American Idol 10 Top 5 – The Power List

I’ve had Jacob Lusk last on my power list two weeks in a row, yet he’s still around. Pia Toscano was 1st the week she was eliminated. What do I know? Obviously not much. Will that stop me from posting a power list this week? HELLS NO. Here it is. No doubt, you fine commenters will bring your own smarts and wisdom to the discussion. At this point, I’m only here to facilitate. CARRY ON.

  1. James Durbin – I’m giving James a tiny edge this week, considering he performed really well last week AND WAS DECLARED THE WINNER BY RANDY. Actually, that could be the kiss of death. Nevertheless, Mr. Metal Boy, who will soon be learning aaaallll about the HAC format, has a good chance to take it all.
  2. Scotty McCreery – Scotty had a great performance last week too. James has a slight edge at the moment, but I would not count out Scotty. While we aren’t quite sure what James is about. Is he the second coming of metal? Or could he be a pop rock guy?  We have no doubt whatsoever what Scotty is about. He’s a country boy, and he knows it. And so do those southern country fans who love to vote for their favs.
  3. Lauren Alaina – Lauren is getting a ton of support from the producers. She needs, it, because she totally lacks confidence. If they weren’t treating her so well–say if Haley was their favorite girl instead–she’d be last instead. I don’t think she’ll place higher than 3rd. Possibly she could squeak by Scotty to compete against James. But, like I’ve said before, vote splitting will keep an all-teen, all-country final from happening between Lauren and Scotty.
  4. Jacob Lusk – Jacob has people. I think he could hang another week, particularly if he sings well on Wednesday.
  5. Haley Reinhart – Haley has fought her way through the competition, but I don’t get the sense the producers care about her.  She could go out this week if she isn’t at her absolute best.  She’s got to knock it out of the park this week to stay alive in the competition.

  • http://www.dancin.ca dancin

    1. Scotty McCreery
    2. Lauren Alaina
    3. James Durbin
    4. Haley Reinhart
    5. Jacob Lusk

    1-3 are a toss up move em around but i thinkthose will be the top 3

    unless lauren has a horrid week this week(hope not i love her voice… Candle in the Wind is my fav recording from this season!)

  • http://www.huckleberryfriendmusic.com/ huckleberryfriend

    1. James Durbin
    2. Scotty McCreery
    3. Haley Reinhart
    4. Lauren Alaina
    5. Jacob Lusk

    I need a volunteer. Someone needs to show up at the performance show with a Soul Patrol sign. After Haley performs, wave the sign and yell Soul Patrol. Guaranteed Top 3.

  • Jon

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Haley
    4. Lauren
    5. Jacob
    James will never beat Scotty in the finale if it ends up that way. His comparisons to Adam actually hurts him and he stuggles with pitch. I just can’t imagine someone so unlikable from Hollywood winning this whole thing. I predict America will go with the subtle teen country boy so the winner of that finale will be predictable.

    Jacob took out Lauren’s big bro, Paul, James buddy, Stefano, and Haley’s rumored bf, Casey. I won’t be surprised if he’ll take out Scotty’s sis, Lauren, this week.

    Haley has a bit more of a shot than James. Haley’s slowly gaining fans. Call me crazy but i think she’ll get the boost from the Casey fans. If Lauren gets knocked out, then her votes might split between Haley, for female support and Scotty, mostly Scotty. Those assumptions leads me to believe Haley might outlast James, if James doesn’t give out a breakout performance from now on.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    I kind of fear Haley may be biting the dust this week, too. Pains me to say it, since she’s my fave. It’s possible she could pick up some of Casey’s fans and pass Jacob. Possible.

  • tinawina

    I think Scotty and James are shoe-ins for the top 3 and now we have a race for the 3rd spot. Haley has the underdog lovers vote and will probably benefit from Casey’s departure, and Jacob is the only R&B/Gospel/Soul contestant so he has that vote all to himself. Lauren is vote splitting for country music, female voices and tween love. I’d have my eye on her for the shock boot if not this week, then next.

    I want both Lauren and Haley to blow everyone out the water this week, because those are my favorite voices left. I would love it if one of them made the finale but I’m not holding my breath.

  • marianepoli

    Please be wrong! I need Haley on the Top 04!

    But, either way, the producers didn’t care about Kris Allen and he won. Let’s keep the faith… Go Haley! \o/

    However, it seems impossible that the Top 03 will not be Lauren, Scotty and James. They are totally TCOs. I personally find Scotty and Lauren unbelievably boring, but maybe it’s because I’m not into country music.

    I just don’t understand how Jacob is still on. He is not marketable at all. Don’t see it.

    And I can see James winning, but he will just be another white dude with a guitar, a different one if that matters, but nevertheless…

    In fact the only one that I can see getting the confetti shower at the Nokia theater and creating a nice moment out of that is Lauren, even though I am on Haley’s team.

    Either way, this season seems all messed up…

  • njcafe

    1. Scotty Mccreery
    2. James Durbin
    3. Lauren Alaina
    4. Jacob Lusk
    5. Haley Reinhart

    I’ll be surprised if Haley makes another week. Jacob seems to have fans. He’s only been in the bottom 3 maybe 3 times. And #2 and #3 might be interchangeable. TPTB want an all teen/all country finale. They might throw James under the bus on top 3 night and give him a poor song to sing. I’m not too sure why their pimping him so hard. He’s the closest thing to WGWG. Sure he’s a “metal boy” and only what played the guitar once on the show, but his album will sound nothing like that if he wins. Sorry, James.

  • Valentin432

    I don’t get the Lauren is a favorite of the producers compared to the other 3 guys, they all have been pimped a lot and Haley had received a far better edit before the semifinals than the traditional canon fodders.
    I think it’s a little unecessary to pit the two girls against each other.

    Lauren has performed on average the earliest on the show compared to the other contestants, they all have been praised to the highest heavens by the judges and Scotty or James got more camera time between sit down with Ryan or result show filler.

  • Pam

    Jacob has people

    He certainly does. Now he’s got VFTW in his corner. heh I doubt that will make much difference anyway. I started to say that I liked your list and was in total agreement with it and had nothing to add and would swap Haley with Jacob but I think you may be right since it’s been obvious for a while that the producers seem to want to get rid of Haley really fast. Although I saw the looks on the faces of the judges when it was announced that Jacob was safe on Thursday. They didn’t look too pleased. ;)

  • Mary102

    Is he the second coming of metal? Or could he be a pop rock guy? We have no doubt whatsoever what Scotty is about. He’s a country boy, and he knows it.

    This is why James isn’t 1 on my list, and I still don’t get wth TPTB are gonna do with him if he wins. I still contend, if he does win, they’re essentially stuck with WGWG part 4 with him – because he’ll have to segue by default into a rocker with guitar type HAC roll post-AI. And I don’t think he has the fanatic support that, say, the likes of Daughtry, Cook or Adam built up on AI to carry through long after AI. And, though that big audience isn’t the end all be all in the long run, it is vitally important to jumpstart a career post-AI, as someone like Lee, and his LACK of a huge devoted following post-AI, can attest to.

    Scotty, otoh, is a nobrainer, an easy sell, and has the biggest, most supportive fanbase to buoy him post-AI (this is my guess, but I’m sticking to it).

    Power list:

    1. Scotty
    2. James (pretty sure this will be the final 2)
    3. Haley (going out on a limb and putting her 3rd – I think she is the dark horse, the Elliot Yamin/Kris Allen of the year, and she could even sneak into the finale if she comes up with enough suprising, risk taking performances)
    4. Lauren (lack of self-esteem and safe performances will make her an earlier exit than she otherwise should have been)
    5. Jacob (still sticking with this – he should have been gone last week)

  • http://kristentheyellowlab.blogspot.com/ Zsus

    I can get 100% behind your list.
    a. James, IMO, is not the polarizing contestant I assumed he’d be in the beginning of the competition. Also, he’s smart. His decision to tone it last week was timely. As for him being Mr. Metal, I get a real Bon Jovi vibe from him when he cuts out the scream. That will play well to HAC, which is probably why the producers are squarely behind him.
    b. Scotty was the one I thought was going to take it all, but I think he’s losing momentum. “You’ve Got a Friend” was beautiful and one of his best performances. But, it was still much of the same.
    c. Lauren is darling. And the girl can sing. The confidence issues will disappear in the studio. I kept waiting for a break-out performance from her that would put her in the finale. I don’t we’ll see it. Also, I really think Scotty and James have the finale sewn up.
    d. Jacob – he definitely has fans out there. I like the guy, and always thought he’d make top 5 or even 4. He’s not finale material, though.
    e. Haley – I’ve liked watching Haley improve. The “improvement arc” has, IMO, taken her to fifth place past a few early favorites like Pia and Casey. But, her constant presence in the bottom 3 signals she doesn’t really have a fan base. I suspect she was one of those contestants who fans of others tossed votes at because she’s one of the last girls standing, she has had some solid performances lately, and she comes across as sweet and good-natured. But, now that we’re down to the wire, I don’t think there will be any vote splitting, and that will hurt her.

  • stwbcross

    MJ, could you put Jacob at the top of your list, that way we could be sure he was going this week. lol! jk, I’m just as bad with my picks. I’ve had him going since he challenged America and I had picked Pia to win the whole thing or at least finish top two. So I”m not even going to try to post a list. I do hope however, that even if Haley doesn’t hit it out of the park this week she gets to stick around because of Casey’s voters.

  • Mary102

    FWIW – I do think a Scotty/James finale would make for one of the more interesting finales out of the people left. A Scotty/Lauren finale would be weak sauce and very dull imo. Neither of them EVER take risks.

  • Jon

    I’m still convinced Lauren was in the bottom this last week and that’s the reason why they didn’t reveal the bottom 3, the fear on how she’ll handle it. She’s so fragile. Doing songs from the 60’s might hurt Lauren for being too young. This week can be a breakout week for Haley. I just got that feeling. Seen her done plenty of 60’s songs on youtube and she killed it in each of them. The current theme is still questionable.

  • koshka

    James will never beat Scotty in the finale if it ends up that way. His comparisons to Adam actually hurts him and he stuggles with pitch. I just can’t imagine someone so unlikable from Hollywood winning this whole thing. I predict America will go with the subtle teen country boy so the winner of that finale will be predictable.

    I don’t think the comparisons matter one way or another. I think its going to come down to a southern boy up against someone from CA. It will end as simply as that.

    1) Scotty
    2) James
    3) Haley
    4) Lauren
    5) Jacob.

  • Trina

    I hope Lauren has good songs picked out this week. I feel like she’s lost momentum and she needs to get it back.

    James’ problem now is anything he does this week will likely pale in comparison to last week. The sad thing is in the mentoring package dumbass Jimmy was all ‘James is 100% rock n roll!” “This is the music I love and why I got in this business!” Then the next night, mmm yeah he pretty much said “HAC is what I want from you!”

    I’ll laugh so hard if Jacob makes it another week I can just see Nigel and Jimmy’s heads exploding.

  • Buffynut

    I’ll be surprised if Haley makes another week. Jacob seems to have fans. He’s only been in the bottom 3 maybe 3 times. And #2 and #3 might be interchangeable.

    I think Jacob will go this week. Correct me if I’m wrong, but everytime he was in the bottom 3, he was also in the bottom 2. Right? Haley has never been bottom 2!

  • bmms2005

    Lauren
    Scotty
    James
    Jacob
    Haley

  • marianepoli

    I think Jacob will go this week. Correct me if I’m wrong, but everytime he was in the bottom 3, he was also in the bottom 2. Right? Haley has never been bottom 2!

    She has… Right at the beginning of the shows, right??

    Either way, that belongs to the past, we have to focus on the future! xD

  • Jon

    Haley’s been in the bottom 2 twice in the first 2 weeks of the Top 13 showings. But that was before her comeback. I feel that she got a new start after that.

  • koshka

    James’ problem now is anything he does this week will likely pale in comparison to last week.

    Why? I think he did a good job, but it wasn’t jaw dropping. I think he could easily match what he did before. The unfortunate think is that I too think Jimmy will push a much more commercial sound. Thats going to be tough for James to feel out in a short time going into the finale. He isn’t an HAC guy, so finding his footing may take a couple of weeks. IDK, but I don’t think he will immediately know which are the best song choices for him as he would with rock.

  • Buffynut

    Jon says:

    05/02/2011 at 1:06 pm
    Haley’s been in the bottom 2 in the first 2 weeks of the Top 13 showings. But that was before her comeback. I feel that she got a new start after that.

    Thanks! So the week Ashton, then Karen got eliminated she was bottom 2? Naima wasn’t bottom 2 one of those times?

  • http://www.amadcow2.com amadcow2

    Well, I tend to think that Jacob is living on borrowed time. Unless the stars converge again, I think Jacob is gone. The ONLY reason Jacob is still in this competition is because there was a low vote total, Casey sang a song nobody could rally behind, and Jacob did a pretty good job. Those three things have to hapen again for Jacob to remain, even with the VFTW help.

    If you look at how the elimination was handled last Thursday, naming James and Haley safe without contest, that might tip the hand of TPTB as to who their favorites are. If that’s the case, I wouldn’t argue at all. James has been solid every week and Haley is the ultimate comeback kid. So, MJ, that’s where I might disagree with you on your power rank. I think Haley’s stock is rising, whereas Lauren and Scotty have kind of remained the same. Therefore, at this point I’d power rank them as:

    James
    Scotty
    Haley
    Lauren
    Jacob

    I hope Jacob goes home, because another James/Jacob duet might just kill me.

  • shooby1213

    1.James
    2.Scotty
    3.Lauren
    4.Haley
    5.Jacob

    What does HAC mean?

    I dont think youll see James doing metal this week anyways
    looks like it might be 30 second to mars..and theres no metal in the 60s

  • bmms2005

    Haley has a bit more of a shot than James.

    Haley might outlast James

    Ahhh… I HIGHLY doubt that will happen! Very unlikely.

  • Mel1

    A Scotty/Lauren finale would be weak sauce and very dull imo. Neither of them EVER take risks.

