Scotty McCreery remains at the top of this week’s power list.  At this point, I think the competition is his to lose.  Maybe Idol audiences will grow tired of his Josh Turner knock-offs, and eliminate him early. But the kid has an enormous likability factor going, so I’m not sure it matters if he branches out at this point.

How would you rank the Idols this week? Post your list in comments!

Power list after the JUMP…

  1. Scotty McCreery – I’ve got to remember to switch my overall pick in the Idol pool to Scotty. I think he’s the leader of the pack right now.  I can’t think of who, in this bunch, will be able to overtake him at this point.  Scotty is sure of who he is and exudes confidence on stage. Those two qualities are going to keep him on top.
  2. James Durbin – I get the sense that southern/country voters are more dedicated, but James’ performances are generally crowd pleasing.  The judges love him too. I think we’ve got our Top 2 right here.
  3. Lauren Alaina – I bet the producers would love an all-teen all-county male/female finale. But I doubt that will happen. First, there’s a matter of vote splitting. There’s never been a Top 2 made up of contestants from the same genre. But the time contestants make it to the top, vote splitting knocks winnows the field down to an eclectic group. Lauren’s performances have revealed a lack of confidence, and tentativeness that will cut short her run to the top.  Oh, and there’s that matter of having….A VAGINA. At this point, I can’t see her placing higher than 3.
  4. Casey Abrams – Casey has found his niche. Mr. upright bass jazz guy Revolutionary!  Well, not really, but it seems to be working for him. He’s got a good chance to end in the Top 5
  5. Haley Reinhart - Haley’s “Call Me” last week was lackluster, but she totally redeemed herself the next night, even upstaging Mr. Revolutionary Jazzman himself, Casey Abrams when they duetted on Charles Mingus’ “Moanin’”. Haley’s star is rising.
  6. Jacob Lusk -  If Jacob sings well this week he could be sticking around.  He could even outlast some of the others.  But if he goes back to lecturing America and/0r over singing, he’s toast.
  7. Stefano Langone – Unless Stefano has an incredible week this week, I think his number will be up this week.  If he performs 1st or 2nd? He’s toast.

 
  • googletot

    1. Scotty
    2. Lauren
    3. Casey
    4. Haley
    5. James
    6. Stefano
    7. Jacob

  • tinawina

    Funny, I was just starting to think Scotty may be beginning to lose steam. I’ll wait and see what he does this week.

    Other than that I agree with your list.

  • EdmondWayne

    1. Stefano
    2. James
    3. Lauren
    4. Scotty
    5. Haley
    6. Jacob
    7. Casey

  • larc

    googletot says:
    5. James

    I have a feeling you could be right about that. It was surprising that James got the pimp spot again last week since he just had it 3 weeks before. TPTB know what the vote numbers are. My guess is they did it to keep him out of the B3. James is more a poseur than a real rocker, IMO. It wouldn’t surprise me to see him be a “shock” elimination within the next 2 or 3 weeks.

  • http://untitlement.wordpress.com vorona

    I agree with MJ’s order, but I wouldn’t rule out Lauren taking James’s spot in the finale. Nigel loves the teenage “sweetheart” trope. He tried with Molly and Nathan on SYTYCD the season before last, and last year he ran with the more successful Kent/Lauren duo. I loved Kent, so that was no problem for me, but I am still hoping for James to make the final two.

  • lili_anne7

    Scotty has the biggest fan base, but I think that as the others get eliminated, their votes might go to James or Lauren. Therefore Scotty could possibly lose at the finale. He’s a one trick pony, and unless people like that trick, I don’t see him gaining new fans. James on the other hand is entertaining and changes it up every week, so I can see many people voting for him at the finale. If Lauren steps it up, I can also see her gaining new fans.

  • standtotheright

    There’s never been a Top 2 made up of contestants from the same genre.

    Except for last season, when they were both folk-rockers. You can debate about whether or not one was more alt-leaning and one was more roots-leaning, but at the end of the day they both played a lot of acoustic guitar and listened to some of the same bands.

    I hope the girls bring it this week.

  • weelassie

    ditto with MJ’s list.
    would love to see Scotty do something totally out of the blue and out of his element. He has the voice so he really can sing anything. give it a try scotty, u might surprise yourself. :)

  • leome

    1 – Lauren (I think she’s gonna pick up more from now on)
    2 – Scotty (As weeks go by he’ll sound more and more the same, and I think that gives room for Lauren to pass him, seeing as she can do more and better than him)
    3 – Casey
    4 – James
    5 – Haley
    6 – Stefano (He’ll never go away)
    7 – Jacob

  • emmuzka

    I agree with MJs prediction for the top 2.

    Overall, I’ll change Stefano one up and Jacob one down, because teen girls are better at power voting than people who vote for Jesus.

  • leome

    because teen girls are better at power voting than people who vote for Jesus.

    OMG Lmao. I cracked up.

  • hooch

    MJ I love you but I have to disagree with this.
    Lauren’s performances have revealed a lack of confidence, and tentativeness that will cut short her run to the top.

    I think she has been borderline cocky since Candle but it looks like TPTB told her to tone it down. “Natural Woman” was way underrated but she sang that like a touring pro imo and she KNEW she hammered it, you can see it in her face.

    Last week in one of the behind the scenes recaps, the guy at EW was calling her the Belle of the Ball because it seemed to him like she took over.

    Of course I freely admit I’m totally biased towards her so I may be way off base here.

  • PamReid

    I also agree with MJ’s order, but if one of them manages to have a “moment” it could change things up a bit. Thinking about song choices for them this week (which is like throwing rocks in the ocean), there is a possibility for a true moment for one of the people down the power scale, provided the RIGHT song is available for him/her to sing and how well he/she does with it. I see Scotty doing another Josh Turner song (he is cute, but it is too bad he doesn’t look like Josh Turner) and that is playing it real safe for him. The thing about that is that I don’t think the voters care that he is a one trick pony.

    I am hoping the Lauren goes upbeat, confident and really sassy this week and that Hayley digs deep into that bluesy, jazzy soul of hers. James will choose well, no doubt.

  • bmms

    I think we’ve got our Top 2 right here.

    Maybe. But, Scotty will win AI S10! :-)

  • bmms

    Scotty has the biggest fan base, but I think that as the others get eliminated, their votes might go to James or Lauren. Therefore Scotty could possibly lose at the finale. He’s a one trick pony, and unless people like that trick, I don’t see him gaining new fans.

    Completely disagree. Scotty maybe a one trick pony to some. But, Country fans are loyal to the end (as am I). I would not be one bit surprised if its Scotty & Lauren in the finale. With James in 3rd place.

    My List -
    Scotty
    Lauren
    James
    Jacob
    Casey
    Haley
    Stefano

  • phil25

    My power list is exactly the same as MJ’s. There needs to be some standout performances or train wrecks for that order to change in the coming weeks. Jacob’s number however is more likely to rise or fall because I think he is less dependent on power voters so performance order and actual performance will be much more important for him than the others.

    My personal current ranking:
    1. James
    2. Lauren
    3. Stefano
    4. Casey
    5. Scotty
    6. Jacob
    7. Haley

  • Mary102

    Once, again – pretty much completely agree with your list, MJ!

    I think Scotty will win it all – and I think another big thing in his favor is that he attracts a very diverse fanbase – it is not a niche at all – many country and non-country fans love him. Girls find him cute, grandmas want to bake him cookies. He’s non-controversial or threatening, he’s got everything in his favor, imo.

    And IA James looks like the most likely #2. With the 2 of them facing off, I think Scotty will take it all. Unless James’ backstory wins him enough last minute sympathy votes (always possible). But I think he is ultimately too polarizing to win it all – it will be the closest to a Kris/Adam finale we’ve had, essentially, lol.

    I think Jacob and Stefano will have to duke it out to keep from getting cut next, unless Haley makes a huge mistake (she is unpredictable, so it’s definitely possible).

    If I had to rank based on personal preference/strength, I’d go with:

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Lauren
    4. Haley
    5. Casey
    6. Stefano
    7. Jacob

  • bmms

    6 – Stefano (He’ll never go away)

    LMAO!!! Agree. Anyone that stands next to Stefano when the bottom 3 are selected will go home. :-D

  • Holden

    I also see a Scotty v. James finale. My vote would go to James because I think he’s more versatile, having performed songs by Judas Priest and George Harrison equally well. Scotty, however, will probably be the one getting the confetti shower. The guy with the more wholesome image has the advantage (see Kris v. Adam).

  • jammasta

    MJ, your list is TOTALLY spot on. Lauren may overtake James (possibly Scott), but at the same time, she’s a girl. I also think she’s the most fragile. One shot to the esteem and it’s nighty-night. In a few weeks.

    As long as the Top 4 MJ has is our Top 4 I think we are good.

    Stefano still has the hot guy vote, so he may outlast Jacob and/or Haley. Wouldn’t be the worst thing ever, he is talented but he has only had 2 really good performances, mostly okay ones, but some suck.

    I still kinda like Jacob. I was a bit too harsh on him two weeks ago (but I did hate the way he butchered Alone.)

    Haley has grown so much from my most disliked contestant this season to someone I’d see in concert. After she butchered Fallin’, her performances have gotten better and better (still really close to average, but much better). Her performance with Casey last week was outstanding, I hope America can grow to appreciate it.

    Scotty/James finale FTW! I would probably not vote because they are both great.

  • Trina

    IF they do the right thing this week Stefano or Lauren probably should go last by now and James should go first. IIRC the earliest hes gone was in the #4 position so going first should be a good test of the fanbase. IMO hes too polarizing to make it as far as Top 2.

    When was the last time a final 2 that was predicted really early on actually happened? I dont know why I keep feeling like Haley or Casey is going to knock Lauren out of the predicted Top 2.

    Stefano has a lot of young fans, if it was a matter of tweens powervoting I dont think he would keep landing in the bottom 3.

  • Kirsten

    He’s a one trick pony, and unless people like that trick, I don’t see him gaining new fans. James on the other hand is entertaining and changes it up every week, so I can see many people voting for him at the finale.

    Really? James seems to sing the same song every week to me. Has he ever not ended a song with a big old rock wail near the end? He even had a gratituous and unnecessary one to end “While My Guitar Gently Weeps”. Ugh. And everytime he does one of those back bends, I weep. We get it, dude, you can do a back bend. And don’t forget that little rock jump he frequently uses to punctuate the music. He needs some new tricks.

    Heavy Metal/Hard rock is an extremely narrow market (most current fans wouldn’t watch Idol, but I suppose there are enough that have fond memories of when it was big back in the day to keep him in it for a while). I don’t see him picking up votes from Pia or any other idol. Maybe from Stefano because they are being portrayed as BFF.

    I don’t think TPTB would spend so much time propping him up if he didn’t need it. I will grant that his throwing himself about the stage is more entertaining than standing there and singing with your eyes closed (Stefano).

    I suspect that when they will want him to go, they will finally send him out first and nix all his big pyro ideas. They’ll probably also give him a lame song to sing and that will be that (perhaps a song about penguins). Perhaps they will try to pretend it is a shock boot.

    Haley’s duet last week definitely raised her profile, so I see her stock going up. She may end up the last girl standing. Casey probably has the most to gain from Paul voters, but based on chatter here, I think that Scotty might pick up some as well. I think that Jacob will do okay for a little while if he avoids lecturing America.

    Lauren needs to pick it up this week because she may have lost some voters to Haley. She needs a moment. Stefano needs one too, but who knows how long he will haunt the bottom 2 before he is gone.

    Meanwhile, will we get the Huff this week? If the producers are cruel, they will make James do it. Maybe Stefano who has become like Rasputin in his abiity to avoid death. I wonder if they will be super cruel and pull a Constantine/Adam Huff where the Huff is actually in the bottom group (and in Constantine’s case, he got sent home). Both of those were not Final 7 Huffs, though (Constantine got it at 6 and Adam at 5).

  • springboard

    I think that Lauren is going to win, she is going up in polls/ratings whereas Scotty is starting to slide down.
    I can see him finishing third, and James second.

  • weese

    1.James–Doesn’t just sing metal so has a broader appeal than Scotty(I hope).
    2.Haley–people will not forget that duet. It was the moment of the season. I don’t necessarily think she will stay here.
    3.Scotty–People who don’t usually like country like him. People who don’t usually watch idol are watching because of him. I don’t get it.
    4.Lauren–I think she will get a contract. She and Scotty will be marketed together.
    5.Casey–I could see him rising and getting some of Pauls votes.
    6.Stephano
    7.Jacob

  • Kirsten

    IF they do the right thing this week Stefano or Lauren probably should go last by now and James should go first.

