of one song if the rest of the CD isn’t working.

  • cheese1

    Nice numbers.  I think the album was on sale for $3.99 at Amazon briefly, too (that may have been last week, it’s currently $5.99 for the regular version).

    Phillip is not my favorite Idol contestant, but this is probably my favorite Idol debut CD from a winner or runner-up. I can actually imagine myself listening to it two years from now without being embarrassed that I ever bought it in the first place.

  • shell29

    I’m happy for him too.  The album is not my cup of tea but I have to admit that I perk up whenever I hear “Home” being used in ads or promos on TV.  It may have reached the oversaturation point but I’m not sick of it yet…LOL (and this is coming from someone who thought he’d flop harder than Lee).  I just hope the sales will level out to a decent range once the January sales doldrums hit.  The Idol promo he’s sure to receive should help.

  • EmmaCT

    Love Phillip Philips, but oh so ready for a little of the focus to be on one of the other 11 seasons x 12 or 13 finalists…

  • Taylor

    OMG “Home” is everywhere….including the NFL!! They just played “Home” after Green Bay Packers won their football playoff game.  Lambeau Field crowd are celebrating their big “home” win to P2’s “Home” right now.

  • Goodvibes27

     With some tweeking, Gone, Gone, Gone could be the new boot song.

    LOL, please make it so.

  • WhoDat2012

    I love that HOME has invaded HGTV!!!  Congrats, Mr. Phillips!

  • TheOther

    I posted some reviews on the I Am A White Guy, I Play Guitar thread, here are some more:

    I wasn’t the biggest Phillip Phillips fan on this season’s Idol (Team Jessica!) but I have to say, I’m a convert now. His debut album stands right up there with Kelly Clarkson’s Thankful and Carrie Underwood’s Some Hearts as one of the strongest American Idol debuts ever. Phillips’ unassuming, laid back style and presence make this album a definite listen. He shows a great level of originality and artistry here, without falling into the post-Idol mainstream-wannabe tendency. There’s plenty on this album for non-fans, and Idol and P2 fans will devour this album. Phillip Phillips could well be one of American Idol’s most important contributions to the current music landscape

    This album gives a definition to the word “soulful.” For such a young musician, this album extends maturity……. Phillip Phillips has proven himself through this album and has given us satisfaction that the American Idol judges and audience know talent when they hear it.
    After American Idol contestants come out on top with a victorious win, in time they begin to dematerialize. Very few have clung to the music industry and have become successful. Will Phillips be the next Carrie Underwood? Regardless, from the infatuation and distinctiveness Phillip Phillips brings to the music industry, he is here to stay.

    Phillips introduces himself and his whole new world of music with, “The World from the Side of the Moon.” The album showcases his distinctly soulful voice as well as his talents as a writer and instrumentalist. Phillip Phillips soars with his debut album and demonstrates that with pure talent alone one can really create a debut masterpiece.