    ITA. That’s why I like Haley. Not only does she take risks, but her songs are always more difficult to sing. Scotty’s songs are so simple with barely any range. Lauren’s the same, but I think she’s a better singer than Scotty.

  • sma11ie

    I want both Lauren and Haley to blow everyone out the water this week, because those are my favorite voices left. I would love it if one of them made the finale but I’m not holding my breath.

    What she said (duh). I just hope now that MJ’s moved Jacob from the bottom of her list it means he’ll finally leave us, lol.

    In other news, how bummed am I that Scotty and James are at the top of every list despite being technically the weakest/shakiest singers in the competition? I haven’t been this bummed about the frontrunner(s) since… well, Lee Dewyze. Just like with Lee, I was fine with Scotty and James’ appeal despite inconsistent vocals right up until I realized they’d win…

  • Mel1

    I just can’t imagine someone so unlikable from Hollywood winning this whole thing.

    Who are you talking about? Adam?

  • bentley1530

    I am going to wait for the performances but even as a Jacob fan, I think this is his week to go. Haley should get some votes from the Casey base if they keep voting. Me, I stop voting as soon as my favorites are gone.

  • Duke

    OK- Scotty is gunna win. so it really doesnt matter at this point.

    if james durbin wins idol, i someone wil have to carry me out of my appt in a straight-jacket because i refuse to believe that if adam lambert couldnt win, there is no way in hell james durbin can. i dont dislike james, thats just da truth!

    and MJ, how you gunna put Haley last?! its funny cuz ALL of my musician/singer friends say the same thing about haley: we all agree she is by far the most underrated contestant and her voice is unbelievable. i know she wont win because she doesnt have a niche’, but id love to see her top 3 at least.

    i think all in all, when scotty wins, he will sell the most debut albums since carrie and have at least two #1 singles from his debut album. this will restore some of idol’s credibility with its winners.

  • desiree_chick

    Jacob took out Lauren’s big bro, Paul, James buddy, Stefano, and Haley’s rumored bf, Casey. I won’t be surprised if he’ll take out Scotty’s sis, Lauren, this week.

    LOL, Jacob is taking out best friends and faux siblings left, right and centre. Let’s see if he can take out the other best bud, the little sis or the girlfriend this week. Don’t want him to, but this will be his last week to do so. He is definitely not getting a hometown visit.

    This really does make me sad about the last four people that were eliminated, because they had the potential to surpass any of the chosen ones, since those last four evictees had moments on the show much stronger than whatever moment Lauren or Scotty had. But one growled too much, one’s voice was just shot, the last girl leaving was too boring to some, and the other guy was just too damn clueless to figure it out. Sigh. Just tragic how this season turned out. So much potential, such little showing…

  • Jon

    Ahhh… I HIGHLY doubt that will happen! Very unlikely.

    Don’t say no one warned you when it does happen.

  • http://untitlement.wordpress.com vorona

    I’ve been studying story structure too much lately. I keep looking for patterns where there are none. Basic movie scripts have the heroine start high and then have challenges mount until about the 3/4 mark (the “all is lost” moment), then they rally and save the day.

    I keep seeing this as Lauren’s script — Starts out with a bang, gets knocked down, hits bottom confidence-wise at the 75% mark (Top 5, Top 4), then rallies, finds her confidence, and takes it all! Cinderella story! Make the favorite into a vulnerable underdog we can cheer for (instead of rebel against).

    That’s probably not what’s going on, but I keep watching and waiting.

  • milwlovesadam

    I’m kind of thinking that Lauren needs to have strong week or she could be in trouble. I always predicted her to be top 3 or even top 2 with Scotty. But, lately, I’m changing my mind.

    I’m hoping Casey’s votes go to Haley, who I’m rooting for to stay in the contest. And, I’m very ready to see Jacob go.

    The James/Adam thing is very hard for me. As a huge Adam fan, sorry, I can see the comparison in the costumes, but no way the voice in any way shape or form. James has a powerful stage presence, but he misses notes all the time. Say what you will, Adam never missed a note. Now, James had a very strong week last week. I loved his performance and vocal. His coaching is evident. I hope he can keep this up, he just may edge Scotty off his throne.

    What will TPTB do with James? What kind of record will he make? Who knows. But, this rock fan saw Rock of Ages a few days ago with Constantine. And, if the audience reaction to this rock world on stage is any indication, there is a HUGE love of metal and hard rock out there still. IMHO.

  • Trina

    Whether or not you thought James was good or bad or whatever, it was enough to start getting the “you could win now” tag attached to him and that says something about the performance, not just from Randy either who blurted out the W word. FWIW I don’t think he actually CAN win but something shifted this week. I think Jimmy saw something too even if he pisses me off.

    Some news outlets were talking about his performance the next day, there were numerous articles praising him and he got the kind of attention he never got before so yes there was IMO something about that performance that raised a bar for him.

  • J9BT

    At this stage of the competition I think it matters who has left the week before, and where that contestant’s votes go. Who will Casey’s fans vote for? One friend of mine who is a Casey fan said James, my daughter who is a Casey fan said Haley & Scotty (actually she’s been a fan of all 3 all season). I would be surprised if Casey’s fans vote for Jacob or Lauren, so my guess is either one of them will be in trouble this week.

  • Tess

    Since I am not enamored of James, at all, I view him through my cynical eyes and feel that he may exit earlier then people think. His sound is way to retro (just like Pia) and he has no relevance in the pop, soft rock world of today. On the other hand, AI has never had a country male winner and the masses may be gloming on to that fact. Scotty is filling a void and consequently is being championed by many AI viewers.

    My list: Scotty, Lauren, James, Jacob, Haley.

    I really hope Haley bows out this week…her singing persona is so imitational of jazzy singers of the past…she brings nothing new to the table, for me. Besides….a growl should only be used when the song warrants it….not as a signature singing style. That is just way to gimicky (see Abrams, Casey).

  • Jon

    Even though it doesn’t matter much, Haley is a favorite among past idol constants. Adam, Kris, Kelly, Blake Lewis, Lee, Melinda Doolittle all said Haley is among their favorite. Loving the support.

  • tinawina

    OK- Scotty is gunna win. so it really doesnt matter at this point.

    I really think James is ramping up to beat him at this point.

    In other news, how bummed am I that Scotty and James are at the top of every list despite being technically the weakest/shakiest singers in the competition? I haven’t been this bummed about the frontrunner(s) since… well, Lee Dewyze.

    No surprise, but I am with you on that. I had high hopes for Scotty but he has disappointed me with his refusal to grow (though last week was good) and I am continually underwhelmed by James, not to mention he’d be the 4th twenty-something rock-singing guitar player winner in a row. Meanwhile. Lauren has a voice so great it can’t be denied even when she’s timid, and Haley keeps improving, taking risks and pumping out incredible ITunes tracks. I’m holding out hope that something incredible will happen with whoever wins to restore my faith, but it feels like this season is going to go out on a sour note for me. :(

  • weese

    I think everyone should vote for Haley and Jacob. They are the only ones who need to win this thing to get a contract so why bother helping Scotty or Lauren achieve something they already have?
    James is the one I am unsure as to whether Jimmy is interested in signing or not. I would want him to win–and I think he deserves to win–if he isn’t already signed.
    If we get Haley and Jacob the one and two spot by voting them the winners–this season would probably have at least 7 idols signed. Casey may get signed as well. I think Stefano would be the only loser.

  • Mel1

    I’d still like to know who is unlikeable from Hollywood.

  • Chicagolaw

    Sadly, I think this week will be it for Haley.

    I think James will beat Scotty. By doing hard rock/rock/HAC/AC on the show, he is simply going to appeal to a wider audience.

  • njcafe

    TBH I don’t want James to win. I can’t see him being successful as a SOLO artist. Honestly, I was kinda bored with his performance last week. Don’t get me wrong. I thought he was good, but It’s all a bit the same…You know? Contestants like David Cook and Adam Lambert did it much better and came off authentic. Idk. Maybe I’m just tired of seeing the same type of contestant each year get praised and all the hoopla of being “Omg he’s original…It’s HEAVY METAL on idol”. I’m tired of seeing “different”. And I’m not saying James is the same as David, Kris, or Lee. But idk idk, like I said IT’S ALL THE SAME. It’s like I know exactly what market he’s going to be in and what type of album he’ll put out. Really, I wouldn’t mind seeing Jacob winning.

  • sma11ie

    No surprise, but I am with you on that. I had high hopes for Scotty but he has disappointed me with his refusal to grow (though last week was good) and I am continually underwhelmed by James, not to mention he’d be the 4th twenty-something rock singing guitar player winner in a row. Meanwhile. Lauren has a voice so great it can’t be denied even when she’s timid, and Haley keeps improving, taking risks and pumping out incredible ITunes tracks.

    LOL, I’m not trying to be funny, but no surprise again, what you said.

    I went from hating Haley for what I perceived as taking Kendra’s pretty blonde girl spot (unfairly, in hindsight) to no-holds-barred rooting for her and looking forward to her performances. But I also only finally got on the Casey bandwagon right before he got kicked off, so I’m hoping that’s not a bad sign. In my alternate universe, we’d have had a Lauren/Haley/Casey top 3… that would’ve been like a legit Kradison top 3 in terms of worthiness/talent/creativity (YMMV). At this rate, I’m just crossing all my fingers and toes one of the girls makes top 2. Not sure if it’s a pipe dream.

  • tinawina

    I’d still like to know who is unlikeable from Hollywood.

    I assumed that person was talking about James. He got the jerk edit Hollywood week.

    LOL sma11ie! We should just do the Vulcan mindmeld thing already. :D

  • http://www.twilightslo.com Mateja

    I have to admit, the idea of James Durbin makes me sick. I just can’t believe that someone who mimicked past contestants (Adam, Cook) could actually win. And it’s not just mimicking. He is not a good vocalist and he is often hiding that with spectacle.

    Jacob also needs to go.

    I would be happy with Scotty, Lauren or Haley winning.

  • emmuzka

    It would be hilarious if Jacob would somehow manage to win this. How the hell would 19 promote christian/HAC sound?

    It has been studied that in the time of stress like recession, war, etc, people tend to look back, preferably so much that people have more of nostalgic perceptions than actual memories of the time: Scotty, Lauren, and Jacob would all fill the “two generations” throw-back need, when James can reach back only one generation.

  • Mel1

    Interesting, I read an article about the possibility of James winning. I think the writer’s gripe was the same as someone posted above. How could it be possible that James would win and not Adam?

  • jodeb

    I agree with MJ all the way. Scotty for whatever reason (country boy, Mid-West contestant?) was the favorite and James is making his move at exactly the right time. He can sing. Both of his registers are good and when he rocks, his performance style brings down the house and when he sits quietly and sings with his guitar, he can tear out the heartstrings.

    Yes, there is a resemblance to Adam, but sad to say, James is straight and Adam is gay and IMO, that still hurt him with Middle America.

  • tomr

    James will win. Then Lauren, Scott, Haley, and Jacob in that order. The judges know!

  • emmuzka

    How could it be possible that James would win and not Adam?

    Because the situation would be different. James is polarizing, but not *that* polarizing. If James ends up in the final, people who want him to win, vote for him, and people who want the other person to win, will vote for that person. There won’t be people voting *against* James by voting for the other, like happened with Adam.

    I believe that the placing order of the final two is always a statement on what America, as a whole, is feeling. As top 2 will gain a contract anyways, and as the winning isn’t the key to success anymore anyways, it’s even more about the statement and not about singing.

    So, using very harsh clichés: InS7, people wanted to place the mutt underdog in front of the groomed puppy; In S8, people wanted the traditional values win over disorder, and in S9, people wanted the weak to win over the strong.

    Personally I think that in S10, people want the easy to win over complicated, so Scotty will win over James and Lauren will win over Haley.

  • Trina

    So if James were to win the big outcry would be ‘how could HE win and not Adam’? I think when it comes right down to it he’s too polarizing to actually win, but for as much as he and Adam are compared I couldn’t stand Adam during his season. I’ve come to like and appreciate him now and I love the music he’s put out, but as far as during the actual competition there’s something I see in James I didn’t see in Adam. Maybe there’s others like me? Who knows. I still think the franchise needs a female winner badly. Even Scotty who I find to be the perfect winner in a way would still be another white male 4 years in a row.

  • Buffynut

    There won’t be people voting *against* James by voting for the other, like happened with Adam.

    I wouldn’t bet on that.

  • Steelers36

    NFW Haley is 5th best out of 5. I agree with MJ that if Lauren was not being pimped constantly, Haley would have left her in the dust weeks ago.

  • Buffynut

    How could it be possible that James would win and not Adam?

    Obvious answer but I think it would be OT. :(

  • Mel1

    So if James were to win the big outcry would be ‘how could HE win and not Adam’?

    I think possibly only by those who are making the comparisons. Even Slezak makes the comparisons. I don’t think he will say anything about Adam, tho, if James wins. Besides, I was only talking about the one article I read.

  • Mel1

    What did James do during Hollywood week that made him appear unlikable. Note: James is not from Hollywood.

    BTW, I like James fine. It wouldn’t bother me if he won. I just prefer Haley.

  • Swind

    Like many other posters, I agree with the power list being…

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Haley
    4. Lauren
    5. Jacob

    Jacob will be gone after this week.

  • weese

    For me, Adam was always theatre. Very much the actor playing a part. I appreciated his talent but didn’t connect to his music. James strikes me as very much singing from the inside. His appearance and antics might seem staged but his singing never does to me.
    I never voted for Adam. I might for James.

  • sma11ie

    We should just do the Vulcan mindmeld thing already.

    I’m scared (for you) of the emotional transferance thing that future Spock talked about in the latest Star Trek movie! Heh. I’ve been kind of a Brooke-White-on-Idol level of a wreck with this Race for Hope weekend, new David Cook songs that make me cry, and just being stressed out about real life =P. Sorry, TMI.

    So if James were to win the big outcry would be ‘how could HE win and not Adam’?

    A lot of people saw David’s win (the first ‘rocker’ win back then!) as a referendum for Daughtry. I’m not sure if that applies here at all though… seems a lot of Adam fans don’t like James…?

    I assumed that person was talking about James. He got the jerk edit Hollywood week.

