HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Nov 25-Dec 1

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With 50.65% of reports in, One Direction is out to an almost 250K lead. One Direction may have come in third on their season of X-Factor, but they didn’t let that stop them. They’ve slowly built up their fan base around the world and are sure to top charts in many countries this week. In the States, they released their first album in early 2012 and it debuted at number 1. By November, they released another and it too topped the charts selling 540K. This album, a year later is predicted to sell in the same range. Not many acts can brag of 3 chart topping albums in less than 2 years.

Eminem who topped the chart last week (and three weeks ago) has to settle for 2nd this week, Garth Brooks is third and those ridiculous Ducks are fourth (when will this joke end?). Katy Perry is currently in 5th, but she is predicted to move up to the top 3. Lady Gaga in her third week is 6th and is expected to sell 100K+ (Black Friday is softening the tumble she took in her second week). Miley Cyrus smokes her way to 7th, Justin Timerblake is 8th and the ever-present Luke Bryan is 9th.

Kelly Clarkson is currently in 10th, but predicted to be in the top 6 with 90-100K in sales. That’s an indication of how good this chart will be (top 6 may all make 100K in sales). It also means that half the top 6 come from reality shows (1D, Ducks and Kelly).

Danielle Bradbery is currently 17th in her debut week and Daughtry is way back in 21st in their second. Scotty McCreery is having a good week at 24th. Susan Boyle is currently 33rd but predicted to be in the top 15 when the dust clears. Kelly and 1D are featured on the “Songs for the Philippines” charity album at 22nd while Fantasia and Jordin are featured on the “Best Man Holiday” soundtrack at 28th.

Black Friday is traditionally the third best week of the year for album sales. Then we get a little bit of a slump until the last two weeks before Christmas when sales really take off (CDs make excellent stocking stuffers). Starting Christmas day, singles will start flying off the iTunes shelves producing staggering numbers.

CHART DATE: 12/02/2013
LAST UPDATE: 12/02/2013 14:44:17
NOW IN: 50.65%

LW TW artist / album label power index
– 1 ONE DIRECTION MIDNIGHT MEMORIES 327,768
1 2 EMINEM MARSHALL MATHERS LP 2 89,166
– 3 GARTH BROOKS BLAME IT ALL ON MY ROOTS 87,201
4 4 THE ROBERTSONS DUCK THE HALLS: ROBERTSON FAMILY 72,015
11 5 KATY PERRY PRISM 62,607
7 6 LADY GAGA ARTPOP 48,182
16 7 MILEY CYRUS BANGERZ 46,863
21 8 JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE 20/20 EXPERIENCE 2 OF 2 35,972
15 9 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY 33,314
9 10 KELLY CLARKSON WRAPPED IN RED 31,007

32 13 BLAKE SHELTON BASED ON A TRUE STORY 29,790

– 17 DANIELLE BRADBERY BIDANIELLE BRADBERY 20,087

5 21 DAUGHTRY BAPTIZED 17,764
– 22 SONGS FOR THE PHILIPPINES VARIOUS ARTISTS 17,590

– 24 SCOTTY MCCREERY SEE YOU TONIGHT 12,879

22 28 BEST MAN HOLIDAY SOUNDTRACK 11,338

20 33 SUSAN BOYLE HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 8,819

34 38 BLAKE SHELTON CHEERS, IT’S CHRISTMAS 5,513

38 50 JOHN LEGEND LOVE IN THE FUTURE 3,039

Hits Daily Double

 
  • hcpoirot

    Considering Garth Brooks albums only sold exclusively at walmart and sam’s club had 6 cd the compilations album with zero new songs in it, he sold very very well indeed.

  • helo23

    That’s pretty impressive for 1D and no disrespect to them but IMO another boy/girl group is more deserving. I don’t know If I’m going OT or not but it’s kinda ashame that Fifth Harmony aren’t doing big numbers or as popular when they are more talented singers and have just as catchy songs. Sure, It’s early and they haven’t even released an album yet but you don’t see the same enthusiasm and publicity for them as much as you see for 1D. And no. I’m not some big fan tard of theirs lol

    ETA: Those numbers are big. How did N*SYNC and BSB do with their albums when they were relelvant/at their peak of their fame? I’m curious to see if 1D are the biggest selling boy band of all time. I don’t know if they topped BSB album numbers.

  • tripp_ncwy

    Those darn ducks. lol

  • mmb

    at their peak, nsync debuted with over 2 million in week 1….and if IIRC at least one BSB album had sales over 1mm debut week (I’m sure someone can find out on google)…1Ds numbers are very good for today, but they don’t come anywhere near the numbers nsync and BSB did in their heyday…not a knock on 1D, just shows the decline in overall record sales.

  • elliegrll

    5H’s songs are horrible. The first one is the best, and that’s saying a lot, because while it is incredibly catchy it is not a strong song.

    1D shows that marketing and promo is key. I’ve heard a lot of people say that they are loyal to the group, because the group, or their handlers, do a good job of maintaining contact with the fans. The group built up a fanbase in the US before they released a song. That resulted in fans who may be over invested, but they are very loyal.

  • helo23

    I think 1D songs are horrible lol FIfth Harmony songs’ aren’t as catchy Katy Perry or Miley Cyrus tunes, but I enjoy them more than 1D songs.

  • Tess Herself

    Once upon a time people discovered their music through TV variety shows, after school bandstands, Saturday morning teen specials. Then it went to MTV and TV videos, and now it is all about reality TV which makes up a pretty high percentage of basic cable. People “buy” what they are exposed to…its not about the product being good or bad. Especially in young kids music is just about leading the sheep to slaughter, the horse to water, etc. Selling albums is rarely about the best music or the best entertainer…its mainly about how much exposure your team can buy for you.

  • elliegrll

    1D’s debut song was pretty good. Since then they have gotten by based on their popularity and good promo, but their current song might be a huge turning point. I think that this is the song that will establish them as being more than just a forgettable boy band, or a group that will fade away in one or two years. At the least it could be the song that gets people to take them seriously.

  • Craigin

    Poor Danielle… she prob will selll a similar amount to Cassadee but with such a high profile release date, she doesn’t stand a chance…. Kris Allen anyone? :(

  • Amy Beth

    The popularity of boy bands or any bubble gum pop act has nothing to do with deserving it. These are cultural phenomenons. You can’t explain their success any more than you can explain why a tornado destroys one house and the one next to it is left standing.

    Occasionally, you’ll get a good song, but that’s probably an accident, lol!

  • girlygirl

    1D is an example of perfect promotion. Some of their songs are good, some of them are not so good, but whoever is in charge of marketing/promoting them knows what she or he is doing. Just the other day the group did a 7-hour (I think) live stream for their fans. They are constantly doing stuff like that to connect to their fanbase. I still think they will break up in the next couple of years — they’ve gotten so huge, I figure at least one of them is going to want to break away and try and become a solo star. But they certainly aren’t showing any signs of going away anytime soon, are they?

    And I say this as someone who has none of their music and will never go to one of their concerts. But I can still appreciate the hard work they’ve put in to become so huge, so good for them.

  • fuzzywuzzy

    “People “buy” what they are exposed to…its not about the product being good or bad. ”

    It’s always been this way, and a lot of crap became popular back in the day too. As for the “best music” or “best entertainer”, that’s often a matter of personal taste.

  • catlover84

    You cannot just compare ‘NSync and BSB album sales to 1D, or any current artists for that matter. We’re in a totally different era. In the US, two of BSB albums were sold around 12-13 millions each and two of ‘NSync albums were sold around 10-11 millions each. Worldwide, it’s around 30 millions each for BSB. No one today can sell that many anymore, not even half of it (except maybe Adele). So no, 1D won’t top BSB album numbers, and BSB will remain as the biggest selling boyband of all time, probably forever. Not because 1D is not popular enough, but because in this era, it’s nearly impossible.

  • girlygirl

    Considering Cassadee is doing fine (her single is likely to go Top 10 on country radio), I don’t see why Danielle is doomed if she sells a similar amount of albums the first week. I haven’t seen anyone who was predicting that she would be a huge seller out of the gate.

    And what does Kris Allen has to do with it? He’s still got a career, putting out a third album next year, touring, writing for other people, etc. Just because someone isn’t a huge star or isn’t on a major label doesn’t mean they can’t support themselves with their music. There are lots of ex-Idols and other reality contestants still plugging away. None of them have had to go back to their day jobs. So if Danielle doesn’t become a huge star (and it’s way too soon to know if she will or won’t) that doesn’t mean she couldn’t have a fairly long career as an artist and be able to support herself perfectly well. It’s not an success/failure, black or white type of thing. There’s lots of shades of gray in between the two extremes — and that’s where 99% of the artists end up.

  • elliegrll

    I think that saying that they don’t deserve it is an overstatement. There’s another boyband from the X Factor, Union J, that isn’t seeing the success that 1D is. I think part of the reason for that is because the majority of the guys in the group don’t do a lot to promote the group, or interact with fans.
    It’s not just that 1D gets exposure and promo, it’s also that they know how to play the game when there is a camera or mic in front of them. They don’t act like doing the promo is a waste of their time or beneath them.

  • maymay

    Yes, this is a different era. But I think One Direction is not popular like NSync was in the US.

  • Eilonwy_has_an_emu

    In the short term, Bradbery’s fate depends on what Big Machine had in mind when it signed her.