    Stefano, Lauren and Scotty are the only contestants to have never sung last. James has sung last twice.

    James, Stefano and Halley are the only ones to have never sung first. The earliest that Stefano and Halley hae sung is second. The earliest James has sung is 4th (top 12 night).

  • claudette

    If Lauren gets her confidence back and isn’t so tentative she could win it all. She has so much potential. She wears her heart on her sleeve, and needs to not be so emotional.

    Kelly Clarkson endorsed her last week as her favorite, and Paul said Lauren is the one he will miss the most in an interview Thursday night. Little girls love her (loved Pia too), and Moms can see her as a 16 yr old girl struggling to grow up fast and figure it all out.

    So, I think Lauren will be in the final with James. So, switch Scotty with Lauren. James will win though. Someone has to get the cougar power votes.

  • STROUBLE2

    Great: Scotty
    Lauren
    Ok: James
    Hailey
    Stefano
    Go Home: Casey
    Jacob
    The final two should be Scotty and Lauren

  • bmms

    I think that Lauren is going to win, she is going up in polls/ratings whereas Scotty is starting to slide down.

    ‘Whatever’ polls mean nothing! When PIA was still in the competition (rightly so). She was in several polls in the #1 spot. And?

    Didn’t Nigel the douche bag declare last week or a few weeks that its Scotty & Lauren with the most votes? (I’ve completely lost any little respect I had for that heartless bitch). :-D

    I declare a Scotty & Lauren finale because they both fall under the Country genre. But, Scotty will win. But I would be THRILLED to see Lauren in the finale! I think the reason Lauren would not win is not because of her weaknesses but because AI already has discovered its female country star! (LOVE CARRIE). But, AI does not have a male country star.

    All my votes are now going to Scotty & Lauren. James will not win nor come in second because its the same old, same old. (3 rock guys in a row). Mind you James is one of my favorites this season. But, he will not win and I doubt he will be the first runner up.

    As we get closer to the Top 3, the rest of the contestants do not matter. Lol.

  • sma11ie

    I agree with your list, MJ, except I think Casey is actually practically on par with Haley. I know he was out of B3 and she was in it last week, but I think they’re in the same position right now. They have fans trying to save them, but I think each week is still a crapshoot for both. I’d love to see Haley kick it into high gear and stay longer than Casey actually. I also hope Lauren has a “moment”. She really needs to bring back that spark and confidence if she’s to make the finals. Go remaining two Powerpuff Girls! Do it for Buttercup Pia!

    Didn’t Nigel the douche bag declare last week or a few weeks that its Scotty & Lauren with the most votes?

    Wait, I missed this?!

  • http://www.dancin.ca dancin

    what polls is lauren goin up in?
    i love her voice but i just dont see a girl winning this show ever again
    hope i’m wrong that said
    i think mjs list is pretty good but personal taste i would rather it be scotty n lauren in the 1/2 spot

  • bmms

    James will win though. Someone has to get the cougar power votes.

    Highly unlikely. Once there is a COUNTRY artist in the season and in this season there are 2. All other genres are shot to hell. The Country genre is hot, hot, hot. Speaking of cougar, I’m no spring chicken, lol. But, all my votes are going to Scotty & Lauren. They have been my #2 (Lauren) and #3 (Scotty) all season. :-) Now Scotty is my #1 and Lauren is my #2.

  • t2

    There appears to be a lot of Lauren love out there. I think if she gets put early in the line-up before final 4, she will at the very least be in B3, maybe going home too. To me, she’s not very memorable — BUT Ai PTB and the judges love her — so what do I know?

    eta: Haley had the performance of the season on the results show, so it will be interesting to see how that plays out as well.

  • springboard

    ‘Whatever’ polls mean nothing! When PIA was still in the competition (rightly so). She was in several polls in the #1 spot. And?

    The trend is always important, in my opinion, and the trend for Pia was down when she was eliminated, as is the trend for Scotty now. I don’t think that he is at risk for the time being, and things can change, but if they carry on as they are now, he won’t win. ..IMHO…

  • musicality

    I would like to see Lauren 1st or 2nd. I would like a Scotty/Lauren finale. To me it would be ideal for a female to win this thing. It’s been a long time coming. Unfortuneatly the female voters vote for the guys. It’s too bad because Lauren could really have a strong career. Personal preference Lauren #1, Scotty #2, Haley #3, Casey #4, James #5, Stephano #6, Jacob #7

  • leome

    I always thought Lauren was pop. But then the show seems to want her to reveal her country side and I suppose there’s a reason for that, maybe they want her to get votes from that part of the audience.

  • larc

    Kirsten says:
    Meanwhile, will we get the Huff this week?

    If we do, I hope the victim is stubborn as a mule and refuses to go along with it.

  • Swind

    I’m not sure if anyone knows what’s really going on this season of AI. I think we’ll have one country and one jazz in the finale. Once the other country and jazz contestant is gone, the other will get a good amount of their votes. My guess is Scotty and Haley for the Top 2. I have this strange feeling that the judges/producers want Haley till the end, hence why she got all the credit for the duet over Casey.

    As another poster said, James is a poser and NOT a real rocker. If Chris D. can be knocked out 4th and Constantine can be knocked out 6th, I don’t see James making the top 2.

  • songsungblue

    I see Lauren winning, since the ‘winner’s arc’ on AI is almost always improvement. She could still knock one out of the park, Jordan-style. I also think TPTB have been wanting a new Carrie – she’s been, if not the best, then the most consistently selling winner [I would argue that Fantasia and Kelly are still the most gifted, but that’s just one lone opinion ;)

    Here’s my best guess:

    1. Lauren
    2. James
    3. Scotty
    4. Jacob
    5. Haley
    6. Casey
    7. Stefano

  • IdolThoughts

    Although I enjoy many of their performances, I wouldn’t buy ANY of these kids CDs. I think the only one that I would have bought would be Paul. And some of the early boots like Lauren and Kendra.

  • tawny

    I think the contestants are in the right halves in the list but the exact order with this group is a toss up.

    Scotty had his worst performance this last week – off key – problems with the back up singers – ear piece. Maybe TPTB are messing with him. (or not?) I also think he needs to pick more well known songs to stay in this. He obviously knows what people say about his stage flaws. I wonder if he will ever attempt to correct them at all. NC where I would presume he gets a lot of votes from had tornado damage this weekend. Will that hurt him this week?

    James is playing the game smart. Using connections to get him extras on stage. What will he think of next?

    I think TPTB want a Lauren win and backed off the pimping because it was back firing and she’s doing well enough in the votes to not need a lot of help at this point.

    Casey is still a wild card for me. Could see him knocking one of the above out.

    Stefano is out this week unless Haley gives a poor performance or Jacob makes another mirror comment. Still hard to believe Jacob survived that.

  • weese

    I really think James feels rock in his soul. His outfits and poses are rock stereotypes but I think his singing is coming from a real place.
    I’m not sure the guy could be a poser–I get the feeling that he is pretty unfiltered and genuine.

  • larc

    IdolThoughts says:
    Although I enjoy many of their performances, I wouldn’t buy ANY of these kids CDs.

    I wouldn’t sit through a solo concert by any of them either. This is the first season of Idol I can seriously say that about.

  • tomr

    It’s time for Stefano to make his move. He has the potential to pass them all. Lauren has been coached or is afraid to not show some earlier personality issues. Accordingly, she could win this as she is somewhat less annoying. Scott need to slay a song previously done by a female country music star. James can only go so far with his screaming and with his somewhat mediocre voice. Casey is interesting and may sneak into the top three, Jacob and Haley have only a limmited amount of time left (1-3 weeks). All in all, I think that TPTB will get their wishes with Lauren taking it all unless someone pulls off a “moment” soon.

  • AddictedToMars

    Here is my power list:

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Lauren
    4. Casey
    5. Jacob
    6. Haley
    7. Stefano

    Here is my personal list

    1. Lauren
    2. Casey
    3. Scotty
    4. James
    5. Stefano
    6. Jacob
    7. Haley

    I think if one of the country singers are in the final, they will win. I think Scotty will easily beat the rest of the contestants. I think Lauren’s only chance of winning is if Scotty’s not in the final 2 with her.

    At this point I can see Casey outlasting James and sneaking into the top 3. James is all smoke and no substance IMO. He’s entertaining but vocally he’s not up to par and I don’t think he’s as much of a favorite as people think.

    I think it’s a toss up between Stefano or Haley to go home this week depending on their performances.

  • madnessinmotion

    mj, let me start by giving you a huge thank you for putting all of the performance videos in one place. I really enjoyed listening to James over and over this weekend and can’t wait to own a CD of new James Durbin music.

    That being said, my power list is:
    1. Scotty (major likability even among non-country fans)
    2. James (major likability but not much crossover potential)
    3. Lauren
    4. Casey (interesting but can’t nudge Lauren out of the top 3)
    5. Jacob
    6. Haley (talented and interesting but female)
    7. Stefano (good singer but boring)

    Just a thought….James could take it in the finale. My 67-year-old dad is a huge country music fan and James is his second favorite after Scotty. Hmmm, that still puts James in second place. Scotty seems unbeatable at this point.

  • plays strings

    I can’t see Scott losing this thing. I still think Lauren is hanging back, accidentally or on purpose, and I look for some strong performances coming up. But, she is a girl and unfortunately I agree with the suppositions.

    Casey gets my vote but won’t win for the same reasons Crystal didn’t win last year.

  • Valentin432

    I think if she gets put early in the line-up before final 4, she will at the very least be in B3, maybe going home too.

    Lauren is the constestant who on average has the earliest performance slots.

    Lauren: 5.57
    Casey: 6
    Scotty: 6.57
    Haley: 6.57
    Stefano: 6.57
    James: 6.71
    Jacob: 7.43

    She’s avoided the B3 so far.

    I always thought Lauren was pop. But then the show seems to want her to reveal her country side and I suppose there’s a reason for that, maybe they want her to get votes from that part of the audience.

    Lauren has always been country, her pre show videos are mainly country songs, she auditioned with a Faith Hill song, performed a Reba song in the semifinals and choose a Shania Twain song for Idols week.
    I believe it’s very clear that she’s country, altough with more pop crossover potential than Scotty.

  • calimari

    I think it’s time Stefano gets the pimp spot. If he gets that, he should last another week & maybe we can finally say good bye to Jacob.

  • Nina1

    Funny, I was just starting to think Scotty may be beginning to lose steam. I’ll wait and see what he does this week.

    Me, too. I liked him (although I don’t really think he should win this), but he started to bore me last week; I figger if I’m bored, others must be, too.

    Lauren A. is not strong enough. She could win if she really brings it, but if she doesn’t, I’m going to look at Haley, who may have pulled in votes with her duet.

  • KayGee

    My Power List:

    1. Haley
    2. Stefano (slipped down after Wednesday’s show)
    3. Scotty
    4. I don’t care
    5. I don’t care
    6. I don’t care
    7. I don’t care.

    Those are the only 3 I would vote for. As each of mine is picked off, I will add the other to the voting rotation. Thus far, I have only voted for Stefano and Haley. If one of them leaves, I will change to Stefano/Haley and Scotty. If all 3 of them leave, I won’t vote for anyone.

    My demographic – SBF 50+ (If that tells you anything about who votes for whom.)

  • Buffynut

    If he performs 1st or 2nd? He’s toast.

    Yup! And I think the order, this week, will tell us a lot about where the producer’s heads are! Producers as in Nigel and Ken, not Iovine.

  • jammasta

    Funny thing is that James said he has tried country music before, and I believe his fiancé is a country music writer. I wonder if he can flip himself on his head (if that’s the right phrase, lol)

    Scotty or Lauren will get the pimp spot. They’re front runners (apparently) who have never had it yet. I wonder if it’s because of last year’s Lilly and Siobhan eliminations.

  • http://www.huckleberryfriendmusic.com/ huckleberryfriend

    I still believe haley is going to make it into the final top 3, so I have her moving up a little.

    1. Scotty
    2. Casey
    3. Lauren
    4. Haley
    5. James
    6. Jacob
    7. Stefano

  • Pam

    That’s a good point about Lauren mj but especially this:

    Oh, and there’s that matter of having….A VAGINA.

    That’s probably the only thing working against her at this point. Those rankings look pretty good to me.

  • nprins

    This is what I think WILL happen…not necessarily what I want to happen

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Lauren
    4. Haley
    5. Casey
    6. Stefano
    7. Jacob

  • Hazehel

    I’ve said before that it’s hard to predict who will get to the Top 2 this year, and it’s still true. I’m sure Scotty is popular at the moment, but I don’t know where he is going to find new fans when some of the others get eliminated and we get closer to the Top 2. So far he is too one-dimensional to have the broad appeal needed to pick up new fans.