    Oh yeah! He was pretty annoying with the Lambert-imitation screams, ragging on the minors and their stage moms, and generally coming off a bit of a poor sport. Weird how he seems so likeable now. I think Nigel’s pro-wresting bits, and generally showing his friendships and bromances with his cast mates has really turned that around. Now that I think about it, Scotty didn’t come out of Hollywood that great either- he was the nutz of wonder lyric mess dude, the Baby Lock Dem Doors one-hit-wonder, and part of the crew that was mean to Jacey! But then of course he had a bit of a redemption edit when he showed his remorse. Int-eresting…

    So, using very harsh clichés: InS7, people wanted to place the mutt underdog in front of the groomed puppy; In S8, people wanted the traditional values win over disorder, and in S9, people wanted the weak to win over the strong.

    Personally I think that in S10, people want the easy to win over complicated, so Scotty will win over James and Lauren will win over Haley.

    Yikes! Harsh cliches indeed. Not entirely without merit (don’t agree with all of it, of course), but VERY HARSH critiques– on the AI voting public, if true, IMO.

  • bmms2005

    I’m not too sure why their pimping him so hard. He’s the closest thing to WGWG.

    Maybe its another intricate part of the old Nigel strategy! ;-).

    I’m not a fan of the WGWG. Except for Cookie & Daughtry. :-)

    As for James, I don’t think he fits quite as close to the WGWG. Just a bit. Anyhow, never was a fan of James when the season started. Disliked him so much during Hollywood/Vegas week and I did not care one bit for the Adam/James comparisons. Lol. Since then, I’ve enjoyed every one of his performances. Love the Durbinator.

  • bmms2005

    For me, Adam was always theatre. Very much the actor playing a part.

    Its like complaining that a cow moos! Lol

    One of my favorite Simon Cowell lines from S8.

  • koshka

    nvm I got behind in the convo.

  • Vanille

    id switch Haley and jacob… Haley seems to be gaining new ground and might pick up some of caseys fans..

    I’d also switch up james and scotty.. James won’t beat scotty in the finale no chance.. scotty will rack up laurens votes and take it home with ease regardless of performance..

  • AddictedToMars

    1. James
    2. Scotty
    3. Lauren
    4. Jacob
    5. Haley

    This is my power list so we have the same list MJ. I do think it’s possible Haley will go this week. It’s obvious the producers and the judges are trying hard to get rid of her. She’s probably going to sing 1st or 2nd this week due to the fact that without the duets she would’ve had the pimp spot. They don’t mind Jacob staying this week as he’s not a threat to their James/Scotty/Lauren final 3 as much as Haley would be. I predict the bus is coming for Haley for that reason alone. That’s the difference between her and Jacob. He’s not a threat to their plans, Haley is. Plus like Mike and Syesha, Jacob does have fans somewhere. It’s not as online based as the others but he clearly has a fanbase somewhere out there voting for him.

    I’m a Casey fan and I was voting for him every week so this may come as a surprise to some people but from now on I’m voting for Lauren. She was my 2nd favorite after Casey and I see so much potential in her. I wish she could pick better songs, show more range and get her confidence back because I see so much in Lauren but see that her age is hurting her chances. She wasn’t prepared or ready for this competition but I hope she can pull it together. I also like Scotty but I’m not invested in him winning, he doesn’t need my votes I love James but I don’t want him to win, I think he’s better off not winning. So considering I think Lauren needs my votes to stick around and including she was my 2nd favorite from the beginning, I’m voting for Lauren.

  • Vanille

    oh ya so btw that would make my order (of who i think is in the best spot)
    1)Scotty
    2)James
    3)Lauren
    4)Haley
    5)Jacob.

  • sma11ie

    I’m a Casey fan and I was voting for him every week so this may come as a surprise to some people but from now on I’m voting for Lauren.

    It is surprising! But then again, I really liked Casey by the time he left, and Lauren is my fave, so maybe not so much. Casey fans, where are your votes going? I was actually thinking/hoping they would got to Haley, but I’d be curious to find out what people here think.

  • claudette

    I agree totally with MJ’s listing. It’s clear the producers will sign and work with James, Scotty and Lauren. Jacob and Haley will have to make final 2, and even then I don’t think much will be invested in them. We know who the big guys want (Pia included).

    I never, ever think of Adam when I see James, and I was a huge Adam fan. James is very authentic in what he does. I don’t see many vote against him like Adam. Adam, at this point, was extremely theatrical. And, most people see the post – very sexual-very wild Adam and don’t see that in James at all. I think only a handful of people even think Adam when they see James.

  • tinawina

    She’s probably going to sing 1st or 2nd this week due to the fact that without the duets she would’ve had the pimp spot.

    True, but I think we’re getting to the point of the competition where performance order doesn’t matter too much. (Kirsten will have to confirm). If they want to sabotage her, they will have to not clear her song choices and/or mess with her sound. This chick will have to pull off the Powerpuff Girls superhuman maneuvers survive the next couple of weeks for real.

  • Vanille

    no if they want to sabatoge haley or jacob not only will they put them early they will make sure their better song goes on first round and their worse song is second… people are much more likely to remember your second song.. at least that’s what I would do if i was the producers..

  • bmms2005

    from now on I’m voting for Lauren

    So am I! After my #1 favorite left, Pia, Lauren has been my second favorite all season.

    I see so much potential in her. I wish she could pick better songs, show more range and get her confidence back because I see so much in Lauren

    Yes, there is a lot of potential in Lauren. Better songs is key for her at this point! And as for her confidence, she needs to start believing in herself and stop with all the negative talk in her mind. She can really have an amazing performance this week.

  • AddictedToMars

    I think most of Casey’s fans votes will be split between Haley and James. Seeing a lot of his fans saying they will be voting for one of them. I’m the odd woman out voting for Lauren LOL!

  • Chicagolaw

    James may not be “theatrical” but he doesn’t come across as authentic, to me. It feels like he is trying too hard to be everything in order to cover all bases. And while I can certainly appreciate Idols playing the “game” musically to win (my favorites–DC and Adam–were excellent at this), it feels like James is constantly molding his persona. I don’t know who he is at this point. Is he the massive ego or the guy who is always crying? Is he the born-again Christian or the guy who writes “songs about whores?” Is he Adam Lambert or David Cook? Maybe he is all of that, and it just doesn’t matter, lol. Anyway, he is talented and will probably win, but something about him doesn’t feel genuine (to me:))

    ETA: I am probably just way too cynical, but it’s how I feel

  • tinawina

    no if they want to sabatoge haley or jacob not only will they put them early they will make sure their better song goes on first round and their worse song is second… people are much more likely to remember your second song.. at least that’s what I would do if i was the producers..

    Good point!

  • jrain

    I think Scotty/James are interchangeable at the moment. I hope Jacob goes home but honestly I feel like Lauren deserves to. She has been weak the least 2-3 weeks. I like her and I have been waiting for her to gain her confidence but honestly it’s painful to watch. At this point I don’t feel like she deserves to be there over Haley or Jacob.

  • chearts77

    Casey fans, where are your votes going? I was actually thinking/hoping they would got to Haley, but I’d be curious to find out what people here think.

    My hubby was a Casey fan but never voted. After he was eliminated last week, he said he’s for Scotty all the way now. Which surprised me because he NEVER roots for MY favorite. LOL!! He gets a kick out of us teaming against each other.

  • Valentin432

    True, but I think we’re getting to the point of the competition where performance order doesn’t matter too much

    Hard to say.
    I think it matters less but it’s still better to perform last.

    FWIW, no contestant performing in the pimp spot on top 5 night was eliminated.
    Of course that only happened 9 times so the sample size is really small.

  • _Sereena_

    1. James ~ He is the complete package and more.

    2. Haley ~ Very underestimated. I didn’t like her at first, but she is my second favorite now. Her iTunes tracks sound gorgeous, she has a lovely fluidity to her voice, and she keeps improving.

    3. Scotty ~ Boring but solid. (Solid due to his loyal fanbase.)

    4. Lauren ~ She has never done anything to make me sit up and take notice. No spectacular performances, no “moment” …and she could use a new stylist.

    5. Jacob ~ Please go away. His voice is not that impressive and I can’t stand that big open-mouth baby faced stare and blink thing he does. Yuck!

  • Mel1

    I don’t understand why people think Adam fans don’t like James. It’s not black or white… some Adam fans like him, some are indifferent, and some don’t like him. Just like Cook or Jordin fans. It’s a mixed bag.

    If it’s the comparison thing, most Adam fans don’t think James is like Adam at all. Might be the media trying to start something.

    Thanks to those who summarized what happened during Hollywood week.

  • Elizabeth Lemon

    Whatever happens, I am going to be voting with reckless abandon for Haley for two straight hours. I want her to stay!

  • Mtlfan

    this is my power list:
    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Haley
    4. Lauren
    5. Jacob

    I think Haley has been gaining more fans in the last couple of weeks than the others. Also she’s going to get a good part of Casey’s votes imo.

    no if they want to sabatoge haley or jacob not only will they put them early they will make sure their better song goes on first round and their worse song is second… people are much more likely to remember your second song.. at least that’s what I would do if i was the producers..

    maybe, but the sequencing of the 2 songs rounds will be the same for everyone. Meaning the first round with the old song and the 2nd round with the current song (i think it will be in this order).

    It’s an important week for everyone but Haley has to be very good on both to continue gaining momentum

  • claudette

    Lauren will be much better after the competition. People will help and develop her. She has the raw talent but also has the other stuff you need to make it. She also fits a large, young target audience who love cute, big personalities, sell a lot of music and bring in huge crowds for fun concerts. Carrie changed dramatically to me after Idol. (I wish whoever worked and wrote for Carrie could work with Lauren but different labels now)

    Haley is loved mostly by default. She didn’t come into this having “it” and gaining a huge fan base. She gets votes and praise by default – by others favorites leaving. She’s rough around the edges and highly unlikable to lot of people. What is Jimmy gonna do with her. Not compete in pop against Pia. Do an AC jazz album? Someone might, but they have to focus on a view with a bang right after Idol. Haley will get lost in the crowd. But she’s hung in there and she could make it by getting votes “against others” like Kris I guess. But James will take it and he and Pia will be “it” from Idol.

  • Miss Chaos

    Look at the picture, Top 2 at the bottom!! My pick for sure, that would be a great final, Lock them doors, with nuts of wonder singing LOW, and Jazzy pretty, bouncy girl singing and blowing the doors off the Theater!!!!!!

    Adam was claimed the winner most of the season, like James is being told now, James wont win.

    Go Haley, Love ya!!!!!

  • bean99

    Mine would be:

    1. Scotty
    2. James but only because it’s clear TPTB want him in the f2. I’m not so sure he has the votes at this time.
    3. Lauren
    tied for last Jacob & Haley. I think they’ll go over the next 2 weeks but not sure in what order.

    This Casey fan won’t be voting for Haley. I’m not sure I’ll vote at all but if I do will go to either Scotty or Lauren (probably her since I think she needs them more).

  • Trina

    No it has not been claimed “most” of the season James will win, certainly not by a majority of fans or the media. It only started last week. If anything those who strongly dislike him have said over and over he stands no shot at winning because all he does is screech and sing off-key. I think one of the big complaints this season is that there has been no clear cut front runner.

  • AddictedToMars

    I don’t think James is going to win. Yes idol fans love their rockers but they also love their country singers as well. It will be Lauren or Scotty to win. If one of them gets eliminated before top 2 their votes will just transfer to the other making them win in a big victory. Then you also have to think about the south and midwest vote. No one from the west has won in a finale against someone from the south.

  • Ringo

    I have been struggling to figure out Jacob’s attraction and popularity and, ultimately his niche in the market. Like may others, I find his vibrator/tremulo and his off key falsetto both odd and off-putting. This weekend, however, I was watching an episode of Saving Grace on Netflix and ran across a song by Antony and the Johnsons and thought it could be Jacob singing. Very odd still, but touching all the same. I think this was the song Hope There’s Someone: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_Nq9fUX2WE

  • Chicagolaw

    I think it’s rare that there is a “clear cut” front runner. Usually, at least to me, there are 2 Idols who SEEM to be clearly in front: Lee/Crystal, Danny/Adam, the two Davids, Bo/Carrie…And, in most cases (except, obviously S8) number 3 appears to be way back.

  • Nativenewyorker

    My sense is that Scotty and James are neck and neck. Scotty gave his best performance by far last week and took on one of the truly great iconic songs and did it brilliantly. It was my favorite performance so far in the finals.

    You could switch them back and forth and I don’t know that it will make a difference. I am wondering if the blatant and over the top pimping of James will hurt him in the end.

    I will again put Lauren in third place, although that would not be my personal choice. She is getting the big push from the judges and that should help her. This girl is badly lacking in confidence and it’s really hurting her performances. I agree with mj that vote splitting will prevent both Scotty and Lauren getting into the final two. Something will have to give at some point. I guess it’s true that she could squeak by Scotty and that would be a shame as far as I am concerned.

    It’s interesting to see mj put Jacob at the fourth spot, however I understand why she did it. Whether one likes him or not, the guy is still here. That says something. People can hate him all they want, but the guy has a serious fan base. He survived telling America that if he wound up in the bottom, it would be because they couldn’t look themselves in the mirror. He went first last week. He has been up and down with his performances. Yet he’s still standing.

    I like Haley and think she deserves the fourth spot, but she had Jimmy and the judges against her. She has to be perfect every single week if she is to survive. I can’t quite figure out if she is really gaining momentum or if she is being hurt by the criticism. I think she and Jacob are interchangeable at this point. I expect them both to go in the next two weeks.

  • musicality

    1) Scotty
    2) Lauren
    3) Haley
    4) James
    5) Jacob

    Haley is gaining steam. James is nothing more than a copy machine a poser. I think we saw his true personality during Hollywood week and uncle Nigel with his editing decided to change things up. Jacob I doubt has a fan base and will probably be the next to go. He’s getting on people’s nerves I noticed. If Haley doesn’t keep on building momentum then she could be 4th and James 3rd.

