With 4 of the original 7 girls of the American Idol 10 Top 13 now history, and the 6 boys left relatively unscathed, It’s time to lose some boys. My new list has a girl on top and a gaggle of boys sharing the bottom spots.

Check out my list after the jump. What’s yours?

1. Pia Toscano – Can Pia win American Idol? On one hand, she’s beautiful and pitch perfect. On the other, her song choices are predictable, making her ripe for a Tamyra Gray-like shocking boot. For this week, Pia tops my list. Yeah, she sang another ballad. But, she sang it really well and the judges LOVED her. If she nails a few uptempo, contemporary tunes, she could secure her place at the top. Idol is soooo due for a female winner.
2. Scotty McCreery – I also question Scotty’s ability to win Idol. He’s really popular, knows who he is as an artist, sings reliably well every week. But, can he pick up new fans as the others drop off? Will his inability to stretch into other genres hurt him? I think Scotty’s position is still strong, but he has to reveal some versatility if he’s to go the distance.
3. James Durbin – James  does his rock thang reliably and entertainingly every single week. His personality is beginning to win people over too. Doesn’t hurt that the judges love him.  He’s a very likely candidate for the Top 3.
4. Casey Abrams – Casey’s strong comeback with a lovely “Your Song” last week, finds him hopscotching up the list. But, he’s got to continue to sing well if he hopes to finish in the Top 5.
5. Lauren Alaina – Lauren’s poignant “Candle in the Wind” won her major points and helps  secure her finish in the Top 5.   She could finish even higher if she can handle the pressure.
6. Haley Reinhart – Haley growls her way out of the bottom 3. She’s figured out what the judges want, so I expect she’ll just keep it up. On the strength of those growls and her short shorts, Haley could be sticking around for a few more weeks.
7. Jacob Lusk – I expected Jacob to be the first male elimination. Now, I actually think he won’t even be the second. He’s got another week or two, and could go even farther if he can get his over-singing completely under control.
9. Stefano Langone – Unless Stefano comes back with a WOW performance, his days are numbered.
10. Paul McDonald – Ditto for Paul, who has been mostly a disappointment since Hollywood.

 
  • http://www.lindafoltz.com linda2u

    Elek –

    I find your comment that Christians “Betrayed” Adam downright offensive. I’m a Christian – regular church attender, pray often during every day – and yet I was (and am) a huge fan of Adam. I voted for him continuously during the whole time allotted and I went to four of his concerts on his tour last summer (two while still wearing a brace recovering from a broken ankle that was a result of a fall while exercising to “Rabbit Hole”). Please don’t assume YOUR prejudices are facts.

    As far as who’s going to win Idol — it depends on who actually votes. If you look at Twitter followers, Casey and Scotty keep going back and forth on the most – yet Casey was voted off. If you look at itunes and the positive ratings, Scotty has the most. Country fans are known for their devotion … so IF Scotty’s fans truly are voting continuously through the two hour period (and later when it’s four hours), then he has a good chance to pull this thing off.

    Pia could turn things around if she showed some of the cool spunk that she showed during Hollywood Week when she sang “Grenade”. I LOVED her on that song, but she has bored me silly since the top 24. It would be one thing if she took a ballad and sang it in a unique way that blew my socks off … but she’s just been repeating other people’s versions, more or less. I’m kind of surprised, actually, that the judges haven’t used the word “karaoke” for Pia’s singing …. because she HAS been copying the divas … Barbra, Celine, Mariah.

    IMO, James’ best performance was his metal performance on the show. His voice is a little thin – certainly doesn’t have the richness or fullness of Adam’s. And it seems like he’s trying to figure out who he is …. tail (almost too similar to Steven’s scarves), spikes, etc. I didn’t care for his Elton John week performance at all … would have MUCH preferred that he do a slower song like Rocket Man.

    Jacob may be a surprise. IF he can stop over-singing (and if you watch his interview on on EW you’ll see that he’s “getting it” that he doesn’t need to wail on every song), and make excellent song choices, he may end up going far. He is the only person of color left …. and if people vote for him, he could be in the top few.

    I remember Season 8 – no one really saw Kris being the winner early on … the judges were pushing Adam and Danny …. and I don’t think anyone would have predicted that Allison would have been the last girl standing (although I still adore that girl). But Kris nailed it with a few performances. His “She Works Hard for the Money” during disco week was truly unique and completely changed my opinion of him. Then Kris pulled out an incredibly good acoustic version of “Heartless” in the finals … that I think may have ended up winning it for him. It didn’t hurt him that a lot of the Danny voters probably went to him instead of Adam.