HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Feb 4-10

With 70.38% of reports in, Josh Groban who has built his own model to success, is set to top the chart. He’s only beating out Tim McGraw (finally free from Curb) by less than a 100 albums right now, but expect that gap to widen today based on Friday’s predictions. Tim is releasing his first album with Big Machine and airplay chart ninja Scott Borchetta will no doubt be up to his usual Jedi mind tricks (this time with somebody who actually is Country!). Given how Curb had hobbled his career lately (releasing all sorts of greatest hits albums instead of actual albums so he couldn’t fulfill his contract, finally having a judge tell them to cut it out and then dumping an album they said was full of sub-standard material last January), Tim is expected to have a very respectable 95-105K.

Now 45, the album series for people who don’t have iTunes or who have friends they don’t know what to buy for, is currently set to come in 3rd place with 80-90K in sales. This version features songs by One Direction (“Live Like We’re Young”), Phil Phillips (“Home”) and Kelly Clarkson (“Catch My Breath”). Now 44 is still on the charts back in 38th featuring songs by Carly Rae Jepsen and Kelly Clarkson.

Album of the year Grammy winner, Mumford & Sons’ “Babel” has moved up 5 spots to top 4. We will see a part of the Grammy effect this week because contenders and performers got a lot of press going into the weekend and some people race to their iTunes accounts on Sunday night. The effect will be likely be larger next week. Last week’s number one, Justin Bieber (acoustic) is 5th this week, the Lumineers are 6th, the Grammy Compilation album (featuring Carly Rae Jepsen and Kelly Clarkson) is 7th, Bruno Mars is 8th, Taylor Swift’s “RED” is 9th and Red debuts “Release the Panic” in 10th.

The first reality contestant album shows up 26th with One Direction’s “Take Me Home”. Idol’s Phil Phillip and Carrie Underwood are right next to each other at 32nd and 33rd respectively. Kelly Clarkson rounds out the list at 48th with her Greatest Hits album.

CHART DATE: 02/11/2013
LAST UPDATE: 02/11/2013 12:39:53
NOW IN: 70.38%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 JOSH GROBAN ALL THAT ECHOES 95,250
— 2 TIM MCGRAW TWO LANES OF FREEDOM 95,168
— 3 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 45 VARIOUS ARTISTS 77,091
9 4 MUMFORD & SONS BABEL 38,653
1 5 JUSTIN BIEBER BELIEVE ACOUSTIC 38,018
8 6 LUMINEERS LUMINEERS 33,020
13 7 GRAMMY NOMINEES 2013 VARIOUS ARTISTS 31,704
5 8 BRUNO MARS UNORTHODOX JUKEBOX 27,653
10 9 TAYLOR SWIFT RED 25,847

— 10 RED RELEASE THE PANIC 25,765

20 26 ONE DIRECTION TAKE ME HOME 13,340

26 32 PHILLIP PHILLIPS WORLD FROM THE SIDE OF THE MOON 11,619
35 33 CARRIE UNDERWOOD BLOWN AWAY 11,535

32 38 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 44 VARIOUS ARTISTS 9,936

33 47 MAROON 5 OVEREXPOSED 6,799
47 48 KELLY CLARKSON GREATEST HITS – CHAPTER 1 6,618

50 50 WIZ KHALIFA O.N.I.F.C. 5,778

Hits Daily Double

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.