    If I had my way it would be this:

    Lauren
    Haley
    Scotty
    Jacob
    James

  • gferna

    I don’t know why the Adam comparisons at all other than the “scream”. James kind of music is very far away from what Adam is doing. If James can deliver a solid rock music first CD, those who should be worried are the soft rockers, like Chris, Kris, DC and Lee, because that is going to be a hard challenge for them (to compete against a very young guy with a better voice).

  • _Sereena_

    If it ever came down to Scotty, Lauren, and Jacob as the three finalists, I would have to stop watching because at that point it would be a total snoozefest and I wouldn’t care who won, unless it was Jacob because that would be super funny.

  • bmms2005

    and she could make it by getting votes “against others” like Kris I guess

    If you’re referring to once Danny was voted off, then those votes went to Kris, yes. But, Kris had a devoted and large fanbase and gained plenty of new fans week after week. I don’t think Haley is getting the amount of new fans that Kris did nor does she have enough of a large fanbase.

  • koshka

    If James can deliver a solid rock music first CD, those who should be worried are the soft rockers, like Chris, Kris, DC and Lee, because that is going to be a hard challenge for them (to compete against a very young guy with a better voice).

    Why would they be worried? HAC doesn’t play ‘solid rock’ & it takes more than a good voice to make it these days. Maybe James has it, maybe he doesn’t, but we won’t know until he actually cuts an album first. We don’t even know what type of music he wants to make… or should I say what type he like and TPTB sign off on.

  • sma11ie

    If anything those who strongly dislike him have said over and over he stands no shot at winning because all he does is screech and sing off-key.

    Take away the screech comment and you have Lee’s critics from last year… a lot of people in the media and online were banging every door complaining about the Key of Lee once we got down to the wire on S9, and he still won. In fact, he probably has more supporters than Lee because some people’s “screeching” is many other Idol fans’ “great voice”. Sooo… yeah, I definitely think he can win.

  • koshka

    If you’re referring to that once Danny was voted off, then those votes went to Kris, yes

    I could see this happening when Lauren gets voted off. I think her votes might go to Scotty, if he is their second fav.

  • gferna

    Why is James “polarizing”? I don’t understand what is he polarizing… The only difference with DC, Chris, etc. is that he likes metal.

  • koshka

    Take away the screech comment and you have Lee’s critics from last year… a lot of people in the media and online were banging every door complaining about the Key of Lee once we got down to the wire on S9, and he still won. In fact, he probably has more supporters than Lee because some people’s “screeching” is many other Idol fans’ “great voice”. Sooo… yeah, I definitely think he can win.

    Sure it is possible… I just wonder why we haven’t had much discussion about these folks hometowns.

    Scotty = NC (south)
    James = Santa Cruz, CA (West)

    Just based on hometown & not considering genres, I don’t think James has a fighting chance.

  • musicality

    If James can deliver a solid rock music first CD, those who should be worried are the soft rockers, like Chris, Kris, DC and Lee, because that is going to be a hard challenge for them

    I’m hearing this theme a lot on some of the music blogs. They are predicting that James will go more toward the soft rock route because heavy metal doesn’t sell. I’m reading that he will be competing for HAC air space with those listed above. Which should be really interesting. I’m wondering how he’ll do in sales in comparison to Cook or Daughtry. I would assume he’ll do better than Kris or Lee since their sales are low

  • bmms2005

    I could see this happening when Lauren gets voted off. I think her votes might go to Scotty, if he is their second fav.

    Although I would want either Lauren or James in the finale with Scotty, it is most certain that her votes will go to him. Heck, it will be a hard choice to make for me. Lol. Since I love James & Scotty. I might split my votes when it comes down to S & J.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Scotty = NC (south)
    James = Santa Cruz, CA (West)

    Just based on hometown & not considering genres, I don’t think James has a fighting chance.

    I live in the south and I see a lot of facebook voting for James. Some people can’t let go of their metal. LOL.

  • bmms2005

    Scotty = NC (south)
    James = Santa Cruz, CA (West)

    Just based on hometown & not considering genres, I don’t think James has a fighting chance.

    Good point. And although most of Scotty’s votes and fans are from the South, but his votes are probably also coming in from the ‘farm or country’ side of East, North, West. Here in the state of New York, there is oodles of ‘farm country’ way up north. Since Pia was eliminated, my votes are solely going to Lauren. If she gets voted off, and if it is indeed a Scotty/James finale. I might split my votes. But leaning more towards Scotty.

  • Buffynut

    Maybe he is all of that, and it just doesn’t matter, lol. Anyway, he is talented and will probably win, but something about him doesn’t feel genuine (to me:))

    Not just to you, Chicagolaw! To me too! His piano in flames song is the one that just made me really see him as a kid, doing Karaoke, playing a rocker. Some people have menitoned he’d do well in a tribute band, and that is how I see him…. nothing original or genuine. Does not even have a distinctive voice. I mean, whe I hear Kris, I know it is Kris. Same thing for Cook, Crystal, even Lee.

  • koshka

    I live in the south and I see a lot of facebook voting for James. Some people can’t let go of their metal. LOL.

    I’m really interested to see James’s song choices for the final weeks. Will he cave to Jimmy’s HAC push or will he stay metal? How will the fans react if he goes all HAC on them?

  • NOLA

    1 – Scotty
    2 – Lauren
    3 – James
    4 – Jacob
    5 – Haley

  • doggiedr

    While I think that Scotty and James might be neck and neck front runners I also think they are both relatively obvious “types” and as such, voter’s opinion on them was fairly well set early on. I don’t think their people are changing their initial opinions, nor do I think either of them are gaining many new fans as other contestants are picked off.

    Somebody is picking up those votes- someone inoffensive enough, someone not polarizing, and like seasons past someone that will sneak right past the “front runners” as it gets closer to the finish line.

    I think there is going to be a mighty upset and I think that person squeaking right past Scotty and James might be Haley.

  • SpenserJ

    I don’t think Haley is getting the amount of new fans that Kris did nor does she have enough of a large fanbase.

    I think Haley’s gaining in votes, sort of in the same manner that Kris did. But, I don’t think it’s near the same volume. Plus, I think Kris was far ahead of her at this point. She hasn’t made up nearly the ground he did.

    With a couple of good performances, I think she’s got the momentum to outlast Jacob. After that, I just don’t think she’s got enough juice. She came on a little too late, and TPTB have made things a little difficult for her.

    Even if she leaves this week, it was still an impressive run (to me). She fought hard, and she gave it her best shot. I personally enjoy her voice very much, and she’s definitely my favorite of this season (regardless of where she finishes).

  • Nina1

    I live in the south and I see a lot of facebook voting for James. Some people can’t let go of their metal. LOL.

    PJ: Didn’t you used to live in NY?

  • googletot

    1 – Scotty
    2 – Lauren
    3 – James
    4 – Jacob
    5 – Haley

    Same for me.

    I live in the South and don’t know one person that has voted for James. Of the ones left, they all like Scotty or Lauren.

  • yellin

    from what I hear from a very good source, James is going to be amazing this week…:) Remember, depending on the themes and choices they are given, he may not always have the option to keep everything “Metal” so to speak. I think every one of them is extremely talented, and I see Scotty and Lauren selling a lot because of their genre, but I think we could all be surprised by Durbin as well.

  • Trina

    James has done one true metal song when he did Judas Priest, and then he did the song Heavy Metal which isn’t really metal. He hasn’t exactly been cranking out metal songs. When he sang Muse, he he said he needed to be more contemporary. Then last week he said he wanted to show he didn’t need the marching band or flaming piano, so IMO he’s slowly learning. I do think Jimmy is gradually brainwashing him lol. Personally I have no issues with HAC. Its a way bigger format than rock and I like several HAC leaning artists.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Nina, I used to live in Chicago. I am from Alabama originally, and am back here now.

    My friends on facebook voting for James are high school friends, so late thirties on up to mid-40s demo. LOL.

    Personally, I have only voted for Haley.

  • weese

    It is true that James loves metal but not that it is the only thing he can do or the only thing he wants to do. Maybe he should come out and say this. When they do group numbers it is his voice that comes across as the most versatile to me. He is more convincing in all genres than any of the others actually.

  • _Sereena_

    yellin said:

    from what I hear from a very good source, James is going to be amazing this week…:)

    I heard something similar from a very reliable source.

  • koshka

    I heard something similar from a very reliable source.

    Who? A fan?

  • http://mjsbigblog.com/luvadamlamberts-american-idol-tour-2009-washington-dc-re-cap.htm luvadamlambert

    i havent been around for a while…..
    anyway, ITA mj, but personally, i
    WISH jacob would be last, switched with haley and scotty is better than james

  • Buffynut

    _Sereena_ says:
    05/02/2011 at 4:05 pm
    yellin said:

    from what I hear from a very good source, James is going to be amazing this week…:)

    I heard something similar from a very reliable source

    Since rehearsals are just today, I would question how reliable that source is!

  • genius20913

    i think lauren might go home this week…all of the pimping by the judges and producers and she’s just now(in the last 2 weeks) starting to get some confidence??? Lauren is a little late on the “growth arc” that AI viewers love so much…at this stage of the competition, you’re supposed to be almost or already at your peak and Lauren isn’t even at the point where she was b4 she lost all of her confidence…

    on the other hand, its undeniable that haley has the best voice and performances out of the 5, but the judges (especially randy and jlo) and TPTB cant stand her for some reason…i voted 500 times for her last week and im goin to vote even more this week…i want her to win

    I just dont get all the James love/pimping…his voice isnt all that and I prefer’s Lee’s voice to james…and i dont even like Lee

    Scotty is SO boring and predictable and safe…even tho its already pre-destined for him to win, i just dont like his singing (he’s a nice guy tho)

    James- idk what to say about him…i just dont like his style of singing..i hope he goes this week…

  • x57x

    And although most of Scotty’s votes and fans are from the South,

    I have seen that Scotty has won several states in the North and Midwest of those using Dial Idol software to cast their vote. In the south Lauren and Scotty split many of the southern states. I have seen Lauren wining some of those southern states.

    One of the Country singing teens (Lauren or Scotty) will probably have to go soon because that field is crowded. I think once either Lauren or Scotty are gone the other will pick up most of their voters who are Country fans or teens.

    Here is who I think is leading;

    1. James
    2. Scotty
    3. Lauren
    4. Haley
    5. Jacob

    Haley might be higher than Lauren, but this is who I think they are.

  • justshootme

    The fact is James is most similar to the template of winner they’ve ended up with the last three years. So it seems logical to assume he’ll end up winning. What’s that old definition of crazy … doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results? Lol.

    Also, all season I’ve had this S7 deja vu. To me, it felt like DC was pushed to the win to make up for Daughtry’s loss two years before. Now I feel that way this season. Durbin pushed to make up for Adam two years ago. I know it’s kinda weird, it’s just the vibe I get.

  • x57x

    Speaking of Kris. The majority of people using Dial Idol software in Arkansas voted for Haley even though it is a Southern state. the person who got the least votes was Casey, and he went home.

  • Kirsten

    I heard something similar from a very reliable source.

    I too have heard things from my very reliable source (though, she warns, things are always subject to change):

    1) Haley will start the show. She will sing something from the 60s and growl. Her second song will be a song from the last two years which was foisted on her (Katy Perry or Katy Perry-like).

    2) Jacob will get a gospel choir. They will try to outsing him.

    3) Bandzilla will be on a roll and you will barely hear some of Lauren’s performance. She will sound better in the intro clip and more tenative when singing it live. She will sing part of her song to Steven.

    4) Jimmy and Sheryl will debate advice given to Scotty who will sing one slow song and one mid-tempo song. The mid-tempo song will be the modern country song. The slow song will be from a major act in the 60s.

    5) Nigel will run around wildly gesticulating while James performs. James will sing one barn burner of a song and one slightly-angsty modern song with an edge. Think FOB/Oasis/Green Day

    6) There will be one big show of pyro but it will not be from who you think it will be from. Or maybe it will be.

    7) Randy will say “DAWG”, “In-it-to-win-it” and “Performance of the NIGHT!”

    8) Steven will say “Beautiful”

    9) JLo will say “You know I like you” and “Please vote for the girls”

    10) Ryan will behave like a hyperactive squirrel on speed.

  • x57x

    Right after last weeks results show I checked twitter.

    Many teens and tweens thought Scotty was actually in the bottom 3 and that he almost went home and was in danger. I saw hundreds of tweets from teens who believed that Scotty was almost voted off and said they would double their efforts.

    Sometimes when a person is in the bottom 3 their fans will vote harder the next week.

  • koshka

    justshootme that makes as much sense as anything else.. including my “Scotty is from the south” theory. All I know is that I pretty much don’t care who wins, which makes me sad.

  • http://www.twilightslo.com Mateja

    Also, all season I’ve had this S7 deja vu. To me, it felt like DC was pushed to the win to make up for Daughtry’s loss two years before. Now I feel that way this season. Durbin pushed to make up for Adam two years ago. I know it’s kinda weird, it’s just the vibe I get.

    Yeah. I like Daughtry and Adam – they are my favorites from seasons 5 and 8. Cook is allright, reminded me of Daughtry during season 7, he just wasn’t as good as Chris. It was kinda sad to see Cook win when Daughtry went out only 4th.

    I saw Durbin mimicking both Adam and Cook this season and his win certainly wouldn’t make up for Adam not winning two years ago… There is just no comparison as far as talent goes.

    Also, I really want a different type of a contestant to win this year. We’ve had enough rockers and HAC types.

  • NOLA

    i think all in all, when scotty wins, he will sell the most debut albums since carrie and have at least two #1 singles from his debut album. this will restore some of idol’s credibility with its winners.

    I agree 100%

  • http://myspace.com/susanatfox sumidol

    I am going to be brave, so I say

    James
    Haley
    Scotty
    Lauren
    Jacob

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    Sumi, I like your prediction. Mainly because I have James as my overall pick in the pool and Haley is my fave.

  • Soberba

    I think it should be:

    1. Haley
    2. Scotty
    3. Lauren
    4. James
    5. Jacob

    But I think it will be:

    1. Scotty
    2. James
    3. Lauren
    4. Haley
    5. Jacob

    Haley has momentum. I’ll be very upset if she leaves this week.

