HDD – Album Sales Prediction : May 7-13

With 54.02% of the market reporting in, Carrie Underwood seems destined to top the BB200 chart for a second week in a row. When was the last time an Idol did that? Have they ever done that? In any event, not many acts get to do that. Adele, of course, has, but we’ve established that she’s a very special case indeed. If anybody threatens Carrie’s domination of the chart this week, it is Adele who is lurking at number 2 and predicted to finish there.

NOW 42 features songs from Kelly Clarkson and 1D. It is currently third. Lionel Richie, who was recently a mentor on The Voice, is showing a lot of legs at 4th. B.O.B. is 5th with Luke Bryan is 6th. The two “Up All Night” albums are again right next to each other on the chart with 1D’s version at 7th and Kip Moore’s at 8th. Mary Mary is the top debut at 9th and the Avenger’s Soundtrack rounds out the top 10.

Kelly Clarkson’s “Stronger” is at 35 and she appears on Jason Aldean’s album “My Kinda Party” at 12th. Jennifer Hudson sings the title track of the “Think Like a Man” Soundtrack at 30th. Katharine McPhee is featured on the “Smash” Soundtrack residing at 48th. Voice judge Blake Shelton’s album is at 18.

CHART DATE: 05/14/2012
LAST UPDATE: 05/14/2012 11:02:46
NOW IN: 54.02%

LW TW artist / album label power index
4 2 ADELE 21 67,652
5 5 B.O.B. STRANGE CLOUDS 19,360
— 9 MARY MARY GO GET IT 10,190






36 50 FUTURE PLUTO 1,869

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  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    I am so hoping that Adam has a #1 album next week! Come on peeeps plunk down the money for Trespassing this week!

  • Anonymous

    For those who are wondering how well our dear Idols current singles are doing compared to older ones, here a link to some HAC spins and AI visual charts:


  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    That is great so Never Close Our Eyes is doing even better at this point that What Do You Want from Me AWESOME news.

  • Anonymous

    As you can see from the chart, NCOE climbed fast for the first two weeks, and reaching 150 spins. This was good. In the last two weeks, it gained 49 spins. This is not so good.
    We’ll have to see what happens after the adds date.

  • windmills

    With 54.02% of the market reporting in, Carrie Underwood seems destined to top the BB200 chart for a second week in a row. When was the last time an Idol did that? Have they ever done that? 

    I’m not sure if it was for consecutive weeks but didn’t Daughtry’s debut album top the BB200 for more than 1 week in January 2007? 

    I’m hoping Carrie’s Blown Away can hold off Adele’s 21 this week for a 2nd week at #1. It’s not crucial or anything but it’d be a nice feather in the cap. I do think yesterday’s HDD update was very front loaded for Blown Away.

    Reporting in from Billboard Country Update and Country Aircheck:

    Carrie’s Good Girl had a good week at Billboard gaining 1.315 million AIs and moving up 2 spots to #5. Eric Church’s Springsteen outgained GG by a little over 300k and now trails by about 850k, and he got a BCU ad this week. Luke Bryan has also picked up the pace and trails by just under 3 million AIs after outgaining GG a little over 1.25 million AIs. GG would still have to pick up the pace to hit #1 but it will have a window after Jason Aldean, Kip Moore, and Zac Brown Band are done with their current singles. I don’t think GG will peak at lower than #3 country. 

    Kelly’s MKIA had a mediocre week gaining 213k and moving up 1 spot to #29. MKIA got repassed by Alan Jackson’s So You Don’t Have To Love Me Anymore. Easton Corbin had a good week gaining 881k AIs and trails by a little over 900k but probably won’t pass this week. Hunter Hayes also closed the gap by 200k but still trails by 1.1 million AIs. Blake Shelton’s new single is also probably going to pass in a couple weeks. There will probably be 1 recurrent ahead of MKIA this week (Rascal Flatts’s Banjo).

    Scotty had a decent week gaining 191k and moving up 3 spots to #46. Little Big Town’s Pontoon outgained WTT by about 50k and trails by a little under 90k and Jon Pardi’s Missin You Crazy outgained WTT by about 90k and trails by about 110k so they’re both threats to pass this week. Kristen Kelly’s ahead by only about 150k but Ex Old Man outgained WTT by 50k this week. There’s also Kenny Chesney’s new single that’s likely to have a big debut and Lady A’s new one Wanted You More is very likely to pass. 

