HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Oct 17-23

With 55.94% of some nebulous entity reporting in, 4 Idols are in the top 10. First up is Scotty who’s “Clear as Day” is currently sitting at third. Both HDD and BB predict he will comfortably stay there. Drops from second->third week are usually in the 40% range and if last week showed us anything, HDD’s “Now In” percentages mean very little for any individual artist. Scotty should continue to have the number 1 Country Album this week.

Next up is Lauren Alaina who has only dropped one spot to 6th. Her “Wildflower” is on its second week and we normally see 1st to 2nd week drops in the 60-70% range. Last week, she managed to exceed her “weakend” predictions, so the trend may repeat itself this week.

Finally, a couple of duets fill out the Idol top 10 dance card. Kelly’s duet with Jason Aldean is still charting on the mainstream formats and that helps to fuel sales of “My Kinda Party” which is currently at 9th. Right behind that album is Tony Bennett’s “Duet’s II” which features a duet with Carrie Underwood.

The top debut this week will be Casting Crowns “Come to the Well”. The album also tops the chart right now after a big update late yesterday. The album is predicted to battle it out with Adele’s “21” for top album of the week. Her album sits in second for now. Joe Kedar’s “The Good, the Bad, The Sexy” is debuting and is currently in 4th. Lady Antebellum rounds out the top 5, Lil Wayne is 7th and Evanesence was number 1 last week sits at 8th this week.

The Voice Judges are also doing some charting. Blake Shelton’s latest album, “Red River Blue”, and his “Footloose” cover are currently at 25th and 26th respectively. Adam’s Maroon 5’s “Moves Like Jagger” is topping the pop chart (and recently topped the HAC chart) which is helping to move those units. “Hands All Over” is in 31st position.

We should be getting 1 Day predictions for Kelly’s album today, so hold onto your hats!

CHART DATE: 10/24/2011
LAST UPDATE: 10/24/2011 15:42:31
NOW IN: 55.94%

LW TW artist / album label power index
— 1 CASTING CROWNS COME TO THE WELL 58, 248
2 2 ADELE 21 54, 255
4 3 SCOTTY MCCREERY CLEAR AS DAY 42, 531
— 4 JOE KEDAR THE GOOD THE BAD THE SEXY 21, 908
8 5 LADY ANTEBELLUM OWN THE NIGHT 21, 556
5 6 LAUREN ALAINA WILDFLOWER 16, 971
9 7 LIL WAYNE THA CARTER IV 16, 854
1 8 EVANESCENCE EVANESCENCE 16, 801
15 9 JASON ALDEAN MY KINDA PARTY 12, 329
6 10 TONY BENNETT DUETS II 12, 159

42 25 BLAKE SHELTON RED RIVER BLUE 6, 543
16 26 FOOTLOOSE SOUNDTRACK 6, 241

37 31 MAROON 5 HANDS ALL OVER 5, 112

17 47 HUNTER HAYES HUNTER HAYES 2, 350

19 50 WILCO WHOLE LOVE 1, 318

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Kirsten has had a long love affair with numbers. Marry that with her love of cheese and the Numbers Threads at MJs were born.