    I do think however Lauren has a good chance of getting to the Top 2. She has a good voice, but I do think she is too young to fully understand what works with her voice. All she really needs is to find a right song, just sing it simply and not try anything too fancy, and she can have a moment. The quality of her voice is good enough. Jordin Sparks did it with I Who Have Nothing, and Lauren could also get to the Top 2 with just that one right song.

  • shooby1213

    I really think some people are underestimating James’s popularity.
    I live in the biggest city in FL and they talk about him ALOT on the rock station and if Idol is brought up anywhere I am most of them are saying they are voting for James.

    And some are saying he got the pimp spot last week because the producers are scared he doesnt have enough votes hahahah
    I would feel so bad for another contestant going afte that performance and Zakk Wylde.

    Adam went last more than others and performed mostly twords the end.

  • Trina

    I have no idea at ALL how James is doing vote wise. He can be teetering near the bottom like Pia for all I know, but I don’t understand the uproar over him getting the pimp spot again in a span of 3 weeks. He’s hardly the first they pulled that with. David back in season 7 got it Top 10 week, Top 6 week and Top 3 week..I’m pretty sure Adam got it multiple times too. I totally get not liking the OTT staging but not the whole pimp spot issue. They’ve never been all that fair with performance order.

  • bjames

    A Scotty and James finale was the only thing I DID NOT want to happen when the top 24 was announced. Looks like it’s coming true.

    Hoping so bad that Lauren or Haley can somehow squeak through.

  • halo9125

    Jordin Sparks did it with I Who Have Nothing, and Lauren could also get to the Top 2 with just that one right song.

    I’m not sure if Lauren has that level of performance in her. Jordin’s “I Who Have Nothing” is yet another example of a track I still listen to- all of the overproduction this year has not helped these kids in the least.

    At this point, though, I feel the need to hope Lauren does get into the finale- but I dunno- they have been doing major pimping of Haley for weeks now, it wouldn’t surprise me if she makes it to the top.

    And have I said lately- enough Scotty already? I used to like him, but now he is getting on my last nerve.

  • LoveDaRocker

    I believe Scotty and Lauren will be top two.
    I don’t think tweens will go for James as much when we get to the final 5 or so. He has been very entertaining so far, but I don’t see him growing his fan base the way Lauren can.

    And, I believe Lauren will win the whole thing. Idol has gone this year as far as acknowledging their no-female-love situation (J-Lo did in a critique), so I think they will help Lauren perform (which I think is her only problem). As the duets have shown, head to head, Lauren has a far more better instrument than Scotty, and a more pleasant sound. Enough, I think, to overcome her Vijajay problem.

  • tinawina

    I think James has gotten the pimp spot more than once because he keeps going for the big showstopping entertaining buzzworthy moment. That’s what gets you pimp spots on this show.

  • bmms

    he got the pimp spot last week because the producers are scared he doesnt have enough votes

    That’s silly! The pimp spot is ‘rotated’ (so to speak), week after week. Producers scared? Now that is hilarious!

  • bmms

    Funny that even when placed to go first (do or die), it doesn’t make a difference for Scotty. He’s the guy to beat! :-)

  • Trina

    BTW the day they were recording James posted twice indicating he was very excited about his song choice. Either he found a hair metal song he loves released the last 10 years lol or he just might attempt something different this week. I dunno. But I thought it was interesting he seemed so happy with his pick considering a its a more modern theme. Honestly? If he does go all OTT this week again he probably deserves a bottom 3 trip.

  • hooch

    It would not surprise me if Lauren was already practicing for her top 4 pimp spot moment.

  • songsungblue

    Agreed, tinawina. Their impulse is not fairness, but good television. I don’t care for his performances, but ending on a ballad-meh note is never good for votes. And it’s hard to imagine Scotty rocking the house and all.

    Mind you, I Who Have Nothing is just about the only thing Jordan has ever sung that I’ve liked. Just don’t care for her genre. Still, that was a fabulous choice. It showed emotional range plus vocal range. So I think they’ll move heaven and earth to give Lauren that same sort of push, and get another girl winner. It’s pretty clear that they aren’t leaving song choice entirely in the contestant’s hands this year.

  • bmms

    I have this strange feeling that the judges/producers want Haley till the end,

    And the producers and judges wanted Adam & Danny ’til the end too!

  • bmms

    head to head, Lauren has a far more better instrument than Scotty,

    And the least better instrument won Season 8 & Season 9. :-D

  • http://www.myspace.com/gundomom CarieB

    I agree with mj’s list except I would put James slightly ahead of Scotty for now. Vegas odds still has them 2/1 with everybody else having way higher odds.

  • tinawina

    I have this strange feeling that the judges/producers want Haley till the end,

    Well then they have a lot of shoring up to do, because the girl was in the bottom 3 just last week. To me she is looking like someone who is highly dependent on the good will of casual voters. That’s not how you get to the finals. That said, I hope she builds on the momentum of her duet with Casey and brings one home Wednesday, since I think there are a lot of people still out there shopping for a favorite and I’d like to see her turn into a real contender.

    Come to think of it… when was the last time Casey touched to B3? Not since the night he was saved, right? And Jacob escaped that fate even though he went first last week. It will be interesting to see if either avoids it this Thursday.

  • jodeb

    I really think that Jacob may go this week. Was it co-incidence that his probation was announced by TMZ, so that it can be buzzed about all week until the show is over? Who knows?

    Will Scotty have the *nerve* to sing Long Black Train again by Josh Turner? Will it matter?

    I would like to see Stefano sing Grenade by Bruno Mars again. I truly think their voices are very similar and he could have a moment with it. I know though that Stefano will *hang* if he repeats Grenade from Hollywood Week, whereas Scotty will just get a standing ovation if he *repeats* Long Black Train.

  • claudette

    I think Jimmy is really hoping Lauren can pull out a win. She is everything that Idol needs – a true teen crossover star who can sing pop and country. Those teens/tweens buy music and go to concerts. He even told her that he expects a lot from her.

    Lauren is getting more endorsements from eliminated Idols, old Idols, and even Ellen tweeting her that she was behind her. Lauren had a moment to Lauren fans in her previous duet, and Haley had one this week. But it’s really going to be who has the most solid fan base who can add new fans. The judges are always harder on Haley.

    Jimmy already has his “older” pop star in Pia. Wow, the producers are itching to work with her in the next few weeks. She’s got so many people, most importantly Jimmy behind her. I bet Jimmy is praying Lauren wins to attract that lucrative young artist. Pia plus Lauren would be possibly gold to him. Then he can consider niche artists like Paul and Casey.

  • Tess

    I have a gut feeling that James is still riding the “back story” gravy train, and like what has happened in past years I don’t think it will carry him into the finals as other fandoms loose their idolettes and switch votes. Besides, I too, think that he has shown little ability to change his “rock” persona…he has his musical ticks (and not talking about his physical ones) that scream “cover band” and Saturday night bars. Sure, he can slow down a song or speed one up but that doesn’t show much of an ability to move out of his box.

    Scotty, too, is more “boxed” in than most past idolettes. But what he has going for him is that “he knows” his box, is totally comfortable with it, and has “chosen” to emphasize his genre of choice and to play to the fans who like it. I think he is inordinately comfortable with sinking or swimming doing what he likes and does best. Scotty doesn’t seem to be “playing” the game of Idol as much as trying to develop a following that may have the opportunity to back him once the show is over. And staying “true” to himself may help him in the long run since so much has been made of the fact that past contestants have sunk in the real world when their post idol stuff didn’t match what people liked about them on Idol. The kid seems pretty smart, very down to earth and “normal”, and since his pre idol career was just starting he hasn’t had time to think he is better than what AI can help him develop.

    My top two “wishes” are Scotty and Lauren (because I think she has the most diversified potential of anyone this year). After that I don’t really care because, for me, the others don’t seem to have a sound or an “it” factor that would appeal to me post idol.

  • J9BT

    Trina says:
    04/18/2011 at 3:09 pm
    BTW the day they were recording James posted twice indicating he was very excited about his song choice. Either he found a hair metal song he loves released the last 10 years lol or he just might attempt something different this week. I dunno. But I thought it was interesting he seemed so happy with his pick considering a its a more modern theme. Honestly? If he does go all OTT this week again he probably deserves a bottom 3 trip.

    James also tweeted that he was at the Rod Stewart/Stevie Nicks concert “doing homework” and commented about how legendary they are. Do either of these performers tend to go OTT (I’ve never seen them live)?

    Honestly, I don’t think he will be in the B3 for going “OTT” when he’s the most exciting performer on the show right now; however, it’s possible he’ll be in the B3 just due to the fact that his genre of music (metal rock) is far less popular than country or pop. Right now James is my favorite remaining contestant, but I won’t be shocked if he goes out in the 4, 5, 6 range.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    It’s funny. I see Lauren’s stock slowly dwindling, despite the judges pimping. I am not sure she’ll make it past 4 at best.

    Of course, these things change week to week. I agree that Scotty and James are in the top. Hopefully, Lauren or Haley can sneak up on Scotty and get in the finals.

  • Holden

    And the producers and judges wanted Adam & Danny ’til the end too!

    I agree that the judges showered Gokey with much more praise than he deserved. They should be glad he didn’t make the finale because there would have been zero suspense. Adam would have blown his doors off. Kris peaked at just the right time and made it a dogfight. My vote was for Adam, but I like Kris too, so I wasn’t upset that he won.

    Actually, I was hoping for an Adam v. Allison finale that season. That would have been an awesome rock throwdown.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Scotty, too, is more “boxed” in than most past idolettes. But what he has going for him is that “he knows” his box, is totally comfortable with it, and has “chosen” to emphasize his genre of choice and to play to the fans who like it. I think he is inordinately comfortable with sinking or swimming doing what he likes and does best. Scotty doesn’t seem to be “playing” the game of Idol as much as trying to develop a following that may have the opportunity to back him once the show is over. And staying “true” to himself may help him in the long run since so much has been made of the fact that past contestants have sunk in the real world when their post idol stuff didn’t match what people liked about them on Idol. The kid seems pretty smart, very down to earth and “normal”, and since his pre idol career was just starting he hasn’t had time to think he is better than what AI can help him develop.

    I think James knows his box as well as Scotty knows his. I prefer James’ box, but maybe that’s just because I have him as my overall pick in the pool. ;-) Nah, Scotty bores me.

    ETA: And, for the record, I like country. Especially old school and alt.

  • http://mjsbigblog.com/luvadamlamberts-american-idol-tour-2009-washington-dc-re-cap.htm luvadamlambert

    ITA

  • bmms

    I still believe haley is going to make it into the final top 3,

    Seriously? After being in the bottom for what 2 or 3 times already? Of course, with Paul’s elimination the streak was broken of another female going home. But, this does not mean that Haley will not be the next one to go home. I feel Lauren will be the last girl standing and going into the finale. Plus, Lauren’s fanbase is larger than Haley’s. No competition there.

  • Tess

    I think James knows his box as well as Scotty knows his.

    Of course James “knows” his box. But James’ problem is that his box was popular 30 years ago and isn’t a potential sound for him post idol…that makes it more important for him (like Cookie and Adam and Kris) to make sure people know he can sing and perform outside of that box. And as yet he hasn’t done that.

    So boxes are good when the sound has post idol potential but it can be “iffy” if it isn’t something that can keep the fans around post idol. We have many past idolettes who have had to struggle with this.

  • bmms

    I think James knows his box as well as Scotty knows his. I prefer James’ box, but maybe that’s just because I have him as my overall pick in the pool. Nah, Scotty bores me.

    Hmmm. Flashback Season 8! Many commented the same about Kris vs. Adam. And mind you I’m a HUGE Adam fan. But, America loves ‘safe’ and ‘boring’. I prefer Scotty’s box! Although I don’t find Scotty boring at all. Pure country and country strong all the way! :-D

  • claudette

    Jimmy and the producers are looking for potential. You aren’t supposed to be perfect on Idol. That’s the point of the show. To me, Carrie grew and developed a TON after Idol.

    Pia and Lauren can be developed into great pop/teen pop-country. I didn’t vote last week because I really wanted to throw too many of them votes. ha. I have voted a lot for Haley, Paul, Jacob, and Lauren (one week for Scotty). I’m going to just concentrate on Lauren I think – I want a girl to win and I think she can be developed.

    I think James has the most solid fan base and he’s a lock to win for me. Casey will pick up Paul/Stefano/Haley votes so I wouldn’t count him out. If he makes the finale, he’ll win over James. Sentimental factor would be huge.

