Oh, what the heck. I’m going to ignore Dial Idol and go with my gut.   Despite the judges trying to bus him, I think Evan will win.

He’s got a huge, noisy fan base. Yes, I know that doesn’t necessarily ensure a win–but that all important casual vote is going to be split between the remaining 3 contemporary dancers.   Evan isn’t splitting his votes with anybody.   Plus he performs in a style that many people love and relate to.   Who isn’t a sucker for those old Gene Kelly/Donald O’Connor musicals?   Sure, he’s not the best technical dancer of the bunch, but he is a good dancer, and brings something different to the table.

The best all-round package is Brandon.   He’s strong, versatile and is able to pour emotion into movement.   Jeanine is a close second.   She not only has great technique, but incredible strength and a formidable personality that comes through in her performances.

Kayla is gorgeous, and has beautiful technique. But, as Nigel mentioned last night, she hasn’t much personality.   Her performances don’t engage me, and I suspect she”ll walk away tonight in 4th place.   Eh. I think the fabulous Janette should have been there instead of Kayla, but that’s me.

My prediction: Evan for the win, Brandon (likely) or Jeanine in second place, Kayla dead last.

What do you think?

 
  • shadow-rider

    I think you may be right although I think Brandon should win. He’s my favorite with Jeanine a close second.

    How about a huge shocker and Kayla win it!

  • http://www.irish-wolfhounds.com Buderschnookie

    They may narrow it down to best guy/best girl first to avoid a repeat of the last year brouhaha- remember folks thought Twitch got shafted because Katee got the $50K second place prize purely because she was the opposite sex?
    Or something like that.

    I hope Evan for all the reasons you listed.

  • jtgraffix

    haha you must still be missing janette if you’re still calling jeanine janette :p

    calling evan the winner is brave of you, almost as brave as jeanine’s pirouette. i’m excited for tonight! and i can’t believe the new season starts in less than a month!

  • Truthiness

    I haven’t watched the season at all, and I’m going to say Jeanine wins. No idea, just my feeling from internet chatter and the Anybody But Evan contigency out there that he won’t win. Though as you say, they might split the vote between Jeanine and Brandon. I do agree that Kayla is out in fourth.

    So my even more worthless than usual opinion is: Jeanine wins; Evan second; Brandon third; Kayla fourth.

    My back-up is Evan wins; Jeanine is second; Brandon third; Kayla fourth.

    If Evan does win, I look forward to the internet reaction. Should be fun!

  • dhunken

    MJ my heart would so love your prediction. But I think it will go like this:

    Jeanine
    Evan
    Brandon
    Kayla

    But your prediction could turn out to be the right one as I think middle American will absolutely love Evan. I think the Casual view will be compelled to vote for him for two reasons:

    1) Evan may not have been the best technical dancer last night but he was not so outclassed as the judges lead on. IMHO personality wise he is the best.

    2) The harsh critiques of only Evan especially at the hyping of the judges favorite will make the average non rapid viewer annoyed and compelled to vote for him. He also had the best sit down with Cat and the emotional moment of the entire evening when the audience chanted his name and he choked up. That was must see TV. Casual viewer will be a sucker for it.

    But this is only my impression and opinion. I am not saying this is fact but only what I believe may happen and cause Evan to get the win as MJ is predicting.

    Again MJ hope my prediction is wrong and yours is right.

  • mjkblah

    I hope Jeanine wins! If not her, then Brandon. I don’t think Evan should win. I don’t find him all that cute, and he isn’t good except for in his own style(like Phillip, hellooooo) which he is REALLY good at Broadway, so he should go to Broadway! This America’s Favorite Dancer, not America’s Favorite Broadway dancer. Brandon, Jeanine, and Kayla are all very versatile and can do anything thrown at them. I do agree and think Janette should take Kayla’s place though. If Janette was still there, I think she should win the whole dang thing!

  • https://twitter.com/draddee Sunn

    I think it’s a three horse race, Brandon, Jeanine and Kayla. Mainly because I thought the judges did their best yesterday to sway the audience against voting for Evan.

    Evan is admittedly not the best dancer, but I’m nevertheless rooting for him to win. Realistically though, I think it may be Brandon (that Passa Doble was great).

    Go Evan!