    Kellie’s 100 Proof kept its bullet but lost 24k AIs and dropped 3 spots to #53. Jake Owen and Lady A will both pass this week and so will Kenny Chesney. Lee Brice’s new single may also be an issue.

    Bucky’s I Wanna Be That Feeling is showing up under New &  Active with 186k AIs (#60 this week had 460k AIs) and 6 new adds (9 stations total). I don’t think it’ll chart at Billboard next week but it may become a contender to chart in a couple weeks.

    Idol-related ads: There’s a page 10 1/4 page ad for Bucky’s single in Country Aircheck mentioning the 8 stations it’s new at this week and quoting the Music Row mag review: “Hearty and engaging, this comeback single has plenty of melodic oomph and production excitement. With pile-driving punch a-plenty, it’s exceedingly radio-friendly. A real contender.” 

    There’s also an Aircheck ad for Gwen Sebastian’s new single from Flying Island Records (indie) with a testimonial from Blake Shelton. Speaking of Blake, there’s a full page ad in Aircheck for his new single Over that also congratulates “Team Blake” for winning The Voice.

    There’s also a Bucky “Off The Record” interview on p10 of Aircheck. Bucky answers questions like whether there was ever a radio station gig that freaked him out, what happened the first time he heard himself on the radio, and what cover song he never wants to play again. His answers are hilarious. Sample question/answer:

    Have you ever wanted to buy anything from SkyMall?
    Are you kidding me? I can’t even look at one without ending up with useless junk all over my house. All the trees in my yard would have faces on them.

    Recommended read: Aircheck’s lead article talks about how a bunch of country stations have started giving their highest rotation songs 60-70 spins per week (with some even trying a CHR-level 100 spins), up from the mid-40s which used to be the top level, why certain PDs are doing it, and how they determine which songs go and stay at that level of rotation. The article says that’s not just because of the influx of pop PDs into the country market, it’s also about ratings. The interviewed programmers don’t seem worried about “separation” (meaning, spacing out plays by songs by the same artist) and they say they favor “passion” (the number of people who’d pick out a particular song as a favorite) over “burn” (the number of people who are tired of a song). Check the new Aircheck out here.

  • HotHotHot

    Trespassing on iTunes

    #2 Overall
    #1 Pop

    #41 Overall
    #10 Pop

  • Anonymous

    Trespassing Deluxe #2 right now overall itunes!!!!

  • Anonymous

    ” Recommended read: Aircheck’s lead article talks about how a bunch of
    country stations have started giving their highest rotation songs 60-70
    spins per week (with some even trying a CHR-level 100 spins), up from
    the mid-40s.”

    Ew. Way to not give anything but a tiny handful of artists a chance. Of all the things to copy from CHR, they pick this one. And I thought I couldn’t hate radio any more than I already did….

  • http://twitter.com/LindsayKempFan Not fit to print

    I would love it, too but unless we wrestle all the Adele fans to the ground as they’re walking into the store I don’t think it’s going to happen. Not to mention the Carrie fans. We’ll have to see how they finish up this week but I am more interested in the numbers than the ranking.

    Adele is a phenomenon. 

  • http://twitter.com/leilamaurizia2 leilamaurizia

    Thanks for your regular Billboard/Country Aircheck reports, windmills! I always read the updates themselves but your summary/commentary is always so well-done that I look forward to your update too. Many, many thanks for all your insightful, knowledgeable, calm posts!

  • Anonymous

    Do pre-sales count as first day sales?

  • Anonymous

    It is said that they don’t count in the iTunes chart, although of course they count in the first week sales.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam


    2.   Call Me Maybe – Carly Rae Jepsen
    6.  What Makes You Beautiful – One Direction (Deluxe)
    7.  Dance Again (feat. Pitbull) – Jennifer Lopez
    20.  Payphone (feat. Wiz Khalifa) – Maroon 5
    23.  Good Girl – Carrie Underwood
    25.  Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You) – Kelly Clarkson (Deluxe)
    26.  Rumour Has It – Adele
    33.  Fly Over States – Jason Aldean
    40.  Set Fire to the Rain – Adele
    44.  Don’t Forget Me (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee] – SMASH Cast
    48.  Blown Away – Carrie Underwood
    52.  Rolling in the Deep – Adele
    56.  One Thing – One Direction (Deluxe)
    65.  Moves Like Jagger (Studio Recording from “The Voice” Performance) [feat. Christina Aguilera] – Maroon 5
    67.  Someone Like You – Adele
    71.  Young Homie – Chris Rene
    73.  God Gave Me You – Blake Shelton
    78.  It’s All Coming Back to Me Now (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    80.  Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You) – Kelly Clarkson
    91.  Flashdance (What a Feeling) [Glee Cast Version] – Glee Cast
    94.  Drink On It – Blake Shelton
    96.  Starships (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    99.  Because You Loved Me (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    105.  Mean (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    106.  Tongue Tied (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    108.  Shake It Out (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    110.  Paradise By the Dashboard Light (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    114.  What Makes You Beautiful (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    118.  I Believe I Can Fly (The Voice Performance) – Jermaine Paul
    126.  What Makes You Beautiful – One Direction
    127.  Edge of Glory (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    142.  99 Problems (The Voice Performance) – Tony Lucca
    147.  I Won’t Give Up (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    148.  Pinball Wizard (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    150.  We Are the Champions (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    153.  Yesterday (The Voice Performance) – Adam Levine & Tony Lucca
    155.  Honey Bee – Blake Shelton
    156.  She Will Be Loved – Maroon 5
    162.  Somebody That I Used to Know (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    178.  The Prayer (The Voice Performance) – Christina Aguilera & Chris Mann
    179.  The Last Song I’ll Write for You – David Cook
    187.  Soul Man (The Voice Performance) – Blake Shelton & Jermaine Paul
    188.  Mr. Know It All – Kelly Clarkson (Deluxe)
    193.  Stereo Hearts (feat. Adam Levine) – Gym Class Heroes
    198.  Cowboy Casanova – Carrie Underwood
    202.  It’s a Man’s, Man’s, Man’s World (The Voice Performance) – Juliet Simms
    203.  Big Girls Don’t Cry (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    204.  Up All Night – One Direction (Deluxe)
    214.  Good Morning (feat. TobyMac) – Mandisa & tobyMac
    227.  Love You Like a Love Song (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    230.  Moments – One Direction (Deluxe)
    236.  Beautiful – Christina Aguilera
    238.  Touch Me (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee] – SMASH Cast
    240.  On The Floor (feat. Pitbull) – Jennifer Lopez
    253.  Take My Breath Away (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    257.  Remind Me (Duet with Carrie Underwood) – Brad Paisley
    266.  Don’t You Wanna Stay (with Kelly Clarkson) – Jason Aldean
    268.  Let Me Be Your Star (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee & Megan Hilty] – SMASH Cast
    270.  Think Like a Man (feat. Rick Ross) – Jennifer Hudson & Ne-Yo
    294.  Good Riddance (Time of Your Life) [Glee Cast Version] – Glee Cast
    299.  More Than This – One Direction (Deluxe)
    300.  Over – Blake Shelton
    305.  Like My Mother Does – Lauren Alaina
    312.  Stand Up – One Direction (Deluxe)
    317.  This Love – Maroon 5
    331.  Second Hand White Baby Grand (feat. Megan Hilty) [From the TV Series “SMASH”] – SMASH Cast
    342.  Stand (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee & Leslie Odom] – SMASH Cast
    345.  Before He Cheats – Carrie Underwood
    350.  Runnin’ – Adam Lambert
    369.  Roxanne (The Voice Performance) – Juliet Simms
    380.  Shake It Out (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee] – SMASH Cast
    385.  Harder to Breathe – Maroon 5
    393.  Edge of Glory (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast

    Albums (includes pre-orders)
    1.  Trespassing (Deluxe Version) – Adam Lambert
    3.  Glee: The Music – The Graduation Album – Glee Cast
    8.  Blown Away – Carrie Underwood
    9.  The Music of SMASH (Soundtrack) – SMASH Cast
    10.  21 – Adele
    11.  American Idol – Top 4 – Season 11 – Various Artists
    18.  Up All Night (Deluxe Version) – One Direction
    27.  Up All Night – One Direction
    37.  Trespassing – Adam Lambert
    74.  19 – Adele
    77.  Think Like a Man (Music from & Inspired By the Film) – Various Artists
    84.  Songs About Jane – Maroon 5
    87.  Overexposed (Deluxe Edition) – Maroon 5
    95.  It Won’t Be Soon Before Long – Maroon 5
    106.  Stronger (Deluxe Version) – Kelly Clarkson
    115.  Red River Blue (Deluxe Version) – Blake Shelton
    129.  Stronger – Kelly Clarkson
    176.  Hands All Over (Deluxe Version) – Maroon 5
    198.  Hands All Over – Maroon 5
    206.  American Idol – Songs of the Top 5 – Season 11 – Various Artists
    242.  Clear As Day – Scotty McCreery
    277.  Big Ones – Aerosmith
    337.  What If We Were Real – Mandisa

  • YankeeFan08

    Trespassing just went to #1 overall on iTunes (also #1 Pop)! 