  • aakash988

    Time to vote for James! haha

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Of course James “knows” his box. But James’ problem is that his box was popular 30 years ago and isn’t a potential sound for him post idol…that makes it more important for him (like Cookie and Adam and Kris) to make sure people know he can sing and perform outside of that box. And as yet he hasn’t done that.

    I get your point about viability post-Idol. However, I don’t think most people care about that when they pick up the phone. It’s a television show more than anything else. I think the recent records of our winners show that people aren’t voting for who they think is the most commercial, but for who they like (for whatever reason).

    For me, for you (sorry, can’t resist), James puts more into his performances than Scotty. But I’m not particularly invested in him. My overall fave is Haley.

    Hmmm. Flashback Season 8! Many commented the same about Kris vs. Adam. And mind you I’m a HUGE Adam fan. But, America loves ‘safe’ and ‘boring’. I prefer Scotty’s box! Although I don’t find Scotty boring at all. Pure country and country strong all the way! :-D

    Ah, but Kris was a pretty interesting contestant, with the way he rearranged Heartless and did other stuff. I wouldn’t compare him to Scotty.

  • weese

    I think James has gotten the pimp spot more than once because he keeps going for the big showstopping entertaining buzzworthy moment. That’s what gets you pimp spots on this show.

    And what keeps people watching the show till the end. It is all about holding your audience and building momentum during that 90 minute episode.

  • koshka

    Of course James “knows” his box. But James’ problem is that his box was popular 30 years ago and isn’t a potential sound for him post idol…that makes it more important for him (like Cookie and Adam and Kris) to make sure people know he can sing and perform outside of that box. And as yet he hasn’t done that.

    So boxes are good when the sound has post idol potential but it can be “iffy” if it isn’t something that can keep the fans around post idol. We have many past idolettes who have had to struggle with this.

    This sums up my frustration with James. I hope this week brings current, updated music. Both Scotty and James have so much potential, but they’ve done very little to show it. The biggest excitement I get from them is that one *might* sing in his full range and the other *might* jump off something or burn something on stage – very predictable.

  • chicksineggz

    I still think Haley will be the last girl standing… or maybe that’s just my wishful thinking.

    And I still don’t think Scotty will win.

    If Jacob and Stefano go next it’ll be a decent-ish top 5.

  • Swind

    bmms says:

    04/18/2011 at 3:56 pm

    I still believe haley is going to make it into the final top 3,

    Seriously? After being in the bottom for what 2 or 3 times already? Of course, with Paul’s elimination the streak was broken of another female going home. But, this does not mean that Haley will not be the next one to go home. I feel Lauren will be the last girl standing and going into the finale. Plus, Lauren’s fanbase is larger than Haley’s. No competition there.

    Fanbase is important, but you’re forgetting the way AI directs the casual vote. I find it a little strange that the judges directed all the attention on Haley last week by giving her the only bad critique on the night. This wouldn’t be that important if it wasn’t coming off of the shock 5th girl/Pia elimination. MAYBE this got her casual votes, because people thought she was in danger? Also the standing ovation and the judges swooning of Haley in the duet with Casey the following night. Seems like the producers and judges are trying to single out Haley from the rest of the pack to me. Hhmmmmmmm

  • Indigobunting

    You are probably right MJ; but I wish it was different. I wish Lauren was up there.

    Jimmy and the producers are looking for potential

    I agree. It’s why they pimped Danny.
    I think Scotty has potential, but believe Lauren has more. I didn’t start out liking her because of her personality, but she really is a great singer, at such a young age-huge potential and flexibility (in contrast to Scotty). James is my fave, but he is old school (but many thought that of Adam also). I think James has a solid fan base too.

  • cfletch

    I guess I don’t understand who people think Scotty should be. He’s country, pure and simple. If he came out one week singing rock, and the next reggae, the next rap – then people would wonder who he is. Same with James. They are who they are.

    I really don’t think Idol wants Lauren to compete with Carrie Underwood. She’s way more timid than Carrie was during her run on AI4. I also think the older hens in the country world would eat her alive. Not so with Scotty, he seems more confident of who he is.

    I don’t want Lauren to win just to have a girl win. I think that’s the wrong motive because after this show, the winner still has to make it in the real world.

  • halo9125

    Seems like the producers and judges are trying to single out Haley from the rest of the pack to me. Hhmmmmmmm

    Could be- I almost feel like one day, the producers said to themselves, “Pia doesn’t exude enough sexuality, and Lauren’s nerves might not hold up- let’s pimp Haley- because she is blatantly sexual, and seems to have nerves of steel.”

    I think a lot is going to happen between now and the finale- I sense a shock boot this week, we haven’t had one lately, lol.

  • gangreen29

    Haley and Jacob are the wildcards for me. I think there is a good chance they could be eliminated this week, but I could also see a scenario where they make the top 3.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Could be- I almost feel like one day, the producers said to themselves, “Pia doesn’t exude enough sexuality, and Lauren’s nerves might not hold up- let’s pimp Haley- because she is blatantly sexual, and seems to have nerves of steel.”

    Considering they are already saying they’re gonna sign Pia, I would argue they were frustrated that she left.

    Perhaps Haley is still there because some peeps like her and her voice. I mean, it could be that simple.

  • http://www.twilightslo.com Mateja

    As far as post Idol potential goes, Lauren and Scotty are way ahead of everyone else. We all know what they will do post Idol – country/pop and traditional country. Sure, they are young and 19 will really take care of them and yeah, label will have to find the right material for them.

    I would put Haley in third place as far as potential goes. She has a good voice, and looks great. What I don’t know, what kind of mainstream music would she release post Idol?

    Then, we have a big, big gap. Actually no, there is Stefano. But the way he performs every week, I just don’t know.

    Okay, the others:

    James – I don’t see him do rock or metal on a major label. Really. But I understand, he is the rocker this season and AI audience loves rockers of all kinds. I admit, I would laugh so hard if James and Scotty made it to the finale and then James won.

    I don’t see Casey in the finale. He doesn’t belong on a major label and would be a flop commercially.

    And then we have Jacob. Yeah, I don’t see it.

  • Ringo

    I wonder the impact of departing contestants on their fans. Now that Paul has left, and if Stefano or Jacob leaves, where goest their constituency? I don’t think the majority simply stop voting, at least this early on. Do they vote for a country singer? Or do they vote for the singer who has recently had a moment, who is suddenly peaking?

    Also, in the past, early pimping meant an inevitable 2nd or 3rd place finish (I’m thinking Melinda Dolittle, David Archuletta, Adam Lambert, and Crystal Bowersox). I think the two are related because when one’s favorites get booted, the tendancy could be not to vote for the front-runner who you were earlier rooting against (In other words, you vote against the front runner by voting for the next favorite). This year could be different because, without Simon and Paula/Kara, there is no contestant who has been identitied as the predicted winner — they are all pimped without qualification (except Haley and, perhaps, Stefano).

    I also think it’s interesting that for all the predictions that it will be a country singer, we have only had one voted in the top 3 in all the years of AI (Carrie); at least as far as I recall. There have been a majority of winners from the south, but most of those were either R&B or contemporary artists. (Kellie, Rueben, Fantasia, Carrie, Taylor.) Plus, the recent winners seem to come from the Midwest or the new Midwest (AZ) (Jordin, David Cook, Kris, and that guy last year).

    Finally, I don’t think it was Charles Mingus’s Moanin’ that Casey and Haley sang (as stated here and elsewhere). It was the Art Blakey Jazz Messenter’s song of the same title. Sorry, but it had to be said.

  • Nina1

    I also think the older hens in the country world would eat her alive.

    And roosters, too! :-)

  • cfletch

    I also think it’s interesting that for all the predictions that it will be a country singer, we have only had one voted in the top 3 in all the years of AI (Carrie); at least as far as I recall.

    Casey James was in the top 3, as was Danny Gokey, and both went country.

  • Hazehel

    I guess I don’t understand who people think Scotty should be. He’s country, pure and simple.

    No one is expecting him to be anything else. What we do want however is someone with more depth, not someone who just sings one kind of country songs with a permanent smirk on his face.

  • Swind

    pj says:

    04/18/2011 at 4:23 pm

    Could be- I almost feel like one day, the producers said to themselves, “Pia doesn’t exude enough sexuality, and Lauren’s nerves might not hold up- let’s pimp Haley- because she is blatantly sexual, and seems to have nerves of steel.”

    Considering they are already saying they’re gonna sign Pia, I would argue they were frustrated that she left.

    Perhaps Haley is still there because some peeps like her and her voice. I mean, it could be that simple.

    PJ it could be that simple, but AI is NOTHING but simple. Too much money, ratings, and reputation are on the line.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Casey James was in the top 3, as was Danny Gokey, and both went country.

    Keyword is “went.” Gokey started as rnb and Casey was more rock. It was less of a stretch for Casey, but neither presented themselves as “country” like, say, Carrie, Kellie, Bucky, or, in this season, Scotty.

  • Mary102

    LOL – glad I’m not the only one who sees a Scotty/James finale as basically a repeat of the Kris/Adam finale – and in both cases I think the outcome will be the same – the safer, less polarizing guy winning.

    TBH – I wouldn’t be surprised if Nigel was pushing for this finale too – because it would cover two very different styles, and thus attract a polarized crowd for the finale.

  • Tess

    the safer, less polarizing guy winning.

    I guess this is directed at Scotty…but to be honest I don’t find James polarizing or unsafe. I think he is a nice safe carbon copy of the metal rock that came before him. His personality is pretty young, fairly humorous, and very “wide eyed”. I don’t think the kid has “lived” enough to have any kind of an edge and he is more sugarly sweet than hot sauce tangy. No grit to be found. He might try to convince us that he has a sharp metal edge but he is much more teflon coated.

  • tinydance

    I don’t find James polarizing or unsafe

    Of course James “knows” his box. But James’ problem is that his box was popular 30 years ago and isn’t a potential sound for him post idol.

    Yeah, I agree on both points. There hasn’t been any new metal band act in years. The style that James sings is outdated at this time. Right now Country is pretty popular. So Lauren might do OK.

  • Ringo

    Casey James was in the top 3, as was Danny Gokey, and both went country.

    I know that Gokey was never sold as, and did not sing as, a country artist during the the season. I thought that Casey was sold as a blues artist, not country, but I’ll give you half a point there. What I am talking about is a 100% only country artist like Lauren or Scotty (who seems to be 100% traditional style country artist).

  • tinydance

    You can start off old style Country and go modern Country. That would be an easier transition, then let’s say R/B to Country or Rock to Country. Because many times Country fans know when someone is really not a Country fan, but just trying to play one, like Gokey. Danny admitted he never even heard of the Grand Ole Opry.

    Country fans watch AI and know who is doing Country and who was not.

  • sr4mjc

    I guess this is directed at Scotty…but to be honest I don’t find James polarizing or unsafe. I think he is a nice safe carbon copy of the metal rock that came before him.

    I find him polarizing in an obnoxious 10 year old boy sort of way, I can see why he and Jericho get along. That WWE personality is douchey. But I do agree that he’s a carbon copy of 1986 metal. I have no idea why anyone who want him to win, he’s neither got the voice or the marketability to give Idol a successful winner. ETA: I wouldn’t be shocked to see the bus start backing up soon for James, if they ever start critiquing vocals.

    I guess that leaves me on Team Lauren/Scotty for future potential and I really liked what Haley did with Call Me on her recording although she’s a long shot.

  • tinydance

    James is also egotistical. He has shown that on several occasions.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    It takes a certain amount of ego to get on that stage and want to be a star.

    I think Scotty is cocky, tbh. That doesn’t lesson my opinion of him as a performer. He’s not my fave, but I admire how nothing seems to faze him. Talk about healthy self-esteem… he has it in spades. And good for him.

  • tinydance

    Talk about healthy self-esteem… he has it in spades. And good for him.

    I think they all have that, and that is why Simon was great at critiquing the contestants. Casey, Jacob and James have shown that they have that also after their comments finishing their performances.

  • tinydance

    I don’t see the Casey love. He is ugly, fat, and is only to get more ugly and fat. Also Jazz isn’t a big seller. He is not that great of singer and he is pimped all the time. Plus he can’t handle the pressure. He was a waste of the save and is gross looking. I think he will FLOP big time after Idol.

    Haley is actually a better singer than that gross thang.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    I think they all have that, and that is why Simon was great at critiquing the contestants. Casey, Jacob and James have shown that they have that also after their comments finishing their performances.

    Actually, I think Pia was lacking a bit chutzpah. I think Karen said she was very insecure. But mostly, yes, you need to have a thick skin or get out of this business.