  • http://mjsbigblog.com/voronas-ontario-american-idol-tour-recap.htm/feed/ vorona

    For so many seasons of Idol, my favorite would be voted off, and I’d swear I’d never watch again, never care again. Then, the very next week, I’d be back watching and caring my ass off.

    This time, I seem to have meant it. At least halfway. I’m still watching, but the joy is gone, and I almost don’t care who wins tonight. If I had to choose, I’d choose Brandon. He is my favorite of those remaining. He’s amazing. I just don’t have the emotional investment.

    Is it too late for a write-in for Janette? That girl got her hooks in me somehow! Started when I saw a taping last month.

    Based on the studio audience that day I saw the taping (7/7), I’d say Evan is a real threat. His screams seemed almost double those of other dancers. Of course, his brother was out before the show, passing out buttons (got one) and talking to people (didn’t get to me, boo). So that might have affected the screams. Still, a month later, and he’s still around, so…

  • champ

    jeanine has it in the bag. evan may have the whole “relatability” thing but jeanine is HOT. plus evan was outshined in everything he did last night. brandon is absolutely amazing every time he hits that stage, but i just don’t think he has the crazy fan base to pull off a win. and kayla? yawn.

  • wand3rful

    I actually think Jeanine will win….it seemed she was getting a lot of loud cheers during her intros and critiques. Plus she is likeable and talented, and i think (young) girls can probably relate to her more so than kayla. Should be an interesting evening.

    J, E or B all have an equal shot at taking the whole thing…sadly, I still dont believe Kayla connects w. the audience.

    My guesses:

    Jeanine
    Evan
    Brandon
    Kayla

    Go (away) Evan :)

  • bmms

    Let’s get real folks and MJ I completely disagree with you.

    I understand that many love Evan, and I like him so much as well. He’s so adorable and a great dancer within his own genre. But, if he wins tonight, it will only remind me of another famous reality show where it was so obvious who should have won and didn’t and took second place instead. Hmmm!?!?!?

    I voted 2 hours non-stop for Brandon last night. I hope my votes will COUNT this time. He is by far the best dancer this season. I also love Jeanine and after Jeanette was quickly eliminated, Jeanine became my new favorite female dancer. If Brandon does not take the top prize tonight, Jeanine deserves it with high honors!

    Kayla is a very good dancer and looks without personality will get you so far in this business. This is where the differences come in vs Jeanine. She is so funny, bubbly, strong, intelligent and savvy.

    Brandon for the win! :king_tb: Kudos for tonight Brandon. :thumbup_tb:

  • soccerboi

    Brandon should win..Brandon will win. Evan has outstayed his welcome and is outclassed. The girls are interchangeable for me 2nd and third…Evan finishes fourth.

  • http://www.fatladysings.us TFLS

    Sorry to say, I don’t think Evan will win. It will likely be Brandon, despite all those technical issues never highlighted by the judges. I too am a Jeanette fan – and I was really disappointed she got voted off’ ¦..but in lieu of her, I’d like to see Jeanine take it all. Power, strength, artistry – that girl has it in spades. Several weeks ago I’ll admit to leaning Brandon’s way – but those technical issues finally got to me. Dramatic doesn’t always = good; at least not in my book. However it plays out ‘“ all 4 can look forward to fantastic careers!

  • Mark

    Quite frankly, I don’t think it’ll be Evan, though I see the possibility that it might happen.

    As you’ve noted, a “34%-er” (my name for candidates on shows like this who have a dedicated, but not particularly broad, fanbase) *can* win SYTYCD in a way they can’t on, say, Idol, because the end vote is split four ways. But I don’t think that’s actually going to be the case, because, unlike many such candidates, Evan doesn’t have the air of inevitability to help him along, and the casual vote, which is far more potent, isn’t going to split evenly. I think, in this case, it happens to favor Jeanine; even though I personally like Kayla as much as anyone else in the competition, I recognize she’s polarizing, and I’m going to bet that pulls better for Jeanine. It *might* pull for Brandon, too. In any event, it doesn’t help Evan, and I’ll bet he doesn’t have the current voting power to pull past those numbers.

    Now, I’ll admit I’m biased, as I tend to pull against 34%-ers (for example; primarily an Idol watcher, I pulled for Kris/Allison over Adam/Danny, pulled Cook over Archuleta). I don’t know why that is, but it’s true my bias runs that way. And I didn’t watch SYTYCD when Benji won, but I could see that he might have been just that. Still, my analytical mind can’t kick the notion that Evan just doesn’t have the overall appeal to do that, and I think the “rebellion” effect is overstated on such shows.