  • Anonymous


    Trespassing #1 on itunes overall!@@@@

  • Anonymous

    Congrats to Adam for his album being #1 overall on iTunes. I know iTunes is just a small amount of the total sales, but it is a good sign, anyway.

  • Anonymous

     Woohooo!!! I knew TP could do it. I don’t know how long it will last but soooo good to see. The album is fantastic and pure pleasure. Hope the visibility on Itunes gets more people to check it out.

  • Anonymous

    There are multiple signs that  Trespassing has got a lot of people excited.  Such an awesome album it is bound to do well!  
    What about Runnin’ being the single that made it into top 400?  People are awed by that super human range.

  • http://twitter.com/wanermania k w

    It is also #1 on Barnes and Knobles. Let’s make him #1 on billboard next week. We can do it!!

  • http://twitter.com/wanermania k w

    I feel a storm a brewin.

  • Mateja Praznik

    Music Week releveales some album sales numbers for X Factor UK season 7 TOP 3 finishers.

    Rebecca Ferguson appeared on both Britain’s Got
    Talent and Alan Carr’s shows to sing Teach Me How To Be Loved (BGT) and
    Glitter & Gold (AC)  last week. It makes a 182-116 climb with 2,209
    sales in the week, while parent album Heaven leaps 13-6 (9,901 sales).
    Also helped by the fact iTunes are advertising it on TV and selling it
    for £5.99, Heaven has climbed for six weeks in a row since reaching its
    lowest chart ebb (60-54-43-41-30-13-6), and has now sold more than half a
    million copies, with Saturday’s sales lifting its 23 week tally to
    501,338. Ferguson, of course, came to fame in the seventh (2010) season
    of The X Factor, and Heaven is making up ground on One Direction’s Up
    All Night – the biggest selling set to emerge from an act on the
    programme that year. Up All Night ebbs 20-29 with 5,459 sales in the
    week, raising its overall tally to 608,382. Ferguson finished second,
    One Direction third… and the winner of The X Factor 2010 was Matt
    Cardle, whose debut album Letters has so far sold 268,865 copies – only
    302 of them last week.

    Album sales are really low right now in the UK. Anyway, it’s good to see Rebecca’s album hanging on. Hearing that iTunes is advertising her album on TV is amazing. Her single “Nothing’s Real But Love” was featured in Nescafe TV commercial in February and that was also amazing for her sales. Hopefully her album eventually reached 600K and goes 2x platinum. One Direction are already there. It’s too bad they didn’t perform on BGT too. I guess they don’t have the time, they are recording their next album in Sweden for fall release, probably. They also have tour DVD coming out soon.

  • Anonymous

    Adam’s Runnin being #350 sure is a great happenstance. The song has no promo at all, it hasn’t been played or performed even once, and still, there it is. (It was separately mentioned as the best song on the album in one review.)

    I’s thinking that either people purchasing the regular album are now checking out the bonus tracks (Runnin is definitely the best of them), or the “Wow, listen to this, it’s almost a three octave range in one song!” -reaction has spread from fans to wider audience. 

  • mmb

    Wow wasn’t expecting Trespassing to hit itunes No. 1 today!  Thats great and must be really exciting for Adam to see.  Hoping for a nice Idol bump on Thursday

  • Anonymous

    Not surprised to see Runnin’ on the iTunes chart. It is very common to see several non-singles show up on iTunes when an album is first released. And since Runnin’ seemed to be one of the songs named by a ton of people on blogs and on twitter as a favorite when the album was streaming, it makes sense to me that that is the one that is highest on the chart. I think it’s one of the best songs on the album, so am happy to see other people liking it.

  • http://twitter.com/whiskey401 Whiskey

    itune overall

    #1 United States
    #1 Finland
    #1 Hungary
    #2 Canada
    #2 Finland (standard)
    #9 Sweden
    #19 Denmark
    #32 Mexico
    #37 United States (standard)
    #38 Brazil
    #42 Canada (standard)
    #45 Spain
    #77 Italy
    #83 Norway
    #90 France
    #98 Switzerland
    #102 Denmark (standard)
    #113 Belgium
    #177 Netherlands
    #290 Australia

  • Anonymous

    I bought my copy-OK, two copies-of Trespassing from Adam’s website. My fanpack/with the vinyl arrived yesterday. I’m buying those bonus songs on ITunes. I’m sure I’m not the only fan doing this. If we could still see the top 1000 songs on ITunes, I’ll bet we’d see Take Back and Nirvana on there, too.

