HDD – Album Sales Prediction : Mar 19-25 (UPDATED FINAL)

With 54.02% of reports in, Adele finds herself convincingly atop the HDD chart yet again. Will the Hunger Games be able to make a late surge and top both the Box Office and the BB200 this week? Adele’s 19 is also at 7th.

Whitney continues to sell relatively well with her “Greatest Hits” at 3rd, the “Bodyguard” at 21st, “I Look to You” at 23rd, “Whitney Houston” at 26th and “Triple Feature” at 42nd.

Now 41 is at 4th, 1D falls to 5th (from 1st last week), Melanie Fiona’s “The MF Life” is currently debuting at 6th, Diggy’s “Unexpected Arrival” is debuting at 6th, Luke Bryan is 9th and Bruce is at 10th.

The top solo Idol this week is season 9’s Casey James currently at 15th. Kelly is at 17th, but also appears on Jason’s album at 12th and the Grammy Nominees album at 32. Scotty is at 33rd and Season 6’s Chris Richardson appears on Tyga’s album at 31st. The Voice’s Blake Shelton is at 35 and also appears on the Grammy Nominees album with Christina and Adam Levine.

FINAL CHART UPDATE:

CHART DATE: 03/26/2012
LAST UPDATE: 03/27/2012 13:47:11
NOW IN: FINAL

LW TW artist / album label power index % change
— 1 HUNGER GAMES: SONGS FROM DISTRIC UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 179,678–
SOUNDTRACK
2 2 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 130,335 -16%
21
— 3 SHINS COLUMBIA 69,801–
PORT OF MORROW
1 4 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 54,679 -69%
UP ALL NIGHT

— 5 ODD FUTURE COLUMBIA/RED 41,005–
OF TAPE, VOL. 2
4 6 BRUCE SPRINGSTEEN COLUMBIA 36,658 -36%
WRECKING BALL
— 7 MELANIE FIONA SRC/UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 31,903–
THE MF LIFE
5 8 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 28,463 -41%
WHITNEY – THE GREATEST HITS
6 9 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 41 CAPITOL/EMI 26,035 -19%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
–10 ESPERANZA SPALDING CONCORD 24,111–
RADIO MUSIC SOCIETY

12 14 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 19,855 -7%
19

18 18 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 17,259 +4%
STRONGER

24 23 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 13,876 -4%
MY KINDA PARTY

–24 CASEY JAMES 19/BNA 13,848–
CASEY JAMES

31 25 LANA DEL REY INTERSCOPE 13,668 +24%
BORN TO DIE

15 40 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 8,474 -51%
I LOOK TO YOU

46 50 FLORENCE + THE MACHINE UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 7,334 -12%
CEREMONIALS

HDD Sales Chart

  • windmills

    Reporting in from Billboard Country Update and Country Aircheck:

    Carrie had a decent week at Billboard gaining 1.212 million AIs and holding at #11. Miranda Lambert’s Over You at #9 outgained Good Girl by a million and now leads by a little over 2.1 million AIs and appears to be getting a huge push right now. Meanwhile Jason Aldean’s Fly Over States and Tim McGraw’s Better Than I Used To Be both closed in from behind and trail by only 180k and 190k respectively. Dierks Bentley and George Strait are probably both going recurrent this week so it’ll basically be up to label pushes to see which of these 3 songs makes t10 Billboard next week. IMO Broken Bow and Curb are working the guys’s singles harder than Arista Nashville is working Carrie’s right now. At the worst Good Girl will hold at #11 next week but it has the chance to move up to #9. My guess is that Jason’s Fly Over States will repass Carrie’s Good Girl. Eric Church’s Springsteen has now closed to 4 million AIs behind. 

    CaseyJ’s LDCIAN had a pretty good week gaining 998k AIs and dropping a spot to #23 because Luke Bryan passed and there were no recurrents. LDCIAN outgained Josh Turner by a little over 300k and is just over 500k behind now. LDCIAN also outgained the 4 songs behind him, the closest of which is Gloriana which trails by more than 1.4 million AIs. LDCIAN should be safe from getting passed this week and so it should move up to #21 Billboard because of recurrents next week.

    Lauren’s GP had a solid week gaining 453k and dropping 1 spot to #29 because The Farm (I refuse to use all caps like they do) passed. GP actually outgained Dustin Lynch’s Cowboys & Angels by about 70k so GP is about 100k ahead now. However, Love & Theft’s single outgained GP by almost 400k. It still shouldn’t pass this week because it trails by about 750k. The Band Perry’s more likely to pass if not next week then definitely the week after that. But, GP should probably move up to #27 or maybe #28 at the end of the week.

    Kelly’s MKIA gained 169k and dropped a spot to #45 because it got passed by Toby Keith’s new single. There’s a few songs like the new singles from Chris Young, Dierks Bentley, Justin Moore, and, if it ever picks up, David Nail that should be passing in the next couple weeks.

    On the Indicator chart Kellie’s 100 Proof regained its bullet but dropped a spot to #34. Billboard Country Update doesn’t list the 4/16 adds date but Country Aircheck does. 

    Idol related ads: Full page ad for Scotty’s Water Tower Town in Aircheck. It’ll be sent to radio Thursday 10 AM Eastern/9 AM Central, and the ad confirms he’s singing it on AI and the ACMs. The ad is a big picture of a water tower with Water Tower Town written on it.

  • Anonymous

    6:15 AM WEST COAST TIME

    iTunes Overall Chart

    #166 – THE VISION OF LOVE – KRIS ALLEN

    iTunes POP Chart

    #57 – THE VISION OF LOVE – KRIS ALLEN

  • Mateja Praznik

    Looks like Olly Murs got a US record deal with Columbia, they are releasing “Heart Skips A Beat” in the summer.

     Olly Murs
    ?
    @ollyofficial
    I can confirm I am joining @onedirection on their US tour from 29th May as special guest!! Columbia US releasing HSAB in the summer!! #pucka

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    Thanks for the update Windmills!  :)

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    CHR/Pop

    1 1 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 13392 13509 -117 95.802

    -24 Spins

    -58 Bullet

    -0.241 AI

     

    19 18 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 5192 3683 1509 31.818

    +134 Spins

    -70 Bullet

    +0.454 AI

     

    37 27 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
    Me Maybe 1525 906 619 9.725

    +3 Positions

    +99 Spins

    +43 Bullet

    +0.837 AI

     

    43 42 CHRIS RENE Young
    Homie 721 581 140 2.33

    -1 Position

    +22 Spins

    +12 Bullet

    +0.096 AI

     

    HAC

    1 1 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 5378 5317 61 37.141

    -10 Spins

    -51 Bullet

    -0.057 AI

     

    20 20 ADAM LAMBERT Better
    Than I Know M… 1200 1091 109 4.911

    +19 Spins

    +1 Bullet

    +0.136 AI

     

    35 35 JAMES DURBIN Love Me
    Bad 409 365 44 0.669

    +1 Position

    +14 Spins

    +13 Bullet

    +0.022 AI

     

    50 42 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 288 160 128 1.59

    +9 Spins

    -14 Bullet

    +0.030 AI

     

    49 49 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Good
    Girl 213 165 48 1.581

    -1 Position

    +4 Spins

    -9 Bullet

    +0.041 AI

     

    AC

    5 5 KELLY CLARKSON Mr.
    Know It All 1475 1499 -24 11.365

    -10 Spins

    -23 Bullet

    -0.040 AI

     

    10 7 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 1141 943 198 10.424

    +11 Spins

    -30 Bullet

    +0.232 AI

     

    13 14 DAUGHTRY Crawling
    Back To You 395 414 -19 2.394

    -8 Spins

    -11 Bullet

    -0.035 AI

     

    24 26 ELLIOTT YAMIN 3 Words
    79 75 4 0.059

    -2 Positions

    0 Spins

    -3 Bullet

    +0.001 AI

     

    38 37 ADAM LAMBERT Better
    Than I Know M… 31 28 3 0.102

    0 Spins

    0 Bullet

    -0.001 AI

     

    Country

    12 11 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Good
    Girl 3939 3867 72 30.607

    -3 Spins

    -44 Bullet

    +0.118 AI

     

    23 22 CASEY JAMES Let’s
    Don’t Call It … 2042 1689 353 14.594

    +4 Spins

    -58 Bullet

    +0.030 AI

     

    31 31 LAUREN ALAINA Georgia
    Peaches 1072 1006 66 6.821

    -8 Spins

    +7 Bullet

    +0.031 AI

    53 49 KELLY CLARKSON Mr.
    Know It All 123 86 37 1.602

    +2 Spins

    -1 Bullet

    +0.040 AI

     

    Urban

    25 24 JENNIFER HUDSON Think
    Like A Man f/N… 1039 983 56 4.963

    -4 Spins

    -16 Bullet

    +0.049 AI

     

