HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Jan 16-22

With 54.02% of the market reporting in, Adele continues to rule supreme. There is no doubt that she will hit number one for her 17th week. If her “Set Fire To The Rain” single can nab number one on the Hot 100 this week, she will set another milestone. As the posters at Pulse pointed out, she will be the first artist to have her first three singles go number one the same week her album is number one on the BB200. The woman is beast, but I don’t think that she would be easily duplicated (I’m looking at you lazy A&R execs).

Everybody else is an also-ran. The ever popular Kidz Bop is set to be the top debut of the week. Isn’t that the project that Kris Allen was involved in? If features a cover of the Adam/Christina song “Moves Like Jagger”. Next up is Toby Keith who is making noise with his novelty song “Red Solo Cup”. The album kind of faltered after it’s release, but the single is really supporting sales. Those wily Canadians Drake and Nickelback round out the top 5 at 4th and 5th respectively.

Rihanna is 6th with “Talk that Talk”. Now 40 is the latest in the compilation album series and is at 7th. It features Kelly’s “Mr. Know it All” and that Adam/Christina “Moves Like Jagger” duet. Young Jeezy is 8th, Luke Bryan is 9th (his latest single currently tops the country charts) and those loveable goofballs, LFMAO are at 10th.

Our first Idol shows up at 11th. Original Recipe Idol, Kelly Clarkson is also showing that a good single moves units. Right behind her is Jason Aldean’s “My Kinda Party” which features a duet with Kelly Clarkson. Right behind him is our latest Idol winner, Scotty McCreery. The final Idol on the Chart is Daughtry at 25th. There aren’t a lot of units being sold, so a few thousand differences in sales can mean a lot of spots.

A final mention goes to Maroon 5 whose album also features that Adam/Christina duet “Moves Like Jagger” (and Adam himself).

CHART DATE: 01/23/2012
LAST UPDATE: 01/23/2012 11:43:09
NOW IN: 54.02%

LW TW artist / album label power index
1 1 ADELE 21 43,406
— 2 KIDZ BOP KIDZ BOP 21 28,646
12 3 TOBY KEITH CLANCY’S TAVERN 13,038
4 4 DRAKE TAKE CARE 10,493
8 5 NICKELBACK HERE AND NOW 10,309
7 6 RIHANNA DEF TALK THAT TALK 9,193
10 7 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 40 VARIOUS ARTISTS 8,797
6 8 YOUNG JEEZY DEF TM 103: HUSTLER AMBITION 8,730
21 9 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL TAILGATES & TANLINES 8,377
17 10 LMFAO SORRY FOR PARTY ROCKING 7,724

11 13 KELLY CLARKSON STRONGER 6,801
23 14 JASON ALDEAN MY KINDA PARTY 6,733
34 15 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC CLEAR AS DAY 6,559

36 25 DAUGHTRY BREAK THE SPELL 4,272

35 29 MAROON 5 HANDS ALL OVER 4,116

5 50 SNOW PATROL FALLEN EMPIRES 1,351

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.