UPDATE2: Hits has revised their estimates today (Oct 6) up to 170-190K

UPDATE: Billboard also predicts Scotty headed for #1, with 160-170K in sales.

The Hits Daily Double 1 day sales predictions are  in, and it’s looking good for Scotty McCreery! His debut, Clear as Day, is predicted to come in at #1 with 150K-175k in sales. GO SCOTTY GO!

This is one Idol winner who is living up to the hype.

Mercury Nashville/19/Interscope artist Scott McCreery’s debut studio effort, Clear as Day, will debut at #1 on next week’s HITS Album sales chart with between 150-175k.

That was based on one-day sales figures from those music retailers who aren’t otherwise occupied selling albums to the Wall Street protestors.

The only previous Idol winner who can make that claim is first-season champ Kelly Clarkson, whose RCA debut Thankful, went straight to #1 in 2003. Carrie Underwood didn’t debut at #1 until her second album, Carnival Ride, entered at the top spot in 2007. Daughtry was an Idol runner-up whose second album, 2009’s Leave This Town, debuted at #1.

Suck it Simon Cowell! Ha ha. I’ll be updating Hits predictions all week, so watch out for that!

UPDATE: Looking at a super outdated chart…it’s actually Ruben Studdard in 2003 as the last Idol winner to debut at #1.

Tagged with:
 
  • windmills

    Scotty’s going to make history! 150-175k gives him a chance at the highest 1st week sales for a solo male country act this year (Brad Paisley got 152k), plus all the records tripp_nwcy talked about as far as the biggest 1st week sales for a debuting male country act ever, probably the biggest digital 1st week album sales for a new male country act ever, and I’m guessing he’ll probably be the 1st new country act male or female to debut at #1 on the Billboard 200. I’m not sure about that last one.

    150-175k is what I thought he might get until I started downgrading because of TTWG. But this is a very good 1st week! Congrats Scotty and all his fans!! What a relief!!!!!

    But, HDD, Ruben Studdard also debuted at #1 in 2003 with Soulful. So, it’s Kelly, Ruben, and Scotty who’ll get #1 on the Billboard 200 with their debut albums.

  • gangreen29

    F*ck you Simon Cowell!

    Agreed

    So much for struggling to sell 80,000.

  • ozarko

    David congratulating Scotty…

    @DavidArchie:
    Cool to see Scotty McCreery’s new album number 1 on iTunes this morning! Atta boy Scotty

  • ericascher93

    I never liked Scotty, mostly because of his obsession with his religion. I don’t mind that he is a christian, but his attitude towards Lady Gaga was rude in my opinion. However, I recognize that he has an authentic country voice, which explains this story entirely. While he is not my cup of tea, I wish him the best.

  • randrambles

    Yay Scotty! Always said he was gona be big!

  • lili_anne7

    Awesome! I’m not even a Scotty fan but it’s so exciting to see an idol debut at #1 ! Plus my prediction was not that far off.

  • Blower

    Holy S**T… Congrats Scotty.

    I never liked Scotty, mostly because of his obsession with his religion. I don’t mind that he is a christian, but his attitude towards Lady Gaga was rude in my opinion. However, I recognize that he has an authentic country voice, which explains this story entirely. While he is not my cup of tea, I wish him the best.

    When was that?

  • girlygirl

    That’s way above what I predicted. Good thing I’m not a betting girl :) Great news for Scotty — way to go!

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    FREAKING OUT RIGHT NOW. THIS IS AMAZING.

    That is so sweet of Archie.

  • Kylee

    Wow, so awesome!!! Hopefully he pulls a Crystal Bowersox or Danny Gokey and debuts even higher!

  • Pam

    Suck it Simon Cowell!

    LOL mj. I couldn’t agree more. Go Scotty go! :D

  • Eileen99

    WOW! Look at Scotty go, nice job & congratulations!!!!

  • Trina

    Yup no struggle to sell 80k indeed! Crush em Scotty! Oh and hey Simon here’s my middle finger to you!

    You know AI is going to pimp the living crap out of this haha!

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    Add to that, I just noticed that ILYTB is #66 and OOS is #99 on iTunes!!!!!!!

  • jpfan

    Nice numbers! The final HHD prediction comes out Friday so the number may even go up. I had Scotty way lowballed because TTWG is kind of struggling. I see pop and country really work
    differently.

    In terms of bragging rights for debut album, I’ll say what I always say. No one from Idol can fairly be compared to genuine new artists who didn’t have 20 million people a week watching them on TV. The fair comparison is the one HDD makes – to other Idols.

    If the number holds it looks like Scotty will be 6 on the debut week for Idol winners selling more than Lee, Kris and Jordin. Plus they can legit blast #1 album of the week on all his promo. ;)

  • ericascher93

    Blower on his video introduction when she mentored. Granted, she was a little pushy, but him touching his cross and saying that “it wasn’t his fault” was a little bit whiny to me. I don’t know his motivation for saying that specifically. Honestly I was a James fan because like me he has Aspergers and I thought it would help raise awareness for the condition, not to mention he has a better voice.

  • HR

    Congratulations scotty!

    Imagine what his numbers might have been if released for Black Friday. :)

  • luly

    Congrats to scotty!

  • bazooka joe

    He sucks, how people can listen to his boring voice is beyond me.

  • ClarkKent

    Suck it, Simon Cowell? – WTF? He left ‘American Idol’ to concentrate on his own show. He never once criticized Scotty, and even if he did, he was only doing that because he hates country music.

    So suck that, MJ!

  • dadriany

    Yes!!! Finally a #1 Idol that’s worth! I cant describe how good this feels as a die-hard scotty fan :)

  • db987

    Congrats to Scotty hope this bode’s well for Lauren, James, Haley and Pia which would be a huge “up yours” to Simon.

  • Kylee

    I had Scotty way lowballed because TTWG is kind of struggling.

    I don’t think its doing too bad, its been gaining good audience impressions and plays every week and continues to grow on the charts. Just not as fast as ILYTB.

    And yes, SUCK IT Simon! Funny thing is he wouldn’t have even put Scotty through in the first place…

    And if these are correct, then he will already be outselling Lee’s total sales-and its only his first week.

  • Kirsten

    Woah! I did not expect that at all. Way to turn the Idol ship around Scotty!

    HDD does tend to over-estimate Idols based on one-day numbers (Idols are very front loaded), so I expect it will be closer to 150K than the 175K, but that is a great opening for a Country artist and given the last couple of Idol seasons. Especially since it is October instead of November (Idols often drop on Black Friday).

    And some more number ones to add to the Idol collection (if he’s number one on the BB200, he’s number one on the Country Album charts and maybe even the digital chart).

  • Desdemona

    YAY! I hope he exceeds HDD’s predictions! Go, Scotty, Go!

  • adolf_hipster

    adolf_hipster says:
    10/05/2011 at 1:03 pm
    I wouldn’t be surprised if Scotty pulls Archie’s numbers, but my prediction was 150k, so i’m gonna go with that.

    well well well :-D

  • falafel

    Those numbers are pretty awesome. He’s going to be able to claim a whole bunch of firsts (or first-in-a-few-years’, anyway).

  • LaurelG

    In terms of bragging rights for debut album, I’ll say what I always say. No one from Idol can fairly be compared to genuine new artists who didn’t have 20 million people a week watching them on TV.

    I agree. Which is why I don’t understand the comparisons to debuting male country acts, etc. Scotty was always going to get those Idol buyers for his first album. Regardless, I had him pegged at around 125,000 so he exceeded my expectations (and Simon’s, ha).

    This isn’t my kind of music but Scotty seems like a nice guy and he has always impressed me with his maturity. Congrats to Scotty and his fans! This is a great start.

  • tripp_ncwy

    jpfan says:
    10/05/2011 at 4:06 pm
    Nice numbers! The final HHD prediction comes out Friday so the number may even go up.

    The revised predictions come out Friday. These numbers could go up or down. If you remember, Lee’s numbers were revised several times by HDD. Overall, great for Scotty.

  • SBC

    Coming out of lurkdom to congratulate Scotty and Idol in general. Not a Scotty fan but I’m an idol fan having seen unkowns given a chance in music biz. Despite the ridicule of some music snobs, Idol is still relevant and a force to reckon.

  • larc

    jpfan says:
    If the number holds it looks like Scotty will be 6 on the debut week for Idol winners selling more than Lee, Kris and Jordin.

    He would actually be #7 behind Reuben, Carrie, Taylor, Kelly, David C. and Fantasia and #12 overall. :)

  • Kylee

    Regardless, I had him pegged at around 125,000 so he exceeded my expectations (and Simon’s, ha).

    Wait, did Simon make a prediction?

  • JudyOhio

    WTG SCOTTY! I don’t even know what to say other than that right now! Am SO happy for him!

  • Hope07

    Wow, congrats to Scotty, his fans, and Idol! This has to bode well for the show and I’m glad of that. I have a soft spot for several who made their start through Idol, and I hope there continues to be more!

  • cher

    I’m not a country music fan, but the first time I heard him sing during the auditions, I told my family and friends he was going to win idol and that he was gonna sell tons of albums. Congrats Scotty!!
    I recently attended the SYTYCD Tour opening show in Orlando and during the intermission, Nigel was pimping some idol music vids on the big screen. First up was Lauren with her debut vid. She looked beautiful and sounded great. Second was Pia. Like her, but not fond of that song nor the overpimping. Third was Scotty with ILYTB and then surprisingly was David Cook! :)

  • BonnieDee

    I think the “Zinepack certainly helped his sales, because a lot of people bought that limited edition CD in addition to the regular CD. I would suggest they do this again for Idols in the future.

  • SandyA

    This does not surprise me in the least. Ever since experiencing firsthand crazed Scotty-mania at the Philadelphia concert, it was apparent that he would rack up some good figures. My belief is that people aren’t buying his record solely for his music but b/c of his charisma and persona (which is creating a very rabid fan base who will buy anything with his name or face on it). He’s like a country music Justin Bieber whose charm even extends to mothers and grandmothers. That equates to substantial sales right off the bat.

    Although I dislike his music, you can’t help but like him personally. I wish him the very best.