    If the idea was “we shall use some of the money we’re raking hand-over-fist from Taylor Swift to develop new artists” — and if the debut was made fairly economically, maybe even cross-collateralized with an expected break-out second album — then Big Machine will go on developing Bradbery. There’ll be a second single after THOD peaks. The label will work with her management to see that she has good touring and promo opportunities (as far as possible — things don’t fall into mid-range-sellers’ laps). Borchetta will work his Mediabase chart magic to maximize her chart positions. No label has the resources to “develop” forever, but they’ll take a reasonable shot at it, and sales will likely grow over time.

    If Big Machine thought The Voice could launch a newbie with the kind of 200k Black Friday sales that Idol used to manage, then I say unto them, verily, verily I say unto them what I’d say to a lot of labels: “Smoke less weed, count more beans.”

    Should it happen that Bradbery was launched with excessive expectations so she’s one-and-done with Big Machine, what happens next is unpredictable, She could decide “forget stardom” and go to college. She could reappear years later, as the Carly Rae Jepsen of country, when the market’s kinder to women. She could do a ton of other things, but it’s way too early to consider which ones.

  • maymay

    If you mean their current song is Story Of My Life, I don`t see it is great on Pop radio. Its airplay is ok level like 1D`s other songs.

    Story Of My Life is a pop/folk single but it is not great like Wake Me Up or whatever so radio doesn`t has enough interest to play it a lot.

  • rubbish

    She wasn’t given enough promotion. I guess Big Machine didn’t want to risk a bit of cash on her. She was also never in the Tabloids (which you definitely need that boost sales these days if you’re a new artist, unless you have spectacular singles )…We’d be talking about a different story if she’d dated a string of teen heartthrobs and had a public meltdown or twerked at the VMAs.

  • girlygirl

    I see over on the headlines thread that Danielle is the new “face” of Sketchers. That’s a nice “get” for her

  • springboard2

    Mediabase – Tuesday update:

    AAA:
    25 28 PHILLIP PHILLIPS Where We Came From 179 215 -36 0.273
    -2 Spins
    0 Bullet
    +0.009 AI
    AC:
    14 1 KELLY CLARKSON Underneath The Tree 1046 552 494 7.114
    +32 Spins
    -38 Bullet
    +0.168 AI
    28 7 KELLY CLARKSON Please Come Home For Christmas 479 205 274 3.282
    +50 Spins
    +34 Bullet
    +0.312 AI
    4 9 PHILLIP PHILLIPS Gone, Gone, Gone 463 982 -519 3.006
    -44 Spins
    +31 Bullet
    -0.192 AI
    21 14 KELLY CLARKSON Blue Christmas 392 270 122 2.396
    +16 Spins
    -8 Bullet
    +0.098 AI
    54 40 LEONA LEWIS One More Sleep 101 47 54 0.582
    +17 Spins
    +12 Bullet
    +0.079 AI
    39 44 DAUGHTRY Waiting For Superman 88 91 -3 0.207
    +1 Spins
    -2 Bullet
    -0.001 AI
    Country:
    14 12 CASSADEE POPE Wasting All These Tears 4313 4096 217 35.344
    -15 Spins
    -31 Bullet
    +0.043 AI
    22 22 DANIELLE BRADBERY The Heart Of Dixie 2455 2297 158 16.647
    -1 Spins
    -64 Bullet
    +0.164 AI
    23 25 SCOTTY MCCREERY See You Tonight 2288 2184 104 17.08
    +10 Spins
    +18 Bullet
    +0.098 AI
    47 46 KELLIE PICKLER Little Bit Gypsy 514 544 -30 2.63
    -10 Spins
    -30 Bullet
    -0.076 AI
    HAC:
    14 13 DAUGHTRY Waiting For Superman 2214 2117 97 13.586
    -5 Spins
    +5 Bullet
    -0.045 AI
    43 32 ONE DIRECTION Story Of My Life 442 276 166 2.795
    +16 Spins
    -1 Bullet
    +0.111 AI
    48 47 LEE DEWYZE Fight 166 153 13 0.238
    +2 Spins
    -2 Bullet
    +0.008 AI
    POP:
    18 19 ONE DIRECTION Story Of My Life 5132 4435 697 29.919
    +9 Spins
    -204 Bullet
    -0.001 AI
    45 42 EMBLEM3 3000 Miles 859 738 121 2.616
    +15 Spins
    +9 Bullet
    +0.036 AI
    Urban AC:
    4 4 FANTASIA Without Me f/Kelly Rowland 1390 1360 30 9.152
    +2 Spins
    -22 Bullet
    +0.042 AI
    18 17 JENNIFER HUDSON I Can’t Describe (The Way I… 603 569 34 4.033
    -4 Spins
    +23 Bullet
    +0.117 AI
    32 28 FANTASIA Side Effects Of You 179 154 25 0.668
    -7 Spins
    -27 Bullet
    -0.065 AI
    41 34 CANDICE GLOVER Cried 131 80 51 0.303
    +5 Spins
    -5 Bullet
    +0.01 AI
    0 40 FANTASIA What Christmas Means To Me 94 0 94 1.531
    0 Spins
    0 Bullet
    0 AI
    Canada-Country:
    41 39 CASSADEE POPE Wasting All These Tears 243 230 13 0.585
    +1 Spins
    -1 Bullet
    +0.006 AI
    Canada-Hot AC:
    7 7 HEDLEY Anything 951 884 67 5.53
    +8 Spins
    +4 Bullet
    +0.075 AI
    51 40 ONE DIRECTION Story Of My Life 158 91 67 1.852
    +15 Spins
    +10 Bullet
    +0.102 AI
    Canada-Main AC:
    49 11 KELLY CLARKSON Underneath The Tree 144 44 100 1.882
    +20 Spins
    +12 Bullet
    +0.059 AI
    13 15 HEDLEY Anything 108 198 -90 0.349
    -24 Spins
    -23 Bullet
    -0.084 AI
    Canada-Top 40:
    9 8 HEDLEY Anything 1409 1341 68 8.555
    +1 Spins
    -27 Bullet
    -0.051 AI
    38 32 ONE DIRECTION Story Of My Life 374 218 156 1.721
    +37 Spins
    +29 Bullet
    +0.147 AI
    Christian AC:
    1 2 MANDISA Overcomer 609 1295 -686 2.922
    -153 Spins
    -158 Bullet
    -0.776 AI
    85 25 MANDISA It’s Christmas 186 21 165 1.065
    +43 Spins
    +45 Bullet
    +0.27 AI
    200 39 JASON CASTRO Gloria (Hark! The Herald… 132 4 128 0.801
    +29 Spins
    +28 Bullet
    +0.125 AI

  • springboard2

    12/3/2013 – Itunes Top 1500 Singles and Albums (from LivePopBars)