  • http://twitter.com/whiskey401 Whiskey

    Isn’t Glee on tonight? Glee may knock him out of the #1 position but hopefully his AI performance will get him back to #1 again. 

  • Anonymous

    Isn’t Glee on tonight? Glee may knock him out of the #1 position but hopefully his AI performance will get him back to #1 again.

    Any Glee songs will be on the Itunes singles chart, not the album chart.

  • Anonymous

    Glee has an album release for tonights episode. Graduation album. I think it may go #1 after the episode.

  • Anonymous

    Glee has an album release for tonights episode. Graduation album. I think it may go #1 after the episode.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/PVEFG2TOUIXSROKUSO2O2DOWWE Taylor

    There is a Glee graduation album. It is at #3 right now on iTunes. It will probably jump to #1 tonight after the season finale.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam


    6 6 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 10628 10171 457 72.475

    +62 Spins

    -38 Bullet

    +0.651 AI


    11 8 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
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    +1 Position

    +166 Spins

    +40 Bullet

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    9 11 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 6935 7737 -802 46.89

    -128 Spins

    +32 Bullet

    -0.916 AI


    28 27 CHRIS RENE Young
    Homie 1829 1742 87 8.468

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    45 41 ONE DIRECTION One
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    69 46 CHER LLOYD Want U
    Back 367 92 275 1.431

    +3 Positions

    +49 Spins

    +41 Bullet

    +0.218 AI


    From Pulse (today’s update)

    —- 78 VICCI MARTINEZ Come Along
    f/CeeLo Green 72 0 72 0.054

    82 84 ADAM LAMBERT Never Close Our Eyes
    59 60 -1 1.176

    94 107 DAUGHTRY Crawling Back To You 40
    44 -4 0.100

    103 126 DAUGHTRY Outta My Head 31 39 -8

    —- 137 CHER LLOYD With Ur Love f/ Mike
    Posner 25 0 25 0.227

    245 155 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Good Girl 20 5
    15 0.255

    170 272 ADAM LAMBERT Better Than I Know
    Myself 5 13 -8 0.019



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    -41 Spins

    -17 Bullet

    -0.411 AI


    15 12 ONE DIRECTION What
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    +49 Spins

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    21 15 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
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    Girl 609 537 72 3.778

    +19 Spins

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    33 30 DAUGHTRY Outta My
    Head 515 498 17 1.235

    -1 Position

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    +8 Bullet

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    37 34 HALEY REINHART Free 391
    382 9 0.991

    -5 Spins

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    +0.023 AI


    41 37 KRIS ALLEN The
    Vision Of Love 312 290 22 0.878

    +1 Position

    -2 Spins

    -1 Bullet

    +0.009 AI


    47 42 ADAM LAMBERT Never
    Close Our Eyes 199 187 12 1.312

    +1 Position

    +1 Spin

    -6 Bullet

    +0.033 AI



    2 2 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 1774 1695 79 15.036

    +7 Spins

    +6 Bullet

    +0.11 AI


    Know It All 1249 1237 12 9.671

    -6 Spins

    -5 Bullet

    +0.096 AI


    48 40 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 27 16 11 0.283

    +1 Position

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    Girl 27 28 -1 0.263

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    47 42 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
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    0 Spins

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    Girl 5247 5047 200 39.78

    +43 Spins

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    34 33 KELLY CLARKSON Mr.
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    48 46 SCOTTY MCCREERY Water
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    36 34 MARCUS CANTY Won’t
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    47 48 LEAH LABELLE Sexify
    309 278 31 0.787

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    Urban AC

    19 19 RUBEN STUDDARD June
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    21 22 JENNIFER HUDSON Think
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    -30 Spins

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    47 44 ONE DIRECTION What
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    Christian AC

    31 25 MANDISA Good
    Morning f/ Toby… 206 128 78 0.673

    +11 Spins

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    Smooth Jazz

    39 47 REBECCA FERGUSON Nothing’s
    Real But L… 16 17 -1 0.02

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    -1 Bullet

    0 AI



    8 9 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 1079 1143 -64 7.745

    -15 Spins

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    -0.284 AI


    12 13 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
    Me Maybe 818 819 -1 4.741