  • jpfan

    According to a poster at Pulse, HDD forgot Ruben who also went #1 with Soulful in 2003.

    How did Clay Aiken not have the #1 album of the week as well when he sold 600K plus his first week? I’d love to know who sold more albums ;)

  • windmills

    jpfan: In terms of bragging rights for debut album, I’ll say what I always say. No one from Idol can fairly be compared to genuine new artists who didn’t have 20 million people a week watching them on TV.

    LaurelG: Which is why I don’t understand the comparisons to debuting male country acts, etc.

    The comparisons obviously aren’t fair. I was just pointing out that Scotty will be putting his name in the record books, fair or not. And you can bet money those records will be in the PR that Mercury Nashville releases and probably in the sales articles that come out. Some of those sales articles will also put Scotty’s sales in the Idol context.

    The significance of the records will be determined by the overall arc of Scotty’s career. If he turns out to be relevant for a long period of time then people will think back to those records and consider them meaningful. If not then they’ll just be considered an Idol thing.

    jpfan: How did Clay Aiken not have the #1 album of the week as well when he sold 600K plus his first week? I’d love to know who sold more albums that week.

    Clay did have the #1 album of the week. But he didn’t win AI so HDD didn’t mention him.

  • Valentin432

    Very good numbers, congrats to Scotty.

  • Blou38

    ClarkKent ..you’re wrong. Simon gets sucked into making fun of Scotty on every show he goes on. Shows what Simon is made of. He’s jealous of all the attention Scotty and Idol are getting right now. He’d be a lot better off to avoid those comments. People who never watched Idol love ILYTB on country radio.

  • Kirsten

    I think the “Zinepack certainly helped his sales, because a lot of people bought that limited edition CD in addition to the regular CD. I would suggest they do this again for Idols in the future.

    They’ve done stuff like that for years. Sometimes it is a poster, but mostly it’s bonus tracks. There have been times when several vendors have offered different bonus tracks (I’ve heard up to four different versions) which encourages people who want everything their Idol has to offer to buy each version.

    And people are constantly buying “extra” copies to keep for when their Idol becomes HUGE (unwrapped, of course). I remember there was a picture of one crazed fan with multiple copies of everything on a flight of stairs.

    But, the number of fans who do this is relatively small and has little significant impact on the total numbers.

  • jpfan

    Clay did have the #1 album of the week. But he didn’t win AI so HDD didn’t mention him

    HDD did mention Daughtry though. Maybe they just didn’t feel like doing an entire Idol history of #1s.

    I understand what you’re saying about bragging rights though. You make some excellent points.

  • chearts77

    AHHHHHHHHHHH!!! Doing the happy dance!!! So excited for Scotty!!! GO SCOTTY GO!!!

  • Kirsten

    How did Clay Aiken not have the #1 album of the week as well when he sold 600K plus his first week? I’d love to know who sold more albums

    Clay released on October 14th with 612,859. Ruben did not release until Dec 9th with 416,569. Both of them opened at number 1 and Clay didn’t win, so he wasn’t mentioned in the list of winners who reached number 1 with their debut albums.

    Only Kelly, Clay and Ruben achieved number 1 on their debut weeks for their debut albums. Daughtry would go on to achieve number 1 on the BB200 in January.

  • windmills

    jpfan: Oops, HDD did mention Daughtry though. Maybe they just didn’t feel like doing an entire Idol history of #1s.

    They probably forgot Chris Daughtry didn’t win ;)

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    ScottyMcCreery Scotty McCreery
    RT @DavidArchie “Cool to see Scotty McCreery’s new album number 1 on iTunes this morning! Atta boy Scotty” >> thanks David!

    Awwww.

  • Niall

    Good for Scotty and definitely good news for the AI franchise after 2 years of declining sales from the winner.

  • Avari

    Following in Adolph-hipster’s footsteps…

    Avari says:
    10/05/2011 at 1:44 pm
    If I were a betting person, I’d say he’ll debut above 150K. I’m not prepared to go on record with an upper range on that, though.

    Damn. Should have made that bet! :-)

  • jpfan

    Nice tweet from Archie. Just for the record, Archie’s first week of sales.

    David Archuleta “David Archuleta” (Nov 11, 2008) 182,927 (#2)

    Very similiar to what is predicted for Scotty.

    I think HDD must be under the assumption that Daughtry won. :)

  • SpenserJ

    Nice. I’m not a country fan, and I have no plans to buy this CD. But, I’m very happy for Scotty. This is good news all around. With a little luck and some momentum, Scotty could even see a week during the holiday season where he does better #’s than his debut week. It will be fun to numbers-watch an Idol album that at least has a prayer of going gold (as opposed to some other recent disasters).

    Be it Scotty’s CD, or Kelly’s upcoming release, I’d like to see an Idol album with some longevity in the BB200. It’s been a while since we’ve had one of those, and I find them fun :).

  • Blou38

    Is it because of iTunes that cd’s don’t sell like they use to? I wouldn’t exactly call Daughtry a #1 “runner-up”.

  • girlygirl

    Blou38

    more because people illegally steal music

  • LoveDaRocker

    Did the album stream anywhere? I remember that in season 8th in particular the albums of the top three (Kris, Adam, and Allison) (yes, I said Allison) were streamed before they were available. I Always thought that it was a bad idea.
    I don’t think this happened with Scotty’s.
    What does that say about the streaming strategy?

  • abbysee

    Way to go Scotty, when I am gonna stop underestimating this guy, it’s obvious he’s struck a chord…….so proud of him.

    Archie is the sweetest guy, love how he is always cheer-leading for his fellow idolettes.

    These are very solid numbers.

    Oh yeah, suck it Simon!

  • NOLA

    What great news! WTG, Scotty! Keep on truckin’!

  • fuzzywuzzy

    Very good estimate for first week’s sales. Congrats, Scotty!

  • larc

    David Archuleta “David Archuleta” (Nov 11, 2008) 182,927

    Thanks very much for that, jpfan. That was one I had only the rounded number for on my list.

    Scotty could possibly sneak past Archie. Fewer than 8K albums more than HDD’s top predication could do it.

  • Buffynut

    Great for Scotty! Even greater for Idol! Woo-hoo! (I’ll bet Simon is pissed! LOL! )

  • Trina

    It didn’t stream which I think is the first time I can remember an Idol debut not leaking at some point. The David’s had their albums streaming on AOL a few days before but they still sold a lot. I’ve actually bought albums I was on the fence about due to streaming since you get to hear if you like it or not.

  • OldHag

    Blower on his video introduction when she mentored. Granted, she was a little pushy, but him touching his cross and saying that “it wasn’t his fault” was a little bit whiny to me. I don’t know his motivation for saying that specifically.

    He was 17. He was a child and she was a powerful, older person who could influence his career. She was very clearly making him uncomfortable with her sexual innuendos. If the genders had been switched the public (media) would have blasted Gaga – and in my opinion, rightfully so. She was the one out of line. He was just dealing with it best he could.

  • Mtlfan

    That’s very good!!! Go Scotty!! :)

  • car3278sweet

    Congrats to Scotty and the AI franchise.

  • LexieN

    Yay!!!!!! Happy dancing:) Congrats to Scotty!!

  • LaurelG

    Wait, did Simon make a prediction?

    Not that I know of. I just meant that Simon does not seem to have high expectations for Scotty generally.

  • Buffynut

    Niall says:

    10/05/2011 at 4:45 pm

    Good for Scotty and definitely good news for the AI franchise after 2 years of declining sales from the winner.

    Yes! It is great for Idol! Nigel must be doing the happy dance! Jimmy must be doing the happy dance! And Simon Fuller!
    I agree with Kirsten, that the final figure will probably be closer to 150,000 because of the “front loading” caused by Idol fans and pre-orders.

  • Kirkee

    Great for Scotty doubling what the past two Idol winners did! He must be super excited. I’m happy for him. Country music isn’t my thing but he seems like a nice kid.

  • Chicagolaw

    Yay for Scotty! And great for AI to have a winner pull in these numbers. I’m not a country fan or a Scotty fan, but from day 1 his voice really stood out.

  • NOLA

    In this economy, those are huge numbers.

  • jing_ftw

    Blou38: Is it because of iTunes that cd’s don’t sell like they use to?
    girlygirl: more because people illegally steal music

    Hmm. Maybe this also says something about country music fans. Maybe they are less likely, as a group, to steal music? Maybe is a Susan Boyle-type effect? (i.e. in SUBO’s case, 40+ women don’t steal music)

  • dadriany

    Now Longevity…I believe this will be a long runner in charts…he will tour next year and TTWW still need to climb on charts.

  • jjrr1942

    I think that kissing the cross thing was a tongue in cheek thing…her actions were questionable but he did credit her with some good advice and just said they were polor opposites when it came to peformance.

    Album sales look good for Scotty…woohoo!

    And David A is a sweetie – thought so when he was an Idol contestant and still think so today!

  • abbysee

    I think that kissing the cross thing was a tongue in cheek thing…her actions were questionable but he did credit her with some good advice and just said they were polor opposites when it came to peformance.

    I always took it as tongue in cheek too. He’s a cheeky little guy if you really pay attention. He has a sense of humor that many seem to lack, lol. Durbin was the one who I thought was more out of line regarding Gaga.

  • halo9125

    So, first year without Simon, and Idol turns out a successful winner- more power to Idol, and wtg Scotty!

  • CindyM

    Congrats Scotty!!!!

  • Quaribea

    Based on high Idol HDD predictions in the past, I’m going to guess Scotty comes in at about 115k. But with the decreasing album sales overall, that number is still awesome, and I don’t want Scotty fans to be disappointed if my prediction is close to reality.

  • Elliegrll

    Is it because of iTunes that cd’s don’t sell like they use to? I wouldn’t exactly call Daughtry a #1 “runner-up”.

    People are stealing music, but I think a big part of the turn is that people can now download singles. For years labels have been releasing albums that have a few good radio singles, and the rest of the album is filler. People got tired of spending $10 for one or two songs.