    Urban AC

    11 15 JENNIFER HUDSON I Got
    This 664 745 -81 3.079

    +1 Position

    +33 Spins

    +37 Bullet

    +0.329 AI

     

    19 18 RUBEN STUDDARD June
    28th (I’m Singl… 455 403 52 2.318

    -7 Spins

    -26 Bullet

    -0.005 AI

     

    25 24 REBECCA FERGUSON Nothing’s
    Real But L… 276 226 50 2.234

    -1 Position

    +2 Spins

    +5 Bullet

    -0.030 AI

     

    28 30 JENNIFER HUDSON Think Like A Man
    f/N… 172 166 6 1.88

    +6 Positions

    +13 Spins

    +10 Bullet

    +0.041 AI

     

    Rhythmic

    48 48 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 364 330 34 2.805

    -2 Positions

    +3 Spins

    -6 Bullet

    +0.087 AI

     

    52 50 CHRIS RENE Young
    Homie 316 270 46 1.364

    +6 Spins

    -1 Bullet

    +0.010 AI

     

    Christian AC

    51 45 MANDISA Good
    Morning f/ Toby… 57 51 6 0.286

    -1 Position

    -1 Spin

    -1 Bullet

    +0.003 AI

     

    Smooth Jazz

    28 30 KELLY CLARKSON Mr.
    Know It All 21 22 -1 0.177

    -1 Position

    0 Spins

    0 Bullet

    0 AI

     

    40 37 REBECCA FERGUSON Nothing’s
    Real But L… 18 18 0 0.022

    +1 Position

    0 Spins

    0 Bullet

    -0.001 AI

     

    Canada-CHR/Pop

    8 5 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 1296 1194 102 9.012

    +11 Spins

    -7 Bullet

    +0.025 AI

     

    9 7 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
    Me Maybe 1137 1138 -1 6.55

    +1 Position

    -15 Spins

    -26 Bullet

    -0.115 AI

     

    12 9 ONE DIRECTION What
    Makes You Beaut… 1103 1017 86 8.757

    -1 Spin

    -27 Bullet

    +0.101 AI

     

    Canada-HAC

    1 1 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn…
    1103 1079
    24 5.121

    +8 Spins

    +13 Bullet

    +0.017 AI

     

    6 7 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
    Me Maybe 727 714 13 3.313

    -1 Position

    -4 Spins

    -13 Bullet

    -0.083 AI

    16 13
    ONE DIRECTION What Makes You
    Beaut… 546 497 49 2.636

    +2 Spins

    -12 Bullet

    -0.094 AI

     

    36 41 ADAM LAMBERT Better
    Than I Know M… 167 179 -12 0.519

    -1 Position

    -3 Spins

    +3 Bullet

    -0.014 AI

     

    43 44 DAUGHTRY Crawling
    Back To You 151 148 3 0.632

    +1 Spin

    -3 Bullet

    +0.016 AI

     

    Canada-Main AC

    2 2 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Call
    Me Maybe 374 348 26 3.941

    +2 Spins

    -2 Bullet

    -0.074 AI

     

    3 3 KELLY CLARKSON Stronger
    (What Doesn… 362 328 34 2.464

    +3 Spins

    -5 Bullet

    +0.113 AI

     

    56 43 REBECCA FERGUSON Nothing’s
    Real But L… 44 29 15 1.259

    -2 Positions

    0 Spins

    -5 Bullet

    -0.029 AI

     

    Canada-Country

    14 14 CARRIE UNDERWOOD Good
    Girl 585 544 41 2.694

    -1 Position

    +6 Spins

    -3 Bullet

    +0.007 AI

  • Anonymous

    “The ad is a big picture of a water tower with Water Tower Town written on it.”

    I saw this on twitter and had to come here to confirm what I’m seeing.

    I love Scotty and am excited but nervous about the 3rd single (not my personal uptempo pick) …… BUT the ad/picture is just hideous.  
    You’d think the label will come up with something more creative or eye-catching rather than just a big ol’tank.   

    Oh well, still looking forward to see him perform this thursday though.

  • everything

    Did Casey James only sell 6K in his CD’s debut week?  I thought Hits DailyDouble was estimating 12K to 15K for his first week sales.

  • aidancash1

    No the chart has only 54.02 of retailers repORTING. If you look at hunger games these numbers are low as it only shows 18,000 and they are expected to sell 200k

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    i-tunes

    Singles
    4. Call Me Maybe – Carly Rae Jepsen
    6. What Makes You Beautiful – One Direction (Deluxe)
    10. Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You) – Kelly Clarkson (Deluxe)
    17. Set Fire to the Rain – ADELE
    19. Good Girl – Carrie Underwood
    35. Rumour Has It – ADELE
    41. Fly Over States – Jason Aldean
    46. Come Away to the Water (feat. Rozzi Crane) – Maroon 5
    47. Rolling in the Deep – ADELE
    50. Someone Like You – ADELE
    55. Drink On It – Blake Shelton
    61. Moves Like Jagger (Studio Recording from “The Voice” Performance) [feat. Christina Aguilera] – Maroon 5
    72. Free – Haley Reinhart
    77. One Thing – One Direction (Deluxe)
    102. God Gave Me You – Blake Shelton
    117. Stereo Hearts (feat. Adam Levine) – Gym Class Heroes
    135. What Makes You Beautiful – One Direction
    138. Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You) – Kelly Clarkson
    144. Young Homie – Chris Rene
    145. The Vision of Love – Kris Allen
    165. Mr. Know It All – Kelly Clarkson (Deluxe)
    169. Think Like a Man (feat. Rick Ross) [from the Motion Picture “Think Like A Man”] – Jennifer Hudson & Ne-Yo
    182. Georgia Peaches – Lauren Alaina
    185. The Trouble With Girls – Scotty McCreery
    192. Honey Bee – Blake Shelton
    211. Moments – One Direction (Deluxe)
    216. Up All Night – One Direction (Deluxe)
    257. Faithfully (The Voice Performance) – Tony Vincent
    264. Remind Me (Duet with Carrie Underwood) – Brad Paisley
    269. She Will Be Loved – Maroon 5
    302. History Is Made At Night (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Megan Hilty & Will Chase] – SMASH Cast
    305. Don’t You Wanna Stay (with Kelly Clarkson) – Jason Aldean
    311. Good Goodbye – Diana DeGarmo
    329. Turning Tables – ADELE
    335. We Are Young (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    339. Footloose – Blake Shelton
    341. Make You Feel My Love – ADELE
    345. Gotta Be You (2012 US Version) – One Direction (Deluxe)
    347. Let’s Don’t Call It a Night – Casey James
    350. One and Only – ADELE
    351. Let Me Be Your Star (SMASH Cast Version) [feat. Katharine McPhee & Megan Hilty] – SMASH Cast
    361. On The Floor (feat. Pitbull) – Jennifer Lopez
    386. More Than This – One Direction (Deluxe)
    412. Stand Up – One Direction (Deluxe)
    417. Forget You – Cee Lo Green
    433. Before He Cheats – Carrie Underwood
    438. One Thing – One Direction
    455. Gotta Be You (2012 US Version) – One Direction
    457. Better Than I Know Myself – Adam Lambert
    506. Cowboy Casanova – Carrie Underwood
    530. Chasing Pavements – ADELE
    548. Beautiful – Christina Aguilera
    591. Stole My Heart – One Direction (Deluxe)
    601. Some Beach – Blake Shelton
    602. Misery – Maroon 5
    604. Just a Dream – Carrie Underwood
    623. I Don’t Want to Miss a Thing – Aerosmith
    647. Bad Day – Daniel Powter
    670. Bleeding Love – Leona Lewis
    685. Harder to Breathe – Maroon 5
    703. Sunday Morning – Maroon 5
    730. Undo It – Carrie Underwood
    763. This Love – Maroon 5
    775. No Air – Jordin Sparks & Chris Brown
    778. All-American Girl – Carrie Underwood
    818. Makes Me Wonder – Maroon 5
    850. Jesus, Take the Wheel – Carrie Underwood
    855. Good Morning (feat. TobyMac) – Mandisa & tobyMac
    927. Everything About You – One Direction (Deluxe)
    934. Up All Night – One Direction
    939. Lovesong – ADELE
    953. Don’t You Remember – ADELE
    954. Cough Syrup (Glee Cast Version) – Glee Cast
    980. Wake Up Call – Maroon 5
    989. Fool for You (feat. Melanie Fiona) – Cee Lo Green