    Singles:
    8. One Direction – Story of My Life
    12. Little Mix – Nothing Feels Like You
    13. Tessanne Chin – Redemption Song (The Voice Performance)
    16. Cole Vosbury – Rich Girl (The Voice Performance)
    20. Jacquie Lee – Cry Baby (The Voice Performance)
    21. Cole Vosbury – Better Man (The Voice Performance)
    24. Pentatonix – Little Drummer Boy
    26. Will Champlin – A Change Is Gonna Come (The Voice Performance)
    27. Will Champlin – Hey Brother (The Voice Performance)
    30. Tessanne Chin – Unconditionally (The Voice Performance)
    35. James Wolpert – I’d Do Anything For Love (But I Won’t Do That) [The Voice Performance]
    38. Matthew Schuler – When a Man Loves a Woman (The Voice Performance)
    43. Matthew Schuler – Story of My Life (The Voice Performance)
    46. Jacquie Lee – The Voice Within (The Voice Performance)
    48. James Wolpert – Fell In Love With a Girl (The Voice Performance)
    55. Matthew Schuler – Hallelujah (The Voice Performance)
    64. Cassadee Pope – Wasting All These Tears
    87. Will Champlin – At Last (The Voice Performance)
    110. Daughtry – Waiting for Superman
    117. Danielle Bradbery – The Heart of Dixie
    124. Cole Vosbury – I Still Believe In You (The Voice Performance)
    148. Angie Miller – This Christmas Song
    153. James Wolpert – Somebody To Love (The Voice Performance)
    156. Scotty McCreery – See You Tonight
    158. Cher Lloyd – I Wish (feat. T.I.)
    163. One Direction – Best Song Ever
    176. Phillip Phillips – Gone, Gone, Gone
    187. Tessanne Chin – Underneath It All (The Voice Performance)
    188. One Direction – Midnight Memories
    193. One Direction – You & I
    196. Fifth Harmony – Miss Movin’ On
    205. Kelly Clarkson – Silent Night (feat. Reba McEntire & Trisha Yearwood)
    209. Kelly Clarkson – Underneath the Tree
    213. Angie Miller – O Holy Night
    220. Pentatonix – Go Tell It On the Mountain
    222. Jacquie Lee – Who’s Lovin’ You Now (The Voice Performance)
    230. One Direction – Half a Heart
    233. One Direction – Happily
    234. One Direction – Diana
    235. Phillip Phillips – Home
    237. Pentatonix – Royals
    244. Pentatonix – Carol of the Bells
    265. Cole Vosbury – To Be With You (The Voice Performance)
    285. Cole Vosbury – Let Her Go (The Voice Performance)
    289. One Direction – Best Song Ever (from “This Is Us”)
    293. One Direction – Strong
    303. Pentatonix – O Holy Night
    333. One Direction – Little White Lies
    337. Kelly Clarkson – Have Yourself a Merry Little Christmas
    356. Olly Murs – Dance With Me Tonight
    386. Pentatonix – Daft Punk
    411. One Direction – Does He Know?
    429. Pentatonix – Carol of the Bells
    438. Cole Vosbury – Maggie May (The Voice Performance)
    439. One Direction – What Makes You Beautiful
    463. One Direction – Through the Dark
    464. Carrie Underwood – Before He Cheats
    473. Kelly Clarkson – Baby It’s Cold Outside (feat. Ronnie Dunn)
    481. Leona Lewis – One More Sleep
    485. Alex & Sierra – Best Song Ever (The X Factor USA Performance)
    493. Carrie Underwood – Blown Away
    501. Pentatonix & Lindsey Stirling – Radioactive
    502. Kelly Clarkson – My Grown Up Christmas List
    523. One Direction – Story Of My Life
    528. Caroline Pennell – Dog Days Are Over (The Voice Performance)
    564. One Direction – Don’t Forget Where You Belong
    567. Jacquie Lee – The House of the Rising Sun (The Voice Performance)
    573. One Direction – Alive
    586. One Direction – Better Than Words
    589. Jeff Gutt – Feeling Good (The X Factor USA Performance)
    590. Carrie Underwood – See You Again
    594. Candice Glover – Cried
    598. Little Mix – Move
    600. One Direction – Right Now
    602. Mandisa – Overcomer
    610. Jacquie Lee – Clarity (The Voice Performance)
    611. Little Mix – Nothing Feels Like You
    616. One Direction – Why Don’t We Go There
    632. Fifth Harmony – Me & My Girls
    642. Matthew Schuler – Beneath Your Beautiful (The Voice Performance)
    643. Glee Cast – The Fox (Glee Cast Version) [feat. Demi Lovato & Adam Lambert]
    668. Kelly Clarkson – Since U Been Gone
    671. James Wolpert – Without You (The Voice Performance)
    682. Alex & Sierra – I Knew You Were Trouble (The X Factor USA Performance)
    683. James Durbin – Parachute
    684. Cole Vosbury – Adorn (The Voice Performance)
    685. Pentatonix – O Come, O Come Emmanuel
    695. Jacquie Lee – I Put a Spell On You (The Voice Performance)
    697. One Direction – Little Black Dress
    700. Pentatonix – Angels We Have Heard On High
    715. James Wolpert – A Case of You (The Voice Performance)
    728. Glee Cast – Nasty / Rhythm Nation (Glee Cast Version)
    749. Tessanne Chin – If I Were Your Woman (The Voice Performance)
    765. Will Champlin – When I Was Your Man (The Voice Performance)
    766. Carly Rae Jepsen – Call Me Maybe
    768. One Direction – Little Things
    773. One Direction – Kiss You
    797. Tessanne Chin – Many Rivers To Cross (The Voice Performance)
    808. Kelly Clarkson – Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)
    818. Will Champlin – Love Me Again (The Voice Performance)
    826. Kellie Pickler – Santa Baby
    846. Leona Lewis – Bleeding Love
    854. Glee Cast – O Holy Night (Glee Cast Version)
    856. Jennifer Hudson – I Can’t Describe (The Way I Feel) [feat. T.I.]
    870. Kelly Clarkson – My Favorite Things
    877. Kelly Clarkson – Catch My Breath
    881. Pentatonix – Somebody That I Used to Know
    882. Tessanne Chin – Try (The Voice Performance)
    903. Matthew Schuler – Wrecking Ball (The Voice Performance)
    905. James Wolpert – Love Interruption (The Voice Performance)
    912. Audra McDonald & Carrie Underwood – My Favorite Things
    928. Kelly Clarkson – Run Run Rudolph
    935. Jacquie Lee – Love Is Blindness (The Voice Performance)
    936. Pentatonix – The Christmas Song (Chestnuts Roasting On an Open Fire)
    956. One Direction – One Thing
    972. Daughtry – It’s Not Over
    1037. Carrie Underwood – Two Black Cadillacs
    1045. Kelly Clarkson – Please Come Home for Christmas (Bells Will Be Ringing)
    1054. Glee Cast – Into the Groove (Glee Cast Version feat. Demi Lovato and Adam Lambert)
    1061. Glee Cast – Last Christmas (Glee Cast Version)
    1105. Glee Cast – Baby, It’s Cold Outside (Glee Cast Version)
    1114. Carrie Underwood – The Sound of Music
    1138. Kelly Clarkson – Wrapped in Red
    1147. Cole Vosbury – Africa (The Voice Performance)
    1154. Kellie Pickler – Little Bit Gypsy
    1163. One Direction – Something Great
    1165. Caroline Pennell – Leaving On a Jet Plane (The Voice Performance)
    1166. Danielle Bradbery – I Will Never Forget You
    1185. Jacquie Lee – Back To Black (The Voice Performance)
    1189. Little Mix – Wings
    1211. Will Champlin – Secrets (The Voice Performance)
    1216. Carrie Underwood – How Great Thou Art
    1220. Caroline Pennell – We’re Going To Be Friends (The Voice Performance)
    1223. Will Champlin – Demons (The Voice Performance)
    1225. Cole Vosbury – Movin’ On Up (The Voice Performance)
    1228. Carrie Underwood – Good Girl
    1261. Matthew Schuler – It’s Time (The Voice Performance)
    1298. Pentatonix – This Christmas
    1331. Carrie Underwood – Jesus, Take the Wheel
    1335. Glee Cast – Jingle Bells (Glee Cast Version)
    1336. Kelly Clarkson – White Christmas
    1348. Tessanne Chin – Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You) [The Voice Performance]
    1367. Matthew Schuler – Cough Syrup (The Voice Performance)
    1373. James Wolpert – Radioactive (The Voice Performance)
    1392. Tessanne Chin – Next To Me (The Voice Performance)
    1404. Glee Cast – Here Comes Santa Claus (Down Santa Claus Lane) [Glee Cast Version]
    1412. Will Champlin – Not Over You (The Voice Performance)
    1419. Cher Lloyd – Oath (feat. Becky G)
    1429. Will Champlin – Radioactive (The Voice Performance)
    1447. Tessanne Chin – My Kind of Love (The Voice Performance)
    1451. One Direction – Live While We’re Young

    Albums:
    2. Pentatonix – PTXmas (Deluxe Edition)
    5. Kelly Clarkson – Wrapped In Red
    8. One Direction – Midnight Memories (Deluxe)
    17. Glee Cast – Glee: The Music, The Christmas Album, Vol. 4 – EP
    40. Pentatonix – PTX, Vol. 2
    42. Leona Lewis – Christmas, With Love
    46. Avicii – True
    49. Danielle Bradbery – Danielle Bradbery (Deluxe Edition)
    57. Pentatonix – PTX, Vol. 1
    72. Pentatonix – PTXmas – EP
    84. One Direction – Midnight Memories
    89. Daughtry – Baptized (Deluxe Version)
    108. Glee Cast – Glee: The Music – The Christmas Album
    171. Various Artists – The Sound of Music – 45th Anniversary Edition
    203. Cassadee Pope – Frame By Frame
    248. Scotty McCreery – Christmas With Scotty McCreery
    250. Glee Cast – Glee: The Music, The Christmas Album, Vol. 2
    263. Glee Cast – Glee: The Music, The Christmas Album, Vol. 3
    276. Glee Cast – Movin’ Out
    278. One Direction – Up All Night (Deluxe Version)
    284. Phillip Phillips – The World From the Side of the Moon (Deluxe Version)
    310. Danielle Bradbery – Danielle Bradbery
    320. Fifth Harmony – Better Together – EP
    352. Glee Cast – The Quarterback (Music From the TV Series) – EP
    356. Scotty McCreery – See You Tonight
    362. One Direction – Take Me Home (Yearbook Edition)
    396. Carrie Underwood – Blown Away
    511. Glee Cast – A Katy or a Gaga (Music from the Episode) – EP
    535. Little Mix – Salute (The Deluxe Edition)
    559. Kellie Pickler – The Woman I Am
    576. Kelly Clarkson – Greatest Hits – Chapter One
    588. Caroline Pennell – The Race – EP
    612. Daughtry – Baptized
    675. One Direction – Take Me Home
    879. Mandisa – It’s Christmas (Christmas Angel Edition)
    914. Fifth Harmony – Better Together – Acoustic – EP
    931. One Direction – Up All Night
    956. Olly Murs – Right Place Right Time (Deluxe Edition)
    983. Phillip Phillips – The World From the Side of the Moon
    1011. Daughtry – Daughtry
    1089. David Archuleta – Christmas from the Heart
    1183. Danielle Bradbery – The Complete Season 4 Collection (The Voice Performance)
    1208. Katharine McPhee – Christmas Is the Time to Say I Love You
    1273. Little Mix – DNA (The Deluxe Edition)
    1391. Fantasia – Side Effects of You
    1392. Emblem3 – Nothing To Lose (Deluxe Version)
    1447. Clay Aiken – Merry Christmas With Love
    1476. Carrie Underwood – Play On

  • elliegrll

    The song’s bullet is currently 697. Who knows where the song will peak, but so far it is doing well. Let’s see if it can get them over the hump, and give them another top ten hit.