  • Ladybug

    I could not get a single vote in for Evan last night. Busy the entire time for me. I hope this portends well for him.

    It IS, as Nigel said, American’s favorite dancer. Not necessarily the best technical dancer. So I am hoping the unique style, and wonderful winning personality of Evan pulls out a win for him.

    It is possible all the de-pimping and the sometimes fairly harsh putting down of Evan last night might have backfired. We shall see.

    I really think Brandon is the best overall dancer and one of the best the show has ever had. I do not want him to win over Evan, though.

    My second choice is Jeanine. It would not crush me if she took it all.

    This was a terrific final four. Any could win and I would not be unduly upset. This year made up, for me, for a really lousy last year.

  • dhunken

    My guesses:

    Jeanine
    Evan
    Brandon
    Kayla

    Go (away) Evan :)

    Wond3rful..You are so funny. I have to tip my hat to you. I am still laughing. As you know Evan is my favorite but have acknowledge good humor when see it. Touche. :lol_ee:

  • wand3rful

    it will only remind me of another famous reality show where it was so obvious who should have won and didn’t and took second place instead. Hmmm!?!?!?

    Reid from the Bachelor? I know, so surprised when Jill picked Ed ;) LOL

  • wand3rful

    have to tip my hat to you. I am still laughing. As you know Evan is my favorite but have acknowledge good humor when see it. Touche.

    :) i was actually going to write “this one is for dhunken” LOL

    Jeanine has really grown on me, she’s probably the only person i am (really) rooting for

  • zformation

    Jeanine Jeanine Jeanine FTW!

  • KrazeeK120

    Aw MJ, I hope you’re right. But I think Jeanine will take the victory, and I’d be OK with that too.

    I won’t be in chat tonight…my lovely Alma Mater (IWU – where Evan is a student) is having a finale party tonight and I’m going to head over there to watch with some fellow Kasprzaktivists ;)

  • alaadam

    I voted for Brandon last night. He is by far the best dancer. I am getting pretty tired of people voting for a mediocre performer because he/she “relates” or he/she is “cute” or he/she is not “arrogant”. Dang it, can’t we put any personal feelings aside and start voting for the BEST dancer, singer, etc.

  • LindaT

    I really want Jeanine to win, but I think Brandon will actually take the prize. I agree that Evan has a huge fan base, but I’m not sure he was able to generate enough votes to win.

    So, my prediction is Brandon for the win (but I hope I’m wrong and Cat says “Jeanine!” at the end). Looking forward to seeing what happens tonight!

    P.S. I’m with you, MJ — I wish Janette was still in the running. She was the best dancer of the top 10. I just re-watched her Wade Robson dance with Brandon (Roisin Murphy music), and it really was fabulous. Oh, well … (sigh!)

  • unique28v

    i want Brandon to win and I think he deserves it the most. With that said, I think Evan has a VERY good shot at winning. I mean, the audience was chanting his name and this year seems to be the year of the non-judge pick. Dancing With the Stars, American Idol, Britan’s Got Talent, etc. With all of these shows, the judges picks did not win, nor did the ones considered technically best.

  • wand3rful

    Dang it, can’t we put any personal feelings aside and start voting for the BEST dancer, singer, etc.

    nah, because its America’s FAVORITE dancer….

    We expect the judges to form the top 20 and then the top 10 based on talent. So really at this point, it is about personality/looks, etc to make you stand out versus your competitors.

    Plus people have differing ideas of what is considered “best”. Really, its an opinion. I might think person A is the best singer or dancer, but that doesnt make it a fact. Nor does that mean others will agree w. my viewpoint.

    I don’t like evan (actually i cant even stand him at this point LOL), dont believe he is talented as the other 3, however, the judges did place him in the top 20. if they felt he lacked real technique, then he should have never been given the green light. IMO

  • TopCatDC

    Evan is the Danny Gokey of SYTYCD. He got fans early with his backstory, shared them with no one, and kept them happy all season without winning any new converts. Unfortunately for Evan, the voting pool for the finale is much bigger and his portion of fans now a comparatively smaller percentage. He had to make his case last night to new undecided voters. Did he do that? I haven’t heard of any new Evan converts this morning. The talk is all about how marvelous Jeanine was.

