Congrats to Week 9 winners:

1 ChrisP13
2 elsinore
2 jodi21
2 nika
2 oreos10
2 tkbowersox
7 sav129

And the Top 3 overall are:

1 bugsy
2 maracaibo
2 WSULeifJ

Congrats and good luck tonight! Remember, first prize is an iTunes gift card!

Who do I think will leave this week? I have no clue. The only contestants who I feel really confident are safe are David Archuleta and David Cook.   Syesha Mercado had a strong performance, and postive comments from the judges, but she went first this week. Still, I think there’s a good chance she’ll be safe.   Carly Smithson performed second to last and got excellent comments from the judges, including Simon.   But, perhaps people felt it was safe not to vote for her this week, and she could be a surprise boot. Despite a weak performance, performing early in the lineup and negative critiques from the judges,   Jason Castro may still be safe this week.   Randy and Simon’s unusually harsh criticism may have created a backlash–even casual voters may have thrown a few pity votes  Jason’s way.   His fan base was certainly kicked into high gear.  Maybe Jason will live to see another week.   Brooke White broke down completely.   She hasn’t had a good performance in weeks.   It’s really her time to go.   But, between her vulnerability, and Simon and Randy sticking up for her, she could squeak by.

What to do?   I think Brooke should leave She gets all my points in this week’s pool.

 
  • jersey

    I threw all my points on Brooke, too. This week is actually the least conflicted I’ve been. I don’t think I’ll change it at all between now and the show! (But don’t hold me to that.)

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    I put 15 on Brooke and 5 on Carly. Maybe I should put some on Jason. :-(

  • abbysee

    Arrgh! I didn’t want to think about it. I think Jason is safe, I think Carly should be safe, but……Brooke should be gone, but she is just so darn sympathetic. Not going to change my pick though. Of course I hedged my bet. This is torture.

  • primeminister

    I’m putting all of mine on Brooke; if I do end up splitting, it’ll be with Carly.

    There’s talk over at IDF that TV Guide leaked that Jason was going home.

    pj, :(

  • joydrop

    I’m still not completely convinced that it won’t be Syesha. She was really good last night, but I’m not sure that she has the fan base to save her, especially when she’s up against the dreadheads and VFTW.

  • moody

    No hints from Nigel today?

  • jersey

    How would TV Guide know?

  • primeminister

    How would TV Guide know?

    Apparently, a TVG reporter named Adam Schubak spoke with Ryan?? I’m very skeptical.

    Anyway, here’s a link to the discussion thread:
    http://idolforums.com/index.php?showtopic=553274

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    Ryan’s been doing this for 7 years. I think he knows not to blab the results to reporters. That said, I’m still nervous for Jason.

  • http://www.myspace.com/gundomom CarieB

    I think Brooke should leave She gets all my points in this weekà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s pool.

    I think a lot of peeps share your thinking, MJ, judging by the 57.4% of the points she’s currently commanding. (BTW, who is silly/crazy enough to be in the 0.9% voting for DCook’s elimination?) LMAO on that one.

    ETA:No way Ryan finds out until he gets to the studio today for the show.

  • cheese

    I really hope that rumor isn’t true. I didn’t even think Ryan knew the results ahead of time, and he certainly wouldn’t be telling TV Guide about it. There simply cannot be 3 girls in the Top 5. One of them could sneak into the finale with a David and we know TPTB don’t want that. I think Jason is fine.

    I’m putting my points on Brooke, but I really don’t have a strong feeling about which girl will be leaving.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    CarieB, I think those people probably haven’t updated their picks and one of their choices defaulting to David Cook. Surely!

    Has anyone heard from Nigel?

  • St.Lucia

    Jason BETTER be safe. I spent two hours, STRAIGHT, on two phones voting for him.

    I haven’t been that dedicated to voting since Elliott.

    I threw all caution to the wind and decided to put all points on Brooke. It just seemed like her time to go. Everyone else I just have a slight feeling they are safe….

    But who knows…shockers could happen….

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    Carly Smithson performed second to last and got excellent comments from the judges, including Simon. But, perhaps people felt it was safe not to vote for her this week, and she could be a surprise boot.

    Oh, I hope. I can’t stand her and her crazy antics anymore.

    I don’t know if Syesha’s fanbase is big enough to save her. I’m betting on either Brooke or Carly as the boot, considering last night was probably “Save Jassoonn!” night.

    Do people usually vote-split between Cookie and Jason? Because if CC fans flocked over to Jason in an attempt to save him last night, Cookie might find himself in the Bottom 3.