  • springboard2

    Monitored Adds from formats reporting on Monday:

    AC:
    32 KELLY CLARKSON Underneath The Tree 19/RCA
    13 KELLY CLARKSON Please Come Home For Christmas 19/RCA
    11 KELLY CLARKSON Blue Christmas 19/RCA
    4 LEONA LEWIS One More Sleep 19/RCA
    2 JORDIN SPARKS Christmas Time To Me 19/RCA
    1 KELLY CLARKSON Wrapped In Red 19/RCA
    1 KELLY CLARKSON My Favorite Things 19/RCA
    1 CHRIS MANN Have Yourself A Merry… Faircraft/Republic
    1 DAUGHTRY Waiting For Superman RCA
    1 KELLY CLARKSON Have Yourself A Merry Little.. 19/RCA
    1 KELLY CLARKSON Baby It’s Cold Outside 19/RCA
    1 KELLY CLARKSON Run Run Rudolph 19/RCA
    Christian AC:
    3 COLTON DIXON Jingle Bells Capitol CMG Label Group
    1 MANDISA It’s Christmas EMI CMG
    1 JASON CASTRO Gloria (Hark! The Herald… Word/Curb
    Country:
    11 KELLIE PICKLER Little Bit Gypsy Black River Entertainment
    10 SCOTTY MCCREERY See You Tonight 19/Interscope/Mercury
    2 DANIELLE BRADBERY The Heart Of Dixie Big Machine/Republic
    1 SCOTTY MCCREERY Christmas Comin’ Round Again 19 Ent./Interscope
    HAC:
    9 ONE DIRECTION Story Of My Life Columbia
    3 KELLY CLARKSON Underneath The Tree 19/RCA
    1 DAUGHTRY Waiting For Superman RCA
    1 LEE DEWYZE Fight Vanguard
    1 KELLY CLARKSON Blue Christmas 19/RCA

  • ptebwwong

    IMO both Cassadee or Danielle are doing good. I wouldn’t consider either doomed especially if their singles are both charting well. The reason for the comparison is they’re both recent winners from the same talent show.

    Danielle’s 1st week album sales will probably be about the same as Cassadee’s. Here’s a possible reason for the worrying from people: Cassadee’s single is almost top 10 on BB. It’s sold more than 600,000 copies. Scotty’s single is #21 on BB & it’s sold about 300,000. Danielle’s single is #22 on BB & has sold less than 200,000 copies. So even with her single doing well on the charts it’s not getting people to buy her single as much as the other 2 artists.

  • Guest

    I’m not surprised to see Pentatonix’s Christmas EP doing so well… every time I check Facebook another random friend is sharing their “Little Drummer Boy” video. Awesome :)

  • tierbee

    Love seeing all those Pentatonix songs/EPs on there. Every time I check Facebook their “Little Drummer Boy” video is being shared by random friends with “I never heard of this group before but this is great!” – makes me happy ;)

  • http://www.glitzngrits.com/ AlesheaDominique

    Agreed. One of my bestfriends shared their video the other day and put a caption about how they are local talent that represent us well. I told her you do realize this is the group I’m always talking about and tried to get you to come see with me. She just laughed.

  • windmills

    The days when reality show alums are widely expected to make splashy debuts are pretty much over, though it’s probably only Idol alums who get negative press when they don’t. Cassadee’s debut week was not a splashy one, though it wasn’t embarrassing and she did chart at #1 on the “country” albums chart.

    Danielle won’t get that #1 in her debut week (and wouldn’t have gotten it in any November week) but she’s still going to put up a total that’s not far off from Cassadee’s without the benefit of any national TV other than a Hart Of Dixie performance (but with the benefit of Black Friday & extra holiday sales). If she’d performed on The Voice last week, we might be looking at a 50k 1st week. I’d say these numbers are fine for her, especially with The Heart Of Dixie ticking up again in the callout surveys (next week, it’ll hit t5 on Callout America) and poised to make t20 eventually.

  • windmills

    On the other hand, Danielle appears to have better airplay to album sales translation than Cassadee did (which is kind of to be expected since Cassadee’s fanbase is more of a pop/rock fanbase while Danielle’s is more of a core country fanbase).

    I’m not really sure if Big Machine is going to be a good fit for Danielle or that they’re going to make Danielle a priority but I don’t think her current download numbers are much of a worry at this time.

  • Jason Gorny

    Did Little Mix release a new single here in the US? Song is at #12. Pretty nice for them.

  • ptebwwong

    Thanks. That’s also the issue I have. I don’t think Big Machine is a good fit for Danielle either. I think they will try to help her with her career. But like you stated IMO she’s not a priority with the label.

  • Tess Herself

    Yup…”crap” has always sold well when its crammed down our throats at every opportunity. And of course being the “best” is a matter of personal taste and opinion, just like being crap is my take on things. The next generation may well still adore the likes of Bieber and Miley.

  • Happyhexer

    “She could decide “forget stardom” and go to college. She could reappear years later, as the Carly Rae Jepsen of country, when the market’s kinder to women.”

    ^ ^ ^ THIS is what I hope happens. Danielle has a nice voice, but her HOD song is so paint-by-the-numbers. I don’t believe her at all. They either need age-appropriate songs (I thought her cover of “Mean” was cute on The Voice) or she needs to wait until she grows up enough to be able to connect with the song lyrics. All these kids with great voices are leaving me cold. And I have new respect for Taylor Swift. Few would say she has a great voice, but IMO she does sing believably.

  • ptebwwong

    Happyhexer: All these kids with great voices are leaving me cold. And I have new respect for Taylor Swift. Few would say she has a great voice, but IMO she does sing believably.

    I have an issue with artists not being “believable.” There’s a song on Danielle’s album about being a mother. She has a great voice, but I can’t disregard her singing about motherhood when I know she’s a teenager & isn’t singing like she at least is “acting like she’s experienced it.”

    As for Taylor, she’s believable because she writes all of her music. Danielle & others don’t write their music.

  • Eilonwy_has_an_emu

    As for Taylor, she’s believable because she writes all of her music. Danielle & others don’t write their music.

    I’ve been watching my own thinking for that reasoning because I’m actually in favor of having some pure “voices” out there to provide pure (or pure-ish) songwriters a means of making a living. But damn, it is easier to see a distinct POV from a musician who writes his/her own songs.

    I think it’s possible to still achieve believability while singing exclusively other writers’ songs, but it means somebody on the team has to go to bat for treating the music as ideas and themes, not just pleasing progressions of notes that are likely to appeal to radio. These teenagers may not have the life experience to take that stand for themselves yet. It’s likely also better to work with a small slate of songwriters who get to know the singer and can step into her/his POV to write.

  • Happyhexer

    I’ve never needed to have singers who write their own songs. I just need them to sing like they mean it. It IS possible, but it does require a search to find songs that “fit.”

  • Happyhexer

    Yes, it helps that Taylor is singing songs she wrote. But I don’t think it’s essential. It is only essential to find songs that the singer (young or not) can identify with.

  • Craigin

    While I hear what you’re saying (some lyrical content just doesn’t make sense for Danielle to sing) there have been plenty on non-songwriting singers in country music who have sung about things they have never experienced and were truly believable. Leann Rimes comes to mind here. Also, Martina and Carrie have often sung about things which they have no experience with (abuse, divorce, infidelity, death of a spouse, etc.) but have communicated the themes properly. I think Danielle is going for more of a Carrie/Leann vibe than a T-Swift sing about real life niche. Sure she needs to learn how to communicate in song better but I think she’s off to a pretty good start. I also think Big Machine has her in this for the long haul.

  • Happyhexer

    I’m afraid to admit that I kinda, sorta like Cassadee’s single. At times she sounds like Avril, and at other times she sounds just a tad bit sorta country-ish (at least the 2013 version of country). And she does sound like she means it. Danielle’s single, on the other hand, leaves me cold. Not even the cutesy wordplay in the title gets me interested. That said, I can’t imagine buying either artist’s CD. But I might cherry-pick a song or two.

  • Happyhexer

    Good point. And I agree a singer doesn’t need to experience something to be able to convey it effectively. But they still need emotional depth or SOMETHING to draw on to convey believability.

    Still not a Danielle fan. Maybe someday she will grow into her voice (which is quite good).

  • ptebwwong

    I agree it’s not essential. For example, Carrie obviously didn’t experience someone cheating on her & then taking a bat to someone’s car. But the way she sang those lyrics made you think she would do it if it happened to her. She meant what she was singing.

    Artists don’t have to experience the lyrics. But they have to mean it. That’s what I have a problem with Danielle’s music. IMO she doesn’t sing the lyrics like she means them.

  • Craigin

    fair assessment :)

  • windmills

    Reporting in from Billboard Country Update and Country Aircheck:

    There were no Billboard recurrents this week, and there was 1 Country Aircheck/Mediabase recurrent: Tim McGraw’s Southern Girl out of the t15. This coming week, there should be 1 recurrent at Billboard and Aircheck/Mediabase (Blake Shelton out of the t10). Jake Owen’s Days Of Gold is on its way down but I’m guessing it won’t crash and burn this week since it’s Jake’s album release.

