Phillip Phillips Predicted to Sell 140-160K Albums

By On 11/20/2012 · 73 Comments · In American Idol, Charts, Kelly Clarkson, Phillip Phillips

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One day album sales projections from Hits Daily Double are in! The industry mag predicts that Phillip Phillips’ debut album, The World from The Side of the Moon, will sell 140 to 160 thousand copies.

Hits predicts Kelly Clarkson’s Greatest Hits 0- Chapter One to move 45-50 thousand copies.

A second projection from Hits will likely be posted on Friday, so stay tuned!

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  • http://twitter.com/Sassycatz Sassycatz

    Whoever was responsible, whether Interscope, alone, or Interscope and Idol, I got to say it certainly was nothing more than doing due diligence. That is, by definition, “the care that a reasonable person exercises to avoid harm to other persons or their property.”

  • OffLeash

    Are we really getting another projection Friday? I thought HDD was done for the week because of Thanksgiving.

  • OffLeash

    I’d love to get my hands on HDD projection stats for Black Friday week, and see how they compare to the actual sales. 

  • http://twitter.com/Miztig Miz

    Grats to Phillip. They certainly have seemed to be promoting him well.

  • girlygirltoo

    Here’s link to last year’s Black Friday week HDD projections (wow at the increase for Scotty’s album – I’d forgotten that, lol):

    http://aistats.blogspot.com/2011_11_01_archive.html

    And here is an EW article giving some of the actual sales totals:

    http://music-mix.ew.com/2011/11/30/michael-buble-nickelback-rihanna-billboard-sales/

    So Michael Buble sold around 9K more than HDD predicted, Nickelback sold a about 2K more than predicted, Rihanna and Drake sold basically the same as what was predicted, Mary J. Blige sold nearly 9K less than predicted, and Justin Bieber and Adele both sold about 2K more than predicted. 

    As for the Idols on Black Friday 2011, Daughtry and Scotty both sold 1-2K less than what HDD predicted.

  • OffLeash

    Thanks! I’m surprised at how accurate it actually was. The numbers predicted for P2 should hold then, if we account for the small margin of error, somewhere between 135-165k. Not bad at all. :)

  • Nedsdag

    As one who wasn’t a fan of Phillip Phillips during his time on AI (I called him Pee Pee), I’m here to eat some serious humble pie. I predicted he wouldn’t succeed in a world of singer/songwriters, but I was completely wrong. It helped that he lucked into a great coronation song (hell, even I downloaded it). It was so ubiquitous, that it was heard all over. In fact, you are STILL hearing it as background music for the Extreme Makeover Home Edition special.

    The song “Gone Gone Gone” is pretty good. I hope it works out for him. It’s too bad about his father’s pawn shop though.

  • maymay

    Grammy Awards Projection by Paul Grein from HDD

    Record of the Year
    Phillip Phillips`“Home” and “We Are Young” by .fun. featuring Janelle Monae are also strong contenders, though some panelists may dock them for sounding a bit too much like Mumford & Sons and Queen, respectively.
    Song of the Year
    Other candidates include “Take Care” (which Drake co-wrote with Anthony Palman, Noah Shebib and James Smith), “Home” (which Greg Holden and Drew Pearson co-wrote)

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/6KBNBAY3M4742SQMHUMAV6CVGQ Mike

    Don’t know where to post this…but just watched some of the video on You Tube from the Hard Rock NYC last night.  It is so good…the crowd seemed to really love him and he seemed really happy to be doing his ‘own’ stuff.  He seems to get really jazzed during Home when the crowd joins in…that has to be surreal..can’t imagine it ever gets old.  Can’t wait to see him some day live.

  • Emmuzka

    It looks like it was a great choice to ride with “home” to the album release and not try to introduce a second single. 

    Personally I still believe that Home was a fluke and the album’s further sales development, next radio hits and further career are still in a very shaky ground.  But the album sales were good and no-one can take that away from him. 

  • idolstruck

    yay! so happy for Phillip!!! i only hope the best for him and more amazing music and best selling albums!

  • Larc

    If P2 comes in within the HDD prediction, he will be #14 among all Idol finalists for first week sales of a debut album.  Archie is at #15 with 182,927 and Jordin is currently #16 with 119,119.  The top seller is Clay with 612,859 and the lowest seller is Charles Grigsby (S2 #10) with only 100 of his self-named EP.

  • girlygirltoo

    yup — through S8 the runners-up and even a few of the contestants who finished lower than that put up some very good opening week #s for their debut albums.

  • TheOther

    The music industry is very different today compared to when Clay Aiken won, 9 years ago.  Its even changed a lot since Archie.  Season 11 also faced heavy competition with an on slaught of TV singing competitions.