    +5 Spins

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    +0.002 AI


    27 27 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Curiosity
    570 541 29 3.316

    +1 Position

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    20 28 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
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    32 29 ONE DIRECTION One
    Thing 549 468 81 4.54

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    5 7 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
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    10 9 ONE DIRECTION What
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    18 16 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Curiosity
    479 444 35 2.155

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    47 42 KELLY CLARKSON Dark
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    60 49 ONE DIRECTION One Thing 92
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    50 50 ADAM LAMBERT Never
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    Canada-Main AC

    4 3 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
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    Me Maybe 342 367 -25 3.707

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    24 24 ONE DIRECTION What
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    39 35 REBECCA FERGUSON Nothing’s
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    38 39 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Curiosity
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    Girl 892 886 6 3.908

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    56 44 KELLY CLARKSON Mr.
    Know It All 117 58 59 0.405

    +8 Spins

    +7 Bullet

    +0.021 AI

  • Anonymous

    This is great, I can’t wait for Adam to do some promo in some of those countries. 

  • Anonymous


  • Anonymous

    Something like 40% of first week album sales are digital, aren’t they? 

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    Runnin has now etered the top 100 and should break the top 50 soon~! Message to RCA? lol

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    The singles on the album are in the top 400 as well Trespassing entered the top 100 now! Woo Hoo!

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    Luckily Glee hasn’t been performing as well as it use to. But I guess you can always hope it does well, right?

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    Trespassing is selling out in stores across the US. I had to go to 3 stores today before I found a copy! People are reporting sell outs in other states as well! Woo Hoo! Go Adam!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ACMLXLYSSX73RNYQOUZWSO2I4U Enough already!

    Congrats so far Adam.   This is an awesome album in it’s entirety!   Can’t stop listening!   Way to go!!!

  • Anonymous

    Stefano should be on the below 50 pop update for today.

    150 71 STEFANO I’m On A Roll f/New Boyz 84 17 67 0.036  

    The Sunday update was also posted on pulse, and Stefano’s song has had a big jump over the past two days.

    166 80 STEFANO I’m On A Roll f/New Boyz 64 15 49 0.069 

  • windmills

    usedtobelucy: Ew. Way to not give anything but a tiny handful of artists a chance. Of all the things to copy from CHR, they pick this one. And I thought I couldn’t hate radio any more than I already did….

    I agree, though the article didn’t really answer whether the spins were being taken away from recurrent songs or from current songs by lesser acts. It definitely explains the bigger AI gap between some of the top 2 or top 3 songs and the songs behind them. 

    We got an extended Mediabase Country chart look for this morning’s update too. Here are Kellie and Bucky:

    51 54 KELLIE PICKLER 100 Proof 207 198 9 1.029
    72 65 BUCKY COVINGTON I Wanna Be That Feeling 104 36 68 0.245 

    Too, here’s Kenny Chesney’s single day update:
    —- 56 KENNY CHESNEY Come Over 169 0 169 1.433

    EmyR: Something like 40% of first week album sales are digital, aren’t they?

    I haven’t seen that statistic. At best that would be an average and it would be very different for different acts. 40% of Carrie’s Blown Away 1st week sales were digital which was a huge figure for a country act. It was probably bumped up by the fact that Itunes was streaming her album the whole week leading up to the release with a main page and/or music page ad (then again, the album wasn’t on sale at Itunes so maybe the percentage could’ve been even higher). 

    Here’s the Nielsen Soundscan PR with lots of music sales data. In 2011 it looks like digital album sales were 31% of the total album sales. 

    Lots of great data in that PR by the way including a rundown of total sales volume by genre. Spoiler alert: your best-selling genres in order are: rock (by a mile), alternative, R&B, country, metal, rap, and Christian/gospel. There’s no pop category though. They also cover current sales versus catalog sales, digital album sales by genre, digital track sales by genre, and so on. One really annoying thing is the digital categories have a pop genre but the physical categories don’t and we’re left guessing where it goes. My guess is pop albums are counted under “rock” for physical sales.

  • Anonymous

    Luckily Glee hasn’t been performing as well as it use to. But I guess you can always hope it does well, right?

    Maybe you meant to direct this to someone else, since I never said anything about how well Glee would or wouldn’t do.  I’m not making any wild predictions based on Itunes rankings, or anecdotal stories concerning stores in my area.

  • Anonymous

    Actually, someone on twitter was linking to research about it and that’s where I got the number. I’ll try to find it again and post it here. 