    Albums
    5. 21 – ADELE
    8. Up All Night (Deluxe Version) – One Direction
    16. Up All Night – One Direction
    49. 19 – ADELE
    55. Casey James – Casey James
    65. Stronger (Deluxe Version) – Kelly Clarkson
    81. Stronger – Kelly Clarkson
    98. Hands All Over – Maroon 5
    108. Red River Blue (Deluxe Version) – Blake Shelton
    190. Wildflower – Lauren Alaina
    194. Clear As Day – Scotty McCreery
    227. Loaded: The Best of Blake Shelton – Blake Shelton
    231. Hands All Over (Deluxe Version) – Maroon 5
    236. Songs About Jane – Maroon 5
    249. Carnival Ride – Carrie Underwood
    265. Break the Spell (Deluxe Version) – Daughtry
    269. Play On – Carrie Underwood
    299. Some Hearts – Carrie Underwood
    318. Steadfast – Clay Aiken
    349. Duets II – Tony Bennett
    391. The Essential: Aerosmith – Aerosmith
    399. It Won’t Be Soon Before Long – Maroon 5
    553. iTunes Festival: London 2011 – EP – ADELE
    615. Break the Spell – Daughtry
    618. 100 Proof – Kellie Pickler
    655. Big Ones – Aerosmith
    706. Breakaway – Kelly Clarkson
    723. iTunes Live from SoHo – ADELE
    768. Tug of War – Carly Rae Jepsen
    929. Daughtry – Daughtry
    933. Glee: The Music, Vol. 7 – Glee Cast
    937. Red – Dia Frampton
    986. Glee: The Music, Vol. 1 – Glee Cast

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    You can see the ad for WTT here.  Just scroll down the page a little and you’ll find it very quickly.  As windmills said, the song is going to radio this Thursday.  The official adds date for WTT listed on the ad is 4/9.

  • http://twitter.com/leilamaurizia2 leilamaurizia

    Carrie’s Blown Away is available for pre-order on iTunes.  It is now #12 over-all and #2 on country.

  • Anonymous

    Stronger made it to #1 onMediabase today:

    1. KELLY CLARKSON – Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill …: 161.704 (- 0.013) ?

    I think this is the first mediabase #1 for any Idol.

  • HotHotHot

    YAY for Haley!! Go girl!

    72. Free – Haley Reinhart 

  • Anonymous

    Kris is still moving up — at #133 now

  • larc

    Maybe there is something I’m missing, but any logical reason why HDD posts partial numbers on Monday escapes me.  Their Tuesday charts are often very different, even in rankings.  CAD is #33 on yesterday’s chart, but may not be on today’s final chart at all.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_AGWO435FL6UN2ICRVTFLWRJZSA Lexie

     I tried to think positively about the appearance of the WTT ad…it’s simplistic and not busy, I actually think it’s more effective than those that are chock full of lyrics, etc.  Maybe.

    On the other hand, full page ad–yay!!  And the adds date is my birthday, hope that augurs good things:))

  • Anonymous

    “YOUNG HOMIE” is really holding well! Many songs drop out of the top 500 third week of release but it seems it’s hanging on well. I can’t wait for the video to make it on to TV to see how it can help it. It’s a really good song and it’s really nice to see non-fans tweeting they got him wrong on the show but can see how talented he is now, after hearing his song on radio!

    He’s in TENNESSEE today doing radio promo. Can’t wait for the big markets to jump on board this song!

  • http://twitter.com/Justin_J9 Justin

    Great choice. The song is a sure fire No.1 hit. I couldn’t stop listening to it all summer long last year. XF will have another smash during the summer.

    Big day for Kris Allen on pop. With RCA paying for clear channel deal he should be more than fine.

  • ronnie

    For hits on their website, that’s why.  The more visitors you have the more your rates go up and people seem content enough to go there just to check out the partial list.  Everything is always about money or comes down to it

  • Anonymous

    Maybe there is something I’m missing, but any logical reason why HDD posts partial numbers on Monday escapes me.  Their Tuesday charts are often very different, even in rankings.  CAD is #33 on yesterday’s chart, but may not be on today’s final chart at all.

    I don’t think that there’s anything strange about this.  The 54% of the retailers that have reported may be ones where Scott does very well, for example it’s just a guess, but he might do well at Walmart, and we know that one of the Walmart reports always comes in on Mondays, but he might not do as well as some of the independent retailers that haven’t reported yet.  Or, there are some other acts that are doing better at the retailers that haven’t reported yet, than they are doing at the ones that have.

    HDD predictions have been very close in the past, when they’ve surveyed all of the retailers on Mondays, but I can see why they would want to break it down over a two day period.  

  • Anonymous

    Just checked itunes and Kris is at 45!!  :)

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    Just checked itunes and Kris is at 45

    That must be the i-tunes pop chart because overall VOL is #132.

    132. The Vision of Love – Kris Allen

  • Anonymous

    Go Kris ! and come on radio, you have a great song in your hand, spin it. :)

  • Anonymous

    TVOL is still climbing on overall Itunes #113 :))

  • Anonymous

    oops – sorry Pam – forgot I switched charts earlier!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    That’s ok.  No apologies necessary.  :)

  • Anonymous

    Question for windmills: There are people saying that if Scotty’s next single “WTT” does not reach top 10 in country there is a big possibility that they will not release a 4th single. Is this true? If Scotty has WTT at least reach top 20, he would have 3 top 20 hits off of CAD. Since he would have 3 hits, shouldn’t that mean that the label should release a 4th single? Or does it mean since none of his hits have reached top 10 the label won’t release another single?

    I thought other factors were involved besides chart placement in the decision for a 4th single to be released from an album like management decisions, next album release, potential hits on album, etc.

    I hope this is not true because there are a couple of uptempo songs off the album that I think could reach top 10 like WMNOYH.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    CAD fell out of the top 50 with this update.

    CHART DATE: 03/26/2012
    LAST UPDATE: 03/27/2012 13:47:11
    NOW IN: FINAL

    LW TW artist / album label power index % change
    — 1 HUNGER GAMES: SONGS FROM DISTRIC UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 179,678–
    SOUNDTRACK
    2 2 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 130,335 -16%
    21
    — 3 SHINS COLUMBIA 69,801–
    PORT OF MORROW
    1 4 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 54,679 -69%
    UP ALL NIGHT

    — 5 ODD FUTURE COLUMBIA/RED 41,005–
    OF TAPE, VOL. 2
    4 6 BRUCE SPRINGSTEEN COLUMBIA 36,658 -36%
    WRECKING BALL
    — 7 MELANIE FIONA SRC/UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 31,903–
    THE MF LIFE
    5 8 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 28,463 -41%
    WHITNEY – THE GREATEST HITS
    6 9 NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 41 CAPITOL/EMI 26,035 -19%
    VARIOUS ARTISTS
    –10 ESPERANZA SPALDING CONCORD 24,111–
    RADIO MUSIC SOCIETY

    12 14 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 19,855 -7%
    19

    18 18 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 17,259 +4%
    STRONGER

    24 23 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 13,876 -4%
    MY KINDA PARTY

    –24 CASEY JAMES 19/BNA 13,848–
    CASEY JAMES

    31 25 LANA DEL REY INTERSCOPE 13,668 +24%
    BORN TO DIE

    15 40 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 8,474 -51%
    I LOOK TO YOU

    46 50 FLORENCE + THE MACHINE UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 7,334 -12%
    CEREMONIALS

    HDD Sales Chart

  • windmills

    ptebwwong: Question for windmills: Some people are saying that if Scotty’s next single “WTT” does not reach top 10 in country there is a big possibility that they will not release a 4th single. Is this true? If Scotty has WTT at least reach top 20, he would have 3 top 20 hits off of CAD. Since he would have 3 hits, shouldn’t that mean that the label should release a 4th single? Or does it mean since none of his hits have reached top 10 the label won’t release another single?I thought other factors were involved besides chart placement in the decision for a 4th single to be released from an album like management decisions, next album release, potential hits on album, etc.

    I don’t really think it’s that cut & dried where if WTT doesn’t reach t10 then there’s no 4th single but if it does then there is. I can understand why people might think something along those lines: for a new act, you want to see building radio momentum with each single and if you don’t think you have momentum hits on the current album then you’re more likely to want to start fresh sooner. TTWG didn’t do better than ILYTB, and though Water Tower Town’s uptempo, there’s doubt as to whether it’s the song that’s going to take Scotty to the next level at radio.

    It’s possible Interscope/Mercury Nashville has only been planning 3 singles off this album in the 1st place. If that’s the case then I’d think we’d start hearing about Scotty getting into writing sessions and starting to listen to new music for a new album. I don’t foresee Mercury Nashville wanting a big gap between the last CAD single and the 1st single from the next album because they’re really going to want to capitalize on the debut album momentum while proving a point to everybody that Scotty can get to the next level at radio.