  • chicksineggz

    I went from hating Haley for what I perceived as taking Kendra’s pretty blonde girl spot (unfairly, in hindsight) to no-holds-barred rooting for her and looking forward to her performances.

    Same here!

    I never voted for Adam. I might for James.

    Me too.. only if Haley is already gone though. I never really liked Adam’s performances, but I love a lot of James’ performances.

    Whatever happens, I am going to be voting with reckless abandon for Haley for two straight hours. I want her to stay!

    Yes, yes, yes! I semi power voted last week. Just for one hour. But now that my school year is over, I have more time. Hehe.

  • PamReid

    My power list as of today (and this could change after Wednesday’s performances):
    James
    Scotty
    Lauren
    Haley
    Jacob

    There is simply NO comparison, IMO, between James and Adam – aside from the fact that they are both rockers. Adam WAS polarizing and I think that middle American couldn’t bring themselves to vote for him against the very clean cut Kris. James has endeared himself to a lot of voters because he is supporting his fiance and child. I find him quite likable and I also think he is very, very good. His talent is much rawer than Adam’s as Adam was quite polished and James is not. With some vocal coaching, James could end up making records that sell, sell, sell since his voice really has it all – just in a raw form. He may love his metal, but he is capable of a rock style that is highly marketable.

    Scotty is Scotty, pure and simple. He is throwback country and that can work for him. With maturity, he might be able to add some dimension to his style. That remains to be seen. He will have a career and it could be a successful one. Country fans are very loyal.

    Lauren has incredible potential as a country/cross over artist. She has a terrific voice and some age is going to make a HUGE difference in her. Marketable now, YES – much more marketable in few years, YES, YES, YES!

    I don’t know about Haley. She fits into the Adele, Joss Stone, Sara Bareilles, etc. style to some extent, yet for me, she lacks the emotion and soul of these women. Also, her lower register is weak. I don’t think she really has the vocal range that some here do and she covers it up with that growl. That said, I do like a lot of what she has done on Idol and would love to see her succeed. Maybe she doesn’t know who she is as an artist :), but I think she is pop/rock and that, IMO, is the kind of record she would make. She is not nearly as strong a singer as her competition in the genre would be. Again, JMO.

    Jacob is the only one of the five that I don’t see as marketable. Is he R&B/Soul? Maybe, but he certainly doesn’t have that something that current R&B/Soul artists have that make them successful. His best bet would be Christian rock and there is a market for that, but probably not the market size that they are looking for from an AI winner. Edit – Jacob doesn’t rock at all, so he isn’t marketable in Christian Rock either. Jacob is straight up Gospel – nothing wrong with that, but does it sell?

  • x57x

    i think all in all, when scotty wins, he will sell the most debut albums since carrie and have at least two #1 singles from his debut album. this will restore some of idol’s credibility with its winners.

    Right now the majority of previous Idols are charting in Country and Christian music. Two are charting in R/B and one is charting in Soft Rock.

  • Kirsten

    Sometimes when a person is in the bottom 3 their fans will vote harder the next week.

    The country voters might also swing to voting more for Scotty fearing that he almost got sent home last week and that could spell trouble for Lauren.

    It was an interesting ploy last week. I think they did it for the ratings. If the other two members of bottom 3 were Jacob and Haley, ratings might have slid for the last half of the show (which would be a bad way to start sweeps month). People have been expecting those two to go home for weeks, so they have become prepared for that and might switch to whatever sweeps gimmick some other show had on. They couldn’t pretend Lauren was bottom 3 because that would have shredded her confidence that they’ve been trying to build up (and she would cry and they would look mean). They couldn’t do it to James because his Tourette’s gets worse with stress and they would look mean (remember how Casey’s fans were angry at TPTB for letting him be eliminated/saved when he was so sick? IDK what they wanted, but they felt he should have been spared the stress).

    If it was truly Scotty, Lauren or James in the bottom 3, then they might be trying to engineer a shock boot in the coming weeks. It isn’t as shocking to boot somebody who has been in the bottom 3 so hide it and pretend it comes out of left field when it does occur (plus, no panic voting). If that’s the story, it is least likely that Scotty was in the bottom 3 because why not just say he was? The result would have been pretty much the same as what we are going to see with him “randomized into finding his result second last”.

    BTW remember rock night when they had Stefano and Paul sing last and there were lots of comments “Why did they do that? Those were two dead men walking. Why give them the extra votes by performing last? Why did they yank Tedder and give him Stefano?”. Well, turns out Pia’s votes were low all along and she got booted the next night (I think contestants are often most vunerable when they FINALLY listen to the judges’ advice. Voters keep haninging on based on potential. The person will be great once we hear an uptempo song/they get their confidence/they stop all that riffing/etc, and when they finally do it, unless they knock it out of the park, they can’t live up to expectations. So, voters go “meh” and don’t bother to vote. Plus, Gwen dressed her in a cow outfit). Perhaps there was some engineering of a shock boot going on. A little thumb on the scale to tip the results. Could see the same for Lauren this week? Hmm….

  • SouthernKradamFan

    I keep seeing people reference Lauren’s “loss” of confidence. First of all, I have liked Lauren from the beginning and have enjoyed some of her performances, BUT did she ever actually have a lot of confidence? I don’t think she has had a lot of confidence from the beginning, and it’s understandable considering she is only 16 years old! Personally, I think she could have really benefited from a couple more years before trying out. I agree with MJ’s list except I would put Scotty above James. He is getting a lot of young, southern girl votes! I live in TN, and every person I have talked to about Idol this year likes and/or has been voting for Scotty.

  • x57x

    I do think that Haley will start to get Casey’s votes and that isn’t good for Jacob’s chances of staying.

  • justshootme

    To me, James is a watered down version of Adam. I know others view him differently and that’s fine. It reminds me of this TexMex restaurant I went to in Iowa years ago. The menu said they served Mexican food “flavored for the Midwestern palate”. That’s how I think of James … Adam Lambert flavored for the Middle American palate. Which is cool if that’s what you like. I prefer the spicy version.

  • lla2827

    The majority of people using Dial Idol software in Arkansas voted for Haley even though it is a Southern state. the person who got the least votes was Casey, and he went home.

    Not surprised that viewers in Arkansas didn’t vote for Casey. That’s a no-brainer. I can’t see him getting the most votes or doing well in any southern state–except maybe Louisana (some jazz votes)

    I am a Casey fan and will probably throw all my votes to Haley. Unless–I get the impression that she wants out. I don’t want her having to deal with Iovine and TPTB if they are going treat her badly. When she signed Casey’s number badge–she wrote something to the effect that she didn’t know how she would get along without him there. It would probably suk big if they treat her like sh-t and she has nobody to talk to about it. I believe Haley has no shot of winning–even tho I think she is the best talent of the five remaining contestants. With Casey’s exit, the producers can’t play up the musical romance angle. So, I think may want her out and keep Jacob for one more week.

    I think Scotty will win–have always thought that. But, it has been a crazy season

  • sr4mjc

    LMAO Kirsten! I do believe you have already re-capped Wednesday’s episode.

    I’m on Team Haley. Mainly because TPTB is shitting on her. I think she’s talented. She needs a little work on her live performances but her recordings are very good. Well, as good as this year’s recordings are gonna get, because they are on the whole pretty poor in production. Once she’s gone I’ll be team Lauren, if Haley doesn’t run past her first. After that I’m Team Scotty because I’d love to see Idol have a male country winner.

    I see an uphill battle marketing James. In the beginning his tweets were all ‘I’m bringing metal back! I’m doing AC/DC, Sabbath, yada yada..’ and it’s pretty clear Jimmy wants no part of that. Even not doing a metal song, he still has a mediocre metal cover band sound to his voice and I don’t think he has the creative chops to cut it in the biz. And 19 is stuck promoting another guy to HAC. Gee, that’s exciting.

  • genius20913

    it seems like every year people are always saying “im sure so-and-so” will get a record deal and be sucessful…and all of them almost always fade away and are forgotten

    i have a feeling that we will forget about all of these people once the voice gets into full steam and the X-factor comes out in a couple months…maybe a couple of people this season will have semi-successful careers…scotty will win…he’ll probably sell more than Lee..but not enough to bring back some credibility to AI as a platform to make stars…teens and tweens vote like crazy but by the time an album comes out, they’ve already forgotten about ole’ scotty whathisface and moved on to the next cute guy…

  • desiree_chick

    I am going to be brave, so I say

    James
    Haley
    Scotty
    Lauren
    Jacob

    Ugh, that would be my miracle. Possible switch Scotty and Lauren. The sooner he leaves the better.

  • Elek

    For the very first time, I have to agree with your power list, MJ, as that’s how exactly my power list looks like.

    As I have been claiming each and every week I submit mine, my list is based solely on performances from Top 13. Obviously, I am an Idol freak that I have been keeping a log on everyone’s performances.

    As they say, all the remaining finalists are all talented and unique in their own way so it is irrelevant to discuss on how beautiful their voice sounds and how marketable their type of genre will be post Idol.

    So here is mine:

    1. James Durbin has been consistently performing his best if not the best of the night from Top 13. Now that he “seems” untouchable at the top, irritated fans are accusing him of being the great mimicker as if David Cook could do metal just like he does or Adam Lambert could reach an impossible high note without sticking his tongue out whilst James could do higher but just close his eyes tight. I know how the other two guys perform as I am a big fan to both and there’s no way I would agree to anyone saying that he is mimicking them. Certainly the most absurd observation I can find as all of them are clearly very unique.

    2. Scotty McCreery is the only possible candidate that can topple James from the top knowing that he is a Southerner and seems “most popular.” Not that he is better in any way but as one has put it earlier, he sings easy using his dynamite low voice and the most lovable personality plus country will always be country even if Osama bin Laden is dead.

    3. Lauren Alaina is on this spot not because she is being pimped by the producers but because she has the instrument that can market pop and country at the same time, not to mention that she could also rock. In fact, I never felt the pimping for her except that I know that Steven Tyler is clearly rooting for her. And I really love Steven for doing that because it’s probably the reason why I still believe that she would be the last female standing.

    4. James Lusk is very much comparable to extreme weather conditions the world is having now… sometimes he is the greatest and sometimes the weakest. Very seldom you would find his rendition in the middle. If I can only do magic, I would do all my way that he reaches the Top 2 with James as that would be the most exhilarating finale to be. From Top 13 I have been rooting for a James-Scotty duel but with all honesty, I really won’t mind a James-Jacob battle, that is, if Jacob promises that he will stay in pitch when he goes over singing.

    5. Haley Reinhart is probably the “most improved” and the “luckiest finalist” strictly based on the number of fans she is gaining… at least on this blog. But that is not enough for her to be in a better position. She still needs a lot of convincing for her to be where her fans want her to be. And something is wrong with her personally – when Adam was a guest in the show, she never said a word but when Adam tweeted that he is rooting for her, she suddenly declares that Adam is the best alumnus of the show. Not that it is not true but come on…

    Interesting, I read an article about the possibility of James winning. I think the writer’s gripe was the same as someone posted above. How could it be possible that James would win and not Adam?

    Yes, there is a resemblance to Adam, but sad to say, James is straight and Adam is gay and IMO, that still hurt him with Middle America.

    And may I add, Adam has neither Tourette’s nor Asperger’s and James’ back story might be his strongest weapon to defeat Scotty’s middle American votes. Disability plays well in the hearts of all compassionate Americans.

    no if they want to sabatoge haley or jacob not only will they put them early they will make sure their better song goes on first round and their worse song is second… people are much more likely to remember your second song.. at least that’s what I would do if i was the producers…

    I can’t believe that I am reading this but of course it is all possible especially if there is truth to all the allegations against the producers of the show.

    If it’s the comparison thing, most Adam fans don’t think James is like Adam at all. Might be the media trying to start something.

    This is practically true and if there is anything to compare, both simply bring the most exciting performances that one’s reason to watching is to see what’s next on their agenda.

    Why would they be worried? HAC doesn’t play ‘solid rock’ & it takes more than a good voice to make it these days. Maybe James has it, maybe he doesn’t, but we won’t know until he actually cuts an album first. We don’t even know what type of music he wants to make… or should I say what type he like and TPTB sign off on.

    This is probably the most sensible statement I’ve heard/read today. Cool thoughts!

    James has done one true metal song when he did Judas Priest, and then he did the song Heavy Metal which isn’t really metal. He hasn’t exactly been cranking out metal songs. When he sang Muse, he said he needed to be more contemporary. Then last week he said he wanted to show he didn’t need the marching band or flaming piano, so IMO he’s slowly learning. I do think Jimmy is gradually brainwashing him lol. Personally I have no issues with HAC. Its a way bigger format than rock and I like several HAC leaning artists.

    Great observation… and for sure he is learning, remember he has visions? LOL.

    Finally, it’s so sad that just because a kind of WGWG has won consecutively in the last three years that they have to put James amongst them if he wins. I just hope that the Durbinators will do all possible so that he is declared the tenth season’s American Idol!!!

    :-) IMHO. ;-)

  • Holden

    My personal list is:

    1. James
    2. Haley
    3. Scotty
    4. Lauren
    5. Jacob

    I still think we’re headed for a Scotty v. James finale, with Scotty winning, although my vote would go to James. My favorites usually stall at #2 (see Clay, Bo, Kat, Adam, & Crystal). I arrived late to the season 1 party, so I didn’t have a horse that race. My one favorite who did actually win was David Cook.

  • PamReid

    genius20913 says:
    05/02/2011 at 5:05 pm
    it seems like every year people are always saying “im sure so-and-so” will get a record deal and be sucessful…and all of them almost always fade away and are forgotten

    i have a feeling that we will forget about all of these people once the voice gets into full steam and the X-factor comes out in a couple months…maybe a couple of people this season will have semi-successful careers…scotty will win…he’ll probably sell more than Lee..but not enough to bring back some credibility to AI as a platform to make stars…teens and tweens vote like crazy but by the time an album comes out, they’ve already forgotten about ole’ scotty whathisface and moved on to the next cute guy…

    So true, so true – EXCEPT, Scotty is baby-faced cute now, at 17. If he looked like Josh Turner, I would probably vote for him. :)

  • x57x

    Not surprised that viewers in Arkansas didn’t vote for Casey. That’s a no-brainer. I can’t see him getting the most votes or doing well in any southern state–except maybe Louisana

    But they didn’t vote for a Country singer, they voted for another jazz type singer; Haley.