    I don’t understand what you are saying about Daughtry. Daughtry’s first album’s chart run is amazing. The album remained in the top 100 albums on Billboard for more than two years, the top ten for more than 20 weeks, and in the top 200 for 136 weeks.

  • Tony

    Idols who have sold 100K and up in their debut:

    1. CLAY AIKEN, Measure of a Man: 612,859 (#1)
    *Season 2: 2nd place
    2. RUBEN STUDDARD, Soulful: 416,589 (#1)
    *Season 2: Winner
    3. CARRIE UNDERWOOD, Some Hearts: 314,549 (#2)
    *Season 4: Winner
    4. CHRIS DAUGHTRY, Daughtry: 303,677 (#2)
    *Season 5: 4th place
    5. TAYLOR HICKS, Taylor Hicks: 298,199 (#2)
    *Season 5: Winner
    6. KELLY CLARKSON, Thankful: 297,381 (#1)
    *Season 1: Winner
    7. DAVID COOK, David Cook: 279,578 (#3)
    *Season 7: Winner
    8. FANTASIA BARRINO, Free Yourself: 240,278 (#8)
    *Season 3: Winner
    9. BO BICE, The Real Thing: 226,976 (#4)
    *Season 5: 2nd place
    10. JENNIFER HUDSON, Jennifer Hudson: 217,185 (#2)
    *Season 3: 7th place
    11. ADAM LAMBERT, For Your Entertainment: 198,466 (#3)
    *Season 8: 2nd place
    12. DAVID ARCHULETA, David Archuleta: 182,927 (#2)
    *Season 7: 2nd place
    13. JORDIN SPARKS, Jordin Sparks: 119,119 (#10)
    *Season 6: Winner
    14. KATHARINE McPHEE, Katharine McPhee: 115,761 (#2)
    *Season 5: 2nd place

  • Buffynut

    Quaribea says:

    10/05/2011 at 5:33 pm

    Based on high Idol HDD predictions in the past, I’m going to guess Scotty comes in at about 115k. But with the decreasing album sales overall, that number is still awesome, and I don’t want Scotty fans to be disappointed if my prediction is close to reality.

    Has HDD ever been that far off? I think the lower end, like Kirsten said is probable (150,000), but 115,000? I don’t think so.

  • CanadianLady

    Terrific! And not really surprising.

    Got my cd today and really, really like it. Not sure how anyone can say it’s generic – it’s pure Scotty!

  • heidijoy

    First found out about Scotty’s album being #1 on I tunes today from @DavidArchie!! I especially liked his “atta boy Scotty” which sounds like something from my generation.(and I’m a Senior Citizen). He is such a sweetie and is so genuine. Also was pleased that Scotty saw it and responded. David was asked about Scotty in Asia in July and was complimentary of him and Lauren.Those numbers of Scotty are just as impressive as some of the earlier numbers and comparable to those selling well now. The numbers are not what they were several years ago for anyone.

  • kmd

    I have to say that Archie is one of the most genuine and supportive idols to other idols. I am not surprised to see his supportive tweet to Scotty.

  • karenc

    I’m happy that he’s getting such good numbers, not only for him but for AI too, especially with so many other singing shows out now.

  • TXsunshine001

    As a 40 year old women I am offended that anyone one would think we would buy Susan Boyle’s music. Now Adam Lambert, that’s a different story lol

    Go Scotty, do your thing

  • Montavilla

    Impressive is right. Congratulations to Scotty and his team.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    lol ILYTB is #61 on iTunes. That song just won’t die.

  • Esqt

    It’s too early to celebrate but that number makes me grin from ear to ear. *can’t help it* In my own little world – #voldemortyoustillrawks

  • HermeticallySealed

    Not a fan of the guy, or his singing, but for the very fact that it will stick in Simon’s craw, I hope his numbers are at the high end of the prediction.

  • CanadianLady

    Clear as Day is the #4 album overall in Canada, and #1 country. In the singles area, they only have the top 200, and You Make that Look Good is 169 overal and #12 in country. The rest are only in country: ILYTB is 23, OOS 37, TTG 38, CaD 64, WTT 74, WitC 77, BotG 94, BTT 126, WMNoyH 137, DD 138, and TOKJ 180.

  • Blou38

    I wasn’t referring to anything but that Daughtry’s cd wasn’t #1 his first week and he wasn’t a runnerup. No one can dispute his incredible success on the charts and touring.

  • paperheart

    So, first year without Simon, and Idol turns out a successful winner- more power to Idol, and wtg Scotty!

    The real test will be how Scotty’s sales are maintained over the coming months.

    He’s in a genre where the fans still buy the albums so that’s very fortunate.

    That has nothing to do with Simon. I suspect had Simon been on Season 10 he’d have been very aware of Scotty’s potential and probably would’ve backed him 100% seeing the dollar signs from a mile away.

    Congrats to Scotty for getting the #1 album.

  • dadriany

    Based on high Idol HDD predictions in the past, I’m going to guess Scotty comes in at about 115k

    Based on HDD prediction this year, the number could get higher than 175k…#justsaying

  • Blower

    The real test will be how Scotty’s sales are maintained over the coming months.

    He’s in a genre where the fans still buy the albums so that’s very fortunate.

    That has nothing to do with Simon. I suspect had Simon been on Season 10 he’d have been very aware of Scotty’s potential and probably would’ve backed him 100% seeing the dollar signs from a mile away.

    Congrats to Scotty for getting the #1 album.

    But Simon hates country..

  • NOLA

    I’m gonna go out on the proverbial limb and say I think his numbers will be closer to the 175 end, if not higher.

  • NOLA

    But Simon hates country..

    I never heard Simon say he hated country.
    He has stated many times that he “doesn’t understand” it.

  • Tera2

    Those are good numbers for Scotty considering more people buy singles now than full CD. Hope he makes up for it with singles. He will get a boost in sales around Christmas and when idol starts. At least he didnt sell under 100K like last season winner. Jennifer Hudson first week sales was like 160K too. I think Daughtry and Kelly Clarkson will sell about the same as Scotty or more first week. They both already have 2 very good singles and a loyal following.

  • Kylee

    Just for fun, here are HDD predictions for other idols and how accurate they were-or not.(I will only do first predictions since Scotty is on his first prediction also)

    David Cook(This Loud Morning)-Prediction: 35-40k then updated later that day to 45-50K
    Actual Number: 46K

    Crystal Bowersox(Farmers Daughter)-Prediction: 45-50K
    Actual Number: 58K

    Lee Dewyze(Live It Up)-Prediction: 40-45K
    Actual Number: 39K

    Kris Allen(Kris Allen)-Prediction: 75-80K, then revised to 85-90K
    Actual Number: 80K

    Carrie Underwood(Play On)-Prediction: 300-350K
    Actual Number: 318K

    So hopefully Scotty’s isn’t too off.

  • paperheart

    But Simon hates country..

    He might “hate” country but he loves money and can spot a winner when he sees one. He backed Carrie Underwood for the same reason.

  • SpenserJ

    I never heard Simon say he hated country.
    He has stated many times that he “doesn’t understand” it.

    Either way, during season 4, he correctly predicted that Carrie would be the most successful winner they ever had. He liked her a lot. Whether he likes it or not, he can still see if there are dollar signs to be made from it.

    I have no clue how Simon’s presence would have changed Season 10, I just wouldn’t assume that he would have hated Scotty.

    At any rate, I think the X Factor show is sucky. And, at this point, Simon and Paula together are just lame. So, while Simon may think he’s in some big competition with AI – I don’t think they even see his show as a contender.

    Simon can poke fun at Scotty all he wants. It won’t have any effect in the long run.

  • Trina

    Those are good numbers for Scotty considering more people buy singles now than full CD. Hope he makes up for it with singles.

    Well he already sold over 600,000 of ILYTB so hes off to a decent start with singles.

    He will get a boost in sales around Christmas and when idol starts. At least he didnt sell under 100K like last season winner.

    I think if these numbers hold he’ll have sold more in a week than Lee has sold to date.

    Yes! It is great for Idol! Nigel must be doing the happy dance! Jimmy must be doing the happy dance! And Simon Fuller!

    Hey just think if the numbers keep up Scotty may even get asked to perform at the Idol finale woot! LOL

  • Swind

    Not a fan of Scotty, but happy for what this will do for the staying power of Idol. Oh and to piss Simon off as well. =)

  • Blower

    I never heard Simon say he hated country.
    He has stated many times that he “doesn’t understand” it.

    I’m considering that as a ‘hate’.. hahah

    He might “hate” country but he loves money and can spot a winner when he sees one. He backed Carrie Underwood for the same reason.

    Simon isn’t music genius, he’s tv show genius. look at X factor UK winners, most of them all flopped. Make the money from his show, sign the winner and potential acts, his acts flop and drop them after that.

    Carrie wasn’t pure country singer when she’s competing on idol. She didn’t sing country music every week.. It’s different :D

  • paperheart

    Simon isn’t music genius, he’s tv show genius. look at X factor UK winners, most of them all flopped. Make the money from his show, sign the winner and potential acts, his acts flop and drop them after that.

    Susan Boyle isn’t a flop. Leona Lewis isn’t a flop.

    Simon can spot a money maker however, put the public in charge of who wins and Simon’s opinion doesn’t matter too much.

    Carrie wasn’t pure country singer when she’s competing on idol. It’s different

    Carrie was presented as a country singer on Idol…. not traditional country but contemporary country is still country.

  • sfweb

    SCOTTY is a big star in US, maybe CA.
    International market doesn’t care about him, sorry.
    American must push Kelly Daughtry Archuleta Hudson Fantasia Adam.
    Bieber brings huge money to Canada.

  • abbysee

    SCOTTY is a big star in US, maybe CA.
    International market doesn’t care about him, sorry.
    American must push Kelly Daughtry Archuleta Hudson Fantasia Adam.
    Bieber brings huge money to Canada.

    Beiber? What does he have to do with this?

  • Elliegrll

    Simon can spot a money maker however, put the public in charge of who wins and Simon’s opinion doesn’t matter too much.

    He didn’t spot that Jennifer Hudson or Daughtry would be successful. The same is true for Will Young from Pop Idol. Simon’s issues with him are legendary, as well as Simon promoting the person who came in second to Will more, and giving him more opportunities. Of course that person is no longer associated with Simon or signed to a major label.