    It wouldn’t surprise me if the label wanted to move on pretty quickly from this album. On the other hand Scotty’s likely to be up for New Artist Of The Year at the CMAs and I feel like the label’s going to want to have a single by him out at radio at that point. Will WTT still be charting 7 months from now? Maybe. But, my guess is it’ll be 1 of 2 scenarios: 1 more CAD single after Water Tower Town to close out the album with the lead single for his sophomore album will be out next February/March and the album out in May 2013 or a fresh lead single that debuts around CMA time in November with Scotty’s sophomore album out in March 2013. 

    On another note, wanted CaseyJ to sell a few thousand more 1st week but meh. It’s up to Sony Nash to pick the right singles, CaseyJ to hit the ground promoting his music to country fans, and then we’ll see if those singles land at radio and give the album sales legs.

  • Anonymous

    I thought that it’s possible Scotty will release a 2nd album by early spring of 2013 so Mercury can capitalize on the buzz around him. I was thinking if WTT drops off the charts by late fall/early winter of this year then it’s possible around Dec/Jan 2013 there will be a single from his sophomore album in time for his early spring release date. If that’s the case, then it’s possible that there are only 3 singles from CAD.

  • aidancash1

    Thos numbers arent bad for Casey. He did better then say Dvid nail and Craig Morgans release a couple weeks ago. He got typical new artist numbers since he doesnt have a smash hit. Yeah a different single back in Auugust might of gotten him bigger numbers but ldcian did its purpose has stayed on the charts to wait for his cd. Now itt is tiime for that great second single because alot of the material is ten better then ldcian

  • Anonymous

    between school and touring, will Scotty have enough time to even go in the recording studio for more than a day here and a day there?

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_SYFK77IYLRQIVATQ2MJKSW2J7Y Pam

    Adds (Monitored)

    Carly Rae Jepsen (18)-CMM (1 Canada-Main, 1 HAC, 16 CHR/Pop)

    One Direction (17)-WMYB (2 Canada-HAC, 7 HAC, 1 Rhythmic, 7 CHR/Pop)

    JHud f/Ne-Yo (14)-TLAM (2 Rhythmic, 1 Urban, 11 Urban AC)

    Casey J (12)-LDCIAN (Country)

    Chris Rene (11)-YH (2 Rhythmic, 9 CHR/Pop)

    Carrie (10)-GG (1 Canada-HAC, 1 HAC, 8 Country)

    Haley (8)-Free (HAC)

    Kelly (8)-WDKY
    (1 Canada-Main AC, 1 HAC, 6 AC)

    Daughtry (6)-OMH (HAC)

    Carly Rae Jepsen (5)-Curiosity (2 Canada-HAC, 3 Canada-CHR/Pop)

    Lauren (4)-GP (Country)

    Kelly (3)-MKIA (2 AC, 1 Country)

    Marcus Canty (3)-WMAFOOY (2 Urban, 1 Rhythmic)

    One Direction (3)-One Thing (Canada-CHR/Pop)

    Rebecca Ferguson (3)-NRBL (2 HAC, 1 Urban AC)

    Ruben (3)-June 28th (I’m Single) (Urban AC)

    Adam (2)-BTIKM (HAC)

    Kris (2)-VOL (HAC)

    Scotty (2)-TTWG (Country)

    Bucky (1)-IWBTF (Country)

    Daughtry (1)-CBTY (AC)

    Elliott (3)-3 Words (AC)

    James (1)-LMB (HAC)

    Santana f/Chris Daughtry (1)-Photograph (CHR/Pop)

    Addboard

  • Anonymous

    We never got any official confirmation that today was the CHR (Pop) add date for Kris’ single.  And since I haven’t seen anything from his management or label about this in weeks, I have a feeling that it isn’t.

  • Anonymous

    We never got any official confirmation that today was the CHR (Pop) add date for Kris’ single.  And since I haven’t seen anything from his management or label about this in weeks, I have a feeling that it isn’t.

     

    Well, the tweet from RCA was trotted out last week as proof that last Monday was the Hot AC add date.   But since nothing has appeared on All Access or FMQB about today being the pop adds date, I’m willing to believe that RCA saw that the song wasn’t getting any attention from pop stations, and held off on making this the official date, until they can talk to Hot AC PDs about how their listeners are reacting to the song, and (hopefully) until they can ask some pop PDs to support the song.

  • Anonymous

    ITA, RCA may have moved the CHR date when they saw that TVOL was getting zero spins from any Pop stations. Pop stations are still free to spin or add the song before the adds date, so the lack of both is somewhat troubling. I checked LLWD’s history and at three weeks after the release to radio, LLWD was at 450 total spins, with half of those spins coming from CHR stations. LLWD also had something like 35 CHR adds and 50 total adds by three weeks post release date!

    I thought LLWD and WWFM were slow out of the gate last era, but BTIKM has been super slow and TVOL is lagging behind it. I also thought TVOL was going to have an easier time starting out on Pop due to the fact that it has a faster tempo. It appears that TVOL will be another HAC song, trying to make its way onto Pop stations.

    I’m NOT impressed with this Joe King radio guru, so far!

  • Anonymous

    He’s going to college, but we haven’t found out if it’s full-time. It’s very possible for his 1st semester or his 1st whole year of college will be part-time due to his career. I think it also depends where he goes to college. If he decides to go to Belmont (which he has already been accepted to) in Nashville, he can go to school & easily still record all the time.

  • Anonymous

    iTunes update:

    Overall

    #102 – The Vision Of Love – Kris Allen

    Pop

    #38 – The Vision Of Love – Kris Allen

  • Anonymous

    The song went for HAC adds last week and has steadily gained spins each week it has been out (40 spins the 1st week, 95 spins this past week and  it already has abt 50 spins this week). We have no idea whether they even sent the single to CHR stations yet — I called a local Top 40 station last night to request it, and the DJ said he hasn’t heard the song. 

    It’s way too early to say whether RCA is screwing this up. Lane tweeted this morning that there is lots of promo lined up for both Kris and Haley. It could be they were waiting for Kris to finish the album before sending him out on a promo tour. He tweeted last night that he got some first mixes to listen to, so it appears the recording is done, so he should have the time now to really start promoting it.

  • Anonymous

    I’m NOT impressed with this Joe King radio guru, so far!

    Joe King can pay for spins (in a legal way of course), beg for them, and whatever else he has up his sleeves, but he can’t force PDs to play songs.  His record speaks for itself, and there’s a reason why he’s been named the executive of the year by Mediabase for so many years.

    I don’t think that TVOL is the problem, since not even Hot AC leaning pop stations are playing it, and it’s two Hot AC adds for this week aren’t exactly what someone would want to see from a song that is one week removed from its adds date.  It’s early, and it wouldn’t take much for the song to take off organically due to radio listeners liking it, but I’ve been predicting that things would unfold this way for the past two years.  I’ve even said that Adam wouldn’t have the smooth ride on pop that so many people were predicting.  

    IMO, radio being reluctant to play these songs has a lot to do with how the first albums were handled.  This isn’t just an Adam and Kris issue, we’ve seen this with other idol alums.  It’s why I keep saying that 19 and the labels can’t release songs that are just meant to appease AI fans, and they can’t wait until the second albums to establish who these people are as artists.  Radio won’t be as willing to play the debut singles from their second albums as they are to play their first songs post AI.  And in some cases, it will be harder to get opportunities to promote the alums when the second album comes out.

  • Anonymous

    ‘YOUNG HOMIE” got 11 adds! WOOT!

  • Anonymous

    Why wouldn’t they send the song to CHR stations? They always send songs out to all the stations when the release a song to radio. Does RCA think that TVOL isn’t a Pop song? Of course the DJ told you that, it is their standard line when they aren’t going to consider playing a song yet. The radio stations don’t want to lose listeners.

    I know when TVOL’s add date was and I’m aware of how many spins it is getting. TVOL is still getting about a fourth of the spins that LLWD was during the same time period. It is also getting about half the spins that BTIKM was getting. The spins and adds on CHR stations are a stark comparison to LLWD and less than BTIKM.

  • Anonymous

    Kris has yet to do any radio promo for TVOL. He seems to be concentrating on finishing the album.  Lane did tweet today that he lots of promo coming up. So probably next week he will get rolling.

  • Anonymous

    No they don’t. They are tons of songs that never get sent to Pop radio. 

    And again, you can’t compare TVOL to LLWD. LLWD was the debut single by the reigning American Idol. TVOL…is not. 

  • Anonymous

    I agree with most of your post, but I’m still not on the Joe King-of-radio train. lol
    RCA is a label that has gone through tremendous change in the past 18 months or so and IMO, it is obvious that they are working with a smaller pool of people and a much smaller budget. They always seem to be playing catch up and they are the dinosaurs of big record labels. IMO, RCA has not been impressive in its approach to the changing musical climate.