    I think Evan is a charming and entertaining dancer. I hope to see a lot more of him. But he’s going to come in third or fourth tonight.

  • Nerinab

    Dial Idol be damned. I’m hoping for Evan. But really and truly, I would not be upset with any of them winning. I like each for very different reasons and all valid ones, I think.

    I voted for an hour for Evan last night and got through every, single time. Then I read that some people couldn’t get a single vote in. There must be some serious differences in viewing and voting habits throughout the country. I live in upstate NY so I don’t know if people just don’t vote in my area or are they able to handle more call volume? Hmmmm.

    Thanks to all for thoughtful conversations and, as always, a huge thanks to MJ for supplying us with recaps and videos.

    EVAN – FTW!

  • http://www.twitter.com/sarahruth3 Sarah

    I think most people are greatly underestimating Jeanine’s fanbase. She’s been trending high on polls for a while now, even before she started really hitting her stride. And I also think, based on some things I’ve seen around the web, that a portion of Janette’s fans moved to Jeanine when she left. And yeah, those cheers for her were INSANE. I think she had the best night overall, with Brandon probably second, only because his solo wasn’t as strong and he wasn’t as strong in the Laurieann routine as Jeanine was in the Mia one.

    Also, based on the vote-splitting logic, Lacey Schwimmer should have won season 3, while the other 3 – all contemporary dancers – fell in line behind her. But in the end, Lacey ended up in 4th place – after never having hit bottom 3 or 2 in any prior week and coming in with a huge fanbase as well. Not saying that history is going to repeat itself, but you never know what could happen.

  • KrazeeK120

    Dang it, can’t we put any personal feelings aside and start voting for the BEST dancer, singer, etc.

    Because personal feelings are what this is all about. Hence, we’re looking for the “favorite” dancer, not the “best” dancer.

    And, what is “best” to me may not be “best” to you and vice versa. Everyone has their own idea about what it means to be the “best.” I think that all 4 of them are the “best” in different areas. Which is why they comprise the final 4…they all reach out to different people in different ways.

    Dial Idol be damned.

    Dial Idol has a terrible track record with this show. There aren’t enough people using it or voting for it to really be accurate. That’s not to say it isn’t, but I take anything it says for any show other than Idol with a grain of salt. Heck, I mostly take what it says for Idol with a grain of salt!

  • Applesauce

    wow, no kayla fans. ;) i really hope it comes down to the best dancer (kayla) and the most enjoyable dancer (brandon). i was shocked at what good comments Jeanine got. i saw her solo and i thought. eh. ok. a little boring. AND THAN THEY STAND UP AND GIVE HER THE BEST COMMENTS OF THE NIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! than again kaylas was not fantastic either. BUT overall she is fantastic. as for evan, iheard someone say he was the danny gokey of the season, which (unless you are like me and a fan of gokey) sounds right. except the judges liked danny. maybe more like archie from season 7 who only lost fans as time went on. anyway, i thought they were a little harsh on evan. but i must say that singin in the rain is my favorite movie. so i really like broadway dancing. i think that evan will just pave way for somebody REALLY awesome in the years to come. Brandon had (inmyopinion) the best solo of the night.

    Brandon
    Kayla
    Evan
    Jeanine

  • JudyOhio

    FTW:
    Jeanine (in a Brandon upset)

    Followed by:
    Brandon
    Evan
    Kayla

    (My personal favorite is Evan, but I think the competition is just too stiff for him to overcome.)

    Thanks for all the videos MJ. I followed the whole show on this site. Busy life right now and the TV time slot just didn’t fit in my schedule. Thank you so much for all you do!

  • http://mollyblogsidol.wordpress.com Molly (aka sparklesgirl2)

    KrazeeK120 Aug 6th, 2009 at 5:48 pm

    Aw MJ, I hope you’re right. But I think Jeanine will take the victory, and I’d be OK with that too.