    Carrie had about 105k of her first week sales come from digital, correct? That lines up pretty well with the 40% stat, esp for a genre that is known to do much better in brick and mortar stores.

    ETA: And windmillis already covered that. Resume must not be working properly.

  • Anonymous

    Personally, I’m skeptical of anecdotal accounts of such thing simply b/c we hear about them every time an album is released, but it’s great if true. Hopefully it’ll be proven true when we get estimates. Still keeping my expectations in check due to lack of radio presence until then. 

  • Anonymous

    I wasn’t talking about total sales, but rather first week only. Like I said to elliegrll, the research I saw on it was from someone on twitter, which I’ll try to find again. It doesn’t sound unreasonable, but I also didn’t look extremely close at the figures used to come to that conclusion. I’m fascinated with the intricacies that go into sales breakdowns. 

    Thank you for the link to Nielsen.

  • windmills

    Here’s the HDD item on the 1st week digital album sales by Carrie, Norah, and B.O.B. (all new albums that came out 5/1). EDIT: Oops, that’s digital sales for Carrie and B.O.B. but online sales for Norah – I guess that means physical CDs bought online:

    CARRIE ON DIGITALLY: Country observers have to be marveling about the 40% digital marketshare for Carrie Underwood’s chart-topping Blown Away
    this week, with fully 107k of the total of 267k bought as downloads,
    remarkable for a genre that usually generates more physical sales. By
    contrast, more than 68% of the #2 album, B.o.B’s Strange Clouds, were digital, while 43% of Norah Jones’ purchases were of the online variety. With NARM in session this week in L.A., the worm seems to be turning even more toward digital. (5/9p)

    Like I said though, IMO that was higher because Itunes had the featured free stream of Blown Away available for a week before the album came out.

    Speaking of which, Carrie’s Blown Away was again the best selling album at Itunes last week according to the Associated Press:

    Top Albums:
    1. “Blown Away,” Carrie Underwood
    2. “Neck of the Woods,” Silversun Pickups
    3. “21,” Adele
    4. “Strange Clouds,” B.o.B
    5. “Up All Night,” One Direction
    6. “Hello,” Karmin
    7. “Strangeland,” Keane
    8. “Making Mirrors,” Gotye
    9. “Blunderbuss,” Jack White
    10. “Little Broken Hearts,” Norah Jones

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    CHART DATE: 05/14/2012
    LAST UPDATE: 05/15/2012 12:14:18

    LW TW artist / album label power index % change

    4 2 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 103,303 +34%

    2 5 NORAH JONES BLUE NOTE/EMI 56,219 -47%

    — 9 TANK ATLANTIC 32,752–

    9 18 SMASH CAST COLUMBIA 19,293 -54%

    28 22 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 18,011 +45%

    23 23 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 16,334 +3%

    29 31 THINK LIKE A MAN EPIC 12,087 -2%

    40 33 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 11,831 +10%


    47 37 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 11,632 +23%


    HDD Sales Chart

  • http://twitter.com/facenfield David Facenfield

    I think Cowell sees Rebecca F as a more urban sounding Adele / modern day Sade, and is marketing her in that vain (to an older audience).
    She gets a reasonable amount of what (in the US) would be AC radio airplay here in the UK, but the singles haven’t really been a success, though it obvious supports the albums sales – along with the other promo you mention.

  • Anonymous

    Interesting. The only thing I remember about the report I read was that it was averaging the top 10 albums from January to April (excluding the last week, I believe), but there was definitely no breakdown for genre. There were likely more digital sale oriented genre representatives and perhaps that why the number skews to 40%? It’d be interesting to see a deep analysis of that breakdown as well as between the two top digital retailers iTunes and Amazon. I know iTunes is still on top, but Amazon this last quarter saw a much higher growth, so who knows what the future holds.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    Thank you for Stefano’s stats.  I see now that I missed them somehow. 

  • http://www.facebook.com/amirabdulrahim Amir Hazwan Abdul Rahim


  • http://kristentheyellowlab.blogspot.com/ ZsusK

    Yay Carrie! Despite the fact that I do love Adele, I’m so sick of seeing her at the top of the chart. What gives?  I would think everyone would own the album by now. Are people starting to buy copies for their unborn children?

    And yay Adam for scoring a great Top 40 add – Chicago – WKSC.

  • Anonymous

    Doesn’t Marcus Canty have a song on the Think Like A Man soundtrack?