  • Anonymous

    My question remains, Why wouldn’t RCA send an uptempo song to Pop stations? Kris had a top 10 hit on these stations that was a lot like TVOL. Why wouldn’t the label at least send it to these same stations to be preparing for upcoming promo and an adds date? Does RCA not believe that TVOL is a Pop friendly song?

  • shell29

    Good for Chris!  Although I’m looking forward to hearing something new from him, I’m rooting for him to do well with Young Homie.

  • Anonymous

    It’s a whole different world for album #1 and album #2 for artists from Idol. That’s just the way it is.  And it doesn’t help that so many of the current singles are going to HAC to compete with each other.  Unless you’re Kelly Clarkson on that format, your single is going to move slowly (and probably not sell a hell of alot of downloads to boot.)

    I wish things were different for Idols but the second album (and follow up singles) really is a struggle for almost all of them.

  • too-cool-for-school

    That, and also the fact that the single was officially released only, er, yesterday??!

    People really need to be patient. Rome wasn’t built in a day. Gotta give this stuff a little time. Radio adds, Kris doing promo, etc. It will happen. Probably soon, too. Please, PATIENCE, GOOD PEOPLE. <3

  • Anonymous

    I don’t know why I don’t have any angst over TVOL yet but for some reason I’m feeling optimistic. I think the physical cd and remix was a stroke of genius as it gets Kris’ name/image out there and reminds people he’s still alive, lol!. When I bought mine today, the cashier looked at it and remarked that she still hadn’t bought his cd (she thought the single was the new album). I of course informed her it wasn’t out yet. So now that’s one person who knows Kris has a new single  and that his album is coming out soon. So multiply her by …..well who knows right?

  • Anonymous

    TVOL was released for radio spins and adds three weeks ago. Radio stations spin and add songs before they are released to iTunes and before their official adds dates. It happens all the time.

  • alterego

    At less than 14K debut, Casey James will be gone within a year. I can’t imagine any label thinking that someone who had the huge exposure of American Idol and had 2 years to make this CD, 14K is a strong and profitable debut.  At least Lee Dewyze no longer has the worst debut for Season 9.

    I like TVOL.  I can see it being a big hit for Kris.  He took his time and turned out radio friendly.

  • Anonymous

    But it didn’t happen for TVOL so I’m not getting your point. Unless you mean that is a sign that radio is rejecting the song. 

    I don’t think that’s a big deal. I like the song alot.  I’m more worried because the song only got two adds this week.  Hopefully, its move up the chart won’t be glacial. BTIKM seems to have taken forever. So TVOL may take forever and a day. ;)

  • too-cool-for-school

    Well there you go. *shrug*

    I’m just seeing among various Kris discussion out there that some (not all, but some) people are riled up over it not having enough adds, spins, and ‘AAH, THE LABEL ISN’T PROMOTING IT!’

    I just hope people can muster up a little more patience than that, because it’s a new release and no matter how badly they want all of this stuff, it’s still going to happen but in its own time, y’know?

  • Anonymous

    Does RCA think that TVOL isn’t a Pop song? 

    Who knows.  RCA sent BTIKM to pop stations, and we know how that’s turned out.

    Why are you combining formats?  Not that it’s a big deal, but if we are going to compare shouldn’t it be based on the same formats?  I also don’t think it’s a great idea to expect TVOL to get the same amount of attention out of the gate that LLWD did.  LLWD had the advantage of being released right when Kris was coming off of AI, so there was a built in promotional point, and other promotional opportunities that were tied in with Kris being from American Idol.

  • aidancash1

    Go and follow country music lol. For a new artist this was respectable. BNA wasnt looking to capitilize on Caseys ai fame or they would not of signed him and givin him 2 years to work on his cd. Dvid nail debuted with 12,000 and he had a bigger hit then Casey. Hunter Hayes 18000. Craig morgan has tons of hits sold 12000 a couple of weeks ago. BNA believes in Casey as a artist or they would not of given him the time or the co producing credits. Lets talk in two years

  • Anonymous

    I wish things were different for Idols but the getting the debut single from the second album to hit has been struggle in recent years. The reality is that the Idol machine has moved on to the next season so they really are the “new” artists everyone pretends they are for the first album.

    Things would be better for them if 19 spent the time to promote them better when they release the first album, and if 19 and the labels released better songs.  I haven’t touched the issue of Scotty releasing WTT, but that song just seems like another AI song.   It’s a song that’s more for Scotty McCreery AI winner, and not Scotty the commercially relevant country artist.  

    I hope the song does well for Scotty, but it just seems like it’s the same type of song that other male idol alums have been saddled with.  Scotty has a great personality, and he seems to have made inroads in the industry, so maybe the song won’t hurt him.

  • alterego

    BNA wasnt looking to capitilize on Caseys ai fame or they would not of signed him and givin him 2 years to work on his cd. Dvid nail debuted with 12,000 and he had a bigger hit then Casey. Hunter Hayes 18000. Craig morgan has tons of hits sold 12000 a couple of weeks ago. BNA believes in Casey as a artist or they would not of given him the time or the co producing credits. Lets talk in two years

    I doubt BNA will hang on to someone for 2 years if they can’t sell. The record label is like any other business. Casey’s job first and foremost is to make money for his label.

    Go and follow country music lol. For a new artist this was respectable

    Scotty McCreery, Lauren Alaina, Carrie Underwood, Bucky Covington, Josh Gracin, Danny Gokey, Kelli Pickler.

  • shell29

    At less than 14K debut, Casey James will be gone within a year. I can’t imagine any label thinking that someone who had the huge exposure of American Idol and had 2 years to make this CD, 14K is a strong and profitable debut. At least Lee Dewyze no longer has the worst debut for Season 9.

    Casey is two years removed from his season (while Lee released his debut a few months after his win).  Could Casey’s first week sales have been better?  Sure, but it’s just the first week.  The big thing for him is for his album to be able to sell consistently over the long haul.  If he can continue to get some decent radio airplay, I think he’ll be OK. Way too early IMO to count him out.

  • Anonymous

    Who knows. RCA sent BTIKM to pop stations, and we know how that’s turned out.

    Right, they did. So, why wouldn’t they send TVOL? It seems as Pop friendly as BTIKM is!

    Why are you combining formats?

    What do you mean?

    I agree, I believe RCA would be crazy not to send TVOL to Pop stations at the beginning. I’m well aware that promo =/= radio spins or adds and that uptempo =/= Pop friendly song, but I would consider TVOL to be a Pop type song! Maybe its not?? It seems that the teeny crowd is dominating the charts at this time with two boy bands and now we have new Bieber music. His new single got 114 adds today!

  • aidancash1

    You cant compare Casey to past idols. Casey is doing things different. I was talking new country artists not ones that came from idol. And who is to say he wont sell. You cant tell that after one week of sales. Hunter Hayes started at 18k and is now up to 100k with one semi hit.  He has a couple songs that if released as singles will be game changers in his career. He is getting good radio play for a song that isnt his best. Because Casey has takin his tiime he is a new artist not someone coming off of idol. Plus he came from a really bad season judges wise and it had a bad rep.

  • aidancash1

    Actually the casey getting co producer was not done because it was cheap. Out of his mouth Chris Lindsey and Gary overton came to him after  the cd was finished and said they wanted to list him as co producer because he was so involved

  • Anonymous

    What do you mean?

    You keep talking about how many spins LLWD had in total, and then comparing that to TVOL’s lack of spins on just one format.

    Right, they did. So, why wouldn’t they send TVOL? It seems as Pop friendly as BTIKM is!

    That’s an odd question, since none of us knows for sure that they didn’t send the song to pop.  IMO, I don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t have.  Even if they haven’t started to promote it to that format yet, it would still make sense to release it, since that would give pop stations the chance to start spinning it early, which would help it when the real adds date happens.  

  • Anonymous

    I’m sure they’ve been promoting TVOL to pop already. Toby Knapp has been talking about the song for a while. Also, the charity ad included the song. Just because we don’t see the promo, doesn’t mean it hasn’t been happening for awhile.

  • Anonymous

    <blockquoteAt less than 14K debut, Casey James will be gone within a year.

    Gone? Gone where? LOL.

    Casey isn’t a typical AI peep. He’s two years off a season that is widely considered the worst by many. Sure, he had a fan base – but compared to a Lee or an Adam or a Carrie? Please.

    His label had no incentive to sign him because of his “AI success”. Zippo. In fact, the head of the label traveled to an AI concert to evaluate whether or not Sony Nashville was interested at all. And clearly he was –  but not as an AI alum. 