  • poporange

    My picks straight from the ESPN tv show are—–
    Who has to go Brooke and Jason

    Shocker anyone can leave and the contestants should think that each week..I think a surprise boot right now would be either of the Davids

  • dulce

    Do people usually vote-split between Cookie and Jason? Because if CC fans flocked over to Jason in an attempt to save him last night, Cookie might find himself in the Bottom 3.

    If there is vote splitting going on between the two, I don’t think it’s enough to hurt Cook at all. I think he’s garnered enough of his own fan-base to keep him safe. His performance wasn’t a “Cook” performance, but it certainly didn’t lose him his already gained fans and I think got him the votes of new ones last night. Cookie isn’t going anywhere NEAR that bottom 3 tonight. Look at DI. They’ve been wrong before, but the number one (in green) has never gone according to their site. He’s so safe.

  • sumidol

    From ESPN – The sports network?

  • Steph

    if CC fans flocked over to Jason in an attempt to save him last night, Cookie might find himself in the Bottom 3.

    No way – I have NO worries for DC tonight. He was in the pimp spot and he was great!

  • Steph

    DC= :king_tb:

  • http://www.xanga.com/hisaki_chan707 Hisaki

    If there is vote splitting going on between the two, I donà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t think ità ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s enough to hurt Cook at all. I think heà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s garnered enough of his own fan-base to keep him safe. His performance wasnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t a à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã…“Cookà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬  performance, but it certainly didnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t lose him his already gained fans and I think got him the votes of new ones last night. Cookie isnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t going anywhere NEAR that bottom 3 tonight. Look at DI. Theyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢ve been wrong before, but the number one (in green) has never gone according to their site. Heà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s so safe.

    Well, I stopped looking at DI going into the Top 12 (here’s to me and my laziness), but I’ll take your word for it. I was just worried, since I only got about 10 busy signals last night out of 150-something calls for him (and I didn’t dare to vote-split with Jason after that), compared to about 100 busies from about 275 calls last week.

    This will most likely be one week where Syesha won’t have to hit the stools (or center stage, or wherever the hell TPTB tells Ryan to place the Bottom 3 tonight). Whoever her fanbase is, they probably power-voted last night after that Broadway-ready performance. I can see a big block of the casual vote having gone to her, too.

  • GwendolynD

    Has anyone heard from Nigel?

    I haven’t heard anything today…yet. Word has it that he’s been sporting a cast/sling at the shows. Could it be that someone threatened him in the back alley for getting the fans in a tizzy every freakin’ Wednesday afternoon????!!!!

  • KrazeeK120

    I’m not in this pool thing, and I’m glad. I would really have no clue who to put my points on tonight, other than I wouldn’t put any on DC. My gut feeling is Brooke. My second gut feeling is Jason. But it could easily be Syesha or Carly too. I don’t know how you guys choose!

    ETA: What kind of idiot would believe that Ryan a) knows who’s getting kicked off, and b) even if he did, that he would go blab it to reporters. Come on.

  • Tony

    Here’s the link to a screen cap of the alleged TV Guide spoiler:

    http://www.slimtainment.com/idolblog/wp-content/castroout.jpg

    The person is Adam Schubak, a TV Guide employee.

  • GwendolynD

    Ryan could seriously lose his job for that. I doubt it’s true. Really? Seacrest may act goofy sometimes, but he’s hardly an idiot.

  • sumidol

    The week that Michael Johns (waaa) was voted off, who did they pick to win here? What was the buzz then?

  • Steph

    As for the Jason boot – I won’t believe it til I see it. His fan base is so strong. Brooke SHOULD go, for sure, but any of the girls could be in danger tonight.

  • SpenserJ

    Hereà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s the link to a screen cap of the alleged TV Guide spoiler:

    http://www.slimtainment.com/idolblog/wp-content/castroout.jpg

    The person is Adam Schubak, a TV Guide employee.

    That’s bull. I clicked on that link – and the alleged TV guide employee says “could this be a spoiler for your site?”. Like anyone would ask that question. Knowing the bootie of the most popular tv show in the world before anyone else does? Yeah, that would kind of be a spoiler. And, someone from TV Guide would know full well that it was. If TV Guide had that kind of scoop – it would be on their site, they wouldn’t be sending it to some unknown blog.

    ETA: oh, and no way would Seacrest ever fu*# up like that. Not a chance.

  • maracaibo

    I just think they should give the crown to Cookie already.

    The competition is so predictable right now.. I really don’t think Little Archie will give be any threat to DC come finale week.