    Cassadee’s Wasting All These Tears had a good week gaining 2.342 million AIs and holding at #12 Billboard. Cole Swindell didn’t pass, and WATT actually outgained Chillin It slightly (by 29k). It’s still tight between those 2 songs: WATT leads by 238k so that could go either way this week. Luke Bryan’s Drink A Beer closed to 3.670 million AIs behind by outgaining WATT by 1.935 million so WATT could stay ahead for another week. Look for WATT to finish the week at either #11 or #12.

    At Aircheck/Mediabase WATT managed to stay ahead and extend its lead on Cole Swindell’s song by 104 points to 246 points while moving up a spot to #12 after gaining 970 points. The WATT/Chillin’ It battle could go either way this week. Luke Bryan now trails by 1891 points after outgaining WATT by 1638 points. Odds are Drink A Beer will pass next week not this week but there’s a chance that with another strong week it could pass WATT. So look for WATT to finish the week anywhere between #11 and #13.

    Scotty’s See You Tonight had a solid week that was probably helped by the 2nd wave of t30 countdown spins, gaining 928k but dropping 2 spots to #23 as Jason Aldean and Danielle Bradbery both passed. I say “probably helped” because Scotty’s weekend updates were a little weird: he seemed to get the Sunday spin bump in Monday morning’s update but was flat in AI gains, which is not usual. I definitely think Thanksgiving weekend pre-programmed specials negatively impacted SYT’s gains last week so on the bright side, SYT should pick some ground back up later this week. Will it be enough to repass Danielle, who’s now 765k AIs ahead? I’m not going to predict that based on what’s happened so far this week. SYT is also barely ahead of Thompson Square (by 11k) after Thompson Square outgained him by 606k. Meanwhile Dierks Bentley now trails by 842k after I Hold On outgained SYT by 1.863 million. Based on last week’s trend, Dierks could also pass but I’m going to guess that he won’t. SYT could wind up anywhere between #21 and #24 this week, most likely at #22 or #23.

    At Aircheck/Mediabase, SYT had a meh week gaining 390 points (including countdown spins gained from 2 Sundays ago, but not including this past Sunday’s 2nd wave of added countdown spins) and dropping 2 spots to #25. Jason Aldean, Dierks Bentley and Thompson Square all passed: Dierks now leads by 218 points and Thompson Square by 320 points. With a good week Scotty could repass either or both. He likely closed some based on Sunday but both songs seemed to outgain his in this morning’s MB update. There is no immediate threat to pass SYT. SYT could finish the week anywhere between #22 and #24.

    Danielle’s The Heart Of Dixie had a good week, probably aided by album-release related promotional airplay, gaining 1.856 million AIs and holding at #22 Billboard by repassing Scotty while Jason Aldean passed. THOD leads SYT by 765k, so SYT could repass. I’m guessing it won’t but it depends on what kind of album release-based bounce THOD got last week. Thompson Square trails by 776k and is also a possibility to repass if their recent momentum keeps up combined with THOD having a weak week. Dierks Bentley trails by 1.607 million and outgained THOD by 935k so he’s somebody to watch too. I’m going to guess THOD will stay ahead of at least 1 of those 2 songs and finish the week at #22. But it could finish anywhere between #21 and #24.

    At Aircheck/Mediabase, THOD had a meh week gaining 426 points and holding at #22. Thompson Square closed to within 169 points behind by outgaining THOD by 341 points and Dierks Bentley closed to 271 points behind by outgaining by 518 points. Both are tracking to pass THOD this week. Scotty trails by 489 points, which is probably too big a gap to make up this week but it’s not completely impossible that he will. Odds are THOD will finish the week down a spot to #23.

    Kellie’s Little Bit Gypsy gained 65k AIs and dropped a spot to #53. Brad Paisley didn’t pass because he actually lost airplay last week but I expect that to turn around this coming week, though maybe not enough to repass LBG. LBG may be able to finish the week back up a spot to #52 or even up 2 spot to #51.

    At Aircheck/Mediabase, LBG had a pretty flat week gaining 84 points and moving up a spot to #46. George Strait closed to 38 points behind by outgaining LBG by 66 points and Thomas Rhett closed to 235 points behind by outgaining LBG by 362 points. Pretty good bet that Thomas Rhett passes this week, and George Strait may or may not pass. So look for Kellie to finish the week at #46 or #47.

    Kristy Lee’s Wherever Love Goes reappeared on Billboard’s New & Active with 358k AIs from 6 stations and 0 adds this week. The song was 151k from charting this week. There’s no information under Aircheck Activity about how the song is doing at Mediabase. Too, Broken Bow/Stoney Creek/Red Bow has ads out this week for Kristy’s labelmates that don’t include her.

    Idol-related ads: World Vision has its usual 1/3 page ad with pictures of affiliated acts including Scotty.

    Recommended reading: Country Aircheck talks to CMT’s president Brian Phillips and Clear Channel’s Premiere Networks EVP/Music Programming Jennifer Leimgruber about the new Clear Channel/CMT partnership. Not a lot of specifics about what the partnership will entail but they do mention the obvious: cross-promoting CMT events on IHeartRadio and giving IHeartRadio programming and events exposure on the CMT platform. It’s really about scale across platforms, as this quote from Brian Phillips illustrates:

    “In Clear Channel we saw kindred spirits,” Philips says. “They’re people who have the same sense of this moment and sense of excitement in this moment, and they are open to building an ever larger business through creative partnership, so that’s what this is. It’s a combination of two brands that can impose a very large structure across America.”

    Anybody else bleh on that last line in the quote? In the article, they also talk to Cody Alan, who will continue to anchor the syndicated night program CMT Radio Live With Cody Alan and add CMT After Midnite to his duties.

    Billboard Country Update leads with an article on Jake Owen, who released a new album this week. He’s apparently taking the next step in 2014 and headlining arenas. It’ll be interesting seeing how that goes. Jake is AMAZING to his fans, he does a ton of online reachouts where he just invites random fans to hang out wherever he is. The download/album sales haven’t really been there for him yet but there are expectations he’s going to be the next guy to break out Luke Bryan/Jason Aldean-style. Something to watch out for.

  • Garrett Clayman

    Angie miller is snatching wigs on iTunes #gogogo

  • windmills

    I actually agree with you on both singles re: believability. Been saying from day 1 that this is why I disagreed with the choice of THOD for Danielle’s lead single. She’s more believable on a lot of the other songs on her album (I’d recommend Young In America and Dance Hall, which would be my picks for follow up singles). But even still, having heard a lot of the demos for the songs on Danielle’s album, her phrasing mimics the demos on pretty much all of them. She has a beautiful voice but she has yet to individualize it.

    Some of that speaks to Danielle’s inexperience as an artist and recording act, and also the short time Danielle had to record her album. But some of that is also on the producer Dann Huff. I remember back when Carrie recorded Some Hearts the album, she cut the country half with Mark Bright and the pop half (which sounds pretty country by today’s standards) with Dann Huff. When Carrie was asked to describe the difference between the 2 producers, she said Dann Huff was very specific about what he wanted from her whereas Mark Bright really encouraged her to explore and figure out how she wanted to sing everything.

    So I don’t think it’s a coincidence Carrie wound up going with Mark Bright as her sole producer on her subsequent records based on that experience (not that her experience with Huff was bad, but I think she liked that Mark Bright wanted her to figure out her own voice). It’s part of why I’ve never been a big fan of Dann Huff as a producer. I think the only time I’ve liked a production of his recently is Kelly’s Don’t Rush.

    There’s also a challenge with a voice like Danielle’s – sometimes I feel like with acts who can make anything sound pretty good, you don’t always get that extra effort to make sure it sounds real and great. But again, timing could have been a factor too.

  • Lexie O’Neill

    Christmas with Scotty passed by See You Tonight…

  • Tinawina

    then I say unto them, verily, verily I say unto them what I’d say to a lot of labels: “Smoke less weed, count more beans.”

    HA! I love you. Let’s get married. ;)

  • http://www.mjsbigblog.com/ mjsbigblog

    The next generation may well still adore the likes of Bieber and Miley.

    No. The next generation will have it’s own thing, which the current generation will tsk tsk while longing for the good old days of “good music.”

    And it goes on an on and on…

  • Hugh29

    Pentatonix is scary good – and they are just starting to flex their muscles.

  • Tess Herself

    A comment on the state of today’s music is not, by default, an endorsement of music in past generations. There has been crap branded as “terrific” for as long as music has been around. Seems that if someone older keyboards anything negative about what is currently projected as wonderful ’cause it sells well they are condemning everything about current sound, and I don’t think that’s the case.