    No indication at all that Sony wanted Casey to release right away to capitalize on his AI “fame”. Quite the opposite. He was given tons of time to write – and write with some stellar peeps. He was given tons of time to evolve the songs he did write – Just listen to how Drive has changed over time. Wowza. He was given lots of creative control – how many AI peeps can say that they co-produced their first album? All of this indicates the label has confidence in Casey J’s long-term talent. Not his AI fan base.

    Sure. Would I have liked Casey to sell 30K the first week? Or maybe 39K like Lee? Or maybe 50K like Crystal? Sure. 

    Ah. Let’s see. Where are Lee and Crystal… and um… let’s see.. Gokey or Cookie or Archie? Or how about Bo or Bucky or Hicks? 

    Okay. I’m going to get in trouble with this one…. but how about Scotty or Lauren in two-three years? 

    Hm…..

    Shall I go on? 

    (everyone says no – but what the hell)

    To compare CJ to a typical AI roadmap is ridiculous. 

    What’s the real key to country music success?

    Connections. Building a long-term career with long-term relationships, slow and steady growth, and patience. CaseyJ has said – it’s all about knowing people. He isn’t worried about getting on AI. He wouldn’t have turned it down. But his focus is on getting to know radio peeps. Not Nigil.  cough. Good choice. 

    I’m a hell of a lot more impressed that his first single has been in the t40 for going on 9 months. I’m really happy that LDICAN is now at #22 or #21 and IMHO hitting t20 in the next few weeks. I’m encouraged that Drive has been added by about a dozen stations already on the request sheets. I’m happy that his CD has several really stellar songs that are radio friendly and truly represent Casey.

    Casey went to AI to get exposure. He didn’t care about winning, much less getting to top 3. Much less top 10. Much less top 24. Many peeps who tryout for AI are all in it for AI – for their moment of fame. Cool. Whatever floats your boat.

    Casey is all about the music. All about putting his stamp on the evolution of country/rock/blues music. I think he’s got a shot at making a real mark on the country scene. But hell. He’d be the first to say – it’s about being able to make music for the rest of his life and making enough $$$ to live. That’s it. 

    My guy is happy. And he’s going to be able to do what he loves for the rest of his life. Whether he sells 13K or 100K or a million. He might win tons of awards and become a big “star.” Or he might settle into happyville where he makes the kind of music he loves and sells 10K or 15K every time he puts out music.  Either way – I’m a lifetime fan.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_AGWO435FL6UN2ICRVTFLWRJZSA Lexie

     I am so appreciative of the knowledge you share, Windmills–thanks!  Just an aside…we do know Scotty has been writing and that he was in Nashville in studio last week (have no idea why)…not saying he’s working on the second album already at all, just saying that it’s not out of the possibility that they could start working in the next months as he tours…

    I’m hoping he gets one more single from CAD…I won’t make any guesses/hopes as to what it would be, though, lesson learned.:)

  • Anonymous

    You keep talking about how many spins LLWD had in total, and then comparing that to TVOL’s lack of spins on just one format.

    No, my original comment was:

     “LLWD was at 450 total spins, with half of those spins coming from CHR stations.”

    That would mean the other half came from HAC. Stations are free to spin a song at any time, so why not compare the total spin number? LLWD had 4x as many total spins as TVOL and 2x as many HAC spins as TVOL, three weeks after their release dates.  

    IMO, I don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t have. Even if they haven’t started to promote it to that format yet, it would still make sense to release it, since that would give pop stations the chance to start spinning it early, which would help it when the real adds date happens. 

    I don’t either and I agree.

  • http://twitter.com/whiskey401 Whiskey

    TVOL has been having a slow rise on iTunes and Kris people having him pimp his song on twitter would hopefully have more people notice and increase his itunes ranking and sales. The little pop banner should help. Radio most likely want to see how much interest there is with the song based on itune rankings and to see how large a fanbase an artists has. RCA could also be gauging his fanbase size to see how best and how much to promote Kris. JMO

  • Valentin432

    Releasing a better album isn’t a matter of time, if you have the inspiration then songs can come very quickly.

    Sure it’s great that Casey had the opportunity to write for a long time and try to connect with a country fanbase, but it’s not a reason to diminish the accomplishments from the past country idols even more so when Casey has still everything to prove as a viable country artist.

    As far as whose carreer will be better in two years? Predicting the future for the music industry is kind of hard so it’s impossible for new artists.

  • Anonymous

    I didn’t read this entire spiel, but to negate that he’s an idol alum, or that there are expectations for him to sell is a bit naive.  I like Casey.  I downloaded his cd.  It’s good, so this isn’t from a hater, just a concerned ‘fan’ who knows that Casey isn’t doing anything different that many others have attempted, in and out of the idol bubble.  You may think he’s not a bubblette, but yeah, he still is.  Also, why if he is so different from others, do you compare him, and them throw in poor Scotty and Lauren.  I will make a bet that both of them will still be making music in two or three years, just like Casey.  For the record, the much scoffed at Lee is doing exactly what you hope for Casey.  So is Crystal.

  • Anonymous

    I saw 104 adds, but that included rythmic and Canada Hot AC and Canda top 40.  I don’t see Kris getting too many rhythmic adds, but I do hope Canadian radio will embrace this song eventually.  HCR had 19 adds coming off a successful single.  Kris’ promotion has been, to date, twitter and internet buzz, working with his online fanbase for the most part.  All pretty low key.  It’s still in the early stages and Kris is no stranger to working the radio promotion circuit.  This song is doing very well with that in mind.

    I’m not sure what figures they’ve tossed around in marketing meetings about the profitability of going with the physical single at Walmart as opposed to something worked out with I-tunes, but I trust they’ve gone over it in detail.  One thing I do know I’m pretty happy about it because I love the remix and it’s kind of cool having it in a CD format, picture and all. I think most Kris’ fans have been scrambling around trying to find the single at Walmart or trying to order it online.  I believe the I-tunes’ numbers are in line with the single being available at Walmart, probably the first draw. and I-tunes, second.  

    Kris has the LITV (?) already planned, the Pet-palooza radio thing w/ Haley, his music video will be coming out and will get VH1 and hopefully MTV exposure.  That is what we are aware of, but I am sure there is more to come promotion-wise.   

    The adds this week were a little disappointing, but I’m not about to dance on TVOL’s grave just yet. CT is an Idol friendly State and I have yet to hear Kris on the radio, with the exception of LLWD.  I have little doubt they will hop on this song soon.  There is a schedule that we are not privy to and I doubt the powers are sitting idly on their hands.  The album will be coming end of May/early June.  I want the trajectory of the song to be perfectly aligned with the CDs release date.  tl;dr  sorry. 

  • Indigobunting

    Drats, I owe Margaritas :(  I was really thinking CJ would sell 30k.  Considering a bare minimum of 5k of his sales (since he did sell a decent 5k of the single his first week) are Idol fans, I’m sure the label was hoping for more, since he had an advantage (I can’t deny that, whether my faves release 1 year after their season or 2) over new artists and had good opportunities like Fanfest last year, Vegas, etc.

    I think he should be fine though; the label seems quite committed- he’s had great PR, been given a lot of time to make connections and they’ve pushed radio really well.  I wonder if they will keep pushing to try and make top 20 or save some resources for Drive?  I have no clue about hits…his album is decent, but so are a lot of Idol songs I like that don’t become hits…and yet I see awful songs like Camouflage or Bait a Hook move up.

  • Indigobunting

    Drats, I owe Margaritas :(  I was really thinking CJ would sell 30k.  Considering a bare minimum of 5k of his sales (since he did sell a decent 5k of the single his first week) are Idol fans, I’m sure the label was hoping for more, since he had an advantage (I can’t deny that, whether my faves release 1 year after their season or 2) over new artists and had good opportunities like Fanfest last year, Vegas, etc.

    I think he should be fine though; the label seems quite committed- he’s had great PR, been given a lot of time to make connections and they’ve pushed radio really well.  I wonder if they will keep pushing to try and make top 20 or save some resources for Drive?  I have no clue about hits…his album is decent, but so are a lot of Idol songs I like that don’t become hits…and yet I see awful songs like Camouflage or Bait a Hook move up.

  • Anonymous

    “My guy is happy. And he’s going to be able to do what he loves for the rest of his life. Whether he sells 13K or 100K or a million. He might win tons of awards and become a big “star.” Or he might settle into happyville where he makes the kind of music he loves and sells 10K or 15K every time he puts out music.”

    So exactly how is he any different than all the other Idols you dismissed? Where are Cookie and Archie and Crystal and Bo and Bucky and Taylor and Lee? Why, they’re still making the music that they love regardless of how much they’ve sold. 

    You insist that Casey is unique among idols all you want but music is still an industry and like everyone else in the business, at some point he’ll have to turn a profit.