    SCOTTY is a big star in US, maybe CA.
    International market doesn’t care about him, sorry.

    Scotty’s just starting off his career, so who knows whether or not his label will market him to other countries. Right now it’s not that people outside of the US and Canada don’t care about him, it’s that they don’t know that he exists.

  • Blower

    Susan Boyle isn’t a flop. Leona Lewis isn’t a flop.

    Simon can spot a money maker however, put the public in charge of who wins and Simon’s opinion doesn’t matter too much.

    Susan Boyle was phenomena and public loved her story. Leona was lucky because she had ‘bleeding love’ as a first single. It’s been 7 years of X factor UK and British Got Talent, and who’s the other acts who considered as a Simon’s big money maker besides Subo and Leona?

    Carrie was presented as a country singer on Idol…. not traditional country but contemporary country is still country.

    She’s country singer but she didn’t sing country song everyweek on idol. Simon hates country music, not country acts.

  • katielynne

    International market doesn’t care about him, sorry.

    Not true. Scotty was a big hit in the Philippines, and I’m sure he will be in many other countries as well. Congratulations to Scotty!

  • rivermaya

    Happy and proud to be a fan.
    Here’s hoping the sales figures are closer to the higher end of the prediction — of course I will be ecstatic if it ever exceeds 175K ! Go Scotty Go!!!

  • ptebwwong

    sfweb:
    SCOTTY is a big star in US, maybe CA.
    International market doesn’t care about him, sorry.
    American must push Kelly Daughtry Archuleta Hudson Fantasia Adam.

    It would be amazing if every artist could become big in the International market. But you don’t have to & still make a lot of money. Carrie Underwood won Idol & is basically famous in the US. But she made at least 15 million last year. She consistently has made that much every year. That’s a ton of money that I think all of us wish we have saved or earned in our lifetime.

  • Buffynut

    Simon was on autopilot the last 2 seasons of Idol. I don’t think he would have cared about Scotty one way or the other! As a matter of fact, he may be the main reason seaon 9 was so bad.
    Oh, I do believe Simon has said that he doesn’t like Country music. He may not have used the word “hate” but his feelings have beeen clear.

  • Quaribea

    Has HDD ever been that far off? I think the lower end, like Kirsten said is probable (150,000), but 115,000? I don’t think so.

    Cook’s debut album was 21k under HDD, Archie’s was 37k under low HDD.
    Just like my momma and daddy did at Christmas time. When you expect socks and pants, a few small toys look pretty good. Just trying to lower expectations a bit for the Scotty fans.

  • ptebwwong

    Leona Lewis isn’t a flop.
    Simon can spot a money maker however, put the public in charge of who wins and Simon’s opinion doesn’t matter too much.

    Leona had “Bleeding Love.” I wouldn’t call her a flop. But she hasn’t had a big hit since then. She was never a “big star.” She just had 1 huge song like James Blunt. We’ll see if Leona’s new album produces any hits. If not, she’s just a flash in the pan in the US. She can still have a good career in the UK. There’s been 7 years of X factor UK. Only Leona has had success in America. The other contestants have only had success in the UK or Europe. That’s not a very good average.

    Simon can spot talent. But there have been times he’s off. He hated Daughtry’s 1st audition & said no. If Randy & Paula didn’t say “Yes,” he probably would never have been found. Scary thought, huh. He didn’t even remember Kelly Clarkson during the semi-finals. He didn’t remember her voice or anything about her. Simon is a good talent scout. But only for pop music in general. I do not think he could scout for country music in general or rock music.

    The problem is he knows what he likes & sometimes is very stubborn to grasp other options or things. He loves diva type singers which he has on the new X Factor. But I don’t think these types of artists work anymore. They need to do current pop music with a dance/uptempo feel now. Look at Kelly. She has a diva type of voice, but to be current & still relevant sings a lot of dance/pop rock songs. Simon loves boybands in the UK. Hopefully, he knows that boybands don’t work anymore in America because there are some boybands on X Factor that he put through. What people like in the UK might be drastically different than what people in America like musically. I hope Simon realizes this since over the past year it seems like he’s gotten a big head.

  • Fullmoon

    Congratulation to Scotty. Very good news for the Idol franchise to have a winner they can brag about and that can sell albums. Idol must be relieved.

  • sharilee

    Aha, who says Scotty is not big in Asia. We like all genre of music and definitely singing from deep voiced singer, either country or ballads. Asia is more subdue. Most will wait for physical CD to arrive shore or either some do not know that we can order through Amazon or other sources. Moreover, shipping duration is is long and courier is expensive. Thus they will wait for the physical albums to hit shore. I was lucky. I joined & consulted Scotty fan club and was advised on my options by. I will be receiving mine by courier (ordered on behalf of family members, friends & self) in a couple of days. Syabas (Kudos) to Scotty and down with the critics. I have never joined fan clubs, never have the urge to because I am not computer savvy but because of Scotty, I did the impossible, like learning to tweet and connecting with American fans and commenting on blogs.
    By the way, I am also feng shui crazy and I can tell he is here to stay for a very, very long time. He just wants to sing but fame, fortune and recognition will come his way. Syabas to Scotty again. Fan from Malaysia.

  • OldHag

    Congratulation to Scotty. Very good news for the Idol franchise to have a winner they can brag about and that can sell albums. Idol must be relieved.

    Even sweeter would be if the Factor winner sells around 40 grand or less first week out.

    As far as whether Simon would have liked him or not, Scotty is the only person from this year’s Idol Simon talked has talked about. I think he might of latched on to his potenial. Unless… he was trying to sabatoge the show.

  • sstomato2

    Scotty #1 in iTune US and in Canada today.He is a big hit in Philippine also.

  • songsungblue

    Scotty interests me not at all, in fact the thought of him is so boring it makes the eyes roll back in my head – BUT – I’m glad to see him do well, and I’m not surprised at all. Country music is the way to make a buck these days. It’s pretty healthy.

    Also the branding of Scotty has been fabulous. It’s basically: Low voice. Good Christian Boy. Loves his momma. That’s it. So memorable and simple. Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze? He was badly marketed. They corrected that mistake with Scotty, and might have saved the franchise.

  • Buffynut

    Scotty’s just starting off his career, so who knows whether or not his label will market him to other countries. Right now it’s not that people outside of the US and Canada don’t care about him, it’s that they don’t know that he exists.

    Aren’t Canada and Australia the only other 2 major markets that “get” US Country? I don’t see Scotty being marketed internationally much. Either was Carrie (until a few months ago) and she seems to have done fine with just the US and Canada.

  • LexieN

    Sharilee, love your posts!! It’s great to see the excitement from international fans…and they are there…I’ve posted before about this, but if you go to Scotty’s Facebook or twitter you see fans from practically every country in the world (except Russia and China–are they allowed the internet?:)…Love You this Big is being used on a Brazilian soap opera…and more…

    And CAD is #2 country album behind Lady Antebellum in New Zealand right now…#1 in Canada for country…

  • tibitibis

    Beiber? What does he have to do with this?

    LOL, i was wonder the same :)

    Anyway, Congratulations to Scotty, that are great sales and great news for Idol producers too :) . I was not a Scotty fan on Idol, but i think is a sweet and lovely kid , the review posted in this site picked my curiosity and i ended downloading the album today from Itunes and i probably gonna buy a physical copy this next Thanksgiving weekend here in Canada to enjoy with family.
    So happy with this start for my favorite idol Season ….Go Season 10!!

  • gangreen29

    Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze?

    Bargain bin?

  • goboywonder

    Scotty is a Beast!!!

    David A. is a good egg (tm David A.) :D Always so supportive.
    I chuckled when he performed at the Finale party and called Scotty and Lauren “kids” and proudly mentioned that he was 20 now. #Happy one-year anniversary TOSOD.

    Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze?

    My heart goes out to Lee. Murphy’s Law was very unkind to him. But his reach now is a heck of a lot wider than it was before Idol. After Archuleta, he’s my next most played alum.

    eta, ganggreen, didn’t I read that you once tried out for AI? How did it go?

  • hoa_teca

    ericascher93, there’s an interview recently where Scotty mentioned Lady Gaga:

    REALITY ROCKS: So…it wasn’t being mentored by Lady Gaga?

    SCOTTY: [laughs] Gaga was interesting! She’s an artist. She’s an amazing artist, and she’s unique. I think some of us were a little taken aback by it, but hey, that’s what makes her Gaga!

    REALITY ROCKS: Is that cross you’re wearing around your neck right now the one you kissed after you met her?

    SCOTTY: Yes, this is the same one, yep! [laughs]

    REALITY ROCKS: What do you think Lady Gaga would think of your album?

    SCOTTY: I’d hope she’d like it. She’s an artist and she has an appreciation for all kinds of music, so I’m sure she’d enjoy it. Some of her songs are cool and I’ve listened to them on the radio and stuff. We’re on the same label, so maybe I’ll get to play her my album one day!

    http://new.music.yahoo.com/blogs/realityrocks/422757/scotty-mccreery-talks-elvis-gaga-making-his-mama-cry-and-being-normal-in-an-abnormal-pop-world/;_ylt=AjyhC5n0d3Ct0TRgzMbYAe3NwSUv

    I don’t think Scotty is obsessed with religion. He is just a young man of faith and does not back down on it.

    I am very happy for Scotty. Don’t know how far off HDD can be, higher or lower but he passes 100k for sure. In the long run, we will have to see how it goes but it will be really awesome if Scotty can have the best debut week for male country or have No 1 on Billboard 200 chart. It’s not only good for him – it will be good for AI franchise too.

  • glsteward

    Way to go Scotty!! When i purchased “Clear as Day” yesterday, i was so excited i drove to two Walmarts in search of the ZinPak, Love the book, it is so nice what you have done for your fans. Your parents have done such a great job raising you, i know they are proud….
    As for the CD, all i want to do is get in the car and start bopping to the songs. You really outdid yourself, my son and i are counting the #1 hits to come off of it. Enjoy your run with it, and we will see you next year with Brad Paisley, a concert we won’t miss…..