  • tinydance

    Pia came off as to prissy to me. But somehow I believe Simon would’ve liked her. Simon was stuck in the Mariah-Celine diva love era.

  • Idolnewby

    Tess….

    Scotty, too, is more “boxed” in than most past idolettes. But what he has going for him is that “he knows” his box, is totally comfortable with it, and has “chosen” to emphasize his genre of choice and to play to the fans who like it. I think he is inordinately comfortable with sinking or swimming doing what he likes and does best. Scotty doesn’t seem to be “playing” the game of Idol as much as trying to develop a following that may have the opportunity to back him once the show is over. And staying “true” to himself may help him in the long run since so much has been made of the fact that past contestants have sunk in the real world when their post idol stuff didn’t match what people liked about them on Idol. The kid seems pretty smart, very down to earth and “normal”, and since his pre idol career was just starting he hasn’t had time to think he is better than what AI can help him develop.

    This has to be the best summary of my “Scotty” thoughts in the last month! Can we pre-order his album yet?

  • koshka

    ETA: I wouldn’t be shocked to see the bus start backing up soon for James, if they ever start critiquing vocals.

    Thats the theory I backed last week as well. Jimmy is probably plotted his demise as I write this. LOL

  • Tess

    Talk about healthy self-esteem… he has it in spades. And good for him.

    My very favorite personality trait and the one that draws me into someone is “healthy self-esteem”. Without it people are pretty damn blah and often very boring individuals. I see nothing wrong with “if you’ve got it flaunt it”….and have never liked the advise of some that someone should hide their own attributes not to be thought of as cocky or egotistical.

    It might drive Miss Manners or Emily Post or grandmother up the wall to see kids own their talents or uniqueness or skill but I much prefer that to any shrinking violet. That is why I have been so angry with the treatment that Lauren has received from some sources. High spirits and confidence and a high intensity look on life is vitality important, in my opinion, and for people to be ridiculed for living their lives that way just shows, to me, insecurity on the part of those who abhor that type of personality.

    I think the nice thing about our final 7 is that they all seem to have confidence and vividness in their personas and they all will do well in the real world of entertainment.

  • cfletch

    This has to be the best summary of my “Scotty” thoughts in the last month! Can we pre-order his album yet?

    I can’t wait to buy a Scotty album. And, I’m reading all over the blogosphere from people who don’t like country, but like Scotty and will buy his album.

    Contrary to what some think, he isn’t losing fans, he’s gaining them and that’s why he stays true to his roots. He’s smarter than most give him credit of being.

    Lauren may have the pop cross over appeal, but, her personality is off putting to so many. Sure, she’s young, but, I envision her as the little smart ass at school who thinks she’s all that. JMO.

  • tinydance

    Someone who went to the show posted this on another idol board;

    Casey’s mother is the most involved stage parent out of all of the Idols. She is constantly running across the studio to meet fans of her son. She lugs Casey’s father along with her and they stayed to chat longer than any other parents in the audience…

    aaah….apparently this seasons Idol stage mother turns out to be Casey’s mom, who would’ve guessed.

  • halo9125

    Lauren may have the pop cross over appeal, but, her personality is off putting to so many. Sure, she’s young, but, I envision her as the little smart ass at school who thinks she’s all that.

    She certainly does come across as the kid who is always talking back to the teacher. But don’t cry for Lauren, she’s being voted for by other little smart asses, lol.

  • lili_anne7

    Thats the theory I backed last week as well. Jimmy is probably plotted his demise as I write this. LOL

    I think James is starting to piss Jimmy off haha. The way they got at it last week was hilarious. When James was like ” that is the hook, this is what I’m doing” and jimmy was like “do you think i’m an accident”. Jimmy just wants a yes man, someone who will do exactly what he/she is told.

  • kmd

    I think it is going to be a Scotty/Lauren finale. I wish it was a Haley/Casey finale or even James in the final 2. I just think Scotty is highly overrated and I like country music.

  • tinydance

    Petty much all of the contestants have told Jimmy that they want to do songs they want and do them their way. The only one who seems to be following Jimmy’s advice is Stefano.

  • tinydance

    Casey would be a flop. He is not even a better singer than Taylor Hicks…lol

    Taylor is even better looking than Casey…and that is not saying much.

    Also Jazz is not a big seller. Haley is more versatile than that gruesome Casey.

  • lili_anne7

    Lauren may have the pop cross over appeal, but, her personality is off putting to so many. Sure, she’s young, but, I envision her as the little smart ass at school who thinks she’s all that.

    How is Lauren’s personality more off putting then say someone like James? James is kind of full of himself, and at the beginning I remember hating his guts. Now I’m kind of used to his personality, so I don’t mind him anymore.

  • musicality

    I agree that Scotty is boxed in but he’s in the hottest selling box there is going nowadays ie country music. James is boxed in but he’s boxed himself into one of the least popular genres ie heavy metal. Plus he has this white trashiness about him. The problem is too with James that when he slows it down all his vocal flaws really start showing. I agree that Casey may end up being a tough sell along with James. But Casey’s features are good and he doesn’t have a trashiness about him so clean him up, introduce him to rice cakes, find him some good material and he might sell well. Scotty/Lauren/Haley are the most marketable & likeable of the group. If Stephano starts pulling some “Moments” he could rise up the ranks.

  • tinydance

    Casey also can’t handle the pressure of the music business. The music business is constant pressure and a hectic schedule. I don’t think he can handle that.

    Idol has been babying Casey after his illness, but in the real world that is not how it works. Imagine a Record Company having to cancel shows because he got sick.

  • halo9125

    How is Lauren’s personality more off putting then say someone like James?

    Having worked with kids with Asperger’s and Tourette’s, I can overlook James’ obvious personality flaws. He really is quite the success story- I honestly don’t know how he does what he does each week.

  • tinydance

    If by chance Scotty is knocked out in a surprise elimination. It is possible for Lauren to beat James and win, but many of the old Soul Patrolers are in LUV with Casey. So it might be a Lauren/Casey finale. If Casey wins, he would be a flop, but never underestimate frustrated house wives and older women. They make up another large voting pool. They will probably vote for Casey now that Paul is out.

  • sunchick

    apparently this seasons Idol stage mother turns out to be Casey’s mom, who would’ve guessed.

    Now I’m so trying not to picture Casey’s mom as Howard’s mom from The Big Bang Theory…

    I still think if Lauren makes top three, she might have a stealth last chick standing fanbase that could squeak her past James and/or Scotty to the finale. Especially if Haley goes out after Casey. Casey’s votes>>>Haley, then Haley>>>Lauren.

  • Swind

    chicksineggz says:

    04/18/2011 at 4:08 pm

    I still think Haley will be the last girl standing… or maybe that’s just my wishful thinking.

    And I still don’t think Scotty will win.

    If Jacob and Stefano go next it’ll be a decent-ish top 5.

    We have very similar thinking patterns. If we get a Haley/Scotty finale, I do think Scotty will come out on top and I’m actually fine with that. The last couple seasons the runner-up has become more famous than the winner, so that’s cool with me.

    Team Growl (Haley) FTW!!!

  • claudette

    I don’t get the smart ass comments about Lauren. Pia LOVES her and is always tweeting her love for her and that she is her angel and favorite girl and little sister.

    Paul said in an exit interview that he will miss LAUREN the most. Naimi said she was close to Lauren and like a mother to her. Thia just LOVED Lauren. Lauren is so emotional about people leaving. Only someone with a big heart, one that really cares about others, and wears their heart on their sleeve does that. (imo)

    IDK, just my opinion, but I somehow don’t think some jerk would be loved by so many. Young girls are relating to Lauren and Pia because they are likable and seem nice. Lauren seems like the “girl next door” who is really 16 with all sorts of insecurities. If you see young message boards filled with Taylor and Bieber fans you will see them saying they relate to her, she seems fun and the person they’d like to be friends with. Of course, I don’t know her so just my opinion. And I guess this is a singing contest so these things don’t really matter.

  • tinydance

    As the season progresses Scotty will start getting Gokey/Archie type hate from the housewives (and AI bloggers) . So I would not be surprised that he could go home earlier than most people think, leaving a space for Lauren to make it into the finales.

  • Trina

    I kinda hope Casey does pull off a win. Lee could lose the title of the worst winner!

    They’re already attempting to clean up Casey’s looks and I still find him unattractive and I dislike the faces he makes even more. He’s another ones who’s vocal flaws come out when he’s not growling so I don’t see anything more remarkable about him.

    If Jimmy wants a “yes man” he better start pushing for Stefano and start bussing Scotty too. Scotty probably WILL win, and yeah good luck with him saying yes to everything Jimmy asks.

  • Valentin432

    ITA Claudette.

    I will add that the whole group of girls that were eliminated during group rounds were happy for her and supported her and that the guy who interviewed the contestants for EW has repetedly said that Lauren (along with Paul) was his favorite of this group.

    We can (and we do) all make assumptions based on what we see on tv but every reaction I’ve heard or read from people who have been in contact with Lauren have been very positive.

  • tinydance

    I kinda hope Casey does pull off a win. Lee could lose the title of the worst winner!

    I actually think Casey might win. Since Paul went home early, I think many of the frustrated housewives will focus their “luv”, I mean attention to Casey. He is Taylor Hicks 2.0.

    I think he is getting more votes now than people think. After his “illness” Casey has become the prized pig and pet of Idol.

    I believe that Casey might just win. I think it might be a Casey/Lauren or Casey/Scotty finale. Scotty and Lauren willl be hated and seen as the ‘most pimped’ by fans and media. Casey will win or come in second in a ‘shock’ elimination. The ‘underdog’ (Casey) will have beaten out the villains….then Casey will sell LESS than Lee.

    That is how the ‘script’ is usually played out every year.

    LOL

  • gangreen29

    I kinda hope Casey does pull off a win. Lee could lose the title of the worst winner!

    No, it would still be Lee. It will always be Lee lol.

    Casey’s votes>>>Haley, then Haley>>>Lauren.

    I could see this happening.

  • Soberba

    My power list, based on personal taste:

    1. Lauren (I can’t believe she’s my number one)
    2. Haley (and I didn’t really like her until the duet – best performance of the season)
    3. Casey (my original favorite)
    4. James (overrated, but good)
    5. Scotty (good, but boring as hell)
    6. Jacob (inconsistent)
    7. Stefano (way overdue).

    I can’t believe right now my favorite is Lauren. She’s too imature and I used to dislike her a lot. Not because I didn’t like her singing, but because of the crying and the pouting. If you want to be a professional singer (don’t matter how old you are) don’t cry and pout when people criticize you. That’s just childish.

    My problem with Scotty is that he’s just a kid too. I don’t see him as an artist or a professional singer. For me he’s just a kid (I love you grandma!) with an interesting voice playing a singer on American Idol. Plus, he sings the same thing every week (doesn’t he?). I’m not gonna be pleased if he wins. But I’m gonna make a lot of jokes about Idol “nuts of wonder”.

    Basically, after Pia left, and James sang “my guitar gently weeps” (what a let down that was), I have no one to root for. I’m left with Lauren. So you go girl. And if Haley keeps in the same track, maybe I can get into the Haley train.

    I think a JamesxScotty finale would be boring as hell. But my favorite never wins, so what do I know?

  • Nativenewyorker

    As far as predicting what older women like myself like or who they vote for, let me just say that as far as I am concerned this is definitely Scotty’s to lose. I am in complete agreement with mj’s assessment of him. I like him and this is coming from someone who never listens to country music. His charm and likeability are extremely appealing and then there’s that bass/baritone voice. I don’t know that it matters if he changes it up or not. He has stayed pretty close to his country zone and it’s working for him. I would have loved to see him do “Everybody’s Talkin” last week. I think that might have been a real moment. However, I can understand him wanting to stay true to who he is and not take any chances, especially the week after Pia was voted off.

    I agree with James in second place and that this will be the likely final two. I stated on another blog that I didn’t think Lauren would make it to the final two with Scotty, given that they are both country singers. Only one can make it and Scotty has the “y” chromosome. Again, mj’s reasoning is absolutely spot on for me.

    Where I differ is in placing Haley above Casey. I am not entirely sure about this, but I feel that after her duo performance with Casey, in which she just blew the roof off the place with her vocals, she may have gained some momentum. I could be wrong, but for now I have her in fourth place with Casey right behind.

    Jacob and Stefano – does it really make a difference? Since Jacob has survived some horrendous performances and telling America to look in the mirror, he must have a decent fan base. He has been better the last two weeks, but I am pretty much done with him. His singing drives me crazy with that ugly vibrato, more like a really ugly tremolo. Maybe he stays on another week.

    Stefano has appeared to be on the chopping block for a while now. This could be it for him.