  • ptebwwong

    CHART DATE: 12/02/2013
    LAST UPDATE: 12/03/2013 12:47:03
    NOW IN: FINAL

    LW TW artist / album label power index % change

    – 1 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 530,377 – MIDNIGHT MEMORIES
    1 2 EMINEM SHADY/AFTERMATH/INT 195,195 +59% MARSHALL MATHERS LP 2
    – 3 GARTH BROOKS PEARL 190,834 – BLAME IT ALL ON MY ROOTS
    9 4 KELLY CLARKSON RCA 133,253 +215% WRAPPED IN RED
    11 5 KATY PERRY CAPITOL 133,081 +237% PRISM
    4 6 THE ROBERTSONS EMI NASHVILLE 123,147 +106% DUCK THE HALLS: ROBERTSON FAMILY
    7 7 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 115,469 +130% ARTPOP
    15 8 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 103,471 +298% CRASH MY PARTY
    3 9 NOW 48 UME 77,893 +24% VARIOUS ARTISTS
    16 10 MILEY CYRUS RCA 77,613 +224% BANGERZ
    32 19 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 40,524 +294% BASED ON A TRUE STORY
    – 20 DANIELLE BRADBERY BIG MACHINE 39,147 – DANIELLE BRADBERY
    5 21 DAUGHTRY 19/RCA 37,406 -35% BAPTIZED
    20 22 SUSAN BOYLE SYCO/COLUMBIA 33,458 +64% HOME FOR CHRISTMAS
    – 27 SONGS FOR THE PHILIPPINES UNIVERSAL INTERNATIONAL 28,598 – VARIOUS ARTISTS
    – 30 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC NASH/19/INTERSCOPE 25,029 – SEE YOU TONIGHT
    – 33 PENTATONIX MADISON GATE 22,210 – PTXMAS
    – 34 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/RCA NASHVILLE 22,015 – BLOWN AWAY
    – 40 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 18,496 – TAKE ME HOME
    34 47 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 15,751 +79% CHEERS, IT’S CHRISTMAS

    http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/salescht.cgi

  • listening

    The way I understand it it’s another early release single , that you automatically get when you pre-order their Album. It happened a couple of months ago w/ their song See Me Now which reached 17 on the charts I believe.

    Reaching 12 means more people are buying than last time. We can sort of figure out how many albums they’ve sold at least this week b/c the number of albums directly corresponds to the number of sales for Nothing Feels Like You.

  • Amy Beth

    What does that mean? I’m old.

  • Baptized

    Only a 35% drop for Daughtry. The smallest drop ever for a Daughtry disc.

  • Amy Beth

    Of the Top 50 albums, 12 are Christmas albums and 6 are soundtracks/compilation albums.

  • Anny_nanny

    Grear for Kelly&Carrie! Guys also well done.

    Thus the Voice again washes tubes and trying to find someone who can sell music and whom name is not X-tina, Adam or Blake.

  • Tinawina

    I don’t think she needs to go back to college per se. I think Danielle needs at bit of time to bake like practically every other super talented teen to come out of these shows (Archie, Jordin, Jessica, Allison, etc.). I think what helps most is to have a smash hit to buy you some time. Like I think of someone like Rihanna… Pon De Replay was her first smash and she was much different then, she barely knew who she was beyond a young cute girl who could kinda sing, By the time she came back she had more of her voice worked out. Ditto Destiny’s Child, who were super generic as 16-17 years olds on No, No, No but by the time they got to that next album had worked out a sound and look and everything. Part of that was that after that smash, the label was willing to spend more money developing a follow up.That first album and it’s smashes is probably why Jordin is still around, and being granted the time to figure out who she is.

    This is why I always want the young ones to get a hit song or album out of the gate even if it is generic.

  • Anny_nanny

    This is the week of Black Friday, it’s a bit offset the fall of the 2nd week. I’m a little worried about the figures of the current week.

  • Baptized

    To say Daughtry sold 129K during their opening week two years ago (on the week of Black Friday) – They’re doing not too bad. I thought they’d sell 45K so I wasn’t far out.

  • Sicola789

    Nice to see Scotty’s album have some legs! Highest sales since the album release. Daughtry’s album also looking to have some nice legs. Happy to see Carrie return to the top 50.

  • Eilonwy_has_an_emu

    The missing context is that every album ahead of him that wasn’t a new release (16 in total) posted percentage GAINS from the prior week. The entire top 50 has only four albums with week-to-week declines.

    To be fair, plenty of the other non-Christmas albums are past their second week, so they’re gaining against a base that’s further out the decay curve.

    At this point, I’d put Daughtry’s numbers in the category of “wait and see.” If the album can spawn multiple radio hits, that should stabilize the band’s album-to-album declines, and that’s obviously RCA’s strategy.

  • Incipit

    “What does that mean? I’m old.”

    Don’t worry, Amy Beth, so is the reference. Heh.

    I would expect that’s a reference to the famous wig snatching scene in “Valley of the Dolls” – 1966 for the book, 1967 for the movie. Susan Hayward and Patty Duke. Google is your friend there.

    The implication is that Ms Miller is doing better on iTunes than someone (or someones) who may be regarded as older rivals – in CCM, or whatever her genre is. IDK who is meant, I don’t follow Ms Miller.

    JMO

  • Baptized

    Five Finger Death Punch; Down 61%
    Hunger Games Soundtrack: Down 57%

    The ones who posted gains had appearances on AMA’s, Christmas albums, and/or debuts.

  • Baptized

    We also have to remember BTS has 63% drop from 129k to 48k; so Daughtry drops are usually rather large.

    Daughtry: 307K – 150K
    Leave This Town: 269K – 99K
    Break the Spell: 129K – 48K
    Baptized: 55K to 37K

  • fuzzywuzzy

    “9 4 KELLY CLARKSON RCA 133,253 +215% WRAPPED IN RED”

    Nice! Take that, duck guys! lol

    ETA: HDD predictions:

    YOUR BLACK FRIDAY TOP 15 (PLUS 3): Doing projections on Black Friday is like a blind man playing darts with his back to the board–things can land anywhere. Eminem, Katy Perry, Lady Gaga, and Justin Timberlake, among others, are all on sale for $7 at Walmart and Target. Meanwhile, Amazon and Google are waging an online battle, with digital albums as low as $1.99, including Avicii, Ariana Grande, Fall Out Boy and Kanye West. This makes things a little difficult to pin down. One thing’s for certain, though: One Direction will debut at #1. Here’s how it looks going into Black Friday.

    *One Direction (SYCO/Columbia) 550-575k
    Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 180-190k
    Katy Perry (Capitol) 130-140k
    The Robertsons (EMI Nashville) 115-125k
    Lady Gaga (Interscope) 105-115k
    Kelly Clarkson (RCA) 90-100k
    *Garth Brooks (Pearl) 80-90k (Walmart Exclusive)
    Miley Cyrus (RCA) 80-90k
    Now 48 (UMe) 75-85k
    Justin Timberlake (RCA) 65-75k
    Drake (Young Money/Cash Money/Republic) 65-75k
    Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville) 65-75k
    Florida Georgia Line (Republic Nashville) 50-60k
    Imagine Dragons (KidinaKorner/Interscope) 50-60k
    *A Day To Remember (ADTR) 45-55k
    Susan Boyle (SYCO/Columbia) 40-50k
    Mary J. Blige (Verve) 40-50k
    Lorde (Lava/Republic) 40-50k

    *Debuts

    ETA: It looks like Walmart reported twice. Garth Brooks sold almost 191,000 on a Walmart exclusive? Amazing!

  • Tinawina

    LOL! I was just going to type that! She finally outsold the Duck dudes!

    So we are looking at 8 albums over 100K. Not bad.

  • ptebwwong

    Not all gains are due to those reasons. For example, Scotty last week sold 7,000. According to the numbers today, he sold 25,000 for the week. He didn’t have any promotion, he wasn’t on a debut week, & his album wasn’t a Christmas album. IMO they are due to Black Friday sales/discounts which helped with the gains. I think this applied to other artists as well.

  • Mateja Praznik

    The regular 2nd week drop is 70%.

  • Baptized

    And most of them had sales on iTunes while Daughtry’s stayed at full price. I think week 3 will see where the album goes.

  • Tess Herself

    I’m confused…wasn’t this the prediction for the numbers announced this week. Are you just matching up prediction with actual…’cause that would make sense.

    Yes, Kelly did great for a reputable singer…but Duck Dynasty also did great for the “joke” stocking stuffer of the year. Kind of the mood ring, or pet rock, for the year’s gag gift.

  • L. R. M. L.

    Scotty sold very well

    Hopefully he will sell well again this week but See You Tonight wasn’t on sale at a lot of places like a lot of the other artists. And of course no appearances on national TV. But we’ll just wait and see.

    And where is Kellie Pickler? Darn

  • ptebwwong

    If you’re just talking about iTunes, Scotty’s album didn’t have a sale either for Black Friday. From what I can tell, many of the major retailers didn’t have a Black Friday sale on his album except Wal-Mart.

    Did Daughtry have sales at other retailers? If he did, that would make sense why the drop is lower than your standard drop. I like his new single & have bought his previous albums, I just don’t follow him that closely.

  • fuzzywuzzy

    Yes, I posted the HDD predictions just to see how close they were. As for duck guy joke gifts, have you seen this?

    http://www.amazon.com/Willie-Handmade-Decorative-Planter-Dynasty/dp/B00B1P7ZQA

    lol

  • Sicola789

    So Danielle is selling roughly the same number Lee Dewyze did(39k), and if I remember right, he sold Black Friday week also. He had the “flop” card attached to his sales. Interesting how perceptions on flops have changed. I don’t think we will see the media calling Danielle a huge flop.

  • Sicola789

    Also cool to see 4 idols in the top 50.

  • Madilo

    4 6 THE ROBERTSONS EMI NASHVILLE 123,147 +106% DUCK THE HALLS: ROBERTSON FAMILY

    looks like they had a huge increase too lol

  • elliegrll

    Can you really snatch wigs while being so low on the itunes chart?

  • fuzzywuzzy

    “The Sound of Music Live” is at #16 on iTunes.

  • Incipit

    I have no idea, elliegrll, I don’t follow Ms Miller, as I said, don’t know what her placement is. It was another poster who made the reference, and ‘may’ be a fan – I just gave the context.