  • gangreen29

    eta, ganggreen, didn’t I read that you once tried out for AI? How did it go?

    Great. I won.

  • goboywonder

    Great. I won.

    Congratulations.

  • Blower

    I doubt Scotty will have successful international career beside Canada & Australia. Never in a million billion years my country (south east asia region) will play country music except Taylor Swift and Lady A . Scotty popular in some SEA country because of idol watcher and it’s a very small portion of population here. It’s not like Kelly Clarkson and Daughtry (AI season 1 didn’t broadcast here at that time) , Radio plays their music and non AI fans recognize their music. Same as Archie and Kris Allen. Even radio played Pia ‘this time’ and not Scotty ‘ILYTB’.

  • luly

    http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/industry/record-labels/american-idol-winner-scotty-mccreery-heading-1005391292.story

    Industry prognosticators suggest McCreery’s new album, “Clear As Day,” will bow atop the tally next week with perhaps 160,000 to 170,000 copies sold by week’s end on Oct. 9.

  • ross

    Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze?

    Artists who can be described in a simple phrase are probably simple artists.

  • Jae

    I am thrilled as a Scotty supporter. And thrilled as an Idol fan. The franchise needs this type of a success. very pleased for him. A few really good singles and he may go platinum! :D Country albums burn long and slow so he may make it. :)

  • songsungblue

    Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze?

    Artists who can be described in a simple phrase are probabaly simple artists.

    Bingo ;) IMO, Scotty is exactly what they wanted. A simple product, summed up in a few words. It’s the easiest way to sell something – don’t confuse people. He may not be earth-shaking, but he’s not confusing.

  • ross

    I agree. Of course, I don’t think Lee is actually confusing. Except to idiots.

  • Tess

    A simple product, summed up in a few words.

    Sometimes the simplest things have the most potential and have the capacity to create need in a consumer that the consumer didn’t even know they needed. Prime example: individual bottled water…who would have ever envisioned such a simple thing could be so successful.

  • Trina

    How is Billboards track record with predictions?

  • hoa_teca

    A simple product, summed up in a few words

    I remember when Scotty sang “Where were you when the world stopped turning”, Randy referred to him as a simple guy singing simple songs and said he hoped Scotty could keep that up.

    It’s how Scotty is so he’s marketed that way. Not a manufactured product. And who can guarantee that complicated things are good? By the end of the day, when I get home from work and need something soothing for my mind, even a simple song with basic instruments like guitar and piano can do wonders.

  • ross

    Friend in Canada told me earlier tonight she saw a TV ad for Scotty’s album. Speaking of marketing. That’s something you don’t see every day. Not exactly bad for sales.

  • CindyM

    Trina says:
    10/05/2011 at 11:29 pm

    How is Billboards track record with predictions?

    They were over for Adam’s one-day prediction. They predicted 225K based on 1-day and he came in at 198K.

    http://www.billboard.com/news/susan-boyle-on-track-for-biggest-debut-of-1004048267.story#/news/susan-boyle-on-track-for-biggest-debut-of-1004048267.story

    They were also over for Kris. They predicted 90K based on 1-day and he came in at 80K.

    http://www.billboard.com/news/john-mayer-headed-to-no-1-on-billboard-200-1004044363.story

    They were pretty accurate for Lee. They predicted 30-40K based on 1 day and he came in at 39K.

    http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/content_display/industry/news/e3i3b8c335aabd0637469f3da6be5ccef09

  • CindyM

    ross says:
    10/05/2011 at 11:43 pm

    Friend in Canada told me earlier tonight she saw a TV ad for Scotty’s album. Speaking of marketing. That’s something you don’t see every day. Not exactly bad for sales.

    Idol has done that before. Kris and Lee both had tv commercials for their albums.

  • ross

    Idol has done that before. Kris and Lee both had tv commercials for their albums.

    That might be – I only seem to vaguely remember that Lee had a TV ad. I might be imagining it. If Kris had one I never heard about it, or saw it. Anyhow, I was talking about Canada. My friend actually mentioned that she never saw a TV ad for Kris or Adam’s CDs there. But saw one for Scotty tonight. That’s all.

  • CindyM

    No, both Kris and Lee had commercials. I remember posting about both of them here at MJs. They didn’t show on network tv, but did show on some of the cable channels. I remember Kris’s more clearly, because I was home with the shingles for 3 weeks that November and all I could do was watch tv, lol.

  • Hope07

    My friend actually mentioned that she never saw a TV ad for Kris or Adam’s CDs there. But saw one for Scotty tonight. That’s all.

    Ross, I’m in Canada, and I never saw a single ad for Kris. I did see ads for Adam many, many times on one of our main networks, CTV. I don’t think it was when his album first came out, but some time afterward, and they ran it during AI, SYTYCD and almost every morning on Canada A.M., our main morning news show.

    I’m glad to see that they are doing things right for Scotty, and not to take away from his talent, but I think that’s a factor. He’s a talented kid, but I think it takes a series of things to occur to get these kind of results, and I’m glad for him, and hope his success continues to grow.

  • Ratna12

    I’m glad to see that they are doing things right for Scotty, and not to take away from his talent, but I think that’s a factor. He’s a talented kid, but I think it takes a series of things to occur to get these kind of results, and I’m glad for him, and hope his success continues to grow.

    So true.

    Anyway, congrats Scotty ! And still love you Kris, no matter how many albums you’ve sold. :)

  • NOLA

    you see fans from practically every country in the world (except Russia and China–are they allowed the internet?

    I play poker with them every night, so I know they are out there. LOL

  • x57x

    AI really needed Scotty to get back some credibility. Hopefully he can sell more than the lower project numbers.

  • dodon

    Eh. I’m not getting my hopes up. Anything can happen.

    Scotty #1 in iTune US and in Canada today.He is a big hit in Philippine also.

    I get the feeling that the Phillippines loves winners.

  • Moria Polonius
    Could anyone come up with a simple phrase to describe Lee DeWyze?

    Artists who can be described in a simple phrase are probabaly simple artists.

    Problem with Lee DeWyze isn’t that he can’t be described with a simple phrase, because he can be, “a plaid-wearing, guitar strumming white crooner” but that he shares that phrase with too many others.

    Now, being a “simple artist” is a very good thing if we’re going to argue sales numbers.

  • mmb

    Good for Scotty! I suspected he would debut at Bb200#1 as soon as his release date was announced as it was such a wide open week ( this isn’t a negation of Scotty’s accomplishment, but a praise of his labels planning). The projected sales numbers themselves are terrific. Scotty is not my cup of tea at all, but I think the kid is going to have a solid career

  • jpfan

    How is Billboards track record with predictions?

    Since Idol fans tend to buy albums the first day, they’re offten too high on the predictions. But sometimes you get a phenom where they underestimate which is a great sign. Shows the promo is bringing in new fans.

  • larc

    Since Idol fans tend to buy albums the first day, they’re offten too high on the predictions.

    Anybody would think both HDD and Billboard would have learned to take that into account for AI predictions by now. Hopefully they have.

  • Jae

    You know, ya”ll just reminded me that even if I don’t like country, I have friends who would love this CD. I am going to get one closer to the holidays for my country music loving friend in Kansas.:)

  • CanadianLady

    I”ll try to write a review now that I have the Cd at least, but I honestly don’t see why there are some negatives ones. I mean, I can see why someone might not like it if they don’t like that kind of music, but the cd itself, for what it is, is very good. As Brad says, This is country music.” And it isn’t generic at all – it’s Scotty. They’ve done a great job of finding appropriate songs for him. Sure, hopefully the next cd will be even better. But imho this is a great debut cd for him. I do agree with TTWG not being the best one to release although it’s growing on me and I can only think they have a plan. Maybe they’re letting him get comfortable doing this one, which is fairly straightforward, so that the next one he’ll be able to really let loose and it will be the blockbuster.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    So I just came from Odyssey (a big music store here in the Philippines) and surprisingly, I saw Scotty’s EP. His was the only one they were still selling. I saw their top-selling albums and it was #2 behind Demi Lovato’s.

  • Truthiness

    Congrats to Scotty. I’m not surprised he is going to do well. He marched through the show, and his coronation single did well, as did his EP (well, given how much it was available). So good for Scotty and the franchise.

  • ituneit

    I am curious though why Scotty isn’t up to at a bare minimum David Cook’s numbers? Record breaking voting and supposedly from day one he was miles ahead of everyone else in voting. Do you think it’s the poor sales of the industry in general? Idol apathy? Obviously the sales are miles better than any of the contestants from S9 or for that matter better than all of S9 combined. But, are the days of 200k plus sales from Idol winners debut CDs sales gone for good? For the last month the numer one on BB has been well over 200k in sales with one of them being a million in one week sales so I’m thinking it’s Idol fatigue. We already know a lot of Scotty’s sales are coming from the South so it’s very regional. I’ll be curious to see if he hits mainstream in the future. Hard to tell right now.

  • OldHag

    It is the industry. Used to be that if you wanted a song that wasn’t going to be marketed as a single, you had to buy the album. Half the time many of the songs you could care less if you ever heard again, but you still had to buy the whole album. Happened a lot to me is the past. Now you can just download the 2 or 3 songs you really like. Saves the consumer who is not a diehard fan lots of money.

  • LexieN

    His was the only one they were still selling. I saw their top-selling albums and it was #2 behind Demi Lovato’s.

    How cool!!! That’s exciting…

    the numer one on BB has been well over 200k in sales with one of them being a million in one week sales

    Those weren’t country. The highest country debut was in the 300K region and that was Lady Antebellum. The highest male country artist debut was Brad Paisley with 153K and he’s been in the business for 10+ years. Country is more slow and steady…

  • ituneit

    Used to be that if you wanted a song that wasn’t going to be marketed as a single, you had to buy the album

    I think you hit it right there. I don’t own one single CD except for Lady GaGa’s newest and that was because I got it for 99 cents the cost of a single. I just buy songs here and there but never a CD.