  • cfletch

    I don’t see Casey winning. Anyway, I found this tidbit about Scotty. Seems he won a contest called Clayton Idol, then went on to a NC statewide contest called, Rip The Hallways. It was to be a contest featured on Time Warner, but, never materialized. He was featured in their promo video for the show. You can check it out here:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3049UvjtOsw&feature=related

  • halo9125

    I don’t get the smart ass comments about Lauren. Pia LOVES her and is always tweeting her love for her and that she is her angel and favorite girl and little sister.

    One thing I can tell you about Pia- she loves everybody, that’s just her way. And I did find it very endearing when, earlier in the season (when Lauren found out she was safe and Pia was already on the couch) she put out her arms and said “Pee Pee” (Pia’s nickname), lol. It very well might be that the way Lauren comes across and the way she REALLY is are 2 entirely different things….

  • lili_anne7

    @tinydance, you seem to not be a big fan of Casey LOL.

  • koshka

    As the season progresses Scotty will start getting Gokey/Archie type hate from the housewives .

    What? Why? LOL

  • chessguy99

    I agree with MJ, except in the case of James. IMO, the second pimp slot was to show America, this is not your Idol. A good third of his performance last week was Zakk’s guitar solo. James also screamed half the rest. While the performance was good, taken for what it was, IDT mainstream Idol voters liked what they saw and heard. Add to that, Jimmy Iovine telling him not to do that song, and James saying straight out, that this is what he was. I don’t see James picking up much new support and probably lost many of the voters that latched onto him for his softer songs and not the rocker persona. I’m looking for a shock elimination around 6th or 5th.

  • cfletch

    I don’t really care who Pia or Paul call their little sister. In a way, she reminds me of Paris Bennett, very young and she used to call Taylor, Tay Tay. Very immature.

    I vote for who record I will buy, and that would be Scotty. I guess some think he’s boring, but, I don’t necessarily need to be jumping up and down for every song. Sometimes I just want to hear the words and the music. Maybe people get bored too easily?

    I’m a Soul Patroller and I certainly don’t like Casey that well. He’s talented, but, just not my favorite.

  • tinydance

    As the season progresses Scotty will start getting Gokey/Archie type hate from the housewives .

    What? Why? LOL

    Its already started, that is what makes the “show”. As for not liking Casey…well that is my own opinion. I know that he is this season’s stealth pimped prized pet pig.

  • Soberba

    Scotty doesn’t seem to be “playing” the game of Idol as much as trying to develop a following that may have the opportunity to back him once the show is over. And staying “true” to himself

    I don’t agree with that at all. Scotty does the same thing every week. But I don’t think is because he doesn’t play the Idol game (kids are often very good at playing games ;) ), or because he’s staying true to himself. It’s because that’s all he knows. He doesn’t have anything else. He doesn’t show his weaknesses (which is actually pretty clever), but he also doesn’t take risks. That’s why I find him boring.

  • Ringo

    It looks like we’ve reached that point in the competition where it’s no longer enough to say, ” I prefer x over y” or “I like X’s voice over Y’s.” We are now into the “I don’t like X because he/she is .” It seems to happen every year.

    These negative cconclusions are based on essentially tea leaf prophesies from innocuous things we have said or heard. Invariably, after the competition, we learn they are completely wrong, that the contestants are not the demons we imagined. Further, they are largely irrelevant as a predictor of how successful they might be — I’ll buy an a$$hole’s music if it is good, so why do I care on Idol.

  • colette

    Scotty is sure of who he is and exudes confidence on stage. Those two qualities are going to keep him on top.

    I agree with this statement. But I also think, as the themes change, that Scott will increasingly look like a very limited country artist. He has an extremely rare, rich, deep vocal instrument. But he’s not a country rocker, he’s very Old School. I actually think Lauren A. might beat him out of the top spot, because she’s a little more versatile.

    For me? Neither of them should win, both should get recording contracts and will do fine.

  • cfletch

    Scotty actually was a member of his chorale group in high school and according to his music teacher, she wasn’t even aware that he sang country music. So, I guess he does know more than country singing. I think he took many risks, such as changing a Stevie Wonder song into a country tune and let’s not forget his Elvis song.

    I guess that’s why they have different types of singers on the show. It makes for great tv and a versatile tour.

  • tinydance

    Hopefully Haley picks the right song this week to keep her in competition, if not she might be in the bottom 3 this week. I think that number during the results show might have helped out for this week.

  • Trina

    James has had a rocker persona since day one.
    James’ first performance in the voting rounds was a Judas Priest song and he auditioned with a song best known by Led Zeppelin. That should have told people who he was, not the two “soft” songs he did.

    Lauren seems like a very sweet girl to me and I can easily see why young girls like her. She another one I couldn’t stand after Hollywood now I really like her.

  • lili_anne7

    I guess some think he’s boring, but, I don’t necessarily need to be jumping up and down for every song. Sometimes I just want to hear the words and the music. Maybe people get bored too easily?

    Well no one will be jumping up and down for anything Scotty does, b/c he sings the same old-fashioned country ballad every week, with the elvis song being the only exception. He is just boring, very predictable. I wish he would shake it up a bit and take some risks. I was looking forward to him singing “everybody’s talkin”, but in typical Scotty fashion, he decided to go with a safer song.

  • kmd

    I am a huge Archie fan and I am just not that impressed with Scotty. I am a Casey fan this year.

  • koshka

    Its already started, that is what makes the “show”. As for not liking Casey…well that is my own opinion. I know that he is this season’s stealth pimped prized pet pig.

    Sorry, I still don’t get it. I don’t see Gokey dislike at all similar to David A. David is pretty self aware unlike Gokey with perpetual foot in mouth disease. Maybe it is a demographic I don’t ‘get’.

  • missytoots

    I think tptb want a Lauren and James finale with Lauren winning.

  • tinawina

    I’ll buy an a$$hole’s music if it is good, so why do I care on Idol.

    LOL! So true.

    I like Lauren the most but I’m not convinced she can win against Scotty…though I can see her beating James. I just don’t see anyone else making the finals. The only remotely possible spoiler to me is Casey.

  • koshka

    It looks like we’ve reached that point in the competition where it’s no longer enough to say, ” I prefer x over y” or “I like X’s voice over Y’s.” We are now into the “I don’t like X because he/she is .” It seems to happen every year.

    LOL at first I didn’t understand, I kept reading X (chromosome) vs. Y (chromosome). :)

  • tinydance

    Sorry, I still don’t get it. I don’t see Gokey dislike at all similar to David A. David is pretty self aware unlike Gokey with perpetual foot in mouth disease. Maybe it is a demographic I don’t ‘get’.

    During their seasons there was dislike or hatred for those who were perceived to be in the lead or pimped “chosen one”. That happens every year. It was Gokey’s actions afterward that affirmed many people’s perceived dislike. During Archie’s season they could not make HIM the villain…so they made his dad the villain. Archie later said that Idol made up a lot of that stuff about his dad. Most tv shows are scripted and as the show progresses people turn on the person who is perceived to be the ‘chosen one’. Gokey was the early chosen one during season 8 and Archie was seen as the early chosen one season 7. This season the one seen and said to be the chosen one is Scotty, but is he really in the lead? I don’t think he might be. I believe that Casey might actually be really in the lead. That is my opinion. I just know how tv shows work. A successful show that makes people watch is one that has a hero/heroine and a villain. That makes good tv.

  • kmd

    I would guess that tptb want Lauren or Scotty to win but I am not sure which one will win.

  • gangreen29

    During their seasons there was dislike or hatred for those who were perceived to be in the lead or pimped “chosen one”. That happens every year. It was Gokey’s actions afterward that affirmed many people’s perceived dislike. Most tv shows are scripted and as the show progresses people turn on the person who is perceived to be the ‘chosen one’. Gokey was in the early chosen one during season 8 and Archie was seen as the chosen one season 7. This season the one seen and said to be the chosen one is Scotty, but is he really in the lead? I don’t think he might be. That is my opinion, and also he is not my fav, but he does not seem to be a terrible person. I just know how tv shows work. A successful show that makes people watch is one that has a hero/heroine and a villain. That makes good tv.

    I think that the person playing that role of hyped front runner who suffers a backlash was supposed to be Lauren…and then something happened. Lauren’s edit has almost shifted to underdog somehow. I think the producers had someone originally who was supposed to fly under the radar a bit, but they bombed in semis (Julie? Rachel?)

  • koshka

    IDK what housewives have to do with pimped contestants.. but I can go with the rest of your reasoning. I didn’t watch S7 as closely as some other seasons due to real life and only picked up S8 at top 12. It took me 1/2 into the season to get the bit about his dead wife.

    I think though instead of Scotty, it would be Lauren. She was perceived as the lead going into the season.

  • tinydance

    I think that the person playing that role of hyped front runner who suffers a backlash was supposed to be Lauren…and then something happened.

    I kinda believe that…what happened is that the viewers started to vote off the girls, and that caused a BIG problem. Pia didn’t come off likable enough, and the other girls flopped on stage.

    So now Lauren’s role has been to SAVE the female contestants!1!!

  • tinawina

    I think that the person playing that role of hyped front runner who suffers a backlash was supposed to be Lauren

    Exactly. If anyone got the frontrunner edit at first it was her IMO. And in S8, it was not Gokey alone… Lil, Adam and Gokey all got massive pimpage leading into the semis, and Gokey and Adam kept their pimpage levels through the whole competition.

    I think Scotty’s status as frontrunner has been more a fan/boards/media consensus helped along by some of Nigel’s comments to the press. But as far as the show, if they’ve pimped anyone hard on air since the semis started it has been James and Casey IMO.

  • sherimoonzombie

    leome says:
    04/18/2011 at 12:39 pm
    1 – Lauren (I think she’s gonna pick up more from now on)

    Yeah, I’ve been thinking that same thing the past 3 wks. I’m still waiting.

  • tinydance

    Most people who really watch the show know that the real ones who have been pimped have been Casey and James in a positive way…those who are paying attention that is.

    ;)

  • gangreen29

    Also, speaking of pimping, everyone left except for Jacob had some kind of audition package, and Jacob had a lot of hollywood pimping.

  • Realist

    First, to all the performance-order socialists out there: this is not pre-school! There is no “fairness” here. Ken and Nigel stack the show to keep the most eyeballs watching from start to finish. While we as voters, bloggers, etc. see the lead-off spot as bad, it’s often given to one of the stronger performances (not singers) that week… to build energy. There are also other ratings tricks like trying to keep people across the quarter-hour marks, that, again, have nothing to do with fairness. Adam and Cookie got more pimp spots in seasons past because people would stay to see what they would do. James is getting similar treatment this year. It’s not that he “deserves” it, or that others should get their turn. It’s simply a producer’s judgement on what will keep most viewers watching to the end.

    Second, MJs Power List is a snapshot in time. I think its probably spot on as of this week. We still have five more performance weeks before the finale. Boredom is going to set in if it hasn’t already with some contestants. And it’s not about getting “out of your box”, it’s about surprising the audience. David Cook never got out of his box. Kris Allen really never did either. But they both took songs you wouldn’t expect and did things to them you would never see coming… and did it all in “their sound.”

    We are now into the “I don’t like X because he/she is .” It seems to happen every year.

    You got it Ringo! Especially once someone’s favorite has been knocked out, the votes are “against” certain contestants rather than “for” others.

  • Tess

    Since I did some self-educating last week and listened to a traditional country radio station for the better part of it…I can truthfully say that I learned a lot about country music. At first I thought every song sounded just like the one before and almost every voice melded into each other. But slowly I started hearing different sounds, different instrumentation, different beats and rhythms, began to hear the bluesy side of some songs, the soulful side of others. As the weekend progressed I could even start to tell who the different singers were and what their strengths and weaknesses were.

    Before then, since I wasn’t into country at all, I would have easily labeled Scotty’s songs same old same old…but on listening to them with a different ear, I am amazed at how varied his singing has been.

    I think it is like a lot of music. I hear, often, that many people find pop music very repetitious, same with jazz or rhythmic, and rock has always been labeled as very same, same by the uninitiated. Maybe Scotty is boring to some because they have a pre-conceived notion of country music…and unless Scotty breaks out of the country bubble they just don’t qualify him as being able to change it up. But I don’t know why a country singer needs to sing rock or jazz to prove they can be versatile but we don’t hear people saying the other contestants need to sing out of their genre and sing some country to prove they are.

  • tinydance

    Interesting that Jacob’s arrest record JUST CAME OUT by TMZ and Idol put the ‘comment’ he made as the one they used for the show.

    Idol focused on Lauren’s mother and her hair.