    The benchmark is how Phillip will do in his AAA genre; not how his sales compare to other Idols – especially those were in very different genres.

  • http://twitter.com/TheNewBossIsPP elvanmcm

    You are comparing oranges to apples.  Some of these numbers are “first week” sales as opposed to “first day” sales.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=683757018 Ellen Carey Rowe

    “Assuming he does fall in this 140-160K range, here’s where he would fall among first week sales for Idol winners’ debut albums. I don’t have exact numbers for all of them:

    Ruben (Dec. 9, 2003) –     416,569
    Carrie (Nov. 15, 2005) –    314,549
    Taylor (Dec. 12, 2006) –    298,199
    Kelly (April 15, 2003) –      297,000
    David (Nov. 18,  2008)          280K (approx)
    Fantasia (Nov. 23, 2004) – 239,389
    Scotty (Oct. 4, 2011)        197,000 (approx)
     > Phillip (Nov. 19, 2012) 140-160K (predicted)
    Jordin (Nov. 20, 2007) –    119,119
    Kris (Nov. 17, 2009)                80K (approx)
    Lee (Nov. 16, 2010)                 39K (approx)”

    This is wrong in one respect.  Phillip’s 140-160k sales is his first day sales not his first week sales.  In the 2 days since the album dropped he has sold 278k and he’s had the highest opening days sales of any Idol.

  • OffLeash

    The 140-160k figure is the sales projection for the whole week, not the first day sales numbers. HDD looks at the first day sales numbers (which they don’t publish,) and from those numbers, they predict the overall sales for the whole week. It’s the projected sales for the week that they publish. HDD has been surprisingly accurate for the most part for years. This is the only week there might be more variation because of Black Friday, but even then, they end up pretty close to the actual sales.

  • girlygirltoo

    Nope, Phillip’s projected numbers are for first WEEK sales. HDD does not publish one-day sales figures. Where are you getting 278K? Are you confusing the album with the first WEEK (not day) sales totals for “Home” when it was released in May?

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Anne-Greco/100002991364628 Anne Greco

    Scotty also got it right his debut album was #1 on billboard 200 & billboard country chart.  It went platinum 4 months after release and has now sold around 1, 200,000 copies.

  • LeahKittyS

    Yes, but Scotty is strictly country. I was thinking more of the broader, soft rock style that David, Kris, Lee, and now Phillip fit into. Maybe I threw people off a little by mentioning Scotty, I just thought Phillip has a little bit of him in there, too.

  • girlygirltoo

    No, I am not. The HDD projection for Phillip of 140-160K  is for first WEEK sales — NOT for first day sales

  • iani

    I know I’m late with my thoughts about the album, but I would like to say some words about it, as I did in the past for other idols also. I think this would be a right thread to do it.

    I like Phillip’s album, I think it is a good one and I like also the production. Even though I’m not crazy about sax and trombone-sounds in general, I think they fit pretty well with the rhythms and moods of the songs.  I still like more his “the only writer” songs than the rest with collaborations: “Hold On” is a good anthemic song, “Man on the Moon” a rhythmic one without being cheesy, “Wanted Is Love”-the bluesy-jazzy sound in the chorus is pretty haunting;  “A Fool’s Dance”  has a more dark, strange one, it would be good for a contemporary routine on SYTYCD. I’m pretty pleased with what I hear so far, he has a manly style  for such a young age,
    with pretty good lyrics and straight actions, the melodies have enough
    depth, pleasant sounds in a up-to-date way, maybe not in a commercial
    one but enough to keep you paying attention to his music, extending  a fan-base, participating without getting bored or getting a cheesy doze of lame, a pretty balanced music in a pleasant way, JMO.

    The next group of songs is the fun one, more commercial, great for live shows: GGG, Get Up Get Down, Drive Me, Where We Came From, Can’t Go Wrong, So Easy. I can’t like/warm to “Tell Me a Story”, it’s not a bad song, it is a one that makes me tired with the melody-sound-production combination; listening to the whole album to see how it is, I wanted that song to be over after a minute. The songs that are so-so for me, nothing extraordinary in, are WWCF and SE. As for the next single: maybe between GGG and CGW, even WWCF and SE as single-contenders because they are pretty; I don’t think the songs with “sax” in would fit for radio formats right now, but I may be wrong. I really hope his music to go further and be heard beyond his AI fan-circle and that “Home” has done a good job and has had a good contribution to pave his career so far.

  • ADRIANAARG1980

    OHHH YEAHHHH !!!!!!  With 54% in, looks like #WorldSideMoon by @Phillips will debut BB#2! http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/salescht.cgi …

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