    ;)

  • miniglik

    I am going to be brave, so I say

    James
    Haley
    Scotty
    Lauren
    Jacob

    That’s definitely who I’d vote for, in that order. I doubt America will do the same.

    I think we’re underestimating Jacob’s internet-quiet fanbase, but they’re there and they’ve kept him around when he seems all but gone.

  • http://www.latenightbanter.com MBLovesPaula

    If this was based solely on talent and how enjoyable they are to watch/listen to, Haley would #1 by a comfortable margin. As it is, I think MJ’s list is pretty much right.

  • Trina

    The most debut albums since Carrie would mean Scotty would have to outsell Daughtry’s 5 million+. If we’re talking winners then he has to beat 1.3 million. I don’t wish that kind of pressure on anyone the way the industry is right now. The way the winners have been selling Idol might be pleased if he goes gold, or at the least be the winner who sells the most for the year.

    Eta: totally agree about Jacob. I can’t get behind the notion that he has no fanbase. Not all fanbases are loud and visible online.

  • brittneybabyy

    My list would be exactly like MJs, except with Jacob at the bottom and Haley 4th. For me, he really just needs to go. He has a good voice, I really don’t like the genre of music he sings, and I feel as if he has overstayed his welcome.

    As for the comments about James vs. Adam, I say stop the comparisons already. They are two completely different artists, and there are only 3 things I see in common with them: they put on amazing shows, they have incredible ranges, and they both seem like genuinely nice guys. But besides that, nothing. I am a huge fan of Adam, and I believe with all my heart the only reason why he came in second was because of how polarizing he is. Just what I think.

    However, I do have a history of picking runners-up (Top 4 at the lowest)… Of all 9 previous seasons, I’ve only picked two winners. I’ve picked: Kelly, Clay, Diana, Bo, Chris, Blake, David A, Adam and Lee. Now I’m picking James, and hopefully, hopefully I’ll get it right again this year. Though, I wouldn’t be terribly angry if Scotty won. He can do no wrong in the country music world and I think he would sell brilliantly.

  • Mel1

    Elek, good post above. Looks like you read this thread very carefully and thoughtfully.

    I agree with you that lumping James into WGWG doesn’t seem to fit the last three winners. The three winners are more similar than not, including coming from the midwest/south. James is an all-out rocker, down to his clothes. The last three winners are more jeans and white t-shirt type of guys. The last three don’t wail. Scotty would fit that description (does he play guitar), if anyone.

  • lla2827

    But they didn’t vote for a Country singer, they voted for another jazz type singer; Haley.

    I guess that is not exactly what I meant. I don’t think Casey would win or do well in Louisiana either. I was just thinking some In New Orleans might like hiim. What I really meant is–I doubt Casey would win or do well in the south period.

  • x57x

    I guess that is not exactly what I meant. I don’t think Casey would win or do well in Louisiana either. I was just thinking some In New Orleans might like hiim. What I really meant is–I doubt Casey would win or do well in the south period.

    I agree. I also think that if it came down between James and Casey. I don’t think Casey could’ve beaten James in the majority of states. There are more Rock lovers than Jazz and Rock music out sells Jazz in most states.

  • chicksineggz

    I keep seeing people reference Lauren’s “loss” of confidence. First of all, I have liked Lauren from the beginning and have enjoyed some of her performances, BUT did she ever actually have a lot of confidence? I don’t think she has had a lot of confidence from the beginning, and it’s understandable considering she is only 16 years old! Personally, I think she could have really benefited from a couple more years before trying out.

    During the audition, Hollywood week, and the first couple of live performances, Lauren had a lot of spunk. Maybe too much spunk, because a lot of people (including me…) found it offputting.

  • yellin

    as far as the source, I am talking about the song choices, not the actual performance or rehearsals of them. We will all have to wait until Wednesday for that! ?:)

  • http://www.huckleberryfriendmusic.com/ huckleberryfriend

    Since Idol started, there have only been 4 contestants where I wanted to re-watch their performances on youtube – Kelly Clarkson, Jennifer Hudson, Taylor Hicks, and HALEY REINHART. I think the girl is special and hope she sticks around a couple more weeks. The others are good singers, but I don’t hear anything special in their voices.

  • koshka

    Disability plays well in the hearts of all compassionate Americans.

    sadly this is the one most annoying part of the whole idoldom. If I want to help a disability I’ll donate, not vote. This is why I can’t see this show as anything other than a singing version of Survivor & why the the music industry refuses to take AI artist seriously.

  • koshka

    Now that he “seems” untouchable at the top, irritated fans are accusing him of being the great mimicker as if David Cook could do metal just like he does or Adam Lambert could reach an impossible high note without sticking his tongue out whilst James could do higher but just close his eyes tight.

    If he is untouchable.. why is there a good number of people thinking Scotty has the win? Not everyone is bitter and irritated, some of us just don’t rank the remaining contestant in your order. LOL

  • idolhound2011

    I would be happy if they could sing the group songs.
    They are really bad.

  • miniglik

    sadly this is the one most annoying part of the whole idoldom. If I want to help a disability I’ll donate, not vote. This is why I can’t see this show as anything other than a singing version of Survivor & why the the music industry refuses to take AI artist seriously

    While I get that voting for someone entirely because you pity them is wrong, I think does get votes from people in the TSA and ASD communities. And voting for James because your kid has Tourette’s and looks up to him or because you have ASD and like to see someone like you perform isn’t all that crappy and is probably a strong source of votes for James. I definitely don’t see it as any crappier than, say, voting someone because you think they’re sexy or they’re from your hometown or they have awesome hair or you like their attitude, which are all reasons people vote.

  • gangreen29

    Personally I think that in S10, people want the easy to win over complicated, so Scotty will win over James and Lauren will win over Haley.

    I would love to know what is easy about what Scott and Lauren do, and complicated about what James and Haley do.

  • Trina

    I definitely don’t see it as any crappier than, say, voting someone because you think they’re sexy or they’re from your hometown or they have awesome hair or you like their attitude, which are all reasons people vote.

    Let’s not forget voting for someone because their favorite Idol is rooting for that person. I’m sure we can find other crappy reasons for voting for someone.

  • gangreen29

    why the the music industry refuses to take AI artist seriously.

    The music industry isn’t some monolithic entity. Maybe some people don’t take idol seriously in the music industry, but on the flip side some people do. Idol has had lots of positive press over the years from famous music industry people, but it is the few and far between negative statements that people make a big deal out of. If everyone in the music industry refused to take AI artists seriously, how have so many received so many accolades?

  • koshka

    I definitely don’t see it as any crappier than, say, voting someone because you think they’re sexy or they’re from your hometown or they have awesome hair or you like their attitude, which are all reasons people vote.

    Right. I think those are crappy reasons too… LOL

  • yellin

    My 10 year old son has Aspergers, and ALSO sings/performs/writes rock and metal songs. I would never in a million years though, waste my time voting for someone “just because” of a circumstance/disability etc in their life. If people understood the dynamics of Aspergers and how it affects one socially, it is quite brilliant what James does and who he is as a TOTAL package. I know that this is probably why he has a “vision” for a performance and sees it out. One thing you will NEVER get from an Aspie is anything “fake.” They are who they are, are honest to a fault, and passionate about the things and people they really love. We love him because he is the total package and he is showing my son that no matter WHAT he wants to be, a million people can tell you “that is too hard for you” or “no you can’t” but if you believe in yourself, you can do anything. Doesn’t even matter at this point WHAT place he comes in, he honestly has already won. ALL of the contestants have. :)

  • koshka

    If everyone in the music industry refused to take AI artists seriously, how have so many received so many accolades?

    I’ll rephrase that to “many” in the industry. There will always be detractors because of AI. To get back to the point I was trying to make…. voting for a ’cause’ or because they are ‘cute’ or sexy doesn’t help the AI artist’s reps. Because of the other factors that go into voting, we get results that are questionable & are indeed questioned .. such as Lee vs Crystal. I’m not a fan of either by any means, but I don’t like to hear jokes about Lee outside of the bubble.

  • Mary102

    If it’s the comparison thing, most Adam fans don’t think James is like Adam at all. Might be the media trying to start something.

    That’s not really true. I can’t speak for all Adam fans, but I know quite a few, lol, and a broad opinion is that he has tried to copy Adam in many ways throughout the competition, from singing songs he did on Idol, in the style Adam DID them on AI (ACIGC), to singing Adam’s favorite artists (Muse), to clothing (some of those outfits were very reminiscent of SkinGraft, which Adam loves), to whips on stage (Adam did it). So, yeah. LOL. One or two of those things in isolation is nothing, but together, those things are very very reminiscent of Adam.

    ETA: And of course that’s not even mentioning the singing style – rocker wail, etc.

  • sma11ie

    The last three don’t wail

    Someone link David’s Hot for Teacher cover for me please? Maybe that one from Sunfest where he was wailing while hanging from some scaffolding he’d climbed up? Or maybe Hunger Strike? I don’t see how one can cover Chris Cornell without wailing. He doesn’t tend to do music that warrants wailing, maybe that’s what you mean?

  • Willis

    I’m going with my gut:

    1. James
    2. Haley
    3. Scotty
    4. Jacob
    5. Lauren

    I do feel that they were protecting someone with the way the bottom 3 results were private last week. I’d bet that Lauren dropped and Haley moved up. I think Haley has a great chance to make top3 or even the finals. She keeps improving while working against the oncoming traffic every week.

    Really, Jacob or Haley are the only 2 left that NEED the win. I don’t think they will get a major label contract if they don’t. Scotty is a shoe-in for a contract. Probably Lauren too, but I see a one and done like Allison with her. From a record standpoint, James would be best off if he went out top 3 or before and could cut the album he wants.

  • HappyDaisy

    chicksineggz says: During the audition, Hollywood week, and the first couple of live performances, Lauren had a lot of spunk. Maybe too much spunk, because a lot of people (including me…) found it offputting.

    Same here. I’ve been wondering if some of the meek bit is an act. But Lauren carries it into her performances, so I guess not. Someone must have read the blogs early on and told her to tone it down. She’s overdone it.

    Mary102 says: to singing Adam’s favorite artists (Muse),

    James’ use of the cain reminded me of Adam’s Strut during his tour.

  • Trina

    Skingraft contacted James and offered to design some custom made stuff for him, he didnt exactly intentionally copy Adam there.

    James’ use of the cain reminded me of Adam’s Strut during his tour.

    That night James tweeted something about a tribute to Freddie Mercury and Alice Cooper. I can understand being annoyed if you feel James is blatantly ripping off Adam, but not every single thing Adam does is 100% unique to him.

    Wait when did James have whips on stage? Point me to that because that sounds hot!

  • miniglik

    My 10 year old son has Aspergers, and ALSO sings/performs/writes rock and metal songs. I would never in a million years though, waste my time voting for someone “just because” of a circumstance/disability etc in their life. If people understood the dynamics of Aspergers and how it affects one socially, it is quite brilliant what James does and who he is as a TOTAL package. I know that this is probably why he has a “vision” for a performance and sees it out. One thing you will NEVER get from an Aspie is anything “fake.” They are who they are, are honest to a fault, and passionate about the things and people they really love. We love him because he is the total package and he is showing my son that no matter WHAT he wants to be, a million people can tell you “that is too hard for you” or “no you can’t” but if you believe in yourself, you can do anything. Doesn’t even matter at this point WHAT place he comes in, he honestly has already won. ALL of the contestants have.

    I hope you don’t think I was disagreeing with you. I’d probably root for James but not vote for him if I didn’t enjoy his musicality. If he was just the talent without the TS/ASD packaging I’d vote for him but otherwise not care. The combo of the two — performances I really enjoy and challenges I can relate to — just made me more of a fan.

    I was just saying that even if people did vote for him entirely because of the backstory, I don’t think that’s any worse than reasons people support other contestants, or entertainers in general. Entertainment, at it’s core, is about finding something you can relate to or feel emotional about.

  • yellin

    @miniglik, absolutely not:) I was only stating how I felt because I don’t want people to think that parents of Aspies/kids with tourettes, etc, and teens and adults that have the disorders, are voting JUST because of that.

    I personally LOVE James Durbin’s voice, his humbleness, his obvious FEELING for each and every note he sings, all he puts into his performances each week..etc. I don’t get the comparisons because why is Lauren not being compared to Carrie, or Scotty to Josh Gracin, etc. James is James, and was James long before idol was even an idea in his head. I honestly don’t get it at all. And doesn’t every single artist get inspiration from other artists they admire, like and look up to?

    I think from all I have learned about him past and present, he will stay true to the music he wants to make, and won’t be happy otherwise and will fight for it. That may be why winning isn’t EVERYTHING, if in fact, he is not able to make the kind of album he wants. Of course it is only my opinion and we will have to wait and see. I know with my son..FORGET trying to tell him what, or how to sing (of course he is only 10) he is gonna do it the way HE wants, like it, or lump it! lol:)

  • Elek

    I still think we’re headed for a Scotty v. James finale, with Scotty winning, although my vote would go to James. My favorites usually stall at #2 (see Clay, Bo, Kat, Adam, & Crystal). I arrived late to the season 1 party, so I didn’t have a horse that race. My one favorite who did actually win was David Cook.

    So far only two of my picks didn’t win, Clay Aiken and Adam Lambert. But I am not necessarily a fan of my picks. It so happened that I find them as the most likely winner as compared to the rest of their competitors.

    But they didn’t vote for a Country singer, they voted for another jazz type singer; Haley.

    I like that… it deserves my three winks ;-) ;-) ;-)

    The most debut albums since Carrie would mean Scotty would have to outsell Daughtry’s 5 million+. If we’re talking winners then he has to beat 1.3 million. I don’t wish that kind of pressure on anyone the way the industry is right now. The way the winners have been selling Idol might be pleased if he goes gold, or at the least be the winner who sells the most for the year.