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    Adds (Monitored)

    One Direction (24)-OT
    (2 Canada-HAC, 22 CHR/Pop)

    Carly Rae Jepsen (18)-CMM
    (2 Rhythmic, 16 HAC)

    Cher Lloyd (15)-WUB
    (2 Canada-CHR/Pop, 1 HAC, 12 CHR/Pop)

    Kelly (11)-MKIA
    (1 AC, 3 Canada-Country, 7 Country)

    One Direction (10)-WMYB
    (1 AC, 1 Canada-Main AC, 8 HAC)

    Kelly (7)-DS
    (1 HAC, 6 Canada-HAC)

    Scotty (7)-WTT (Country)

    Bucky (6)-IWBTF (Country)

    Carrie (6)-GG (HAC)

    Chris Rene (4)-YH
    (3 CHR/Pop, 1 Rhythmic)

    Vicci Martinez f/Cee Lo Green (4)-CA
    (3 HAC, 1 CHR/Pop)

    Adam (3)-NCOE
    (1 CHR/Pop, 2 HAC)

    Carly Rae Jepsen (2)-Curiosity
    (1 Canada-HAC, 1 Canada-CHR/Pop)

    Kris (2)-VOL (HAC)

    Stefano (2)-IOAR (CHR/Pop)

    Daughtry (1)-OMH (HAC)

    Dia (1)-DKTC (HAC)

    Haley (1)-Free (HAC)

    Kellie (1)-100 Proof (Country)

    Kelly (1)-WDKY (AC)

    Leah Labelle (<a href="http://addboard.mediabase.com/AddDetails.asp?sngcde=LEBES5++&format=XX"1)-Sexify (Urban)

    Mandisa f/Toby Mac (1)-GM (Christian AC)

    Marcus Canty (1)-WMAFOOY (Urban)

    Olly Murs (1)-DWMT
    (Canada-Main AC)

    Rebecca Ferguson (1)-NRBL (HAC)

    Ruben (1)-June 28th (I’m Single) (Urban AC)


  • Anonymous

    Adam is currently #7 in Bestsellers-music at Amazon (he was 10 this morning).
    Also, #3-pop, #3-alternative rock, and #6-rock.

  • Anonymous

    My God! Adele’s 21 sales are out of this world.

  • Troy Mccoy

    Yes he does. His current single Wont Make A Fool Out of You, that is currently charting on the Urban charts is on the soundtrack. I did not know that he had a song on a soundtrack before you pointed it out. I looked up the soundtrack on itunes and saw his song on it.

    I am actually surprised that song has a such a slow climb. It is actually a good song. I like it and this is coming from someone who wasn’t a really big fan of his on the XFactor.

  • Anonymous

    Adams Trespassing just went #1 on iTunes Canada!

    @Sony_Music: You’ve made it GLAMBERTS, @AdamLambert has reached ##1 in iTunes Canada!! #HappyTrespassingDay http://t.co/cbOlCWaK

    Lol at the twitpic.

  • http://www.facebook.com/david.i.lin David I-Chen Lin

    Sorry saving my money for Kris’ and perhaps Haley’s. Trespassing is a pretty good album though

  • HotHotHot

    Trespassing Metacritic Score so far is 80!!


  • Anonymous

    I am actually surprised that song has a such a slow climb. It is actually a good song. I like it and this is coming from someone who wasn’t a really big fan of his on the XFactor. I really could hear Usher singing this and making it a hit. The song is just moving slow because marcus doesnt have a big name.

    It’s also more of an Urban AC song.  It would still be moving slowly, if LA Reid pushed it to that format, but it would be a better fit, and give him more of a radio presence ahead of the release of his album.

  • Anonymous

    I am trying not to be overly optimistic, but darn the 2 on itunes, 5 on Amazon and 1 on B&N are making it very hard.

  • http://twitter.com/whiskey401 Whiskey

    itunes (overall)
    #1 United States
    #1 Canada
    #1 Finland
    #3 Finland (standard)
    #3 Hungary
    #8 Portugal
    #9 Sweden
    #15 Mexico
    #17 Denmark
    #34 Denmark (standard)
    #35 Brazil
    #38 Sweden (standard)
    #42 Norway
    #49 Italy
    #51 United States (standard)
    #60 Canada (standard)
    #67 Spain
    #73 New Zealand
    #77 Norway (standard)
    #79 France
    #100 Belgium
    #101 Switzerland
    #125 Austria
    #151 Netherlands
    #185 Australia


  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Roger-Kramjet/100003524695403 Roger Kramjet

    Good idea. I am wishing Kris well and hope he does a good job selling next week.