HDD – Album Sales Prediction : May 16-22

With 54.98% of the market reporting, Seether is the top debut at number 3. Unsurprisingly, Adele continues to dominate the chart at number 1. Is there no stopping that woman? Hey, she should duet with Haley. She hasn’t been on Idol yet this year. Anyway. Second for the third week, is Now 38. Jason Aldean’s “My Kind of Party” featuring a duet with Kelly Clarkson is 4th.

Rounding out the top 5 is Michael Grimm, winner of Simon Cowell’s America’s Got Talent. This WGWG beat out little Jackie Evancho who put out a massively popular Christmas EP featuring her singing 4 old Christmas chestnuts. She opened with 239K in sales, but it was a kid with a big voice singing Christmas songs at Christmas time. I can see the appeal. She is set to release another album of songs out of copyright on June 14th. SuBo part II.

Jennifer Lopez hangs in there for 4th, Justin Bieber seems like he is never going to go away and neither are his remixes of “Never Say Never” which are at 7th (isn’t it about time for some new material, Biebs?), Disney’s Lemonade Mouth is 8th and Tinie Tempah debuts at 9th.

Il Volo puts their Idol results show performance slot to good use and squeaks into the top 10. The Band Perry see a bounce in their album perhaps partly from Lauren singing their song (they are also breaking the song on Pop/HAC so that helps too).

Jennifer Hudson is the sole solo Idol at 47th.

This is the daily numbers thread. Holding onto subjects better left to fray.

CHART DATE: 05/23/2011
LAST UPDATE: 05/23/2011 12:44:55
NOW IN: 54.98%

LW TW artist / album label power index
1 1 ADELE 21 57,233
2 2 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 38 40,080
– 3 SEETHER HOLDING ONTO STRINGS BETTER LEFT 24,840
11 4 JASON ALDEAN MY KINDA PARTY 19,170
– 5 MICHAEL GRIMM MICHAEL GRIMM 14,922
10 6 JENNIFER LOPEZ LOVE? 14,866
9 7 JUSTIN BIEBER NEVER SAY NEVER – THE REMIXES 12,718
13 8 LEMONADE MOUTH SOUNDTRACK 11,332
– 9 TINIE TEMPAH DISC-OVERY 9,201
– 10 IL VOLO IL VOLO 9,177

– 30 THE BAND PERRY THE BAND PERRY 6,356
36 31 GLEE CAST GLEE PRESENTS THE WARBLERS 6,355

25 44 MATTHEW MORRISON MATTHEW MORRISON 4,464

– 47 JENNIFER HUDSON I REMEMBER ME 4,251

Hits Daily Double

  • sml1234

    J.Lo would actually have good sales if she wasn’t such a lazy ass like Britney Spears. However, unlike Britney, the World does not give two shizzes about J.Lo. If she actually promoted the crap out of Love?, then we wouldn’t see her struggle to sell. What appearances and performances has she done outside of Idol (and fricken Wanga Tango)? I seriously think she though just being on Idol every week would be enough to sell…yeah no. That only works for real music superstars, like Steven Tyler. HELL even S.Ty is out doing the rounds for his new song…

  • tripp_ncwy

    Mediabase (rolling) TW: May 23

    US

    HAC
    22 20 JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON Don’t You Wanna Stay 1261 984 277 6.735
    35 32 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 586 538 48 2.093
    47 36 STEVEN TYLER (It) Feels So Good 487 261 226 2.896
    46 46 DAVID COOK Last Goodbye 297 268 29 0.784

    AC
    3 3 DAUGHTRY September 1287 1310 -23 8.843
    19 18 MATTHEW MORRISON Summer Rain 199 193 6 0.915

    Country
    0 46 BRAD PAISLEY/CARRIE UNDERWOOD Remind Me 288 0 288 2.534

    Top 40
    5 5 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 10111 9722 389 65.118
    59 50 STEVEN TYLER (It) Feels So Good 531 275 256 2.713