    At this time, it’s impractical to compare how people would sell CD albums with the past because most buys online these days. Only collectors IMO would want CDs in their hands.

    Eta: totally agree about Jacob. I can’t get behind the notion that he has no fan base. Not all fan bases are loud and visible online.

    So true about your declaration on fan bases… so true!

    I agree with you that lumping James into WGWG doesn’t seem to fit the last three winners. The three winners are more similar than not, including coming from the midwest/south. James is an all-out rocker, down to his clothes. The last three winners are more jeans and white t-shirt type of guys. The last three don’t wail. Scotty would fit that description (does he play guitar), if anyone.

    @Mel1:
    Thanks and BTW, Scotty does play the guitar and it is not surprising because he is a country singer.

    sadly this is the one most annoying part of the whole idoldom. If I want to help a disability I’ll donate, not vote. This is why I can’t see this show as anything other than a singing version of Survivor & why the music industry refuses to take AI artist seriously.

    JC — I can’t imagine how you could extract that and not consider the full context of what I have written. And seriously, I am shocked at your catty declaration about AI artists in the music industry.

    If he is untouchable.. why is there a good number of people thinking Scotty has the win? Not everyone is bitter and irritated, some of us just don’t rank the remaining contestant in your order. LOL

    I bet you only like finding rats that you don’t care what is surrounding them.

    IMHO.

  • jammasta

    1. Scotty – Lauren will get booted before he does, and they may be splitting votes more than anyone else left, but Scotty has more power there than Lauren. Country boy, stage presence, I think he’d make the best Idol winner of the 5 left.

    2. James – The pimping may cause backlash, and I have no idea how the hell they’d market him. He is an amazing contestant, however. If anyone other than Scotty wins, it should be him. He’s probably one of the harder of the 5 to market well, however. I also don’t think he has ever had significant vote splitting issues, so the eliminations before him won’t help.

    3. Haley – I believe America has seen enough respectable growth from her. That, and I think she was splitting votes with Casey. The momentum she’s gained is really powerful.

    4. Lauren – I think she’s beginning to lose it somehow. She’s been slipping a bit for weeks. She is splitting votes with Scotty and Scotty is winning that one. She’ll be out 4th or 5th. I also think she might be suffering most from people getting sick of the front-runner. Scotty and James haven’t been hit by that nearly as hard, and I think all 3 have been considered front runners since very early on.

    5. Jacob – This is the point at which I think his secret fanbase will lose it.

  • ReginaFilange

    Come to think of it, something smells fishy about last week’s results show that makes me suspect TPTB are producing a shock boot for this week.

    Think about how boring the next two weeks will be if Jacob and Haley go, leaving a very predictable top 3. No buzz, no water cooler talk. I bet they’re getting ready to destroy the fragile peach that is Wittle Wauren. They’ll put her first with a forgettable song, give her lukewarm critiques, and put Jacob or Haley(please) in the pimp spot with a showstopper, setting up a much more watchable results night. They can especially count on it if Haley’s stealing Casey’s votes, and Jacob does something noteworthy that appeals to whoever the hell is voting for him.

    Whatever happens, I think a James/Scotty finale is pretty inevitable.

  • glamertitis

    from singing songs he did on Idol, in the style Adam DID them on AI (ACIGC), to singing Adam’s favorite artists (Muse), to clothing (some of those outfits were very reminiscent of SkinGraft, which Adam loves), to whips on stage (Adam did it). So, yeah. LOL. One or two of those things in isolation is nothing, but together, those things are very very reminiscent of Adam.

    ETA: And of course that’s not even mentioning the singing style – rocker wail, etc.

    So, Adam didn’t “copy” from other artists for any of the events he did/the clothes he wore on the show – everything he did he invented?

    One thing Adam did – He brought creativity to the AI stage, something all the other contestants, including James, are allowed to do.
    However, I find James more interesting and “believable” than Adam.
    I should hope other contestants are allowed to wail, wear leather coats, slow it down, speed it up, slick their hair back, colour it green, sit on a stool, perform music from Muse, without always being compared to, or slammed for, copying Adam.

  • Jon

    James will have no chance in beating Scotty IF they both end up being in the finale. Scotty is just too likable and subtle for America, opposed to James who screams in almost every performance he does and stuggles with pitch. Don’t get me wrong though. I like James but looking it as a whole, it might turn off most of America. Maybe a reason Adam lost and Adam had more control of that power and never struggled with pitch.

    The only Top 2 that would seem interesting to me would be Scotty/Haley or James/Haley. If a girl is put into a finale, I think people would be supporting a girl to win since it has been too long since Jordin’s win. Lauren just isn’t that girl as she doesn’t have a chance to beat James or Scotty. Haley however is an underdog, thrown under the bus, improving every week contestant that America can get behind. As we seen in the past few years, the winners are all contestants that showed the most growth than anyone else in their season. I think that’s something America wants. Haley can easily take Casey’s and possibly at least half of Lauren’s votes to make it interesting, opposed to almost all going to Scotty if James is in the finale.

  • koshka

    sadly this is the one most annoying part of the whole idoldom. If I want to help a disability I’ll donate, not vote. This is why I can’t see this show as anything other than a singing version of Survivor & why the music industry refuses to take AI artist seriously.

    JC — I can’t imagine how you could extract that and not consider the full context of what I have written. And seriously, I am shocked at your catty declaration about AI artists in the music industry.

    I did consider the full content of what you wrote.. but I wanted to keep this current and not talk about prior contestants.

    If you re-read my comments, I’m not talking about any of the contestants. I wrote about what I don’t like about the show and what ‘many’ in the music industry seem to think. If you notice in another post that I agreed with another poster that I also think it is crap when people vote for the cutest guy/girl or their hometown hero. I really wish AI was about the best singer, but I’ve realized a long time ago that the show is just another reality show, like Survivor.

    Its just my opinion, you don’t have to agree.

    If he is untouchable.. why is there a good number of people thinking Scotty has the win? Not everyone is bitter and irritated, some of us just don’t rank the remaining contestant in your order. LOL

    I bet you only like finding rats that you don’t care what is surrounding them.

    IMHO.

    I have no idea what on earth you are talking about.

  • abbysee

    Hmmmm, power list.

    Scotty
    James
    Haley
    Lauren
    Jacob

    This list is with some reservation. I think James is making a claim for the win, but for some reason I am not sure he is getting all of the voting love that is why the heavy pimping. he makes for great television, but imho Scotty is a better singer, and far more charismatic. I also loved his understated performance last week. It showed a depth that so many are underestimating. I wouldn’t hate either guy winning though because I see the awesome in both.

    Haley is also making a claim, but because of the way they are editing her, her accent is being overshadowed. I really have been paying attention to the tepid praise that she and Scotty are receiving. Jlo goes all stone face on them. Not a good sign for Haley, Scotty so far it doesn’t matter because he has been carrying his fanbase from week to week. Or maybe that’s vice versa.

    Jacob just doesn’t do it for me, just not consistent in any way. Lauren never fulfilled the early pimping promise, and has totally underwhelmed.

  • TheOther

    I do think it will be an all guy Final 2 – again. Lauren, really does not have the maturity at this point for the business. It is much tougher in the real world vs the AI bubble. Unfortunately, I think she will take it really hard when she’s eliminated.

  • zach

    Have you took into consideration that many of the casey fans will now be voting for Haley

  • lulwut

    In terms of current momentum:

    1. James
    2. Haley
    3. Scotty
    4. Jacob
    5. Lauren

    In terms of final placement

    1. Scotty
    2. Haley
    3. James
    4. Lauren
    5. Jacob

    Can Haley pull a Kris Allen? She’s never my favorite. I like the boys better. But if she can pull a Kris and won this, I will be so happy for her!

  • Jon

    Just remembered. There hasn’t been 2 girls in the Top 4 since Season 6. If that’s the trend, Lauren or Haley will be eliminated this week. And counting on the growing fan base for Haley, and the declining of Lauren’s, my money is on Lauren to be eliminated.

    Also basing on how Jacob just don’t seem to leave. Since he told America is afraid to look in the mirror, i can’t like him. Since then he knocked out Stefano’s italian-female counterpart, Pia, Lauren’s big bro, Paul, James BFF, Stefano, and Haley’s growl bf, Casey. Makes sense he take Scotty’s little sis, Lauren too.

    I would so love to see Haley prove to Randy wrong that she is amazing and deserving to be Top 3. She has been his personal punching bag this season like Allison and Carly kind of were to Simon.

    And to all of the people attacking James of being the WGWG of the Top 5, Scotty plays the guitar too. Don’t only include James in the WGWG category. I think we’ve seen Scotty play guitar more than James this season. I could be wrong there. Both are not the same WGWG as past seasons. I guess James is more like David Cook as both are rockers. Scotty would closely associated with Kris since there’re are both very subtle performers. Of course neither have proved on stage to come close to their awesomeness.

  • NOLA

    I live in the South and don’t know one person that has voted for James. Of the ones left, they all like Scotty or Lauren.

    I’m in Dixie too. I haven’t spoken to a soul who is voting for James.

  • genius20913

    Both are not the same WGWG as past seasons. I guess James is more like David Cook as both are rockers. Scotty would closely associated with Kris since there’re are both very subtle performers. Of course neither have proved on stage to come close to their awesomeness.

    i agree….with David you had Eleanor Rigby, Billie jean etc….and with Kris you had Heartless, and Aint no sunshine…neither james or scotty has had a performance on that level

  • larc

    Elek says:
    Disability plays well in the hearts of all compassionate Americans.

    Too bad it doesn’t sell albums.

  • NOLA

    The country voters might also swing to voting more for Scotty fearing that he almost got sent home last week and that could spell trouble for Lauren.

    I think you may be right. I was just sitting here thinking with all
    this power voting for Miss Haley, somebody is going home. I don’t think that somebody will be Scotty and for some reason, I don’t think Jacob’s time has come (now, he may prove me wrong on Wednesday) but I don’t see him leaving. Someone is going to slip thru the crack this week, I’m afraid….Lauren? James?

  • canuck

    Wish list:
    1 Lauren Alaina- so much potential, she would be a very good winner
    2 James Durbin- really like but i don’t want another wgwg to win
    3 Scotty – will get tiresome after a while
    4 Jacob – I think he’s on the upswing
    5 Haley – don’t get the love so not jumping on the bandwagon

  • Jon

    Hoping on a James/Haley Finale. But i doubt it’s gonna happen. Scotty’s fan base is too big. Haley is growing and gaining support. So is James but i just can’t think he’ll win.

  • sma11ie
    I bet you only like finding rats that you don’t care what is surrounding them.

    IMHO.

    I have no idea what on earth you are talking about.

    LOL, good, I wasn’t the only one going… huh?

  • BobS Orlando

    This is my first response, but have really enjoyed reading them so will offer my views
    The first time I heard Josh Turner sing “your Man”, I had to have it and have about wore it out. When I heard Scotty’s audition, I literally couldn’t it as I have never heard another country with that type of voice. My favorice singers have always been the ones with a unique, easily recognizable voice, “Johnny Cash, Willie Nelson, Loretta Lynn, Dolly Parton, Dean Martin, Bing Crosby. I feel that when Scotty starts making records and develops his own style, his name could be added to that list. While the rest of the contestants are all good singers, I just don’t find that quality in their voice. I would love to see him sing “Friends in Low Places”, by Garth Brooks or “Unanswered Prayers”, “She stopped loving Her Today” by George Jones, “Walk the Line”, by Johnny Cash or any of the top classic country songs that showcase his unique voice. Quit trying to make him into something he’s not. As Randy said, “If it’s not broke, don’t fix it.” I realize Country Music is not for everyone, and no one will like every song you sing. I have enjoyed all the singers except James. He has a good voice, but when he starts screaming, he loses me. I do love both girls and think they both will do well after Idol.

  • Buffynut

    I don’t see James as a WGWG at all. I see him as a wannabe rocker.
    Here’s a little something to throw into the mix. Many areas of the south are still wthout power. Some areas have only emergency generators. Cell phone lines are still knocked out in many places. Could all of this affect the voting this week? People putting their lives back together probably won’t be caring about who to vote for on Idol.

  • Trina

    Jon, maybe you want until the actual performances? And why assume Haley out of anyone remaining will get all those votes? Read all the various posts today in this thread and you’ll see those votes that get distributed once someones favorites leaves isn’t so cut and dry. Some choices are surprising. In my case when James leaves whichever of Scotty or Lauren are left will get my votes. Haley is LAST on my support list.

  • GiladFalk

    My power list is:

    James
    Scotty
    Haley
    Lauren
    Jacob

    Jacob should of gotten out weeks ago. Haley is improving every week and she might get all of Casey’s votes so she may go even farther then Lauren. If Lauren ups to confidence then probably not. Scotty, I don’t like him. He became boring for me, but he does have a fan base. James is amazing every single week, and I do believe he will win this thing. Who knows maybe Haley will pull a Kris Allen?

  • Jon

    Reading up on the Q & A’s on Americanidol.com and i read that Haley’s dream song to perform is At Last. I’m guessing that’s her 60’s song for this week and i’m excited if it’s gonna happen! Possible moment?

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    With the field narrowing, it could be that Haley could outlast Lauren. I’m not sure that would be an “upset” except that Lauren hasn’t been in the B3. Lauren hasn’t shown me anything new, and certainly seems like she’s a pale comparison to Carrie and doesn’t have the charisma of Kellie. I would love for Haley to sneak in there and win it all. Not likely, but a girl can hope. LOL.

    Also, I’ve been in Haley’s corner since “Blue,” but I have no problem with the bandwagon. I admit her hula arms were a bit distracting, but you could tell she could do really cool stuff with her voice.

    Oh, and I don’t know who was a jerk in Hollywood because I skipped until the real show started.

