I think the die was cast coming into the Top 2. Although, arguably, Lauren Alaina outsang Scotty McCreery on the Nokia stage last night, Scotty will be the one standing with confetti raining down on his head when the winner of American Idol Season 10 is announced tonight.
UPDATE from @AmericanIdol HOT OFF THE PRESSES – More Than 122 Million Votes Cast Last Night. Highest Number of Votes in The Series’ History!! #IdolFinale
First of all Dial Idol says so. The website isn’t always a reliable indicator of who will be eliminated–except in the Idol finals. Sure there’s always a first time, but if you look at DI’s results, Scotty has a decisive lead.
Setting DI aside, Scotty has probably never been in the bottom 2/3. He’s had few missteps on the Idol stage, while his competitor, Lauren, has struggled and was even sent to the bottom at least once. It’s hard to know for sure, but I would not be surprised if Scotty has been at the very top of the voting nearly every week.
My theory is that after weeks and weeks of a competition, viewers have already settled on a favorite to vote for, and are probably not going to change their minds at the 11th hour.
I’m sticking with my Scotty prediction as the winner of American Idol. If you are a pool player, remember to make your picks at Fun Office Pool.