    IMO MJ was the only one who could at least give Cookie a run for the money, it was certainly a mistake to let him go so soon.
    *Shrugs*…. It’s like something is missing when I watch this show now.

  • joydrop

    I still don’t buy it (although originally I never thought Jason would get past week 6, but I wasn’t expecting everyone to like him as much as I do), I really don’t think that Ryan would do that. He would get his pants sued off.

  • Kirsten

    ETA: What kind of idiot would believe that Ryan a) knows whoà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s getting kicked off,

    Ryan is one of the few who do, but he doesn’t know long before the show goes to air. I recall him talking about the Chris D boot and how he was in the producer’s office and they told him who was going home. He was stunned. I seem to recall him saying he had a tough time with that show because he felt so weird around Chris, but he had to be careful not to telegraph anything.

    Ryan has to know who is getting the boot partly because he’s not allowed to put it on his little cards anymore. Ever since Clay read who was the winner of S2, they’ve had blank cards for Ryan to “read” from. Jordin confirmed that last year (those tall ones! They are always taking advantage of shrimpy Ryan). Plus, he needs to know how to set up shots, etc, etc. The dudes in the editing department also know.

    If TV Guide had that kind of scoop – it would be on their site, they wouldnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t be sending it to some unknown blog.

    A lot of times they get told things but they have to sit on the information or they lose a source. If Ryan told them that, they might not be able to publish it or they lose some insider status with AI. TV Guide does a lot of special feature things with AI.

    Nonetheless, that TV Guide thing looks like a hoax. I refuse to read IDF to find out what the rest of the story is, but it just looks really lame. It doesn’t sound like a reporter to me.

  • NOLA

    It doesn’t matter the size of the fanbase, as TPTB will remove whomever they choose and right now, Jason is sucking votes from Cook and Archuleta.

  • xoxoyc

    Well this little incident will now cause the fans of whoever does go home to smell a rat. If Jason does go home of course his fans will be upset.

    If someone else goes home their fans will wonder if Jason was really supposed to but they saved him because of the leakage and booted someone else instead.

  • http://myspace.com/girlgeek mj

    Ryan finds out who the bootee is when he arrives at Idol in the afternoon.

    It’s stupid. Like Kirsten said, that email doesn’t ring true. A reporter wouldn’t send an email like that.

    The link at IDF is actually pretty amusing. That blogger is getting her head handed to her on a platter. What did she expect? She’s probably just trying to drive traffic to her site. Wow, and she mentions the sources name! Bush league!

    BTW, If I happened to receive information like that I wouldn’t post it ahead of time. I would never spoil something the contestants themselves haven’t learned yet. That’s crappy.

  • Tony

    I wanna see what the OP said. :(

    (or what has already been said pretty much the gist of it?)

  • KrazeeK120

    NOLA, actually, whoever gets the lowest amount of votes will be removed from the show. TPTB can’t do anything about it. They can try to persuade people to vote for certain contestants but the final outcome is America’s vote. Do you really think they voluntarily removed Chris Daughtry in 4th place?

  • http://www.myspace.com/swood1104 Sarah

    I was just worried, since I only got about 10 busy signals last night out of 150-something calls for him (and I didnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t dare to vote-split with Jason after that), compared to about 100 busies from about 275 calls last week.

    I didn’t get a lot of busys this week when I was voting for him on my landline either. But, I think there were probably just less votes this week. Who knows though?

    I put all my points on Brooke too.

  • Lisa

    I have yet to get a busy signal for DC when I vote and I have been voting every week.

  • GwendolynD

    That stupid IDF story about the email and Ryan leaking the eliminee just broke on TMZ. Heh.

  • grayhound

    I didnà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢t get a lot of busys this week when I was voting for him on my landline either. But, I think there were probably just less votes this week. Who knows though?

    Sarah – Don’t forget there were two phone numbers for each contestant so no doubt there were less busy’s. Also, in the previous weeks of my power voting caper, I rarely got any busy signals. Last night I had more busy’s than any other week previously, and on both lines. But by 20 minutes in, the lines (both) opened up. Actually, I think busy signals are driven by where you live.

    Also, anyone remember – is this the night of dividing everyone into three groups of two to a group? Maybe we will be able to guess who’s getting the most votes by their groups. But I guess sneaky Ryan could trick us again!

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    I think two lines = fewer busy signals. Happened last year, too.

    We know Nigel and Co are in bed with TMZ, and the story about Jason’s elimination is now on their site.

    I could don a tin foil hat and come up with lots of scenarios concerning this (both good and bad for my boi Lashes), but I shall refrain. LOL.