  • mozart4898

    I’m not going through all the same analysis I did last week (using iTunes, Dial Idol, etc.) but here’s my own personal power list (my favorites basically):

    1.) James
    2.) Lauren
    3.) Scotty
    4.) Jacob
    5.) Haley

    I don’t really believe that’s the order though at this point. I don’t see any way that Lauren actually could be placed that high, and while Haley is my least favorite, I just think it’s pretty dangerous at this point to consider her the lowest one. My analysis last week showed that no one else was gaining at the rate she was…and it also showed that Casey seemed to be losing ground the quickest of any of them except for maybe Lauren. Those trends at this stage in the game may be the most important factor in a power list. So, all that said, how do I think they actually rank, power list wise?

    1.) Scotty – Last week in my overall power list I had Scotty as #3 I believe, mainly because he seemed to be stagnating. After last week’s performance I feel he’s reaffirmed his place in the competition, plus by putting him next to Casey in what appeared to be (but wasn’t really) the bottom 2, there’s no question they scared the daylights out of a bunch of fans. He probably only needs to show up on Wednesday night to be safe.
    2.) James – Didn’t really “lose ground” from last week when I had him #1, Scotty just sorta leapfrogged him. They’re really just about neck and neck, but I felt that Scotty having been thought of as the leader for so many weeks meant that he takes the top spot again, barely.
    3.) Haley – Ugh. I really don’t know what to say about Haley. I don’t see what others see in her, but the fact of the matter is, she’s obviously got support. How much? Who knows, but as I said, trends seem to be more important than almost anything else for determining who ranks where. I don’t think Haley’s “buzz” at this point is up to the level of Scotty and James, but she’s far above the next two in terms of buzz as well.
    4.) Lauren – I actually question putting Lauren as 4th instead of in last…in the end I give her this spot because of how obvious it is the producers/judges want her to make it. I still think she’s got the tools, and really I don’t think it’s too late for her to blow one out of the water and jump back into the fray in the top 3…but as of right now, she’s not looking good. Lauren was losing ground last week at almost the rate that Casey was from what I saw, and she didn’t seem to do anything to stem that tide last week.
    5.) Jacob – I don’t think it’s a certainty that Jacob will be going home. Others have noted too that he looks to be dead in the water week after week and yet he keeps on, keeping on. Probably most likely to go home this week…but I don’t think Haley and Lauren are totally immune either. The lack of evidence for Jacob’s fanbase in comparison to the others makes you wonder…just how many folks are out there voting for him that we don’t know about, for whatever reason?

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    1.) Scotty
    2.) James
    3.) Lauren
    4.) Jacob
    5.) Haley

    Am I the only one who doesn’t get Haley? I know she has a huge internet fanbase but the other people I talk to outside of the net also don’t ‘get’ her.

  • mozart4898

    Am I the only one who doesn’t get Haley? I know she has a huge internet fanbase but the other people I talk to outside of the net also don’t ‘get’ her.

    You’re not the only one, trust me. I don’t like her at all and my mom also isn’t too much of a fan.

  • SuperNut

    Am I the only one who doesn’t get Haley? I know she has a huge internet fanbase but the other people I talk to outside of the net also don’t ‘get’ her.

    I don’t get her, either. She has this huge internet fanbase and it seems to have come out of nowhere. I mean, she yelled “Bennie and the Jets” at me and all of a sudden, she’s the greatest. And it hasn’t gotten any better since she got Lambert’s stamp of approval. I don’t get it and I never will.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    It would be a boring world indeed if we all agreed.

    I like country music, but I don’t see anything special in Lauren or Scotty. They both seem like nice kids.

    I like Jacob’s personality (minus the one faux pas), but his vibrato is way too much for me. And I don’t like his song choices.

    James is fun. I appreciate that he isn’t coasting and I don’t care if he sells any records post idol. He makes good TV.

    Haley is a fighter. I love her voice and I don’t see the “fake” personality others do. I see a scrappy girl who’s kind of goofy.

  • eyelinerandcigarettes

    Phew! Thank goodness I’m not the only one :) I thought I was gonna get slammed on here.

  • claudette

    I can’t stand Haley. She comes across to me as a cold, fake, too good for everyone else. She is the last person I’d ever vote for. There is a reason why judges and producers don’t like her…and they know her better than all of us. But she’ll get the votes from people who are angry that their favorite is gone.

    I think Casey had a lot of southern votes and was hurt by the south whose television was interrupted with non-stop coverage of tornadoes. Casey has that “cute, cuddly, teddy bear” image after his elimination. He pulled on the heartstrings of moms and grandmas. I’ve never heard anyone who has said they have a “soft spot” for Haley, or she’s the Kris (sweet, teddy bear, moral, matching cherry pie aprons with his wife). Even James is likely to get that type of vote and the votes of anti-sweet with is choice of song. That is why he will win hands down.

  • karenc

    genius20913 says:
    05/02/2011 at 10:26 pm

    i agree….with David you had Eleanor Rigby, Billie jean etc….and with Kris you had Heartless, and Aint no sunshine…neither james or scotty has had a performance on that level

    I agree with this too. With James, Scotty, or anyone else this year, I have not seen the kind of creativity that we saw with David Cook, Kris, or Adam. Though I thought James was good last week. But for the most part, to me, all of Scotty’s performances sound the same. Many of James sound dated and cliche to me, and for the most part he sang the song as written, and didn’t do anything original with them. Though, I would say he did last week.

    I also think the comparisons between James and Adam started with James himself saying he was going to sing like Adam during Hollywood week, and I think even through to the semifinals. It isn’t just that fans were saying it, because he said it as well.

    And Haley, I didn’t like her before she did Rolling in the Deep, and I liked her last week too. It’s probably more that I don’t really like the others that are left either.

  • http://twitter.com/cara_lee pj

    There is a reason why judges and producers don’t like her…and they know her better than all of us. But she’ll get the votes from people who are angry that their favorite is gone.

    Are you suggesting that we blindly follow what the producers want? They may be more crafty that you think. And I’m not voting for Haley because my fave got knocked off… she’s my fave. ;-)

    the Kris (sweet, teddy bear, moral, matching cherry pie aprons with his wife). Even James is likely to get that type of vote and the votes of anti-sweet with is choice of song. That is why he will win hands down.

    Interesting. Totally disagree about almost all of that. Never have voted on the “sweetness” factor. I have no knowledge of these kids in real life. Perception on television is just that. Perception.

  • NOLA

    I can’t see him getting the most votes or doing well in any southern state–except maybe Louisana (some jazz votes)

    I live in New Orleans, and vote for Scotty. Casey would never make it in this jazz town.

  • Nativenewyorker

    @abbysee,

    Thank you so much for seeing in Scotty what I see! I always thought he had it in him to give a performance like the one he gave last week. Talk about taking risks! Singing one of the most iconic songs ever, a true classic that James Taylor still owns and many other artists have recorded, was the biggest of risks. It could have easily been a trainwreck or come off trite or cliched. Scotty found the heart and soul of that song, understood what it was all about, the essence of the story and communicated it with feeling and great emotion. That was the first time I have been moved to tears in the finals.

    What bothered me so much was how Jimmy seemed to be minimizing it because it was “subtle”. When did subtle equal bad? He didn’t get overshadowed, except for when Jimmy said it could happen before he sang and then said it again on results night in his video comments on the performances. It is such a shame to underestimate the power of a restrained performance. I see even more potential in Scotty. He may be country at heart, but with that voice he can sing almost anything. I thought he missed a real opportunity when he decided not to sing “Everybody’s Talking”, especially after how he sounded in the studio.

    I also like James and wouldn’t be upset if he ended up winning. Right now it seems like a horse race to me between these two. Of course, I could be wrong. I have been wrong before when it comes to who will win this show. I think that one-two punch of these two guys singing back-to-back was a nice preview of a possible finale two. It could be great.

    I started off really not liking Haley at all. Gradually I have been won over by her. I don’t love her, but I respect her versatility and technical skill and her movements on stage have become more organic and natural. She has learned to connect more with the songs and seems to be getting better. Of course, it’s obvious that the judges and Jimmy would like her to go, the sooner the better. I don’t see her winning this, so the longer she stays the better for her. I think she has outperformed Lauren, who doesn’t have her confidence, maturity and stage presence.

  • SpenserJ

    And I’m not voting for Haley because my fave got knocked off… she’s my fave.

    Ditto that. Haley’s the only contestant who’s compelled me to vote. If I weren’t voting for Haley, I wouldn’t be voting at all.

    I wouldn’t assume that just because the judges have been making this more difficult for her, that they don’t “like” her. I think she’s just a threat to the script TPTB wanted to write this year. I always enjoy when a contestant thwarts their plans.

    But she’ll get the votes from people who are angry that their favorite is gone.

    I don’t get angry at this show – it’s not important enough. I can only speak for myself, but I wouldn’t waste my time voting just to stick it to someone else.

  • Kirsten

    I’ve never heard anyone who has said they have a “soft spot” for Haley, or she’s the Kris (sweet, teddy bear, moral, matching cherry pie aprons with his wife). Even James is likely to get that type of vote and the votes of anti-sweet with is choice of song. That is why he will win hands down.

    That’s because when some people like a contestant, they become all things good. If I had a dollar for every time I’ve seen popular contestants described as sweet, humble, smart and kind, I’d be able to solve the US debt crisis. Even when the are standing around talking about how everything is “their vision”, trying to school a successful record exec on how to tell if something is a hit and ignoring the judges to encourage the fans to cheer more, they are seen as being humble. Even when a contestant is as dumb as a sack of hair, they are seen as being smart . Even when they are jumping on and hitting somebody, they are seen as being a sweet person who would never get angry or hurt anybody. And even when they are mocking people or being rude, they are still seen as being kind (and honest).

    They are human, but as Idols, they take on super-human tendencies. Haley just needs some more fans and she too can be sweet, humble, kind and smart without changing a thing about herself. Love can be blind. That is not to say that all Idols are evil, just that the popular ones tend to get beatified even beyond what they naturally have.

    Casey has that “cute, cuddly, teddy bear” image after his elimination.

    After all that growling, serial killer faces and aggressively stomping around the stage, I think that teddy bear must be Lotso from Toy Story III.

    I also think the comparisons between James and Adam started with James himself saying he was going to sing like Adam during Hollywood week, and I think even through to the semifinals

    I think it started the first time they showed him on TV. Certainly, there were many here and in the media who made that very comparison. James was behind the 8-ball before he even started.

  • koshka

    Kirsten – i thought it wrong to just re-paste your entire post, because I agree with every single word. LOL You left out the part about how charitable and giving they are.. or maybe that is for the post-show sport? ;)

  • SpenserJ

    You left out the part about how charitable and giving they are.. or maybe that is for the post-show sport?

    Definitely a post-show sport. That’s when they all turn into Ghandi :).

  • chearts77

    Thank you so much for seeing in Scotty what I see! I always thought he had it in him to give a performance like the one he gave last week. Talk about taking risks! Singing one of the most iconic songs ever, a true classic that James Taylor still owns and many other artists have recorded, was the biggest of risks. It could have easily been a trainwreck or come off trite or cliched. Scotty found the heart and soul of that song, understood what it was all about, the essence of the story and communicated it with feeling and great emotion. That was the first time I have been moved to tears in the finals.

    What bothered me so much was how Jimmy seemed to be minimizing it because it was “subtle”. When did subtle equal bad? He didn’t get overshadowed, except for when Jimmy said it could happen before he sang and then said it again on results night in his video comments on the performances. It is such a shame to underestimate the power of a restrained performance. I see even more potential in Scotty. He may be country at heart, but with that voice he can sing almost anything. I thought he missed a real opportunity when he decided not to sing “Everybody’s Talking”, especially after how he sounded in the studio.

    I totally agree with this!!! Well worded. I love the sublty of Scotty. I love how he bring the audience into his performance. He’s not an “in your face” performer (which I can’t stand – don’t get in my face…bring me into your performance). I was moved to tears with his take on You’ve Got A Friend. He captured the heartfelt emotion of this song and sang it perfectly!!

  • chicksineggz
    There is a reason why judges and producers don’t like her…and they know her better than all of us. But she’ll get the votes from people who are angry that their favorite is gone.

    Are you suggesting that we blindly follow what the producers want? They may be more crafty that you think. And I’m not voting for Haley because my fave got knocked off… she’s my fave. ;-)

    Yes, yes, yes! Haley is the reason I’m actually interested in this season.

  • AddictedToMars

    Am I the only one who doesn’t get Haley? I know she has a huge internet fanbase but the other people I talk to outside of the net also don’t ‘get’ her.

    No you’re not the only one. I don’t like bashing but if I’m being honest I can’t stand Haley. I ”get” her but I don’t like her. The only performance I’ve liked that she did was ”You Really Got A Hold On Me”. All of her other stuff has been overrated IMO! I’ll be very disappointed if she outlasts Scotty, Lauren or James!

    EDIT: Thanks Koshka for the help!

  • koshka

    EDIT: How can you quote on this blog when sending comments? I’m new to the blog, I used to be able to do but can never find the quote option on here. Thanks!

    Are you using the “b-quote” button? The easiest way to quote is to click it once, then paste your quote, then hit the “/b-quote” button again.

  • musicality

    wouldn’t assume that just because the judges have been making this more difficult for her, that they don’t “like” her. I think she’s just a threat to the script TPTB wanted to write this year. I always enjoy when a contestant thwarts their plans.

    Lol! I think this is accurate. I’ve seen shows in the past where fans were upset that idols were being pimped but this season by far has been a pimpfest for James. I don’t ever remember Idol ever bringing a guest on just to please one of the idols – Hulk Hogan. Hulk Hogan had no relevance. Allowing all the special effects etc.

    TPTB are writing the script. I think they want him around for entertainment value. I’ve seen them pimp others on the show too. I really think Haley wasn’t part of their plan and she’s sticking it to them. For that kudos to her. I like the girl. I’d love to see a big idol upset and her take it all. But that’s about a zero chance of happening.

    Hmmmm, a Scotty/Haley finale could prove to be very interesting. She would be the underdog and voters like underdogs.

  • zzatrms

    I don’t ever remember Idol ever bringing a guest on just to please one of the idols – Hulk Hogan. Hulk Hogan had no relevance.

    Maybe no relevance, but it sure made for a watercooler moment.

    Allowing all the special effects etc.

    All the contestants are allowed to ask for special effects.