    “Country is more slow and steady”

    I would agree with that. Now that I think of it you never see country CD’s topping the charts with 1million in sales in one week like GaGa and Kayne West. The crossovers do better though. Taylor Swift pulls huge numbers as well as Lady Antebellum. But they are not traditional country. They are crossovers.

  • Indigobunting

    I won’t be buying the album, I don’t “get” Scotty (beyond seeming like a nice kid) but it is good news for the Idol franchise that a top finisher can sell again.

    Good for Scotty! I suspected he would debut at Bb200#1 as soon as his release date was announced as it was such a wide open week ( this isn’t a negation of Scotty’s accomplishment, but a praise of his labels planning).

    Yes, I figured that is why they released so early in the Fall (vs the more traditional November releases when most big albums come out) – doesn’t #1 or #2 Idol finisher sell at least 150k every year? The aberration of S9 aside.
    Adam beat Scotty’s sales handily I believe, but only debuted at #3 due to stiffer competition.

    I guessed 150k a month ago (before all his great promo started and before ILYTB hit #15 so I knew even then the lowballing figures of 100k were wrong, lol).

  • chearts77

    HDD’s latest #s:

    American Idol returns to the top of the chart next week as Scotty McCreery delivers the first debut by a winner to land at #1 since Ruben Studdard in 2003. Adele logs another week in the Top 3, bringing her total to 32 weeks. In 33 total weeks of release, 21 has only been out of the Top 3 for one week. Here’s how it looks headed into the weekend:

    *Scotty McCreery (Mercury Nashville/19/Interscope) 170-190k
    Adele (XL/Columbia) 110-120k
    Tony Bennett (Columbia) 70-75k
    Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 60-65k
    J Cole (Roc Nation/Columbia) 55-60k
    Lil Wayne (Cash Money/Universal Republic) 55-60k
    *Jack’s Mannequin (Sire) 35-40k
    Blink-182 (Interscope) 35-40k
    *Feist (Universal Republic) 30-35k
    *Rodney Atkins (Curb) 27-30k
    *Mayday Parade (Mayday Parade) 25-28k
    Jay Z & Kanye West (Roc-a-Fella/Roc Nation) 21-24k
    Foster the People (Columbia) 18-21k
    Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 18-21k
    *New Found Glory (Epitaph) 17-20k
    Brantley Gilbert (Big Machine) 17-20k

  • Niall

    Kick some ass, Country Idol. I said months ago when ILYTB was a surprise hit, the kid struck a chord with America. He’s a star because the public loves him.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    Amazeballs.

  • Blower

    Waow.. That’s huge number for country singer. Congrats Scott!!

  • ross

    Adele (XL/Columbia) 110-120k
    Tony Bennett (Columbia) 70-75k
    Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 60-65k
    J Cole (Roc Nation/Columbia) 55-60k
    Lil Wayne (Cash Money/Universal Republic) 55-60k
    *Jack’s Mannequin (Sire) 35-40k
    Blink-182 (Interscope) 35-40k
    *Feist (Universal Republic) 30-35k
    *Rodney Atkins (Curb) 27-30k
    *Mayday Parade (Mayday Parade) 25-28k
    Jay Z & Kanye West (Roc-a-Fella/Roc Nation) 21-24k
    Foster the People (Columbia) 18-21k
    Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 18-21k
    *New Found Glory (Epitaph) 17-20k
    Brantley Gilbert (Big Machine) 17-20k

    Looking at this chart it’s surprising to me that, had the last two winners debuted with this exact same competition, they would have debuted around #7 (Lee) and #2 (Kris).

  • Trina

    HOLY CRAP! Kill em Scotty! He’s definitely going to break some records, right?

  • gangreen29

    Looking at this chart it’s surprising to me that, had the last two winners debuted with this exact same competition, they would have debuted around #7 (Lee) and #2 (Kris).

    That comparison would make more sense if Lee and Kris released the same time of the year that Scotty did, but they released in mid November when sales are higher, so if they released the first week of October there sales wouldn’t be as high.

  • LexieN

    I’m trying to think of a word as good as Amazeballs, but I can’t:) Ditto. I have a big grin on my face:))

  • Kylee

    Wow I hope it somehow breaks 200K.

  • ross

    That comparison would make more sense if Lee and Kris released the same time of the year that Scotty did, but they released in mid November when sales are higher, so if they released the first week of October there sales wouldn’t be as high.

    So why didn’t Scotty release in mid November?

  • abbysee

    Oh shit, that’s awesome! Go Scotty!

  • HR

    I’m not his label but I assume because this way he charts higher and has an extra month and a half of sales before holiday shopping hits. Carrie has done that with her last two albums.

  • Tess

    So why didn’t Scotty release in mid November

    Maybe the question should be, why do so many people release in mid November when they could finish higher on the charts the first of October. Besides…Scotty should still be around in November to get some of the holiday sales. I think that everyone on Scotty’s team is thinking more long term than single week…besides if you release for Black Friday the January doldrums is upon you very speedily. So do you give up long term sales for a “big” opener. Decisions…decisions.

  • Incipit

    The highest male country artist debut was Brad Paisley with 153K and he’s been in the business for 10+ years. Country is more slow and steady…

    LexieN, not being a country fan in any way, I know absolutely nothing about Country charts or usual numbers – so thanks for the frame of reference there.

    These revised predictions from HDD sound excellent for Scotty – congratulations to him!

  • gangreen29

    I’m not his label but I assume because this way he charts higher and has an extra month and a half of sales before holiday shopping hits. Carrie has done that with her last two albums.

    Actually Play On was released the first week in November, but you are right Carnival Ride was released in October. Also, like you I don’t work for the label lol, but I would assume that is Mercury’s thinking as well too.

    Now Scotty basically has a huge opening week, and a chance for several more huge weeks come November/December.

  • Trina

    Not every single artist can release in November. Its the most competitive time of the year. I kinda wish Scotty did release then though because he wouldnt be#1 but he may have sold closer to DC’s numbers. Its ok though seeing as he’s not exactly struggling. This is even better because he’ll get a #1 debut AND extra time for sales before the holiday season.

  • Pam

    Go Scotty go! :D

    I’m trying to think of a word as good as Amazeballs, but I can’t:)

    Me neither. I think I’ll go with that. Heh

    ETA: I also wish Scotty could have had the all coveted Black Friday debut or the week before as DC did to soften the blow of the 2nd week steep sales drop that we typically see but hopefully as we get closer to the Christmas holiday shopping season, hopefully the sales can get another boost before the year ends.

  • HR

    1st week of November is close to October. ;)

    I always thought Carrie’s team was smart for doing that. Play On may not be double platinum or Carnival Ride triple Platinum if not for those extra weeks of sales. Black Friday is better than late December but if you have confidence your act can sale well the few weeks before holiday shopping begins and your album is ready for release in time I would do the same. Almost everyone will see their sales die when January hits. A few extra weeks of good sales is a nice cushion.

  • chearts77

    I like that he released his album now and not November. Sure, his 1st week sales MAY have been better in November, but he would have been over shadowed by the bigger acts releasing next month. Right now, radio may pay more attention to him and his sales and take him seriously. Especially, if he can keep steady sales like he did with his EP through the summer. Just my thoughts…

  • fuzzywuzzy

    That’s a pretty substantial upward bump in the HDD predictions for Scotty. Hope that they’re not far off.

  • HappyDaisy

    You know what these numbers mean for TV, right?

    Get ready for The Country Voice, The Country Factor, The Country Sing-Off, Country Runway, The Countrydashians, Country Shore, Country Home Makeover, The Amazing Country Race, and so on. :)

  • LexieN

    LexieN, not being a country fan in any way, I know absolutely nothing about Country charts or usual numbers – so thanks for the frame of reference there.

    You’re welcome:) While I am not an expert, I am a lifelong country fan…

  • TylerWV

    Scotty is up for a Teen Icon Award. LInk here to vote at
    http://polls.j-14.com/polls/319549. Don’t know if you are supposed to be a teen to vote, didn’t see any details, just voting page but I did follow a link from FB.

  • soverymel

    Get ready for The Country Voice, The Country Factor, The Country Sing-Off, Country Runway, The Countrydashians, Country Shore, Country Home Makeover, The Amazing Country Race, and so on.

    Funny that you say that, I thought I remembered reading on this site awhile back that Nigel already has a country singing competition show in development. LOL.

  • dadriany

    ..so based on those predictions and how the sales are even higher than the tuesday predictions………I have a big feeling he could hit 200k

  • Jae

    Woah! Revised up! Go Scotty! Go Idol! I can’t wait for next week. :)

  • NOLA

    NOLA says:

    10/05/2011 at 6:49 pm

    I’m gonna go out on the proverbial limb and say I think his numbers will be closer to the 175 end, if not higher.

    OK, that was yesterday.
    I’m on this limb again. :)
    I think Scotty will sell 200K

  • teacup

    Scotty’s numbers are excellent. I will echo mj: GO SCOTTY GO! :D

    Now I kind of want him to break 200K, but there’s no need to get greedy, haha. A strong #1 debut is a great start.

  • dodon

    I’ll go with <150k.

  • hoa_teca

    Of course I want him to sell as much as possible, about 200k will be great.

    But I will be happy with about 160-170k. Enough to break records for male country single debut and hopefully enough to make No 1 debut at Billboard 200. Save some for next week too cos there will always big drop at second week but I don’t want to see a huge drop after a good opening week.

  • dadriany

    Of course I want him to sell as much as possible, about 200k will be great.

    But I will be happy with about 160-170k. Enough to break records for male country single debut and hopefully enough to make No 1 debut at Billboard 200. Save some for next week too cos there will always big drop at second week but I don’t want to see a huge drop after a good opening week.

    i dont think he will have a huge drop, but I want him to oustell Archuleta and Lambert, specially Lambert….

  • JudyOhio

    Nice update, very nice! I would love to see him break 200k, but I suppose that’s too much to hope for :/

  • Trina

    I’d love to see 200K but he’s still easily going to sell enough to prove that an Idol winner can still sell a lot of albums. I know I would have been happy with him selling enough to reverse a downward trend and he’s certainly doing that.

