On the other hand, what would Clive make him sing? I shudder at the thought. LOL!

Clear shot at winning:
David A., David C.

Potential to win, if they step it up:
Michael, Carly

Should go far, but hard to see taking the whole thing:
Jason, Brooke, Ramielle, Kristy, David H

No chance in hell:
Chizeke, Syesha, Amanda

Everybody had Jason as a contender, but I just canà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t se him doing any other style besides Stoner Folkie. I love him, but the winner? I donà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t know. Hmmmà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬ ¦.

I have to agree with part of this. I don’t think Jason will win, but he could get up to as high as 3rd. Have you been to the AI boards lately? He’s by far the most popular (or his fans are most obsessed- and obsession can’t be a bad thing. Look at Clay and Taylor).

It looks like he picked up key fanbases (I tried to do a poll there, but it got confusing after a while): namely, fans from Taylor (quirky and unique), Elliott (underdog), Blake (cool?), Bo/Constantine (again unique), and Clay (camera love) trickled to his camp. The good news for Jason: these are fans who vote and buy.

I just donà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t see David C possibly managing anything higher than 5th. I mean he has a good and unique performance and now all of a sudden everyoneà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s so sure that heà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s top 3 or even a good shot at winning, when yet hardly anyone was talking abut him two weeks ago.

I see what you are saying, but how many past contestants were no one until they had a breakout performance in the semis? Besides, he HAS been a consistantly good singer, seems to know his voice well and chooses appropriate songs, and he has the whole “room to grow” thing going for him. And he’s cute. So he has potential to me.

You may be right about Ramielle. I don’t see her as a mass market type, but I could be seriously underestimating her fanbase.

Everybody had Jason as a contender, but I just can’t se him doing any other style besides Stoner Folkie. I love him, but the winner? I don’t know. Hmmm….

Any way heres my breakdown of the contenders:

1st group (most likely to win)
David A

2nd group (potential winners)
Jason, Carly, Ramielle (I think she has a HUGE fanbase like Jasmine)

3rd Group (Top 6 contenders, but can’t see them winning)
Brooke, Michael, David C

4th group (Very slim chance of winning, but if they really step up could maybe make top 4)
David H (He does have a great voice, just not a great fanbase)

5th group (Zero chance of winning)
Chikezie, Syesha, Kristy, Amanda

Clear shot at winning:
David A.

Potential to win, if they step it up:
Michael, Carly, David C, Kristy (I’m serious! lol)

Should go far, but hard to see taking the whole thing:
Brooke, Jason, Ramielle

No chance in hell:
Chizeke, David H, Syesha, Amanda

I don’t care what Randy and Paula say, to me they are useless when it comes to this stuff. Tweedledee and Tweedledum.

This year, I think a lot of them are very competitive AND very talented. Yes, I could make a good case for Carly, Michael J, or Awwwchuletta winning. But I could also make a pretty good case for Jason C or David Cook. And I could come up with a plausible case for David H (seriously, this guy is focused on singing) or maybe Brooke. So there is 7 people out of 12. Kristie Lee Who?/SyNosha/Ramiele/ChuckCheese/ and Amanda would be a huge surprise upset win that I don’t think can/will happen.

Very very talented group and a good portion of them competitive in a healthy way. Why yes, I’m excited about American Idol again … and seriously, it’s not just because of Jason’s beautiful blue eyes…./shallow

Right. Let me just go grab that giant memory eraser that instantaneously purges my memory of deep, untapped, raw talent.

Make that two.

I don’t disagree with their top 4 with the best chance although David C and Jason could be thrown in there. I believe Michael belongs in there because he has charisma and that will help him continue on each week. I think they’re underestimating David C’s appeal.

Sorry folks but you wonà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t remember Josiahà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s name this time next year. Trust me.

Right. Let me just go grab that giant memory eraser that instantaneously purges my memory of deep, untapped, raw talent.

Did Paula say that on the Today show?

Yep. She said you could take any of the top twelve this year and put them up against the top three of previous years.

On song choice (Asiah)

Debra Byrd: We told her that. And we named the people and that they were voted off right after. We said all of that stuff. Always remember it’s their choice.

I thought so!!!! So Asiah and the others can bellyache all they want about being the first….but I’m sure the coaches tell them not to do certain songs and they just continue with it anyway.

It’s like Josiah telling Debra and the band he didn’t want to sing with them. Too independent, like they know what’s best.

Sorry folks but you won’t remember Josiah’s name this time next year. Trust me.

I heard her say this was the best season ever on The View and no one applauded. Just saying.
http://www.tmz.com/2008/03/09/stripping-is-something-simon-doesnt-judge/

I don’t think they are necessarily as far off on the top four. If I had to make a guess right now (and things can certainly change) I would put the top two as David A and Carly, with possibly David C or Jason taking Carly’s spot. I think Brooke is in the top 6, but I would be kind of surprised if she goes top two. I don’t think Michael Johns has lived up to his Hollywood performances so far.

Nigel seems to like Jason. Or at least he’s mentioned in a couple of interviews how brilliant his version of “Crazy” was. I would like to see both his version and David A’s to compare. Damn you, Danger Mouse!