22 29 ARCHULETA*DAVID CRUSH 68043 -47 128226 1372708
42 39 COOK*DAVID LIGHT ON 57735 -30 82489 486647

The thing is that the drops this week appear to be commensurate with the drops from last year. So, Ià ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢m fine with sticking with the data that we have last year in considering likely drops for next week and beyond.

Depending on which model you use you will get different numbers. I’m modelling David Cook on Daughtry in 2006/2007 and I see him only falling ~15%. If you model him on Jordin Sparks 2007/2008 the numbers will be much worse, but still nothing near 50% (I’d expect then just under 40% drop). I hope David Cook’s trajectory will be more like Daughtry’s.

HDD should come out with some predictions later on, and we might get some idea as to which way David Cook will go. 25K or above and David will be on Daughtry’s territory, 20K or below Jordin’s.

Here are the Top40 Adds for Cook (LO):

KBKS-FM Seattle (#14) WBLI-FM Nassau-Suffolk (#18)
WDJX-FM Louisville (#53) WEZB-FM New Orleans (#55)
KVUU-FM Colorado Springs (#95) KWYL-FM Reno, NV (#124)

And the Top40 Adds for Archie (ALTNOY)

KZHT-FM Salt Lake City (#31) KJYO-FM Oklahoma City (#48)
CKEY-FM Buffalo (#52) WRVQ-FM Richmond (#56)
WXKB-FM Ft. Myers (#62) WFLY-FM Albany, NY (#63)
WBHT-FM Wilkes-Barre (#70) WZEE-FM Madison, WI (#99)
KSAS-FM Boise, ID (#102) KHOP-FM Modesto, CA (#108)
KSXY-FM Santa Rosa, CA (#118) KWNZ-FM Reno, NV (#124)
X020-FM >SiriusXM *

AC adds for Cook (LO):
WAHR-FM Huntsville (#109)

HAC adds for Cook (LO):
KGBY-FM Sacramento (#27)
KFBZ-FM Wichita (#98)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

AC adds for Archie (Crush):
WSPA-FM Greenville, SC (#59)
KBEZ-FM Tulsa (#65)
WMAS-FM Springfield, MA (#86)
KJOY-FM Modesto, CA (#108)
KTRR-FM Ft. Collins, CO (#123)

HAC adds for Archie (Crush):
WSGL-FM Ft. Myers (#62)
WERZ-FM Portsmouth, NH (#116)

AC adds for Archie (ALTNOY):
WALK-FM Nassau-Suffolk (#18)

Hopefully all these new adds will help both their sales.

MJ or Kirsten: Are we going to get the actual sales numbers for both David’s albums and single? Or is that a thing of the past since Ken is gone?

I am hoping DAà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s new single on radio will help sales, but we have to be realistic and realize that most of his big fans already have the album with ALTNOY on it, so it will really be new or casual fans who are going to buy it. It will grow little by little, probably a lot like Jordanà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s newer singles have done and slowly gain new fans, who may then buy his album. I need to remember that it is a marathon, not a sprint.

You know, the person I worry about least is Archie, oddly enough. He’s a cute teen boy singing age-appropriate pop on a label that specializes in such, and his label did a test run on a less easily marketable act from the exact same genre last year (Jordin). He has great management and an album fill of hooky pop songs. He’s going platinum, at least. It’s just a matter of when.

Amen to your post about David’s sales, Folk. I’m happy if he just keeps his head above water at this point, I’ll worry about platinum in March. LOL.

Hereà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s the thing. Next week should be a drop of over 50% for the chart as a whole.

Nope, that’s not true. You can’t directly compare with last year chart. Remember that part of the fall has already been absorbed on Christmas week (when David Cook’s album sales fell from ~130K to ~100K), so you won’t see such a big fall.

For myself, I’d rather assume a lower number and be happy to be proven wrong, than assume a higher number and be disappointed. I’m so appreciative for LadyM and others for finding and publishing the data explaining that the sales were going to be weak in January, because that helped to make my expectations to be more reasonable.

And everytime I see the numbers for his sales, I think of him saying something like “Oh. Wow. Well. That’s a few more than I sold of my LAST CD, which I couldn’t even GIVE away…I’ll take it, I’m happy!”

I am so thrilled for him and happy. I love the record. I’ve listened to it a gazillion times, along with my other Cook music. And today, for the first time, I found myself skimming through iTunes (at work heh) looking for something, I wanted a Cook song I hadn’t heard in awhile, let’s see…what haven’t I listened to in awhile…hmmmmmmmm…I want something…something…something NEW! BWHAHAHAHHAHAHA!

I so hope that another single will be released soon. I have not heard Light On on either of the 2 AC/HAC radio stations I started listening to yet! Wait, does “lite rock” count as either one of those categories? They play Nickelback, Daughtry, Coldplay, Jason Mraz, Pink, Katy Perry, even Switchfoot (everytime I hear Dare You To Move start, I think DAVID!). But NO COOK! ANYTHING off The Record would fit in there, dammit. :wallbash_tb:

So happy for him. Happy Happy Happy. And if the dang radio won’t play him, I have my iPod full of Cook. So there. But it would sure be cool to hear him singin’ in my radio….

:wub_tb:

I think even clearing 900k (~57k to go) by February will be a great accomplishment right now.

Well, to me it is a certainty he will clear 900K by February. The big question is still whether he will get platinum by February. I assume that the start of American Idol will give him a significant boost and I see him getting 50K a week by the end of the January/ beginning of February (Sunday falls on the 1st of February if we include that sales week). Even if the assumption is not correct, I don’t see him getting anything less than 950K.

It will grow little by little, probably a lot like Jordanà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã¢â€ž ¢s newer singles have done and slowly gain new fans, who may then buy his album. I need to remember that it is a marathon, not a sprint.

I like your point of view.. is a Marathon not a Sprint…