  • Anonymous

    Yes, Casey is an Idol alum.  but you would never know that from TPTB at Idol. Nigel wants to forget about him and the entire cast of Season 9. Nigel wasn’t involved that year so he probably is trying to prove a point.  Whatever.  But consider the promotion that someone like Haley from Season 10 is getting.  CaseyJ got none of that and probably isn’t ever going to get it.  And let’s face it, promotion like that goes a long way.  So in that sense, Casey is on his own.  Nigel already negated him.

  • getgetaway

    Casey would have never been signed with American Idol. And yes, he is within the AI bubble. That’s still his greatest claim to fame.  That was the whole reason he came on to the show, he was already in his late 20’s, after struggling many years to make it in the industry.  Truth be told, he’s not doing any that different than his peers who came through the process.  He is also no more special or talented.

    It may be too early to write him off, but at the same time, it’s just as early to claim he will be the breakout star of Season 9.  I doubt his label is sitting around high fiving each other congratulating him on this week’s sales.

  • Anonymous

    Ah. Let’s see. Where are Lee and Crystal… and um… let’s see.. Gokey or Cookie or Archie? Or how about Bo or Bucky or Hicks?
    ——————–
    I do believe they are still making plenty of money singing, recording, and performing live.  Some have even branched out into other areas, besides singing and performing. I’m constantly amazed at those people who think performers aren’t doing anything if they haven’t sold a million records or aren’t on the Top 40 chart. Believe it or not, most of the best talent aren’t playing that major label game, uh, like 99.9% of musicians and singers.

  • Indigobunting

    “CaseyJ got none of that and probably isn’t ever going to get it.  And let’s face it, promotion like that goes a long way.  ”

    IDK, I thought the whole angle was to get away from Idol??  I think BNA has done a good job….the best of both worlds.  Idol name got CJ some good gigs newbies don’t usually get- like LP field at fanfest.  And a good Vegas spot- and he’s had better billing than other newbies since they know Idols know how to perform live.  He also got to open for Sugarland……before he even had a single on the radio or an album out- that was because of Idol I think.
    And they’ve done a good job getting him to play his album for music row, brought in the best country songwriters to help countrify him, got Tonight Show, Ellen Show.
    Very comprehensive radio tour….tons of country aircheck ads and I’ve had emails (from Nashville Country club and my local radio station) advertising the album.
    They put his song at half price at crucial moments to help sales, got it song of the day at itunes (free, to help album sales).  I got the album free by redeeming points at my country radio station-they had 5 copies to give away- so I’m sure many others had the same promo.

    I can’t complain about the job BNA & management has done, and I’m not so sure they even wanted an Idol appearance (although I think it would have been good).

  • Anonymous

    Maybe following what happens when an Idol is signed would be a good thing. It is not unusual not anything spectacular about label heads and peeps going out to see non winners before signing.

    Too bad Casey didnt care about winning, I think any time you go into a competition you should be trying your best.Hopefully for his sake he makes enough money to live on, because he may consider this the heyday of album sales.

  • Anonymous

    Man what I miss Casey James’s career is over after one week of sales, Scotty has to start working on his second album but it doesn’t really matter because him and Lauren are never going to make it (as defined as they will end up like Lee and Crystal ouch) anyway.  Someone should tell them because they are all really working hard to have a career.  Anyway if you want to feel better Carrie playing at the Orpy she sounds great.

  • Anonymous

    Oh Indigobunting, i couldn’t agree with you more. Lest you think i was complaining about anything BNA has or hasn’t done, rest assured, i was not.  i am continually impressed and pleasantly surprised by them.  i was only trying to make the point that i would not necessarily group him in with the rest of the Idol alums, because i do believe that anyone who makes Nigel look like the genius he thinks he is may have a promotion advantage. Casey certainly has reaped the benefits of many other of the alums, but not to the degree that someone like Haley has. 

    by the way, what did you say about the Tonight Show? i missed that.

  • Anonymous

    Hunter Hayes started at 18k and is now up to 100k with one semi hit.

    7 month later and still not a good seller.

    Even if S9 was a poor season it still had 18 million viewers and  they managed to buy some albums.

    Point is in every interview I saw of Casey they mentioned he was from Idol so for as much as his fans want it too not be true it is fact which makes him different from all of the other new artists out there.

  • Anonymous

    good job getting him to play his album for music row, brought in the best country songwriters to help countrify him

    I’m somewhat surprised he’s got the country support he has considering he never reallty was a country singer, more blues than anything IMO.  On the other hand, country seems to be more supportive of crossover artists (like LadyA, Rascal Flats, T. Swift, L. Richie) now than they are of true country artists.  Wonder how many truly country artists are waiting and hoping for just a few of the same opportunities he is getting.

    Not that I don’t like Casey’s voice, I do; it’s just another crappy thing the country genre has going on.

  • Anonymous

    I listen to country music. I have heard LDCIAN played on the countdowns, too.  Each time I’ve heard it, he is introduced as American Idol Finalist, Casey James.

  • iani

     “And it doesn’t help that so many of the current singles are going to
    HAC to compete with each other.  Unless you’re Kelly Clarkson on that
    format, your single is going to move slowly (and probably not sell a
    hell of alot of downloads to boot.)”

    It seems like HAC is the only “safe”, neutral and maybe cheaper format for an ido-single to go and have some decent radio-spins, out of the CHR format if it doesn’t have a certain dance beat or a chorus in your mind next second the song stops. Kelly’s songs in general have those hooks; her new single for example, she can tap her foot every 2 seconds, plus some keys words to go directly to your head at the end of almost every chorus’ lines with the right emphasis: stronger, taller…

    I wish things were different for Idols but the getting the debut single
    from the second album to hit has been struggle in recent years.

    It seems to me too, after your show-popularity fades away and you’re not an instant hit-persona anymore and of course the requested-hook is not there even though the song is good, PDs seem more reluctant to get the idol-singles immediately but stretching, waiting, testing, seeing whatever they are doing but not getting it right away even though you had good sales with your previous album. Look at Bieber for example, 104 adds this week only; I don’t know if the song is good or bad, but still…

  • Indigobunting

    Oh, yikes, sorry!  Didn’t mean to spread rumors :(

    Mis-type.I meant the ToDAY show- got my days and night mixed up, lol!

  • steph6449

    Other than Carrie, I think all of the AI country alums are still widely known and referred to as being AI graduates.  Maybe to a somewhat lesser degree for Kellie, but even in her case.

  • Mouse999

    Let me do some math. Population of USA is roughly 311,000,000. Assuming that average household is made of 4 peeps, we have about 80,000,000 households.
    Let’s assume that half of the households preferes urban and country music and this will live us with approximately 40,000,000 households. Adele doesn’t have to worry , she still have about 30,000,000 households that she can sell her album to.

  • Anonymous

    no problem.  you got me excited there for a minute though!  wish it were true!

  • Anonymous

    Absolutely. and Casey himself has no problem with that. i guess as a fan though, it’s a little disappointing that American Idol doesn’t treat him like an alum. they chose to ignore him in the audience last year and so far he has no invitation to perform even though he has an album out. but that could change so i am still holding out hope.

  • windmills

    DB987: Man what I miss Casey James’s career is over after one week of sales,
    Scotty has to start working on his second album but it doesn’t really
    matter because him and Lauren are never going to make it (as defined as
    they will end up like Lee and Crystal ouch) anyway.  Someone should tell
    them because they are all really working hard to have a career.  Anyway
    if you want to feel better Carrie playing at the Orpy she sounds great.

    Thank you.

    I for one am happy to see Scotty, Lauren, and CaseyJ making inroads in their own ways into the country world. They’re all doing things the way that’s right for them. I may try to be the country version of Ms. Know It All around these parts but even I’m not going to try to predict what’s going to happen in a few years. Far as I’m concerned they all genuinely belong there and I hope we’re still hearing country music from them in 2-3 years and beyond.

    Yeah, Carrie’s Opry set tonight was Wasted, Good Girl, I Told You So, and Before He Cheats. Quite a range and IMO GG and ITYS sounded especially fantastic. Love Wasted but Carrie had a bad mic that had to be switched out. BHC was snarky fun like always.

    steph6449: Other than Carrie, I think all of the AI country alums are
    still widely known and referred to as being AI graduates.  Maybe to a
    somewhat lesser degree for Kellie, but even in her case.

    Even Carrie’s widely known and referred to as an AI grad: usually in a neutral sense, sometimes in a positive sense but occasionally in a negative sense. Kellie’s gained some respect for veering off the path expected from a country Idol by going pure country but the references are often there for her too.

  • revcat

    I prefer pop over country but have seen Casey A’s music video on a television country music video several times and all I have to say is hot damn, is he cute! I also like his style of music. Country isn’t just about the twang these days; it has definitely branched out and Casey fits in just fine IMHO.