  • ross

    Not every single artist can release in November. Its the most competitive time of the year. I kinda wish Scotty did release then though because he wouldnt be #1 but he may have sold closer to DC’s numbers.

    I actually think his label was smart to do it now because having a #1 debut, regardless of who you’re up against, sounds like big success. Whereas “numbers sold” is not significant to most people, unless it’s some huge # like SuBo’s.

  • http://myspace.com/girlgeek mj

    Reminder:

    You start a fanwar? I ban you. Keep this post focused on Scotty.

  • Susan

    Good for Scotty, good for Idol… I still have no desire to actually listen to it. :)

  • iluvai

    Wow. Those numbers are amazing. Good for Scotty. I shake my head though. :) I don’t get it. But good for him. I can see myself buying his album for family. :)

  • zjzr

    You know what these numbers mean for TV, right?
    Get ready for The Country Voice, The Country Factor, The Country Sing-Off, Country Runway, The Countrydashians, Country Shore, Country Home Makeover, The Amazing Country Race, and so on. :)

    Oooh…Countrydashians. Looking fabulous, ya’ll! (And I wonder Country Shore looks like, haha).

  • theonlygirl

    Good for him, although I still don’t get why country music exists. Yes, I know, that might be considered offensive because a lot of people love it, but it’s my opinion.

    Luckily it’s a non entity in Europe.

  • dodon

    Luckily it’s a non entity in Europe.

    UK people might find this offensive.

  • theonlygirl

    UK people might find this offensive.

    I’ve been in the UK a lot of times and I have rarely heard a country song, but ok I’ll arrange it to:

    I’m so glad country is a non entity in Central/Southern Europe. Better?

  • savgal

    Why does country music exist? Would be interesting to study the history. All I know is it made me cry in the car yesterday when I heard Martina McBride singing about a youngish woman with breast cancer whose husband is loving her through it. That is what my sis-in-law is living right now. I guess the country songs I love the most are about real life. We’ve talked about this before on this forum, but there are Europeans who do like country music.

  • Kirsten

    Good for him, although I still don’t get why country music exists. Yes, I know, that might be considered offensive because a lot of people love it, but it’s my opinion.

    You just answered your own question. Country music exists because so many people love it.

    I don’t like all styles of music or movies or books, but other people liking them has no effect on me. As the French would say, Vive la difference! It makes the world more interesting if we are not all the same.

    Luckily it’s a non entity in Europe

    Luckily for us all there are formats for radio and we can select our own songs we choose to buy so we can all enjoy the music we personally like without a concern as to what the person in the next village over might be listening to.

    Great numbers for Scotty.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    I didn’t ‘get’ country music…….until Scotty. I listened closely to the songs he sang and it just struck a chord with me. Like what savgal said, what I love about country music is that it tells a story and it’s very relatable.

  • Avari

    I don’t particularly like most country music, simply because I find it very cliché and deliberately emotional. Subtle it ain’t. But still, I will totally admit to tearing up listening to someone sing about who’s going to hold her little girl’s hand when she crosses the streets of heaven, and grooving along whenever I hear Kenny Chesney sing..well, anything. And a very good friend of mine is a total parrothead and has “encouraged” me to watch many Jimmy Buffet youtubes with her…

    Oops. Maybe I like the stuff more than I think. But I don’t buy it, and I don’t have a country station programmed on my radio. So there. What was the topic again? Oh yes, congratulations Scotty!

  • ituneit

    But still, I will totally admit to tearing up listening to someone sing about who’s going to hold her little girl’s hand when she crosses the streets of heaven

    That is exactly what I hate most about country music. The cheeseball factor alarm goes off with me on lyrics like Jesus Take The Wheel and songs about red shoes for a kids dying mother or whatever. The sappy, silly lyrics are a lot of times filled with religious undertones.

  • Tess

    Never been a great country fan…have always referred to it as that shit kickin’ music and for the most part just tolerated it when my daughter listened to it as we drove together. But I have been to my fair share of very good country concerts (saw Tim McGraw as an opener for Clint Black and was blown away with the kids talent).

    In hindsight I do realize I’ve listened to a lot more country music than I thought I did because I know all of
    Johnny Cash’s music, Dolly’s, The Judd’s, Loretta’s, Shania’s, even both Hank’s, Patsy’s, and I could keyboard on endlessly. Now, because of Scotty (I’ll admit it) and the drek that is pop music these days (and I”ve worn out my Pink Floyd and Queen collection) I’ve started listening to a lot more country music which I find that I really like. It’s fun to listen to the stories, relate to the angst of the singer, get moved by the emotion.

    For me, country is filling a nice void that the dirge of relatable “popular” music had left empty. It’s nice that music isn’t all one kind and that there are plenty of genres we can turn to.

  • LaRue

    Good for him, although I still don’t get why country music exists. Yes, I know, that might be considered offensive because a lot of people love it, but it’s my opinion.

    Why does any music exist? Because someone out there enjoys it and wants to listen to it. Same goes for rap, pop, heavy metal, gospel, reggae–people with stories to tell coming together to express themselves and others gathering to hear those stories.

    All music is beautiful in its own way. We don’t have to like all of it. But we should respect its existence, because the people behind the music are very real, even we pretend they aren’t.

  • Kirsten

    That is exactly what I hate most about country music. The cheeseball factor alarm goes off with me on lyrics like Jesus Take The Wheel and songs about red shoes for a kids dying mother or whatever. The sappy, silly lyrics

    Thank goodness the other formats never have silly lyrics. Take the most downloaded song ever, “Boom Boom Pow”. I marvel at the deepness to those thought provoking lyrics. I mean, come on, they are stepping on leprechauns! Nietzsche at his best could hardly come up with something that profound.

    Every genre has its moments. I could take a brief moratorium of how awesome it is to get on the floor at the club – those mythical places where everybody is hot and confident and an amazing dancer and magic happens every night. Party party party! Give it a rest.

    Am I saying Country music is perfect and Pop sucks? No. I’m just saying that no format of music is free from cliche or silliness. Formats are more complex than their stereotypes. Gems and stinkers can be found almost anywhere on the dial.

  • ituneit

    Thank goodness the other formats never have silly lyrics. Take the most downloaded song ever, “Boom Boom Pow”. I marvel at the deepness to those thought provoking lyrics

    You entirely 100% missed my point.

  • chearts77

    Thank goodness the other formats never have silly lyrics. Take the most downloaded song ever, “Boom Boom Pow”. I marvel at the deepness to those thought provoking lyrics.

    LMBO!!! And, thank goodness for you, Kirsten. For the humor you always share. I love it!! :D

    ETA: @ituneit: And what you hate most about country, is what I love the most. To each his own. :)

  • car3278sweet

    Thank goodness the other formats never have silly lyrics. Take the most downloaded song ever, “Boom Boom Pow”. I marvel at the deepness to those thought provoking lyrics. I mean, come on, they are stepping on leprechauns! Nietzsche at his best could hardly come up with something that profound.

    LOL, Kirsten. You always, always make me laugh.

    Like Tess, I have gravitated away from the Lady Gaga, Brit, Katy Perry pop music towards country over the last few years just because the songs actually say something about my life. Are some silly? Yes. Many. But there are gems -quite a few of them. Not profound maybe but solid. For example, my new fav is Miranda Lambert’s “Baggage Claim” – it’s gritty, it’s feisty and I totally relate to walking away from a man and all his baggage that I’ve been lugging around for him for years. Totally relate to that. :-)

    Kudos to Scotty and his sales. I honestly hope he can gain some traction long term. Had a chance to sample some of the other tunes on the album and “Walk in the Country” is a solid good song that should be his next single. I wouldn’t mind listening to that as I drive home. Not at all. But please, please country radio – stop playing ILYTB and TTWG. Scotty has better on this album. Quite a bit better.

  • Eileen99

    Wow, awesome numbers for Scotty. Good for him and congrats to all his fans!

    Eh, there are silly lyrics in every genre & if someone likes a genre you don’t, why on earth would you even care? Seeing the condescension country music sometimes gets makes me sad.

  • Tess

    The sappy, silly lyrics are a lot of times filled with religious undertones.

    Songs with religious overtones are found everywhere in music…in fact many forms of music have their roots firmly planted in the religious rituals of old…and if I wanted to look hard enough I could even find drug infused rock songs that are pretty damn religious and/or spiritual in scope.

    As a personal aside the one thing I love about the country I live in is that all people are given the right (as freedom of speech) to express their personal beliefs how they choose and other people have the same right to turn it off or tune it out if they don’t care for it. And I also like that people who are turned off or tuned out have the right to express themselves.

  • dadriany

    Walk In The Country will be the 3rd single

  • jpfan

    Nice. I wonder if this album has the potential to hit 200K in its opening week.

    NYC doesn’t even had a country radio station but I listen to some when I travel. In general it’s not my fav but the great songs/artists in country are equal to great artists in any genre. Hank Williams for example.

    I’m a huge sucker for Jesus Takes the Wheel, The House that Built Me, Rascall Flatts and most country songs about drinking. I loathe the she done me wrong songs and the ones where someone goes to heaven. ;)

  • gangreen29

    Good for him, although I still don’t get why country music exists. Yes, I know, that might be considered offensive because a lot of people love it, but it’s my opinion.

    I don’t find it offensive, but I do find it a bit arrogant. I don’t go around wondering why people like things I don’t, I am capable of understanding that it is okay to have an opinion that differs from mine.

  • TylerWV

    I love country music because it is so relatable, especially when the singer is able to emote the feeling behind the song. I don’t think that a better song was ever written then George Jone’s He Stopped Loving Her Today. I prefer the tear jerker, sappy lyrics and all to the “kill the cops” and the songs saturated with four letter words. I like all kinds of music except Opera, not crazy about 99% of rap, Haley made me love Jazz. Whatever music soothes your soul or makes your foot tap is good, thats what music is supposed to do, imo.

  • rihannsu

    I like country music just fine in relatively small doses. Can’t listen to it while driving because about every third song on the radio will make you cry buckets which is not very conducive to safe driving. I only listen to radio in the car. So don’t hear much country. But I will say I’ll take country over rap every day and twice on Sunday and it is also much more tolerable than Cajun music which somehow I can only tolerate on Sunday mornings courtesy of “going to church” radio listening when I was little in Louisiana.