    Mainstream Rock
    19 20 STEVEN TYLER (It) Feels So Good 52 56 -4 0.15

    Urban
    41 41 JENNIFER HUDSON Where You At 467 494 -27 1.91
    43 43 JENNIFER LOPEZ I’m Into You f/Lil W… 418 435 -17 1.074

    Urban AC
    6 6 JENNIFER HUDSON Where You At 1523 1526 -3 7.291
    19 18 FANTASIA Collard Greens & Cor… 566 485 81 2.52
    44 41 JENNIFER HUDSON Don’t Look Down 118 89 29 1.677

    Rhythmic
    17 18 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 2302 2243 59 13.203
    39 40 JENNIFER LOPEZ I’m Into You f/Lil W… 712 578 134 2.724

    Christian AC
    1 1 MANDISA Stronger 1394 1404 -10 5.256
    22 22 CHRIS SLIGH One 289 257 32 0.975

    Canadian

    Top 40
    1 2 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 1634 1672 -38 12.462

    HAC
    3 2 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 1012 955 57 6.421
    56 46 JENNIFER LOPEZ I’m Into You f/Lil W… 105 79 26 0.971

    Main-AC
    28 25 JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON Don’t You Wanna Stay 132 132 0 1.594
    60 49 JENNIFER LOPEZ F/PITBULL On The Floor 60 41 19 0.695

    Canada-Active Rock
    18 17 STEVEN TYLER (It) Feels So Good 142 121 21 0.779
    36 35 DAUGHTRY September 37 36 1 0.378

  • http://emuisemo.pbworks.com eilonwy

    Holding onto subjects better left to fray.

    That may be the state of my drawer of t-shirts from obscure indie bands. It’s time for the Twitter Follower Power List Post-It Note.

    Total followers
    McCreery, Scott 168,033
    Lauren Alaina 130,290

    Change in followers
    McCreery, Scott 29,059
    Lauren Alaina 17,500

    Percentage change
    Reinhart’s Bye-Bye Boost was 16%.

    McCreery, Scott 20.91%
    Lauren Alaina 15.52%

    The total number of followers of a still-active singer dropped 14%. As always, sample size is less than 1.5% of total viewers. Consolidated followers for all singers this season is ~1 million (but the number of unique people following one or more of the singers is probably much lower).

  • musicality

    Amazon gave away GaGa’s CD last night. They offered it for 99c and if you had one of those coupon codes it was free (I did). I don’t buy full CD’s never do but hey if you’re going to give it to me for free I’ll consider it. I still reject a lot of free music if it’s no good. Best Buy was also doing something where they gave you a CD with some kind of purchase. I think Innerscope is trying to go for a sales record and they are practically giving it away.

  • Kirsten

    I think Innerscope is trying to go for a sales record and they are practically giving it away.

    Pundits aren’t sure those 99cent sales will count. They definitely are going all out for sales. The singles haven’t worked, so they have to work the “OMG! Biggest sales ever” for the angle.

  • windmills

    Read @ Pulse from leilamaurizia who also posts here: Carrie’s featured on the iTunes country page with all her albums prices at $7.99 and 12 songs including 5 of her country #1s, her coronation song (lolz), and album tracks priced at 69 cents.

    Remind Me hasn’t been sent to country radio yet but on the other hand there’s been enough hints that it’s Brad’s next single that a bunch of stations have jumped on it. Old Alabama’s still gaining airplay for now too.

  • Eileen99

    Amazon gave away GaGa’s CD last night.

    Even a 99 cent sale didn’t tempt me to bite on Gaga’s album. I don’t like any of what I’ve heard so far.

    Il Vivo, on the other hand, was adorable on Idol so I’m going to pick up that album this week. Those boys were awesome.

  • fuzzywuzzy

    She is set to release another album of songs out of copyright on June 14th.

    Kirsten, does this mean that some songs are so old that there is no longer any fee to record them? That the copyright has expired, so that even the composers don’t make any money from these songs if they are recorded/performed?