  • Anonymous

    i think you mean Casey J.  (the hot damn comment gave you away. lol)

  • Anonymous

    By the way, numbers aside, for those of you interested, check out any of the several reviews of CaseyJ’s album. The first few i read were pretty outstanding already, but as they continue to come in, they just keep getting better and better.  i don’t believe i have ever seen reviews as good as this for any former Idol that i can recall.

  • everything

    Ah. Let’s see. Where are Lee and Crystal… and um… let’s see.. Gokey or Cookie or Archie? Or how about Bo or Bucky or Hicks?
    Okay. I’m going to get in trouble with this one…. but how about Scotty or Lauren in two-three years?

    And where
    will Casey James be 2 – 3 yrs from now? If he’s at all lucky, probably doing
    what Lee, Crystal, Gokey, Cookie, Archie, Scotty, Lauren will be doing. I do
    not think he is more of any artist than of these people.

    When I
    hear that Casey had no desire to win AI, it says he wasn’t motivated, wasn’t
    competitive, did not push himself to do his best. I don’t think those are
    qualities his label would be too please about.

    Taking his
    time, etc. doesn’t necessarily guarantee any kind of success. No label will
    continue to invest in an artist if they can’t sell records. It doesn’t make any
    business sense.

     

  • Anonymous

    I think Kellie Picklers  had equally across the board rave reviews for her album 100 proof.  Kudos to both of them they both released great albums and while having those reviews does not mean they we’ll be successful it sure wont hurt.

  • Anonymous

    It seems like HAC is the only “safe”, neutral and maybe cheaper format for an idol-single to go and have some decent radio-spins, out of the CHR format if it doesn’t have a certain dance beat or a chorus in your mind next second the song stops. Kelly’s songs in general have those hooks; her new single for example, she can tap her foot every 2 seconds, plus some keys words to go directly to your head at the end of almost every chorus’ line with the right musical emphasis: stronger, taller, fighter, lighter…

    So true! Kelly does get the better songs, and she should. I guess I was so used to my other faves like Kelly and Daughtry doing well on the charts, that I was hoping for a roll out a little closer to what they had in the past. Then again, they earned their respect by producing multiple #1 hits over the years!

    It looks more like the season 8 guys are going to veer closer to the rule and not the exception. It’s time to lower expectations and enjoy the ride. Adam’s radio promo has been pretty fun following so far, as Kris’ upcoming promo will be.

  • LVD

     I for one am happy to see Scotty, Lauren, and CaseyJ making inroads in their own ways into the country world. They’re all doing things the way that’s right for them. I may try to be the country version of Ms. Know It All around these parts but even I’m not going to try to predict what’s going to happen with them in a few years. Wayyyyyyy too early. Far as I’m concerned they all genuinely belong in the country world and I hope we’re still hearing country music from them in 2-3 years and beyond. 

    I agree it interesting following all of the country idols, on their different paths. 

    And let’s see where will Casey James be 2 – 3 yrs from now? If he’s at all lucky, probably doing what Lee, Crystal, Gokey, Bo, Bucky, Hicks, Cookie, Archie, Scotty, Lauren will be doing. I do not think he is more of any artist than of these people.

    Casey was a full time musician before idol and he was respected in the Forth Worth music community. He wouldn’t be “lucky” if he is still doing music as that is exactly what he was doing full time before idol. He could even just be a guitarist if he feels so inclined, which I dont think he does, but he could and he has done it before. 

    I also do not believe that Casey had no desire to win AI. Because that would mean he wasn’t motivated, wasn’t competitive, did not push himself to do his best. I don’t think those are qualities his label would be too please about.

     

    It is all speculation, just because someone says they happy where they ended up doesn’t mean they didn’t want to win. This is an idol blog, but idol isn’t be all and end all. It is a period of 6 months in your life, and once it is over things change rapidly, and you have to fit into real music industry somehow, after a year or two most people wouldn’t even remember what you did on idol or what you didn’t do. After two years I am pretty sure BNA knows Casey’s personality, strengths and weaknesses much better then anything his time on idol can tell us.  

    Taking his time, etc. doesn’t necessarily guarantee any kind of success. The bottom line is that no label will continue to invest in an artist if they can’t sell records. No matter what Gary Overton said about Casey when he was signed, Overton will be the first driving that bus if Casey can’t deliver.

    That is true enough, there is no guarantees. 

    Casey will either fall or succeed, by the radio play he is able to get. It is actually a very similar situation to other idols like Adam and Kris who are on their second albums. Whether people like it or not the fact is, at some point being on idol wears off so to speak, and your status becomes more similar to any other artist. Casey has just placed himself in this situation earlier then most other artist coming from idol. 

    Of course his label would want higher sales, but they also knew what could be expected this week. They didn’t ship a lot of albums, his album is sold out at a lot of places. So they knew sales was not going to be high. But Casey’s first week sales is not going make or break him either, and it is the same story with anyone coming from idol. 
    It all depends on radio play, if radio is interested and if they playing your music then then there is a future for you because the label has a means to promote you and work with you in the future. It is the same whether you sell 10k albums in your first week or a 100k, if there isn’t a chance to promote you to radio in the future then a record label are not going to be interested. 
    With Casey it is a matter of waiting and seeing what will happen, country is very slow Casey’s first single is still going on the charts after 8 months,  right now we are still in the very early stages.    

  • meme4cj_

    Scotty McCreery, Lauren Alaina, Carrie Underwood, Bucky Covington, Josh Gracin, Danny Gokey, Kelli Pickler would beg to differ; as well as Easton Corbin.

    Jake Owen , Chris Young , Josh Thompson , Miranda Lambert would also beg to differ . The first 7 names you mentioned all released their music within just few months after finishing from their respective seasons ; As for Easton Corbin , thet’s also irrelevant comparision since he had 2 major hits at the time he released his debut . What most people tends to ignore in the blogosphere is if there is no potential radio play from your format , it’ll be useless to continue investing even if you had decent first album sales like what happened with Gokey or other “idols” . JMO!

  • Anonymous

    “if there is no potential radio play from your format , it’ll be useless to continue investing even if you had decent first album sales”

    I agree unless you’re a Susan Boyle phenom. That’s why Casey is probably okay even with meh first week sales. Country radio is responding well to his single.

  • escape

    I am not the bit surprise at the poor response to Casey’s CD. Casey supposedly is all about southern rock, country blues. This is sound. This is what makes him stand out, etc. But when it came time for the CD, there’s very little of that influence. And he was front and center with producing and writing the album.  I think he will have some initial curiosity with fans that remember him from Idol, but in the long run, I can see where it will be tough for him to be accepted with the more traditional Country crowd like Carrie Underwood, Scotty McCreery, Lauren Alaina, Bucky Covington have.

  • windmills

    ri2: By the way, numbers aside, for those of you interested, check out any of the several reviews of CaseyJ’s album. The first few i read were pretty outstanding already, but as they continue to come in, they just keep getting better and better.  i don’t believe i have ever seen reviews as good as this for any former Idol that i can recall. 

    Because it isn’t considered a high profile release and the media’s cutting down on the number of reviews they do in any given week, there aren’t many CaseyJ album reviews in major pubs. However, off the top of my head, Kellie (3rd album), Lauren, and Carrie have all gotten overall better reviews than CaseyJ’s debut been getting. There have been a few outstanding blog reviews of CaseyJ’s album, it’s true. But, the mainstream country media reviews put the album firmly in the solid but not outstanding category.

  • Anonymous

    Do the labels also get paid from radio stations when they play the music?  I thought someone told me before that the labels make money from the sale of the CDs and singles, and from radio play (and other various sources that use the music, such as sports teams, etc.)

  • Anonymous

    Do the labels also get paid from radio stations when they play the music?  I thought someone told me before that the labels make money from the sale of the CDs and singles, and from radio play (and other various sources that use the music, such as sports teams, etc.)  

    I don’t think the labels get any profit from radio play.  I think that Congress’s view on that is the same one that they have for artists, the labels will make their money from people hearing the song, and going out and buying the music.   Some artists are lobbying Congress to pass legislation that would require radio stations to pay them a fee for playing their music, and I think that the major labels support that, because it would mean that the stations would have to pay them too.

    Radio stations do have to pay songwriters.  

  • Anonymous

    I’m not sure what you mean when you say radio stations have to pay songwriters.

  • Anonymous

    abbysee…very well said :) As a Lee fan I know he is knee-deep in getting out his 2nd post Idol album. (his 5th album but who’s counting:) Like Casey…and like many Idol contestants…. music is the only avenue many of them want to pursue. Supporting my favorite is what makes me feel good at the end of the day. Kudos to all of them for having the tenacity to deal with this difficult industry and for believing in themselves.