  • Eilonwy_has_an_emu

    DeWyze was following seven winners who’d had massive first-week sales, plus Kris Allen who’d still sold more than double that 39k on his first week. I think DeWyze got many, many bad breaks, but in terms of Idol history, his debut numbers were objectively weak.

    Bradbery is following one Voice winner who sold 10k his first week, one who never released a debut album, and one who’d recently sold just a bit more with her debut. In terms of Voice history, Bradbery’s a sign of progress toward being able to launch acts at all.

    Now, if serious third-party media (not Voice-related outlets) claim Bradbery has already proven she’s the next big country star, I’ll balk. Her numbers don’t support that conclusion.

  • Amy Beth

    Rather than compare her to Lee, the better comparison would be to debut albums by new country artists, especially females, over the last 3-5 years.

    I don’t have that info at my fingertips, but I’m sure someone would be happy to dig it up.

  • http://www.mjsbigblog.com/ mjsbigblog

    Seems that if someone older keyboards anything negative about what is currently projected as wonderful ’cause it sells well they are condemning everything about current sound

    It’s more about the stereotyping of young people. As if they aren’t up to the snuff of us baby boomers, who knew the difference between good and bad music, doncha know.

    Our parents said the same thing, and so will future generations, undoubtedly, when looking down at those who come after them.

  • Sicola789

    I think its different to compare to new country artists since she had the advantage of being on a tv show, just like the other winners of these shows.

  • september21

    Awesomness! I love Kelly’s cd so much – it should sell better than Breakaway x 2 (in my dreams, I know). I just love it.

  • Garrett Clayman

    she’s doing really really well on iTunes especially considering how little promo she’s gotten, and compared to Candice’s less impressive performance

  • Garrett Clayman

    She sold considerably less than Lauren and Cassadee, her two biggest contemporaries, Lauren sold 66K

  • Amy Beth

    You named 2 reality show contestants. I was trying to make a comparison to non-reality new artists like Kacey Musgraves, Jana Kramer, Sarah Darling, Ashley Monroe, etc.

  • elliegrll

    Did Lee flop?

    I think that the answer to that is deeper than first week sale numbers. Danielle has the support of her label, Lee didn’t. Danielle’s airplay isn’t great, but it is good in comparison to Lee’s. By all outward appearances Danielle is in a better position to become established in her genre, she was given songs that fit her and her style, while Lee was given a poor knockoff of “Live Like We’re Dying” that didn’t suit his voice or style. Based on those things I would say that Lee flopped, while the jury is still out on Danielle.

  • Lori

    Where are our number historians? How have other idols done when their second week (historically biggest drop) was Black Friday? Percentage decreases only need reply ;) because you absolutely cannot compare pure sales numbers from early or even mid-term idols anymore. Heck, you can hardly compare to 3 years ago!

  • Lori

    Not that it matters, but he sold the week before Black Friday.

  • girlygirl

    The problem with that is that Danielle had a huge platform in The Voice and has gotten more national promo than those other artists when they were launched. Fair or not, that’s why reality show contestants are compared to other reality show contestants rather than to artists who do not have that type of national exposure. Who is to say Kacey Musgraves, Ashley Monroe, etc, wouldn’t have sold way more if they had come off of Idol or The Voice. Since we don’t know how they would have done if given that platform, it’s way easier to compare one reality show artist to another, since they are coming off (more or less) the same big platform.

  • mchcat

    I saw that – they were closer a few days ago

  • Baptized

    I believe the cheapest for Baptized was $7.

    Walmart would have had a huge impact on sales; look at Garth Brooks for instance. Dude sold a whole lot and was a Walmart exclusive.

  • Lexie O’Neill

    I know–the season is upon us.:)) Watching Christmas with Scotty McCreery and Friends–wonder/hope that it helps sales of both albums.

  • Kirsten

    You named 2 reality show contestants. I was trying to make a comparison
    to non-reality new artists like Kacey Musgraves, Jana Kramer, Sarah
    Darling, Ashley Monroe, etc.

    Danielle is a reality show contestant. Lauren and Cassadee are the closest comparisons.

    If you want to throw out the second place finisher from Idol because Idol actually gets people invested in their contestants, surely there can be no reason to throw out Cassadee who was on the exact same show and finished in the exact same position.

    Danielle is doing reasonable compared to non-reality new female Country artists, but she’s not a non-reality artist.

    Plus, she released Black Friday week and released on a Monday.

  • Kirsten

    Nice! Take that, duck guys! lol

    Woot!

    I guess the people who actually might play a Christmas album more than once finally showed up in the stores.

    She really outsold her predictions. May it continue.

  • dd999

    I’m so happy to see “Christmas With Scotty” is out there again. Its a great album. From the reverent carols, to maybe one of the best renditions of “Jingle Bells” I’ve heard. and even Elvis’s “Santa Claus Is Back In Town”. I get a little nostalgic when Scotty sings “Christmas In Heaven” but its a truly beautful song.

  • maymay

    Lee released his first album on November 16. It is not Thanksgiving week. Without airplay, he sells around 180k so far.

    On the other hand, Danielle released her first album on Thanksgiving week. Her single is #22 with 16m audience on country radio. And she is a popular winner but Lee isn`t.

  • Jason Gorny

    Go Kelly! =) It also seems like One Direction’s final number is lower than the prediction.

  • Tinawina

    I love Candice and I like Angie, so I hate to say this, but Angie is not snatching any wigs because she “beat” Candice. Promo or no, she’s not selling much of anything right now. Both of them will have t do better than this if they want to keep a career in the music business.

  • Garrett Clayman

    Oh I am not saying that at all, I’m just very very impressed with Angie’s performance in spite of her lack of label, but Candice is truly and gem her performance at the Soul Train Awards was unbelievable. I wasn’t saying Angie was snatching a wig off of Candice at all, they are both very talented

  • Tinawina

    No worries. I want them both to stay around too. I need ITunes miracles right now. LOL. S12 has me bummed, those ladies were so good and it’s like nobody with label cash is even trying to help any of them succeed.

  • windmills

    Wait, what? When did 39k (if Soundscan confirms HDD’s estimate for Danielle) become “considerably less” than Cassadee’s 43k? Danielle was probably a Today Show/late night show performance away from matching Cassadee’s 1st week, and a Voice/Macy’s Thanksgiving Day parade performance away from outselling Cassadee’s 1st week, despite having a smaller fanbase.

  • windmills

    Danielle’s sales are perfectly respectable for somebody whose team couldn’t be bothered to book a major network national TV performance for her album’s release week. But I can assure you the industry was never going to see Danielle’s 39k (pending Soundscan confirmation) 1st week and Cassadee’s 43k 1st week in the same light as Kacey Musgraves’s 44k 1st week. The industry didn’t take Scotty’s 197k 1st week and subsequent platinum-plus sales for his debut album in the same light as, say, The Band Perry’s platinum-plus debut album sales either.

    Despite the efforts of Republic Nashville to leverage all the discussion of the lack of women on country radio to Cassadee’s advantage, the consensus on the solution doesn’t center around Cassadee (or Danielle). Sure, Cassadee’s gotten herself a hit song but not with something that’s seen as fresh or significant – it’s just another pop/rock song by a pop/rock act. In Danielle’s case, people are happy she’s genuinely country but see the need for seasoning. If you polled the industry on the fresh female talent that is and could be significant for country down the road, the fact that Kacey’s been able to gain a foothold in the country would far, far overshadow the Voice alums, and it really doesn’t matter that their 1st week sales may be close.

  • maymay

    According to HDD, it is interesting that Scotty sells 25k but Cassadee doesn`t make the top 50. Scotty`s airplay has 17m audience and Cassadee has 35m. Again, Scotty proves he is the album seller.

    If Scotty wants to become a country superstar, he really needs to have a big single. See You Tonight is a good single but it is not catchy enough to attract a lot of airplay and buyers.

    Among new artists lately, only Hunter and Florida and George Line have big singles. And their big singles are pop/country style. Unfortunately, Scotty is a traditional country singer. It is hard for him to have a big single for now.

  • rubbish

    Blake shelton’s album sold more than Danielle Bradbery’s, which confirms the theory that The Voice is more about the coaches than the contestants. The Voice has been an invaluable promotion tool for Blake Shelton (wish I could say the same for the contestants).

  • thedeviledadvocate

    I love Kacey Musgraves. She is very talented, and I hope she has great success in the Country Music industry. Her first 3 self published albums, in 2002 (age 14), 2003 (age 15) and 2007 (19) were unsuccessful. Her first successful album, Same Trailer Different Park was released a week before Danielle sang Mean in her blind audition. Kacey was a contestant on Nashville Star in 2007, where she placed 7th at age (19). Kacey has been working at her craft for many years, and has become quite successful in the last two years. Kacey self published her first album when Danielle was 6 years old. Kacey was placing 7th on Nashville Star when Danielle was singing under the table.

    The fact that less than 6 months after winning The Voice, Danielle has a song that is currently #22 on the radio and still climbing, and debuted her album with almost 40k in sales, shows that the Country Music industry may be somewhat interested in this kid. Kacey’s Merry Go Round reached #10 on country airplay, while Blowin Smoke peaked at #23 on country airplay. I’m not sure when Cassadee or Danielle will peak with their current singles, but it seems there is some interest from the country fans, since Cassadee, Kacey and Danielle all had very similar 1st week sales.