    The teen girls who went on staged for Scotty were immediately exposed to have been ‘forced’ to do so and fake in the media.

    Haley is constantly picked at while others are not.

  • steph6449

    I don’t have any huge favorites at this point but I guess I would have to say I lean toward Lauren. I don’t totally love her but she seems all in all to have the best potential to be a popular recording artist. With outside shot for Jacob if he can rein himself in to be a more effective popular singer / performer, or maybe Haley or James. Heh, that includes almost all of them, except Casey who I really don’t care for, Scotty who I find pretty dull and just slightly disturbing at this point in his development, and Stefano who is starting to wear on me more than the others.
    .

    Not sure how Danny became part of AI10, but I agree, my memory also is that Danny, Lil, and Adam all got very favorable coverage/support early on in their season though eventually Lil fell back and Kris starting to gain more visibility over time. As far as Danny and country, I’d agree he did not identify himself as a country singer during the season, and he’s said as much in interviews. He was pretty much genreless, moving between various styles of song choices. But he did do four country or country-associated songs starting as far back as Hollywood Week, including covers of Lee Ann Womack, Rascal Flatts, and Carrie Underwood. One of his best-received songs all season was What Hurts the Most, which he kept and performed on the AI tour along with another country song.

  • koshka

    First, to all the performance-order socialists out there: this is not pre-school! There is no “fairness” here.

    LOL!

    Now if you could just work on the prevailing belief that the winner’s package is somehow sacred, you’ll have my complete respect.

    Honestly its all one big *shrug* for me. I don’t care who gets the goodies.

  • tinydance

    Well steph6449 since you are a Gokey fan…don’t YOU think Gokey was unfairly perceived as the “villain” of season 8, even though he might have not been? A lot of that was because he was perceived as the chosen one by the show in the beginning?

  • karenc

    I think it’s going to be Scotty/ Lauren, possibly even with Lauren winning because she is more contemporary. I think James might go as far as 3 or 4. Here’s my rankings, based on what I think might happen, and none are my favorite because I don’t have a favorite anymore:

    1. Lauren
    2. Scotty
    3 James
    4 Casey
    5 Haley
    6 Stefano
    7 Jacob

  • Realist

    A lot of that was because (Gokey) was perceived as the chosen one by the show in the beginning?

    The backlash (rightly or wrongly) against Gokey was primarily due to the way he was pimping his dead wife. It didn’t help that the blogosphere was also against him. But the straw that broke the camel’s back was the infamous “Scream On” episode… when Allison got the axe instead of him. He was dead man walking after that.

  • Valentin432

    First, to all the performance-order socialists out there: this is not pre-school!

    It’s far from that simple, there’s traditionally a rotation of the pimp spot and yes it’s done because there’s a need for balance if they want to pretend this is a competition.

    THe pimp spot is not given that often to the strongest performer but to someone who hasn’t had it yet. Season 9 is a very good exemple when performers who had their “signature performance” the week before went in the last spot afterwards. Siobhan had “Paint In Black” the week before she got the pimp spot, Lee Dewyze had the pimp spot after “Treat her like a lady” and Casey after “Jealous Guy”. In season 8 it was very clear that they rotated the pimp spot with Lil and Anoop getting top 7 and 7 bis pimp spots just because they haven’t had previously.

    There are other idol shows who don’t care about fairness and will repeat again and again the same contestants with the pimp spot, that’s why I can say that AI does a fairly decent job managing the last spot

  • Trina

    See I always thought Danny was a lock for the finale UNTIL the scream heard around the world. Even if he was doing well that was such a momentum killer.

    I don’t remember Archie being hated, his father yes but Archie? He always seemed harmless. I would love to know at what point DC took the lead in votes. I know Simon Fuller said at the end of the season he knew he was winning because he saw the votes every week, but there’s no way he was a vote-leader from day one. Kinda curious as to what point someone can come from behind and pull out a win.

  • lla2827

    Hopefully Haley picks the right song this week to keep her in competition, if not she might be in the bottom 3 this week. I think that number during the results show might have helped out for this week.

    @tinydance Maybe your fave Casey (LOL) will pick out Haley’s song for her instead of Jimmy I or Haley herself. He is the one responsible for the Moanin duet. You can see him playing that song on youtube with his high school jazz band. If her stock starts rising (which I hope)–it will partly be due to that performance. So, maybe Casey’s time on AI won’t be totally wasted by singing jazz and being fat, ugly, sick and not able to sell any records.

    The poster who wrote early that Moanin is not Mingus is right. It is actually a Bobby Timmons composition and the version that Casey and Haley performed comes from a Lambert, Hendricks and Ross album.

    I pretty much agree with MJ’s list. However, I am starting to get a little tired of Scotty. He’s wearing thin for me.

    I am hoping for the Haley/Casey finale. I think that finale would be the most entertaining.

  • platoken

    He’s a one trick pony, and unless people like that trick, I don’t see him gaining new fans. James on the other hand is entertaining and changes it up every week, so I can see many people voting for him at the finale.

    How is Scotty a one-trick pony for sticking to country every week, yet James isn’t for sticking to rock every week?

  • Bobug

    What I find funny is the majority of the people that comment here have been saying for weeks that Jacob & Stefano are going home next…eventually you will get it right…LOL.

  • koshka

    How is Scotty a one-trick pony for sticking to country every week, yet James isn’t for sticking to rock every week?

    Good question.

  • Valentin432

    What I find funny is the majority of the people that comment here have been saying for weeks that Jacob & Stefano are going home next…eventually you will get it right…LOL.

    The majority of the people thought Ashthon, Karen, Naima, Thia and Paul were all going home sooner rather than later at the point they were eleminated so conventional winsdom has been pretty good so far.

  • lulwut

    I was a supporter for David in season 7. But ultimately I can’t support him and his father any more. I will say he’s very hated in his season because of the early frontrunner, inspiration songs, peaked too early, stage dad, etc. This season nobody is that hated. Lauren has a little similar going on.

    This season everyone is a one trick pony. I think it is better to demonstrate your trick well and get eliminated (Daughtry), than showing that you can do it all but flop after the winning (past winners).

  • koshka

    This season everyone is a one trick pony. I think it is better to demonstrate your trick well and get eliminated (Daughtry), than showing that you can do it all but flop after the winning (past winners).

    I can see this reasoning and it would have worked well in seasons past, but (for me) more and more it seems that the earlier you leave the worse your chances are to be a break out star. People are pretty jaded and the new-ness of Idol has worn off. People are more likely to forget about the shock boots.

    My rub is that our front runners, Scotty, James and even Lauren haven’t really shown themselves to be exceptional in their wheelhouse. If they can’t do that, then the other approach would be to show they are a multi faceted performer. None of them seem to want to step out of their boxes, so that leaves me sort of wanting for more and not really getting behind any of them.

  • Realist

    This season everyone is a one trick pony.

    Well I think that’s a bit of a sweeping generalization, but its accurate more this season than in seasons past… mainly because the judges are telling them to do that. Be careful what you wish for Randy, JLo and Steven (if he even cares any more): When the boredom train pulls into the viewer’s station, the results may not be what you were expecting or wanting.

  • tomr

    Could it be that they don’t risk because they see what the “frontrunner” label has done the past 5 years (Daughtry, Melinda, David A., Adam, Chrystal)? It’s a jinx! Knowing this history, it’s probably a good bet that Haley or Stefano will be the ultimate winner since neither has ever been pimped or been considered a frontrunner. And besides, there have been no breakout moments as yet this season. I think that the top tier is more closely bunched than most believe. One breakout performance from haley or Stefano could jump them right past everyone.

  • tomr

    Going into the finals, the perceived underdog wins regardless of how they perform. This was especially true in Season 7 when David A. outsang David C. for all three of the songs sung by each at the finale. Kat, Blake, David A., Adam, and Chrystal really didn’t have a prayer once they were considered the favorite.

  • weese

    We are seeing them stay in their boxes I believe under the advice of Interscope and the producers. I don’t think the judges are much of a guiding factor. Jimmy and his team as well as the vocal coaches are who they are getting their critiques from as well. The judges just kinda play a role for entertainments sake. What that role will be is also directed by the producers(kinder, gentler,honest,pimp). The kids are so jazzed after performing they don’t hear or remember what the judges say anyway(many in the past have said this).

  • sherimoonzombie

    I’ve only voted for Paul recently and haven’t yet decided if/when I’ll start throwing votes to the remaining contestants. I’m closest to texting for these two:

    Stefano: I’ve got a lingering soft spot for Stefano, so I’m sure he’ll get some votes…as long as he delivers something closer to “End of the Road” than “When a Man Loves a Woman”.
    Scotty: I can support a Scotty win, I may ultimately even vote for him. Big likeablity and an undeniable talent. I’m no country fan – other than some Zac Brown and one Kenny Chesney song (w/ Dave Matthews LOL), I have no country music on my iPod. But it would be fun to see him win.

    As for the rest:
    Casey - Enjoy the idea of him and portions of some performance, but he won’t get any of my votes. I’m now confused about who is the ‘real’ Casey — is it the Nirvana growler he was so proud of? Or the jazzy Nature Boy?
    Haley - She could snag my votes if she delivers some WTF performances like the duet with Casey instead of the “Call Me” drivel.
    Lauren - I could (maybe) get past the Wittle Wauren personality issues IF she would just finally deliver up to her potential. She constantly seems to disappoint me; for instance “The Climb” should have been phenomenal, but it wasn’t.
    James - He’s managed to overcome much of the negative persona from Hollywood, but I just can’t get over the wannabe rock poses, screams and “hook ‘em” symbol. Ugh.
    Jacob - He can NOT get off my teevee fast enough. How the hell is he hanging on?

  • koshka

    weese says:
    04/18/2011 at 8:50 pm
    We are seeing them stay in their boxes I believe under the advice of Interscope and the producers. I don’t think the judges are much of a guiding factor. Jimmy and his team as well as the vocal coaches are who they are getting their critiques from as well. The judges just kinda play a role for entertainments sake. What that role will be is also directed by the producers(kinder, gentler,honest,pimp). The kids are so jazzed after performing they don’t hear or remember what the judges say anyway(many in the past have said this).

    Well it kind of goes to show me that perhaps they are all willing to be lead a little too much or don’t understand how to play the game to win. Not that the reasons actually matter as much as the sad fact that the season is so… sanitized. Thats not to say that I don’t think the show isn’t entertaining, it is, its just been carefully produced and sanitized.

  • abbysee

    These negative cconclusions are based on essentially tea leaf prophesies from innocuous things we have said or heard. Invariably, after the competition, we learn they are completely wrong, that the contestants are not the demons we imagined. Further, they are largely irrelevant as a predictor of how successful they might be — I’ll buy an a$$hole’s music if it is good, so why do I care on Idol.

    Spot on observation, reading all of the comments here we are talking more personality, and genre, than actual music.

    I’ve listened to Scotty and I just don’t get the he sings the same song each week stuff. It’s just not true. I guess if all country music sounds alike, then maybe it is. I also don’t get the growth arc, that it’s missing from him. This was a guy sorta presented as a bit of a tool (with the chubby little cute kid), someone that would have a problem remembering words to songs, or someone that only had one song in his arsenal. Now he’s sang Elvis, Elton, and Stevie, all successfully. I’m not bored one darn bit. Bring it on Scotty! I also have been truly listening to his voice and I think that Scotty is going to be the one with the moment, because he has been growing and doing what Jlo asked of him about stretching out the notes and holding them, and he’s done it, it’s just so far gone pretty much unnoticed, this kid can flat out sing, and once he picks that modern song, and turns it on it’s ear, what will people say then? I think he is gonna do it, but it’s much too early, as it has to come a bit later in the season, once he’s seen to be slipping a bit more. If this happens he will most certainly win, imho because as someone stated he hasn’t really had any more pimping or propping than James, Casey, or Lauren, yet his still leading this power list, and many personal ones as well. So if he shows this side that I am almost certain he has, it’s going to be lights out. I don’t think that Lauren has it. She was given some serious opportunity to show her grit, and she so far has not risen to the occasion. She blew her chance with Natural Woman and The Climb, she should have knocked those out of the park, instead they were merely doubles.

    Personally I would like to see Stefano be the stealth engine that could. I think he has so much promise, but, it is unfulfilled at this point. Haley imho should be the last woman standing, and if she does well and doesn’t have to sit on the stools this week, Lauren better get out her voodoo dolls, cause there will only be one girl in the top three, and it might be Haley.

    My power list is the same as Mj’s, except I would flip Jacob and Stefano.