  • CanadianLady

    Totally agree with TylerWV. “He Stopped Loving He Today” never fails to grab me. It’s not just the words but the story I “read” behind the lyrics. While I enjoy music for itself, and love the unexpected riffs and instruments (esp a nice sax or piano), I get frustrated when someone is jamming to a song and has no clue what the words say/mean. it’s mostly about the words for me. And telling a story.

    I grew up listening to Jimmie Rogers (the original one), Hank Williams, Johnny Cash, Conway Twitty, Marty Robbins and I could go on and on…. Funny thing is it was my choice – not what my parents preferred. For me, it was always about the stories they told.

    I think country has been short on that type of story-telling performer in recent years. Too many trying for the crossover appeal and going the pop route.

    To me, Scotty is right in the old style wheelhouse. Actually, he kind of reminds me of Johnny Horton, who could tell poignant stories with the best of them but also have a little fun.

    Hoping for 200,000 and a long career.

  • windmills

    Good to see Scotty’s sales trending up, hope he can keep that going!

    theonlygirl: Good for him, although I still don’t get why country music exists. Yes, I know, that might be considered offensive because a lot of people love it, but it’s my opinion.

    Luckily it’s a non entity in Europe.

    Brad Paisley and Alan Jackson recently had pretty successful tours in Europe. Brad for example recently played 8 shows in the UK and Scandinavia to over 40k fans. Alan Jackson drew 14k to a concert in Norway alone and his album Good Time is platinum there.

    You cannot escape. Muahahahahahahahahahahahahaha :P

    Also kudos Kirsten for always bringing the LOLZ.

  • 50diamonds

    Kudos to Scotty. I am truly happy for him. His success is a feather in Idol’s cap.

    Having said that, I still hate country music. I get it, I just don’t like it. There are crossover artists I enjoy like Lady Antebellum (but can’t stand Taylor Swift). Still, I don’t want to take away what a great accomplishment this is for Scotty. I remember when he took responsibility for his actions during Hollywood week when his group was shunning another singer. I think half of America fell in love with him right then and there.

    Suck it Simon Cowell! Ha ha. I’ll be updating Hits predictions all week, so watch out for that!

    LOL mj.

  • Kylee

    Are they going to release another prediction today?

  • JudyOhio

    Are the single sales of the various songs on Scotty’s cd supposed to start fairly higher then drop through the first week on itunes like his are doing……….I mean, is that normal for the first week of most cds? I realize I’m 200+ posts down asking this question, but I was wondering and wasn’t sure where to post the question.

    I sure wish they hadn’t chosen TTWG as the second single, as I can just “see” how different his promo performances would have looked/sounded with a more uptempo song, and it would have been exciting and not so sleeepy (even though he sings TTWG well). Is this song hurting him a lot or is this a “this too shall pass” thing and all will be well in the near future? Someone up-thread said Walk in the Country would be the next single (however it’s not getting much traction in sales). My personal next single picks would be WTT or YMTLG…..Anyway, will this cd be a case of the cd selling singles, or singles selling cds? One last thing, is there supposed to be another HDD update today?

  • larc

    Kylee says:
    Are they going to release another prediction today?

    JudyOhio says:
    One last thing, is there supposed to be another HDD update today?

    There usually is on Friday.

  • HR

    With a few exceptions once the core fanbase of an artist has bought the singles they want they will drop if unsuppported by radio play. If a single is supported by radio play it depends. Scotty’s first single was a big hit hit and well known to people already. When he’s doing appearances it’s natural for people familiar with it to buy it if they haven’t. His new single has little airplay to sustain it and is unknown. It should receive a bump from public appearances but it can’t sustain those jumps without radio play equivalent to what those sales are.

    Also remember many people are choosing to buy the album instead of the individual songs. He’s doing fine right now. He will need a hit single to keep his sales up through the holidays but he’ll be okay the next couple of weeks without one.

  • Tera

    The first week stuff hardly matters in the long run. Look at Taylor Hicks. Scotty’s orgasmic 12-year-old fanbase will eventually find someone new to fawn over. His longevity won’t be held up by the pre-pubescent Idol power voters.

    BTW, I love country music, but Scotty’s a wanna be and nothing more.

  • EmyR

    The first week stuff hardly matters in the long run. Look at Taylor Hicks. Scotty’s orgasmic 12-year-old fanbase will eventually find someone new to fawn over. His longevity won’t be held up by the pre-pubescent Idol power voters.

    As I’ve said in the past, I never understand such definitive statements about a future we have no knowledge about. Scotty’s most feverent fanbase is similar to most Idols right off the show (skews older with a mix of younger fans), but no one has any idea how his fan group will grow or not. He comes off to me as very genuine in terms of the genre, though obviously he’s young and will grow more into his own sound over time. He’s going to be on tour with great country stars, so that can only help. This is a great start for opening numbers, so let’s give him a little time to see if it translates into a long career.

  • Kylee

    The first week stuff hardly matters in the long run. Look at Taylor Hicks. Scotty’s orgasmic 12-year-old fanbase will eventually find someone new to fawn over. His longevity won’t be held up by the pre-pubescent Idol power voters.

    BTW, I love country music, but Scotty’s a wanna be and nothing more.

    Uh, the same could be said about ANY idol. He just needs to get fans out of the idol bubble.

    And 2nd of all, do you have a source that all of his fans are horny teenage girls? Because I’m certainly not. I am 20 and love his country voice. I never had a crush on him. And I know grandparents who love Scotty and are buying his album. People of all ages love him.

    Finally, Taylor Hicks wasn’t marketable. Scotty is.

  • Kiwi chick

    Firstly, awesome sales prediction for Clear As Day. Team Scotty must be really happy.

    Secondly, some of the comments here are really negative towards Scotty. Could easily tell it’s due to fanbase. But, it’s an opinion that must be respected.

    I do think Scotty is there for a long haul. The guy’s serious about country music and I like that for someone his age.

    Not sure if it’s appropriate to post this in this thread, but you might want to listen to this recent radio interview. It’s a good one.

    http://content.usatoday.com/communities/idolchatter/post/2011/10/scotty-mccreery-to-co-host-country-countdown-usa/1

  • windmills

    There won’t be another HDD predictions update today. They have 1 midweek update and that’s the one that was posted last night.

    Billboard posted a new midweek chart update:

    As reported on Wednesday, “American Idol” winner Scotty McCreery is on track to top next week’s Billboard 200 albums chart with his first album, “Clear As Day.” Industry sources suggest the set will bow with perhaps 170,000 copies — or more — by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Oct. 9.

  • dodon

    The first week stuff hardly matters in the long run. Look at Taylor Hicks. Scotty’s orgasmic 12-year-old fanbase will eventually find someone new to fawn over. His longevity won’t be held up by the pre-pubescent Idol power voters.

    BTW, I love country music, but Scotty’s a wanna be and nothing more.

    lol I understand the jealousy from Lauren fans. But she will have her time.

  • hoa_teca

    It’s sad to see that Scotty is taken lightly just because he has AI as his launching stone.

    Sure there are screaming teenagers in his fanbase. But just because they are teenage does not mean they don’t know how to listen to music. “Clear as day” has nice songs about love and family – it is nice when these teenagers can appreciate songs like that through Scotty’s interpretation.

    Since Scotty is only 17, it’s appropriate that he has songs with young audience as target. But he never tries to be Bierber to attract teenage fans – the way he talks, the way he handles himself in front of the media, how he dresses is not what a normal teen icon is these days. He is also not the typical handsome boy – lots of comparison with Bush or Mad character. Lots of adults like him too. We don’t know what will happen in the future so to me, it’s unfair now to assume his current fanbase will leave him after this season.

    I see a lot of opinions that he is a wanna be, a third rate copy of other singer or has no passion for music, a karaoke singer… Scotty has improved since he won AI. Performing live during AI tour helped him a lot. He is not a pro yet but he is handling himself better and better. Following him, I see a fair number of people, non-fan and critics have changed their opinion or at least has better views about him (take Lindsay from Realities Rock as an example – she did not really take him seriously). That kid can gain fans.

    Let’s the reality speaks for Scotty’s career. To me, he is simply a nice kid who wants to sing and do good things with his music. Not trying to be somebody else or a superstar.

  • savgal

    Great post, hoa_teca. Re: Scotty not looking like the typical teen icon, I agree with others who think he has the Ron Howard of Opie/Richie Cunningham quality. Of course Ron Howard grew up to be a fantastic, Oscar-winning director, has had a long, happy marriage to his high-school sweetheart, and I so enjoyed his daughter Bryce’s portrayal of evil Hilly in “The Help”. Hoping Scotty has that kind of life, for sure.

  • auntmable

    This if for Tara who thinks Scotty is a wanna be star, I got news for you kid he’s already is a star!!!Read the charts, He’s ahead of Carrie Underwood already and his debue album has only been out for six days. This kid is going to be bigger than Tim Mc Craw or Brad Paisley, just give him five yrs, and by the way I am 74 yrs young!!!!!!

  • 9Sis3

    Anybody have doubt about who and what of Scotty McCreery. Spend a nickel for 2013 Guinness World Record Book.  Their decision, CHOICE, occurred several months ago.  They are facts people, not young hormonally-entranced “fans.”  Scotty has God-given talent and skills.  Who will argue with HIM?  Sccotty has “savvy” about performing, and about the business.
    —Sis—

  • 9Sis3

    Scotty McCreery worked seven days weekly at American Idol AND had daily study hours from which he completed his high school junior year.
    Scotty morning after WIN flew home for his AP English exam. 
    Scotty chose to attend his regular high school for senior year, from which he graduated with DISTINGUISED HONORS — without fanfare, his personal request. 
    Scotty attends college for studies about Communication and Public Relations; so, the boy is quite a savvy man, also without great fanfare.  JEALOUSY and IGNORANCE ….. take a hike with the devil who is author of lies and confusion, yet, master of nothing.  SCOTTY is SCOTTY and we who see him with “open” heart and mind are truly grateful to God for this young man.

    —Sis—