  • Indigobunting

    Heck, I bought GaGas album for 99 cents. Why not.

    Although the volume must have been so large; it took all day to download.

    I’m always looking for hard music to run to and some of the songs may at least be good for that!

  • girlygirl

    Yup, if a song is out of copyright, you can record it without paying any fees to the songwriter/composer/original rights holder(s). It is just like when people make movies from books that are in the public domain

  • fuzzywuzzy

    Thanks, gg. :) How long do copyrights last?

  • http://emuisemo.pbworks.com eilonwy

    How long do copyrights last?

    Depending on when the song was written, a really long time or a much longer time. (source)

    Looking at the track list for Evancho’s album, some of the songs should not yet be in the public domain, although others are certainly old enough. And there’s a SuBo duet!

  • XDavidGoliathX

    I, also, bought Lady Gaga’s latest album at the nice price of 99¢, with a credit that made it a freebie for me, so I can’t complain about not getting my money’s worth. At least there’s a few songs on the album that I find listenable. Alas, Lady Gaga sometimes you’re just to tempting to resist. -sigh-

  • Landmd

    I’ll buy that for a dollar! ;) My son will want something from it this summer, so instead of 1.29 x 2/3 just spent $1 for it now!

    kelly_clarkson Kelly Clarkson

    Help spread the word about Kelly and Jason Aldean’s CMT Music Awards nomination and get a FREE download of an… http://fb.me/12PxGgZ9d

  • http://www.twilightslo.com Mateja

    Haley Reinhart is the first AI10 contestant to reach 100K plays and 3K listeners on Last.fm.

    Haley Reinhart 104,918 plays (3,060 listeners)
    Lauren Alaina 35,280 plays (1,565 listeners)
    Casey Abrams 31,225 plays (2,628 listeners)
    James Durbin 25,562 plays (1,752 listeners)
    Pia Toscano 21,745 plays (1,404 listeners)
    Paul McDonald 20,455 plays (1,587 listeners)
    Scotty McCreery 16,709 plays (1,353 listeners)
    Stefano Langone 13,207 plays (1,116 listeners)
    Jacob Lusk 8,703 plays (1,139 listeners)
    Thia Megia 7,792 plays (902 listeners)
    Naima Adedapo 5,342 plays (929 listeners)
    Karen Rodriguez 2,800 plays (515 listeners)
    Ashthon Jones 1,591 plays (383 listeners)

    http://www.last.fm/music/Haley+Reinhart

  • tinawina

    Haley Reinhart is the first AI10 contestant to reach 100K plays and 3K listeners on Last.fm.

    That is interesting. No one else is even close to her.

    That girl records wonderfully. Hopefully this is a sign of good things to come.

  • luly

    Adds for Jordin:
    CKEY-FM Pub 0 Top 40 Buffalo 19/Jive/JLG Niagara Broadcasting 53
    WXXX-FM Pub 0 Top 40 Burlington, VT 19/Jive/JLG Sison Broadcasting 140

  • larc

    fuzzywuzzy says:
    How long do copyrights last?

    That depends on when the work was first copyrighted. Copyrights registered prior to Jan 1, 1923, were originally good for 75 years. A revised law states that all works created after Jan 1, 1978, are covered for the lifetime of the longest surviving author plus 70 years. A 1998 addendum (effective Jan 1, 1999) known as the Sonny Bono Copyright Extension Act added 20 years copyright protection for a total of 95 to works registered before 1-1-78 that had not already gone into the public domain.

    All works published in the US in 1922 and earlier are in the public domain, including some that went public before the 1998 20-year copyright extension. No currently copyrighted works will enter the public domain before Jan 1, 2019.