    I believe Kacey has gained a foothold in the country music industry, and personally I find her songwriting amazing. But, along with Miranda (who has not only a foothold in country music, but pretty much a stranglehold on country music), Kacey is a reality show contestant. Carrie, Miranda and Kacey are years removed from their reality show days, but each of them are and will be a mainstay in country music until they decide to retire. I’m not as certain about Cassadee becoming a mainstay in country music, but if she decides to stay country, she has a golden start. I am not saying Danielle is the next Carrie or Taylor, but I do believe she is well on her way to becoming a country music star. Danielle’s biggest weakness is the same one her idol, Carrie had when Carrie was on American Idol, and that is her stage presence. Carrie, like Danielle was accused of being robotic on stage. I think Danielle, like Carrie will overcome this weakness. It wouldn’t surprise me in the least, that 5 to 7 years from now, when Carrie tires of waiting all day for Sunday night football, that Danielle ends up singing the SNF theme song.

  • Sicola789

    I don’t really get the Carrie comparisons with Danielle and disagree that she is a “mini Carrie.” Carrie blows her away(no pun intended) and has a completely different tone than Danielle. Danielle has a great voice, but is no Carrie. Carrie also had a lot more buzz coming off of idol compared to what Danielle had coming off of the Voice. Carrie set records with her album.

  • Sicola789

    A lot can happen in 5-7 years and there will probably be some other country girl who will come along and could take the spot. Way too soon to say who will take that spot.

  • Anny_nanny

    while Lee was given a poor knockoff of “Live Like We’re Dying” that didn’t suit his voice or style

    I always thought it was a single by Kris Allen, and it was the only hit that he had.

  • Anny_nanny

    If we begin to compare to the winners of the show from someone who came from the street, I don’t understand, what is the point of the show for the participants, besides the opportunity to earn a little money?

  • Madilo

    Serendipity (i love the song)

  • Madilo

    I really don’t understand why you guys want Kelly to outsold the Duck guys, what’s the problem people know that Kelly is the singer and the guys are just here for fun or something like that. So i don’t understand the “obsession” you have.

  • Lexie O’Neill

    Any opinions on Cassadee being in the CRS New Faces show?

  • windmills

    I’m aware of Kacey’s history but none of what you said addresses the central point of the conversation you entered. Of course Danielle is going to grow as an artist. Unfortunately, since she is a major label act who recorded and released an album with major label resources and all the benefits that brings, her 1st product isn’t going to get assessed on the same growth trajectory path as a teenage Kacey Musgraves self-release. Kacey used those self releases and all those years writing songs to figure out who she is as an individual artist. Danielle hasn’t done that.

    Yes, it’s very understandable why that’s so. Nobody has forgotten how young Danielle is, least of all me. But I was addressing somebody’s attempt to compare the 1st week sales of people who had prior fanbases (like Cassadee for her Hey Monday days) and/or developed insta-fanbases from performing covers of other people’s songs on TV in the past year (Cassadee & Danielle) to the 1st week sales of people who built their fanbases from the exposure of their original music. Fair or not, the industry does not see those sales the same way. Kacey’s 1st week sales were built in what is seen as a more sustainable way.

    As a separate point, the music Kacey’s making, which is going to be featured on most year-end critics lists as one of the best or the best country album of 2013, is seen as a lot more important to country than what Cassadee and, for the timebeing, Danielle is doing. Neither Cassadee nor Danielle have well-acclaimed albums, though that doesn’t mean they won’t have hits.

    thedeviledadvocate: Danielle’s biggest weakness is the same one her idol, Carrie had when Carrie was on American Idol, and that is her stage presence. Carrie, like Danielle was accused of being robotic on stage.

    While Carrie was justifiably criticized for being robotic on stage on AI, Danielle’s biggest weakness is different – it’s her current lack of storytelling ability, which that bears more immediately on her as a recording act. Sure, it’s something she’ll improve. But it’s a liability at this time and something that is/will hold her back despite her obvious talent.

  • Kirsten

    I really don’t understand why you guys want Kelly to outsold the Duck
    guys, what’s the problem people know that Kelly is the singer and the
    guys are just here for fun or something like that. So i don’t understand the “obsession” you have.

    A) Kelly Clarkson having the best selling album of the Christmas season would be a feather in her cap. It would help cement her as musical powerhouse. The Ducks having the best selling album would be another “hee-ha!” moment for them quickly forgotten.

    B) Kelly Clarkson is a real musical artist and people buying her album show that they are still interested in music from people who can sing. The Duck dudes are just capitalizing on their fame and selling whatever sticks (t-shirts, albums, chia pets). People buying their albums indicates to the industry just to sign people with gimmicks. Singing doesn’t matter. The music industry already gets enough of that message.

    C) People buying Kelly’s CDs are likely to continue playing her album for years. People buying the Duck Dudes will likely toss it into the landfill in quick order.

    D) I fully admit that I’m obsessed about numbers.

    E) Its fun to think up adjectives to define Ducks and punny song titles.

  • windmills

    I addressed that in a different comment yesterday or maybe the day before, in Headlines where you’d already commented and mentioned your disappointment Scotty hadn’t had this opportunity. I’m not surprised – she got lucky it was a weak year (Scotty’s only time on the ballot was last year, when he’d been off radio for months), Big Machine Label Group campaigned hard for her with weeks of trade ads, and she was the only solo female. If Kacey had been entered, Cassadee would’ve had no chance.

    I think Cassadee’s made an impression for her sheer will and determination to succeed. Scott Borchetta loves and works well with that kind of person. He of all label heads really doesn’t care about country music either and he’s fully taken advantage of the influx of pop programmers into country radio. So though for obvious reasons Cassadee isn’t really going to be taken seriously as a country artist, she’s got a chance of being taken seriously as a commercial star. These days, that’s enough to give you a shot at “country” radio.

    The CRS New Faces thing will definitely be promoted as a sign she has some support at “country” radio but honestly, when I looked at who was up this year, I knew she’d get in this year. Besides that CRS New Faces has a very mixed track record as far as people making it after the show. All the newbies not on New Faces are going to perform during CRS at label showcases that week, anyway. So, they’ll have their chances to impress.

  • Darko_5

    ” It wouldn’t surprise me in the least, that 5 to 7 years from now, when Carrie tires of waiting all day for Sunday night football, that Danielle ends up singing the SNF theme song.”
    Would that be before or after Danielle has revived the role of Marie live?

  • L. R. M. L.

    You’re quite right about the Industry who, because they come off a reality show, have/are not giving quite as much credits (where due) to Danielle and Scotty.

    But then again, this is the same industry who are 1000% behind FGL and Duck’s dynasty AND who doesn’t give a hoot what the public likes or wants to hear.

    Sorry but not exactly tipping my hat to them SMH

  • Darko_5

    What they have earned is a leg up over other performers in their genre trying to make it who are equally as talented. They worked hard for that leg up and fickle fanbase but they must work for the long term success . There will always be FGL and Ducks but they are not the majority.

  • maymay

    Kelly is a professional singer and Duck guys are amateur singers. It is normal that people want Kelly to outsell Duck guys. It has nothing to do with so called obsession.

    Duck guys are for fun to release the album? No, it is more for money and ratings. Just like they ask A+E TV to pay them more money after their show becomes a big hit. That is why they release the album. If they are not famous, the label won`t release their album just only for fun.

  • Lexie O’Neill

    Thanks! I’m sorry that I didn’t see the other…must have missed it.:)

  • fuzzywuzzy

    I don’t see anyone being “obsessed”. lol I can see the difference, but it’s still irritating to see a joke act outsell a legit artist. It’s like seeing black velvet paintings outsell actual artists. And those duck guys aren’t “just here for fun”, it’s making as much dough as possible in as many ways possible, even if the bulk of your audience is laughing AT you, rather than WITH you (something that I don’t favor).

  • L. R. M. L.

    The only thing is that 21/2 years of working for the long term success, some PD are still bias to the core against Scotty because he beat their favourite on Idol.

    Doesn’t matter that he is touring as much if not more than some other artists and is working his craft as much as he can, they are still totally against him.

    Where does that stop?

  • CanadianLady

    He has songs on both CDS that are good enough. Let’s hope the next single is one radio likes.

  • Darko_5

    What favorite (Lauren) because they haven’t exactly been welcoming to her in case you haven’t noticed.Everyone works hard everyone tours everyone has lives that take up hours out of the day weather it be going to school or something else. He does work hard but no harder then anyone else and despite the fact that some of his fans like to think that places him above others it doesn’t.Ask LBT when it stops because they worked hard for ten years before getting there feet in the door and are still trying to pry it open.

  • L. R. M. L.

    My point is not whether they are welcoming to her or not (which BTW I don’t care if they are), the fact is that they are against Scotty SIMPLY for the fact that he came in first. Professional people much?

    I didn’t mean that other people don’t work hard. I know most people do. I’m saying that HE does but yet they still hold the American Idol thing over his head.

    Again, where does it stop?

  • Darko_5

    Sorry not getting your holding coming in first over Lauren over his head makes no sense to me given how little airplay she has received.
    I am saying he is not alone in working hard having some talent and not becoming the super star smash you think he should be. They are not just not playing Scotty’s music is my point.

  • L. R. M. L.

    Sorry . Obviously not getting my point across. So let’s just let it go.