  • mozart4898

    My internet connection ate my original post, and a rather detailed one at that. Ugh. Anyways, not gonna type it all again, but here’s my list:

    1.) Scotty
    2.) Casey
    3.) Lauren
    4.) James
    5.) Haley
    6.) Stefano
    7.) Jacob

    That’s not my personal choices but what I actually see as the “power list,” so yes, I consider Casey #2 at this point. I figured if he didn’t end up B3 after last week he must have quite a strong fanbase since it seems as a whole, America doesn’t really get jazz and I figured his performance wouldn’t inspire many casual voters to vote for him. Scotty only just barely hangs onto #1 IMO – he needs to at least change things up within the country genre (not saying he needs to perform in other genres, just show some versatility within country itself, it’s quite broad). Lauren gets the edge over James just because her genre is more popular (although I differ with those who say that rock/hard rock/metal is a tiny niche nowadays – plenty of people still listen to it even if not in the numbers of, say, pop).

    One huge performance from any of them might shoot them right to the top. I really can’t see how Jacob stays around for much longer but then again, last week he totally avoided the B3 so who knows. It really seems totally wide open to me, although my feeling is that Haley, Stefano, and Jacob will probably be the next 3 to go, in some order.

  • mozart4898

    Lauren better get out her voodoo dolls, cause there will only be one girl in the top three, and it might be Haley.

    You’re assuming that one will make the top 3. Honestly I wouldn’t be surprised if the B3 this week ended up as Haley, Lauren, and Stefano, with Haley going, and then next week was Lauren, Stefano, and Jacob, with Lauren going. Top 5 total sausage fest is still 100% possible IMO. Not likely at this point I don’t think, but possible.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    Am I the only Scotty fan who thinks he won’t win anymore because a lot of people have jinxed it? Lol :D

    Serioisly though, as much as I would LOVE Scotty to win, I don’t see him winning. I don’t know why people are assuming he will win. IMO, James, Lauren and even Casey have equal chances as Scotty.

    I think I’m being too pessimistic.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    I find it interesting that people who claim not to like country music like Scotty, and those who do like it say they aren’t that into him.

    I like country, but Scotty is too derivative for me. It’s as if he’s mimicking country artists right down to the phrasing. Country music is about telling a story more than anything else. Why do you think Kellie Pickler has a career? It’s not just about vocals, although they need to be decent. I just don’t believe Scotty. I see a little boy dressed up like Elvis. I would like him to sing something poignant and make me believe. He’s my third fave guy at this point (behind James and Casey).

    Speaking of Casey, I don’t care if he lasts another week, although I appreciate him more than Scotty. I HATE THE FREAKING SAVE. And if he’s really the genius behind the duet, maybe he’s on the wrong side of the camera.

    As for James, yeah, he’s derivative, too. Yet somehow his chosen genre makes it more palatable for me. I feel his joy when he rocks out and I felt his pain when he sang When My Guitar Gently Weeps (even if he was flat). Rock is less about storytelling and more about showmanship. So, I guess that’s how I feel about all that.

    I would love a cat fight in the finale. I know, pipe dream. A Haley/Lauren showdown. How cool would that be?

  • NOLA

    I think the top 3 are, and in this order:

    Scotty
    Lauren
    James

    I still feel Haley is in trouble. She had a great duet with Casey; but it was not a competition night, so no nerves factored in. She also wasn’t performing alone. For whatever reason, I believe Jacob has more votes than she or Stefano.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    For whatever reason, I believe Jacob has more votes than she or Stefano.

    You could be right. He has the whole gospel genre all to himself.

  • larc

    eyelinerandcigarettes says:
    I think I’m being too pessimistic.

    Maybe not. The early frontrunners haven’t come in better than #2 for the past five Idol seasons, even though some have been clearly better than the winners and with a few subsequently proving it in the marketplace.

  • ReginaFilange

    I think Jacob may have picked up some votes from Pia as a “big song” singer, as anyone who was voting for Pia was probably very into DLTSGDOM and whatnot. But Stefano might pick up a few votes as the cute boy from Paul. Since one is pretty likely to go home, I think it’ll be the ballad-lovers voting against the heartthrob-lovers.

    Disclaimer: A lot of Paul’s votes may have come from fans of his earlier work, so the cuteboy votes might be less. I’d buy a ticket for Stefano.

    Disclaimer2.0: 21st Century Week is minefield waiting to expose a trainwreck. Anyone could make a bad choice and pull out a flashback to TaTynisa’s Only Girl in the World. Wednesday could very well be a surprise boot for Lauren/Casey or to a lesser extent James or to a holycrapsurprise extent, Scotty. I know Scotty could basically coast to the finale, but a bad pop song could make his voters take a break.

  • jammasta

    I find it interesting how my family is full of fans of sappy ballads and gospel hits, and none of them are huge country or rock fans, yet James and Scotty are pretty much the family favorites. Mostly James.

    God, if those two aren’t the finale I may punch someone. Maybe myself for not voting hard enough.

    Maybe not. The early frontrunners haven’t come in better than #2 for the past five Idol seasons, even though some have been clearly better than the winners and with a few subsequently proving it in the marketplace.

    Seems like most of them lost steam or were, in a way, too polarizing. Actually, the only two from S5-S9 I can picture having rabid fanbases are David Archuleta and Adam Lambert. David Archuleta lost steam (and was overtaken by David Cook pretty early in the voting rounds), and Adam Lambert was too polarizing (and Kris Allen pretty much just shot up out of nowhere). Crystal didn’t seem to rub off well on America for a while, and I think Simon’s love of Lee may have had to do with him winning. Then again, I didn’t really watch Seasons 5-6 to think of a good reason why Chris Daughtry and Melinda Doolittle were eliminated too early AND wouldn’t hurt Scotty’s chances.

    I still think Scotty can run away with it all and I’ll vote to keep that up, but the front-runner thing is pretty worrying.

    Hell, I’d consider James an early front-runner, too. He didn’t just pop up out of nowhere, and if he won over Scotty, I wouldn’t see it as him “sneaking up” on Scotty. I think he’s had a ton of support for his entire run so far.

    If ANYONE is going to be the type to “sneak up” on a winner, it’s Lauren, even if she was kinda an early front-runner, too.

    Actually, she can make finale, too. Just have the three of them as the final three! Two country artists and a metal dude who has tried country before, we’d have a country final…. *in a metal scream voice* Y’AAAAAAAAAAAAAALLLLL!

  • Idolnewby

    I suspect that it would take Scotty cursing his grandma at this point for his fan club to abandon him. As was posted above, if he has one “out of box” moment, he will coast to the final. Even then, I’m sure some will find him boring.

    As for number two, common wisdom would say that James has it, but the metal fans may not be enough to carry him and he definitely isn’t pop….a genre that might.

    The next few weeks should tell the tale!

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    I find it interesting how my family is full of fans of sappy ballads and gospel hits, and none of them are huge country or rock fans, yet James and Scotty are pretty much the family favorites. Mostly James.

    You articulated exactly what I was trying to get across earlier. People vote for a variety of reasons, but not usually because they see the contestant as commercially viable after the show.

    So, even if metal isn’t marketable, that’s not gonna stop peeps from voting for James if they enjoy him on the show.

    Oh, and James, don’t worry. Norway and Sweden are waiting and they have cash.

  • madnessinmotion

    haha, pj. I’m waiting, too. I may be wrong but I definitely think there is at least some market for the kind of music James is likely to put out. A lot of people in my age bracket don’t buy much current music because no one is making the kind of music they like anymore. I think James will be able to sell to them.

    Also, since no one is making that type of music these days I think there is some possibility that James will be able to sell to a younger crowd due to just being new and different and in their age bracket. Plus, he is likable. I have high hopes for James as long as he doesn’t do something that alienates people in general.

  • Ringo

    haha, pj. I’m waiting, too. I may be wrong but I definitely think there is at least some market for the kind of music James is likely to put out. A lot of people in my age bracket don’t buy much current music because no one is making the kind of music they like anymore. I think James will be able to sell to them.

    I cannot imagine it. Here comes the rant: as with each of the contestants in “life after Idol,” the hardst thing to do is to get good songs. That is why so few of the idol contestants have actually succeeded beyond making a living performing music (not to say that may be enough — beats the hell out of busking on the streets or workng in the paint store). Oh, they can cross the country singing at high school gyms in Alabama, midnitght shows as the Viper Club and all of the county fairs and other small venues you see in MJ’s post on her “Idol News” sectons of her site. But the ultimate test is whether they can they turn out some good songs on their own (because the really good songs are being reserved for the big named artists).

    Each year, in season, we debate which contestants will assuredly be signed and will succeed, only later to read that they can’t get signed or get a distributor for their works . Remember Siohban last year? Mike Lynch? that little Irish kid Somehing Kelly?? I actually remember debating whether Kathryn McPhee would outsell Taylor Hicks, with each side predicting huge sales for their favorites. Baaah!

    If people enjoy James’ covers of the great metal or rock songs that he is singing, they can buy the originals on ITunes; the originals are likely better than his covers. Same with Scotty — if I like that George Strait song, why don’t I just buy it from George instead of the cheesy version from Scotty?

    What the public might do is buy a Scotty or James version of a song that is completely different in style than the original. That is one of the reasons why we should encourage all the contestants to pick great origiinal songs and do them in ways that are not like the originals. Give me your interpretaton of Everbody’s Talking At Me, Scotty, not Crap My Heart. Give me a full on country versionof Natural Woman, not that weak spirited crap you gave us. Lauren. Or introduce me to a classic and sing the hell out of it, like Haley did with Moanin’. I’d buy that.

    But even that is no predictor of success down the line. Witness Cook and Kris Allen, both of whom worked miracles in season but neither of whom has achieve critical or huge financial success since leaving. That’s why the contest aspect of this show is so silly. The only benefit of continuing to vote for your favorite is the hope that they will survive to the next week in thte chance they turn out a great and oriinal cover that you can add to your ITunes collection. A passable copy is worthless, both this week and as a portent of the future. All in my opinion, of course.

  • DCookie_monster

    lemme just point out that most of the ultra talented AI alumni are all rooting for Casey Abrams. There’s David Cook, Kelly Clarkson, Chris Daughtry, Melinda Doolittle, Andrew Garcia, Crystal Bowersox, they are all blown-away by his artistry.. plus JLo, Randy and Steven are all impressed with his true talent.. and most of all Casey made me appreciate jazz. Yes, he has broaden my taste in music and i just love that! Just like what JLo said: he brings something special with his music, he is able to cross boundaries and i just feel him. He deserves to be in the Top 3 IMO.

  • NOLA

    I always thought Lauren was pop. But then the show seems to want her to reveal her country side and I suppose there’s a reason for that

    It’s called her Georgia accent.

  • Kirsten

    haha, pj. I’m waiting, too. I may be wrong but I definitely think there is at least some market for the kind of music James is likely to put out. A lot of people in my age bracket don’t buy much current music because no one is making the kind of music they like anymore. I think James will be able to sell to them.

    Every season, people predict this. It never happens. Bo, Taylor, Blake, Melinda…the list goes on. People singing songs of yester-year that were supposed to bring back that sound. Idols just don’t change music. They either adapt to the current sound or they just get slightly better gigs than they did before Idol.

    A lot of people predicted that Daughtry and Carrie were doomed because they sounded like people already in the industry. Turned out that was a good thing.

  • duchess

    I agree with DCookie_monster re Casey. I bought some Esperanza Spalding music last week, as my interest in jazz has increased since he got on the show. I hope he continues on AI with Haley as I really like the 2 of them together. I will purchase their music once their careers get rolling after AI.

  • Indigobunting

    Funny thing is that James said he has tried country music before, and I believe his fiancé is a country music writer. I wonder if he can flip himself on his head (if that’s the right phrase, lol)

    I would love to see that-it would certainly create a buzzworthy moment if he does well, lol.

    There is a very popular Country DJ Indiana Al from California who has James as his favorite. He insists James can sing anything, including Country and that we haven’t seen anything yet.

    Should be interesting.

  • damroberts744

    I think the real question with Scotty is whether or not he can pick up voters like others in the past. Kris Allen, Syesha Mercado, and Diana Degarmo all mastered that aspect, not necessarily being frontrunners at the beginning, but being able to pick up fans as the competition dwindled.

    I personally don’t think Scotty has the ability to do this as his talent is an acquired taste. If I’m right Scotty will finish either 3rd or 4th. Here is my predictions:

    1. Lauren Alaina
    2. James Durbin
    3. Casey Abrams
    4. Scotty McCreery
    5. Jacob Lusk
    6. Haley Reinhart
    7. Stefano Langone

    I think after Stefano, Jacob, and Haley go home Casey and Lauren are the most likely to pick up their voters.