  • Pam

    CHART DATE: 05/23/2011
    LAST UPDATE: 05/24/2011 13:14:37
    NOW IN: FINAL

    LW TW artist / album label power index % change
    1 1 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 136,585 -13%
    21
    – 2 SEETHER WIND-UP 57,400 –
    HOLDING ONTO STRINGS BETTER LEFT
    2 3 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 38 CAPITOL/EMI 50,936 -25%
    VARIOUS ARTISTS
    11 4 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 28,320 -1%
    MY KINDA PARTY
    12 5 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 25,889 -9%
    SIGH NO MORE
    3 6 LONELY ISLAND UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 23,438 -64%
    TURTLENECK AND CHAIN
    6 7 BEASTIE BOYS CAPITOL/EMI 23,166 -43%
    HOT SAUCE COMMITTEE, PT. 2
    – 8 MICHAEL GRIMM EPIC 23,122 –
    MICHAEL GRIMM
    – 9 IL VOLO GEFFEN 22,577 –
    IL VOLO
    10 10 JENNIFER LOPEZ ISLAND/IDJMG 22,114 -30%
    LOVE?

    4 13 CHRISTINA PERRI ATLANTIC 19,886 -65%
    LOVESTRONG.

    14 15 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 19,289 -7%
    19

    13 16 LEMONADE MOUTH WALT DISNEY 18,704 -20%
    SOUNDTRACK

    36 37 GLEE CAST COLUMBIA 11,809 -7%
    GLEE PRESENTS THE WARBLERS

    - 41 THE BAND PERRY UNIV REPUBLIC NASHVILLE 10,993 –
    THE BAND PERRY

    43 50 MIGUEL JIVE/JLG 9,429 -14%
    ALL I WANT IS YOU

    Full chart

  • luly

    JordinSparks: My loves I AM WOMAN went to radio today! Call up your local stations & request! Yaaaaay! :)

    Another add:
    WYOY-FM Pub 0 Top 40 Jackson, MS 19/Jive/JLG New South Radio, Inc. 122 5/24/2011 12:47:00 PM

  • CindyM

    Is Matt Morrison out of the top 50 already?

  • Elliegrll

    Is Matt Morrison out of the top 50 already?

    He may be, but Still Got Tonight is up to #126 on the Itunes chart. I don’t think the song started the day in the top 1000.

  • LindaInIowa

    I realize this is mainly an AI site, but I am jumping in to post that I am absolutely thrilled for Michael Grimm. He has worked so hard for so long, backstory similar to Taylor. He has nearly 60,000 fans on his FB site. His first CD on a major label is really, really well done. This man can sing the blues!!!!
    Hoping he can tour soon and head for the mid west.

  • luly

    According to AllAccess, I Am Woman went for adds today.

  • Eileen99

    He may be, but Still Got Tonight is up to #126 on the Itunes chart. I don’t think the song started the day in the top 1000.

    I noticed this, too, and was surprised. Is it just the fact that people start buying the Glee songs for that night’s episode before they even see the show? I haven’t watched the Glee songs pre-airing, so have no idea. Most of the Kris fans I know already bought it (if they wanted it) when it was first released to iTunes a while back.

  • Pam

    Adds:

    Steven (37)-(It) Feels So Good (1 AC, 1 Active Rock, 1 Canada-Active Rock, 1 Canada-HAC, 1 Canada-CHR, 15 HAC, 17 CHR/Pop)

    JHud (33)-No One Gonna Love You (25 Urban, 8 Urban AC)

    Brad/Carrie (16)-Remind Me (2 Canada Country, 14 Country)

    Jason Aldean/Kelly (10)-DYWS (HAC)

    J-Lo/Lil Wayne (12) (1 Canada CHR, 2 Rhythmic, 8 CHR/Pop, 1 HAC)

    Matthew Morrison (5)-Summer Rain (AC)

    Jordin (4)-I Am Woman (CHR/Pop)

    Dave (3)-TLG (HAC)

    Chris Sligh (1)-One (Christian AC)

    Fantasia (1)-Collard Greens & Cornbread (Urban AC)

    LINK

  • tierbee

    I realize this is mainly an AI site, but I am jumping in to post that I am absolutely thrilled for Michael Grimm. He has worked so hard for so long, backstory similar to Taylor.

    Me, too :) And it’s such a good album! I picked it up yesterday.