    I won’t be in chat tonight’ ¦my lovely Alma Mater (IWU – where Evan is a student) is having a finale party tonight and I’m going to head over there to watch with some fellow Kasprzaktivists ;)

    I didn’t know IWU was having an Evan party! Sweet! Katie and I went to undergrad together, where Evan also goes. I’m rooting for him because of that and because I have loved the Gene Kelly style of dancing for a long time. He’s unique on the show, that’s for sure. I have no idea what to think of DialIdol, nor have I been watching very much. But I’ll be watching tonight, and rooting for Evan.

  • slbbw

    Why ignore DialIdol? If it were close, I might not rely on it, but.. dudes, it’s not even close!

    Congrats Brandon!!!! :clap_tb:

  • suebrody

    I agree with you, alaadam. Just b/c someone is the most technically gifted dancer (as I feel Brandon is, tho I Know Kayla and Jeanine fans would disagree with me) does not mean he/she can’t win or is not the viewers’ favorite. I was really rooting for Travis and Danny, and of course they both came in second. Evan is NOT the best dancer left, but he may be America’s favorite dancer (well, no, just those that vote ;-)). I think he is very likable, but I also think he is very limited. The other three are not. I just find Brandon the most exciting dancer, with Jeanine coming in behind him (so either would make me happy). Kayla is a very strong dancer, tho I have never connected with her, and Evan is…well, the cute guy in the dance class who works really hard.

    I hope Brandon wins, but I think it will either be Jeanine, based on trends, or Evan. But this season hasn’t been that exciting for me, so whatever happens I am ready for S6.

    My dream order:
    Brandon
    Jeanine
    Kayla
    Evan

    But I have the feeling it’s going to be:
    Evan
    Jeanine (or Brandon)
    Brandon (or Jeanine)
    Kayla

    Still…BRANDON FTW! (And since I was wrong about Adam, I wouldn’t put any money on this one. :-))

  • http://www.twitter.com/sarahruth3 Sarah

    Why ignore DialIdol?

    Because it hasn’t been reliable? The week Randi was eliminated, it had her as the only girl safe. Period. And she went home. It’s not very accurate for shows other than AI, and even for AI, sometimes it’s off.

    But on another note. I saw on Travis Wall’s twitter that he’s excited about seeing his routine again tonight, sooooo it looks like Jason and Jeanine will be doing the “If It Kills Me” piece again. YAY!

    Others I’d like to see:

    Brandon/Janette – Wade jazz
    Kayla/Kupono – Mia addiction routine
    Jeanine/Phillip – their first hip hop to Ne-Yo’s “Mad”
    Evan/Randi – Mia butt routine
    Ashley/Kupono – Crash Test Dummies
    Janette/Brandon – Argentine Tango
    Janette/Brandon – Disco
    Kayla/Jason – zombie hip hop
    and something from Melissa/Ade, but idrc what. Sorry. :/

  • butte009

    I’m hoping for either a Brandon or Jeanine win. They were consistently excellent with whatever was handed to them throughout the season.

    Kayla was a roller coaster for me. She’d do excellent one week and then meh the next.

    Evan was good in his Broadway style.

  • AZIdolFan

    i think it will be a Jeanine win!

    Brandon will be second. Then Evan and then Kayla.

    I voted for Jeanine & Kayla and then threw some votes to Evan. I just want anyone to win but Brandon. Can’t stand the guy. Something about him just bothers me. He doesn’t connect to me. My favorite of the four is Kayla. At least she made the top 4.

    and can you believe i can’t get three tickets together for the show in Glendale, AZ. it’s crazy!!!!

  • champ

    jeanine and jason dancing again?? i wonder if they’ll make out more…

  • jaimej40

    I’m not a dancer, but I think Brandon is a little better than the others. I think Evan goes home first. Seems like a nice guy, but he was outshined last night.

  • wand3rful

    EVAN – FTW!

    more like Evan- WTF?! LOL (same letters, but a better meaning)

  • butte009

    EVAN – FTW!

    more like Evan- WTF?! LOL (same letters, but a better meaning)

    :clap_tb: :lol_tb:

  • Sherena

    I didn’t watch this show through the season, but I did watch the final performances, and wow–Jeanine is amazing. So hoping she wins.

  • GeminiDolly

    Predictions:

    3rd runner up- Kayla- shes so pretty, but I dont think she has near that big of fanbase as the others
    2nd runner up- Evan-huge fan base but I think not enough to get him the victory
    1st runner up- Jeanine-she peaked at the right time
    SEASON 5 WINNER: BRANDON