    ETA: I decided to put all my points on Brooke, too. I have Carly to win it all, and I need to make up for those lost points somehow, and I can’t do it by splitting my votes.

    ETA2:

    Actually, I think busy signals are driven by where you live.

    I think so, too. And your service provider.

  • http://myspace.com/girlgeek mj

    That stupid IDF story about the email and Ryan leaking the eliminee just broke on TMZ. Heh.

    Yeah, but they aren’t posting it as news, they are mocking it.

    Interesting. I’ve always believed that TMZ worked with Nigel and company. I think they get their song spoilers straight from the source. And, unfortunately, I think the producers leak the negative stuff to them as well.

    I’ll bet that TMZ post is at the behest of TPTB.

  • http://myspace.com/girlgeek mj

    COKE Pj! lol

  • GwendolynD

    I just heard a rumor that the Jason story was leaked because an Idol employee saw his tribute video being made. I have no idea whether or not it’s true. It’s just one of those floating things.

  • http://myspace.com/saltwatercures pj

    LOL, MJ, it’s on me!

    GwendolynD, interesting. Sigh. Me no likey the stress.

  • GwendolynD

    Interesting. Ià ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢ve always believed that TMZ worked with Nigel and company.

    I really don’t think I can like him any less. I really don’t.

  • Little Boy Blue

    Folks,

    There were 2 people who screwed up the lyrics last night — David A and Brooke.

    The difference between David A. and Brooke is that David A had the presence of mind to keep going. Brooke on the other hand completely forgot them and made the band stop and start, which makes her look much worse than if she would have just muddled her way through it a few seconds until her she started remembering.

    FAIRNESS dicatates that Brooke goes. Simon and Randy from the beginning have always emphasized NOT FORGETTING your lyrics PRECISELY to avoid this problem live.

    Look, I love Brooke and she has always been my favorite girl in the show because I love the Carly Simon/Carole King vibe about her. But she is always on the verge of a breakdown every night. It’s getting uncomfortable watching her. She isn’t a performer cut out to compete. She’s probably one who deserves to be in a smaller, more compfortable venue where people aren’t concentrating on every dot and “T” of your singing.

    I’ll buy her album because I love the pleasantness of her voice and I like her style. However, I’m not sure I can stand another nervous wreck performance like this. America should really be merciful and let her go. Number 6 is a good place to go ( like Kellie Pickler ).

  • jersey

    Every year we get the “employee saw the boot video being made”. I think they keep updating all of the idols boot videos; I don’t believe they start making the videos the minute they find out who gets the boot. I’m sticking with Brooke. All 20 points, baby!

  • sumidol

    I live in Az and my kids and I called on two phones – both – numbers and due to the busy tones got thru about 10 times only – oh – for Jason

  • http://www.youtube.com/user/iamthepurplewalrus purplesmile

    Jason out?!? Nooooo!!!!! :(

  • joydrop

    I’ve got most of my points on Syesha still, but some on Brooke too. I couldn’t bring myself to put any on Jason. I took everything I had on Carly and put it on Brooke.

    BTW, was anyone else kind of out off by Paula’s “you must never start and stop” comment to Brooke last night? It was extremely condescending. You don’t think the girl knows she screwed up? How about you throw a little more salt in that wound.

  • http://www.xanga.com/Cynarajane CJ

    I live in Az and my kids and I called on two phones – both – numbers and due to the busy tones got thru about 10 times only – oh – for Jason

    I live in OH, and if I try to vote on my landline I can’t get through at all (I’m in Cooktardsville, OH, BTW :smile1_tb:), but I can get though with very, very few busy signals on my cell phone (two I think? Calling, not texting…) I think the carrier is the difference.

    I am nervous, too…I may be a Cooktard, but I like Jason and I don’t want to see him go yet. Brooke definitely deserves that more, IMO.

  • GeminiDolly

    I at least wanted Jason Top 4, but he just really sukked it hard last night. It was worse than KLCs 8 days a week and probably one of the worst in Idol history. What was up with him breathing so hard into the mic? I hope someone advises him to fix that. I still adore him and will buy his music but Its not a shocker that hes going home. Its a shame it got leaked though.

  • sumidol

    CJ – I like Cook too – each for a different mood – I hope they both go thru to the end and G-Dolly NOTHING can EVER be worse than how Kristy country – fried that Beatle song – nothing I dont think?

  • sumidol

    Oh Dolly, Jason had a temp of 104 and had an IV in him before he went out but said nothing. Neither did the judges like they did for Rami and Kristy when THEY were sick HMMMM???